Gold market analysis

2023-05-31

May 31st. Today's amplitude interval The US debt ceiling has basically reached an agreement, and the market is concerned about whether the bill can be successfully passed in a tight time. The price of gold is still fluctuating, and yesterday it retreated early. Increase. Today, the suggested volatility before the end of last week is maintained at $1,950 to $1,968. Hong Kong stocks rose slightly, ending a four-day losing streak. Although the US debt ceiling has been agreed in principle, the market is still concerned about whether there is enough time in two Through sex; U.S. stocks were on holiday every other night, and did not reflect the risks in the crisis. The Hang Seng Index opened 23 points higher, with a maximum increase of 115 points, reaching a high of 18,666. After that, The RMB weakened, the FOB price fell below 7.1, and Hong Kong stocks softened, falling by 181 points at most, closing at 18,595 points, up 44 points or 0.2%. Markets wait and see US debt. Whether the agreement in principle of the upper limit can be successfully passed by the congressional vote, because time is very tight, if there is a mistake, the United States will still fall into the crisis of debt default; European stock markets remained weak, with Germany's DAX index down 0.27%, France's Paris CAC index down 1.29% and Britain's FTSE 100 index down 1.38%. The United States has reached a coordination meeting in principle on the debt ceiling, and it is about to vote in the Senate and the House of Representatives. Time is very tight. If something goes wrong, the United States will still fall into debt default. The crisis; The three major Wall Street indexes developed separately last week, and the Dow Jones index fell by 15%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.01%, Nasdaq Composite Index. Up by 0.32%. The United States has made progress in reaching an agreement in principle at the negotiating table on the debt ceiling, and McCarthy, Speaker of the House of Representatives, is working hard to promote the Republican Congress. Supporters stressed that debt default was impossible. In fact, investors had long expected that both sides would reach an agreement in the end, and the gold market continued to fluctuate. In 1970, the lowest was $1,932.1, and it closed at $1,959.5, down $10.5. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-30

May 30th. Today's amplitude interval The US debt ceiling has basically reached an agreement, but there is still instability due to quality. According to market reports, there are still core figures in the two parties who have not expressed their views and become law. The key to the passage of the case is that the gold market soared by $27 before the market closed, but it completely retreated when it opened this morning. The trend is very paradoxical. Today, maintain the suggested volatility before last week. From 1934 to 1952. After the Buddha's birthday holiday, Hong Kong stocks failed to stop diarrhea and fell for four days in a row. Republican House Speaker McCarthy told the media that the differences in negotiations are narrowing. After all-night negotiations, the two sides finally reached an agreement in principle. I believe that the United States will not fall into the crisis of debt default, and Hong Kong stocks have recently opened 80% At 9: 00, investors were always worried about the Fed's interest rate hike. The Hang Seng Index turned down and eventually fell 195 points or 1% to close at 18,551 points. Although the negotiations on the debt ceiling in the United States have made progress, it can now be seen that the rules Committee of the US House of Representatives announced on its website that the Committee will be in the local time in the United States. A meeting was held at 3 pm on May 30 to discuss the fiscal responsibility bill involving the debt ceiling agreement. After the House of Representatives voted, it was submitted to the Senate for passage. Time is very tight, and if anything goes wrong, the United States will still fall into the crisis of debt default; European stock markets are still weak, Germany's DAX index fell 0.17%, France and Pakistan. The CAC index in Lebanon fell by 0.21%, and the UK was closed for holidays. On the American holiday, the stock market is closed for one day. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-29

May 29 Today's amplitude interval The United States basically reached an agreement on the debt ceiling, and the market paid attention to the Fed's backward direction. Several Fed showed a hard stance, and the market raised interest rates again for the Fed. It is expected to heat up, and several data last week also supported their views. Investors turned to believe that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates, and the budget gold market will bear it. Press. The gold price market failed to shake off the decline every day. Today, the suggested volatility before the end of last week is maintained at $1,934 to $1,952. The performance of Hong Kong stocks derailed from the European and American markets last week. Although the market opened on Monday, it ushered in a rebound. Although the Hang Seng Index opened higher last Monday, the US debt could default Energy continues to plague investors; Due to the deadlock in the negotiation of the US debt ceiling, Fitch Ratings, a credit rating agency, rarely put the US rating into a negative view. Looking at the list, coupled with the serious capitalization of the RMB, the RMB fell below 7 against the US, and Hong Kong stocks fell for three consecutive days before the Buddha's birthday holiday. After a week, the Hang Seng Index fell. 703 points, or 3.62%, closed at 18746 points. The negotiations on the debt ceiling in the United States are still deadlocked, although McCarthy, the Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives representing the opposition, said that it may be with the General Assembly this weekend. Biden reached a principled debt ceiling agreement; However, with the lapse of time, the risk of US debt default becomes heavier and heavier, which affects the market investment. The three major European stocks fell across the board last week, with Germany's DAX index down 1.79%, France's Paris CAC index down 2.31% and Britain's FTSE 100 index down 1.67. %。 McCarthy, Speaker of the Republican House of Representatives, told the media that the differences in negotiations were narrowing, and after all-night negotiations, the two sides finally reached an agreement in principle. As a result of the discussion, I believe that the United States will not fall into the crisis of debt default. The three major indexes of Wall Street developed individually last week, and the Dow Jones index fell by 1%. Standard & Poor's The 500 index rose 0.42%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 3.21%. US President Biden and Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives McCarthy wrestled over the debt ceiling. After all-night negotiations in the United States last Friday, through the efforts of both sides, Reach an agreement in principle at the negotiating table to avoid the crisis of national debt default. Investors have long expected that both sides will reach an agreement in the end. With the decline of the function of avoiding tunnels and the hawkish stance of several Fed officials, the gold market continued to test the bottom, with the highest price of gold reaching $1,985.4 last week and the lowest price reaching $1,938.9. Dollars, closing at $1946.9, fell by $31 a week. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-26

May 26th Today's amplitude interval The United States has the opportunity to reach an agreement on the debt ceiling before the end of this week. In addition, the first quarter GDP of the United States is better than expected, and the market is again interested in the Fed. The expectation of the second interest rate hike warmed up, and the gold price failed to get rid of the decline every day, and continued to try the bottom, falling below the support of $1,950. Today's suggested volatility ranges from US$ 1934 to 1952. Dollars. Due to the deadlock in the negotiations on the US debt ceiling, US stocks fell every other night, and Hong Kong stocks opened lower. Due to the US debt crisis, Fitch Ratings, a credit rating agency. Rarely, the US rating was included in the negative watch list, and the risk aversion was strong. In addition, the RMB went seriously, and the RMB fell below 7 against the US, and Hong Kong stocks relied on it. Old weakness; The Hang Seng Index opened 185 points lower, with a maximum drop of 495 points, closing at 18,746, down 369 points or 1.9%, falling for the third consecutive day. Negotiations on the debt ceiling in the United States are still deadlocked, although Republican House Speaker McCarthy, who represents the opposition, said that he may meet with the President this weekend. Biden reached a principled debt ceiling agreement; However, as time goes by, the risk of US debt default becomes heavier and heavier. Disagree on many issues Still huge. The problem of U.S. debt default has made the market investment more and more uneasy. The three major European stocks fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 0.19%. The CAC index in Paris, France fell by 0.2%, and the FTSE 100 index in Britain fell by 0.51%. McCarthy, Speaker of the Republican House of Representatives, told the media that the differences in negotiations are narrowing. After all-night negotiations, although there are still outstanding issues, His team has been instructed to work around the clock to solve this problem, and it is expected to reach a principled debt ceiling agreement with President Biden tomorrow. The Three Fingers of Wall Street In several individual developments, the Dow Jones index fell by 0.11%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.88%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.71%. The United States has a chance to reach an agreement on the debt ceiling before the end of this week. McCarthy told the media that the negotiations have progressed, although there are still problems to be solved. However, there is still a chance to reach an agreement on the principle of the debt ceiling, the United States has a chance to avoid debt default, and the first quarter GDP of the United States is better than expected. The market's expectation for the Fed to raise interest rates again warmed up, and the gold market continued to test the bottom. The highest price of gold was $1,964.8, and the lowest price was $1,938.9, which was 1940.6. The dollar closed down $16.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-25

May 25th Today's amplitude interval The U.S. debt ceiling problem has not been resolved, and the market is beginning to be annoyed by the news. In addition, the minutes of the May meeting of the Reserve Bank show that some hawkish members are in favor of keeping raising interest rates. The gold price failed to shake off the decline yesterday and tested the support of $1,950 again. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1,950 to $1,970. The Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development, Mr Qiu Yinghua, was asked in yesterday's talk show about the threat to the status of Hong Kong's trade hub. Secretary Qiu responded, The export situation has improved in recent months, and he is still full of confidence in Hong Kong's trade prospects. In fact, people look at the heights and the water flows downwards. As one of the areas in China, It is not easy for the government to rob enterprises and talents, and the renminbi has fallen to a low level for half a year. Hong Kong stocks still maintained a weak trend, falling for the second day, yesterday. Insert another 315 points or 1.62% on the day, and the Hang Seng Index closed at 19,115 points. McCarthy, Speaker of the House of Representatives of the Republican Party of the United States, said that the negotiations with President Biden on the debt ceiling have reached a deadlock, and the differences on many issues are still huge. beautiful The problem of China's debt default has made the market investment more and more uneasy. The three major European stocks fell by more than 1% across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 1.92%. China's CAC index in Paris fell by 1.74%, while Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.7%. According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May meeting, many participants mentioned that the debt ceiling must be raised in time to avoid serious problems in the financial system and the overall economy. The risk of chaos. Unfortunately, as the days passed, US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy remained deadlocked at the negotiating table. Risk investment The assets failed, and the three major indexes all fell, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.77%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.72%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.61%. McCarthy, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, who blocked the passage of the debt ceiling bill, said that there were problems in the negotiations, but he was still confident that it would be completed before June 1. Task, in order to avoid the catastrophic event of debt default in the United States. But things have been fermenting for many days, and the market began to feel annoyed by the news, plus the minutes of the May meeting. It shows that some hawkish members are in favor of keeping raising interest rates, and the price of gold continues to be sluggish. The highest price of gold reached $1,986.4, and the lowest price reached $1,956.8, closing at $1,957.2. City, down $17.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-24

May 24 th Today's amplitude interval The U.S. debt ceiling problem has not been solved, and the market is beginning to be bothered by the news. In fact, the price of gold fell below the $2,000 mark last week, which really reflected the negotiations. Results; On the contrary, the purchasing managers' index of American manufacturing industry once again fell below the dry line, and the market's fear of the US economy falling into recession warmed up, and the price of gold was expected to swing. Take off the decline. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1970 to $1985. Hong Kong stocks still maintained a weak trend, with Hong Kong stocks opening higher and closing lower. Monday's rebound was fully reimbursed and fell sharply yesterday. The Hang Seng Index opened 35 points higher, but The possibility of US debt default continues to haunt investors. Hong Kong stocks fell by more than 300 points at most, and the closing decline narrowed. The Hang Seng Index closed at 19,431 points, down 246. The turnover of Hong Kong stocks was less than HK$ 100 billion for the fourth consecutive day, indicating a weak investment climate. The manufacturing purchasing managers' index of the euro zone and the United Kingdom unexpectedly regressed in May, with the latest figures of 44.6 and 46.9 respectively. The market expects new data in May. The sub-data will be improved compared with the same data in April, but as a result, the release of two sets of figures disappointed investors. The three major European stocks fell across the board, while Germany DAX index fell by 0.46%, CAC index in Paris fell by 1.33%, and FTSE 100 index in Britain fell by 0.11%. US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy continued negotiations on the US debt ceiling, but there was still no result. McCarthy said that despite the goal, No agreement has been reached so far, but the debt ceiling negotiators may still complete their tasks before June 1; Unfortunately, investors are beginning to hate this procrastination. The political show, coupled with the United States in May manufacturing purchasing managers index fell below the dry line again, tired of the three major indexes on Wall Street fell across the board, the Dow Jones index fell. 0.69%； The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 1.11%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.26%. The market is concerned about the US debt ceiling. McCarthy, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, who represents the blocking of the passage of the bill, said that the representatives of the two sides in the debt ceiling negotiations still It is possible to complete the task before June 1 to avoid the catastrophic event of debt default in the United States, but things have been fermenting for many days and the market has begun to get tired of the news. Disturbed, the gold price continued to be depressed in the early period, with the lowest price reaching $1,954.3. After that, the purchasing managers' index of manufacturing industry in the United States fell below the dry line again in May, and the gold price rebounded. It peaked at $1,977.8 and closed at $1,975.1, up $3.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-23

May 23 rd Today's amplitude interval The problem of the US debt ceiling continues to plague the market. Opposition leader McCarthy said that a debt agreement must be reached this week, extending the meeting to 24 hours, and said This arrangement is regarded as a failure. Even so, it is only a matter of time before the market expects the two parties to reach an agreement. The price of gold fluctuated within a narrow range and fell below 2000 last week. The dollar mark should have reflected the results of the negotiations. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1956 to $1985. Hong Kong stocks derailed from European and American markets last week, and rebounded on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index opening higher and closing higher. The Hang Seng Index opened 28 points higher, rising above 330 at most. At 9: 00, the possibility of U.S. debt default continued to haunt investors, and the closing price narrowed. The Hang Seng Index closed at 19,678 points, up 227 points or 1.17%. Hong Kong stocks are rising. The turnover continues to be less than HK$ 100 billion, which shows that investors' confidence is limited. It is expected that Hong Kong stocks will remain weak in the near future. The US debt crisis continues to be the focus of the market. At 8: 00, investors wait for US President Biden and Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives McCarthy to negotiate progress on the debt ceiling later in US time, Europe III. Large stocks saw a narrow range, and eventually developed individually. The DAX index in Germany and CAC index in Paris also fell by 0.18%, while the FTSE 100 index in Britain rose by 0.32%. US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy will start negotiations on the US debt ceiling at dusk, and the US House of Representatives will discuss McCarthy before the meeting. He said that the two parties must reach a debt agreement this week to avoid a catastrophic US default that may occur as early as June 1, and said that it will be with White on Monday morning. Palace negotiators' discussions on the debt ceiling are fruitful, and Biden is expected to compromise the government spending plan. Wall Street's three major indexes developed separately, Dow Jones index fell 0.42%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.03%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.5%. The market is concerned about the US debt ceiling. On behalf of the US House Speaker McCarthy who blocked the passage of the bill, he said that on Monday morning, he negotiated with the White House. The discussion on the debt ceiling is fruitful, and it is expected that Biden will reach a consensus on reducing government spending to avoid what may happen as early as June 1. American debt default disaster. The market is concerned about the debt ceiling of the United States, and the price of gold fluctuates within a narrow range, with the lowest price of gold at $1,968.9 and the highest at $1,982.7. It closed at $1971.7, down $6.2. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-22

May 22nd Today's amplitude interval The debt ceiling problem in the United States continues to develop in a positive direction. Opposition leader McCarthy said that the debt ceiling bill could be raised in the House of Representatives as early as next week. After voting, the safe-haven function of gold plummeted. Although the opposition is still twisting, it is only a matter of time before reaching an agreement. The fall of gold price last Monday should have reflected the results of the negotiations. On the other hand, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Powell, let the pigeons go, and the market cooled down the speculation that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates in June. The price of gold will oscillate upward and it can be bought on dips. today The daily suggested fluctuation range is from $1970 to $1990. With the announcement of the inclusion of four new shares in the Hang Seng Index, the number of constituent stocks in the Hang Seng Index will increase to 80, and Tencent's position will become more important, and its weight will be increased. Up to 8%. Tencent will announce its first quarter results last Wednesday. The market expects its median net profit to increase by 15.2% year-on-year, and Tencent's share price is strong. Only the US debt ceiling problem has a chance to be solved. The strength of the US dollar has softened the RMB, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed lower last week. In a week, the Hang Seng Index fell. 176 points, or 0.9%, closed at 19450 points. The market is concerned about the debt crisis in the United States. As the debt ceiling in the United States continues to develop well, European stock markets rise closely behind Asian stock markets, although on the market. On Friday, Speaker of the House of Representatives McCarthy pointed out that due to the lack of action by the Democratic Party, the suspension of debt ceiling negotiations was announced, which limited the rise of the three major European stock markets. In a week, Germany's DAX index rose by 2.27%, France's Paris CAC index rose by 1.04%, and Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.03%. US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy made progress in the negotiations on the US debt ceiling, even though House Speaker McCarthy still said that he would not let go. Abandoning the negotiation conditions we are striving for, but it is estimated that the entire Republican Party will not dare to take the world by storm, which will directly bankrupt American credit. The market violates the US debt. About the tension eased slightly, the three major indexes of Wall Street rose across the board, and the Dow Jones index rose by 1.62%. Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 3.54%, NASDAQ. The gram composite index rose by 1.43%. The market is concerned about the US debt ceiling. On behalf of the US House Speaker McCarthy who blocked the passage of the bill, he said last Monday that it laid a further foundation. The basis of dialogue. Schumer, another US Senate Majority Leader who participated in the negotiations, even said that McCarthy agreed to adopt measures based on bipartisan cooperation. The US dollar index broke through 103 points, and the price of gold fell for three consecutive days. The lowest price of gold fell to $1,952. On Friday, the negotiating table was undercurrent. House Speaker McCarthy refers to Due to the lack of action by the Democratic Party, the debt ceiling negotiations were suspended. The price of gold rebounded slightly, closing at $1,957.7, down $33.1 a week. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-19

May 19th Today's amplitude interval The debt ceiling problem in the United States continues to develop in a positive direction. Opposition leader McCarthy said that the debt ceiling bill can be raised in the House of Representatives as early as next week. Ticket, gold hedging function plummeted. Coupled with the tight labor data in the United States, investment worries that the Federal Reserve will extend the interest rate hike cycle, and the US dollar index broke through 103 points. The market closed below $1,960. The gold market is weak, and it is possible to try the low position again. Seeing $1,943 can actively fight for a rebound. Today's suggested volatility is $1943. To 1969 dollars. There was a turning point in the US debt ceiling negotiations, which helped US stocks rise by more than 1% every other night, while Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed higher. The Hang Seng Index rose more than 140 points, and then reversed. After rising, the market rose by 333 points at most, and the closing increase narrowed, rising by 166 points or 0.9% to close at 19,727 points. The market turnover shrank to HK$ 98.6 billion; Shengshicheng The volume of trading decreased, but the volume of falling market was relatively large, reflecting that investors are wary of the economic prospects of China and Hong Kong, and it is expected that Hong Kong stocks will remain under pressure in the short term. The market is concerned about the debt crisis in the United States. As the debt ceiling in the United States continues to develop well, European stock markets rise closely behind Asian stock markets, and finally Europe The three major stock markets fell across the board, with the German stock market performance rising by more than 3% due to Volkswagen and Commerzbank respectively, helping the German DAX index to rise by 1.31%. The CAC index in Paris rose by 0.64%, while the FTSE 100 index in Britain rose by 0.26%. US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy made progress in the negotiations on the US debt ceiling, although House Speaker McCarthy still said that he would not let go. Abandoning the negotiation conditions that we are striving for, but it is estimated that the entire Republican Party dare not risk the world's disapproval, which directly bankrupts American credit, but the so-called play is a complete set. Extras are all actors, and McCarthy has done enough. The market also believes that the opposition party represented by McCarthy is just a dead duck: "Hard mouth! "da It's only a matter of time before an agreement is reached. On the other hand, some US Democratic senators told US President Biden that they were ready to use the 14th Amendment to avoid it. Debt default, both hands are ready, and the process is more optimistic. The market's nervousness about the US debt default eased slightly, and the three major indexes of Wall Street were all The Dow Jones index rose by 0.34%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.94%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.51%. The debt ceiling problem in the United States continues to develop in a positive direction. Opposition leader McCarthy said that the debt ceiling bill can be raised in the House of Representatives as early as next week. Tickets, the gold market is hit again. On the other hand, the labor data is tight, and the number of initial jobless claims has fallen more than expected. The market is worried that the Fed will extend the increase. During the interest rate cycle, the US dollar index broke through 103 points, and the gold price fell for three consecutive days. The highest price of gold was $1,986.1, and the lowest price was $1,952, closing at $1,957.7. Down $24.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-18

May 18th Today's amplitude interval The US debt ceiling problem was successfully defused, and the safe-haven function of gold plummeted. US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy negotiated on the US debt ceiling. It is expected that an agreement will be reached by the end of this week, and a bill will be passed to raise the debt ceiling before the deadline of June 1 to avoid the United States falling into debt default. The gold market fell for two consecutive days. Yesterday, the gold market tested the support of $1,982 at the bottom line of the demand area, and the closing price calculation was lucky, otherwise it would have to be seen again. Flag support made from March 9 to April 6, the position is $1970. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1978 to $1993. The data of the "troika" in the Mainland stalled, and the industrial production value, retail sales and fixed investment were all lower than market expectations, indicating that after the announcement of the epidemic in the Mainland, The economic recovery still lacks momentum, but the tide of capital investment reappears. In April, the data of foreign direct investment decreased by 2.7%, and the RMB fell below the seven-point mark against the US dollar. Hang Seng It opened 22 points lower, with a maximum drop of 440 points, and finally fell by 417 points or 2.1% to close at 19,560 points, and the daily turnover of the market increased to 101.605 billion yuan. As the city is concerned about the US debt ceiling, it is still waiting for the latest changes in negotiations between US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy, and investors' attitudes continue to be examined. Cautious, coupled with the high inflation problem in Europe, the latest consumer price indicator of the euro zone has stabilized at 7%, and the expectation of the European Central Bank to continue raising interest rates has increased. The three major stock markets in Europe fell across the board, with Germany's DAX index rising by 0.33%, France's Paris CAC index falling by 0.09% and Britain's FTSE 100 index falling by 0.34%. United States of America President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy made progress in negotiations on the US debt ceiling; House Speaker McCarthy said that at the negotiating table, the two sides reached an agreement Good progress is expected to reach an agreement before the end of this week, and the market's nervousness about the US debt default has eased slightly. The three major Wall Street indexes have risen by more than 1%. Dow Jones index rose 1.24%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 1.19%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.28%. The US debt ceiling problem was successfully defused, and the safe-haven function of gold plummeted. US President Biden and opposition leader McCarthy are negotiating on the US debt ceiling. Progress is expected to reach an agreement before the end of this week, and a bill will be passed before the deadline of June 1 to raise the debt ceiling, so as to prevent the United States from falling into debt default and gold market. It fell for two consecutive days. The highest price of gold was $1,993.1, and the lowest price was $1,975.1. It closed at $1,988.9, down $6.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-17

May 17th Today's amplitude interval The chances of avoiding debt default in the United States have increased, coupled with strong economic data, the US dollar index has risen above 102.5, and the gold market has fallen off a cliff, falling below the $2,000 mark. Since the gold market has just fallen into the demand area, the support of $1982 cannot be lost. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1,986 to $2,000. The data of the "troika" in the mainland was weaker than expected, and the market was closely concerned about the debt ceiling of the United States, so investors were afraid to rush into the market and the Hang Seng Index closed at 20,000 points. The mouth can be recovered. Hong Kong stocks opened 212 points higher, but the economic data in the mainland deteriorated, and investors took advantage of the high harvest. The Hang Seng Index finally rose 71 points or 0.01% to 19,979. Click to close. The daily turnover in the market was 78.39 billion yuan, the lowest in the past two weeks. As the market is concerned about the debt ceiling of the United States, the United States will wait for the US market. The latest changes in the negotiations between the representatives of the United States and the opposition, the quiet trading atmosphere in the market, and the unexpected increase in the number of unemployed people in Britain, and the euro zone economy. The outlook data is negative. The three major European stock markets fell across the board, with Germany's DAX index falling by 0.09%, France's Paris CAC index falling by 0.16% and Britain's FTSE 100. The index fell by 0.34%. There seems to be a trend of mutual compromise in the negotiations between the representatives of the US President and the opposition. The number of bills passed through consultations has increased, but before the results, US Treasury Secretary Yellen Continue to make threatening remarks. The U.S. economic data is good, the market reflects that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next month will increase by more than 15%, and the three major indexes of Wall Street will fall across the board. Dow Jones index fell 1.01%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell by 0.63%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 0. 18%. The market is concerned about the US debt ceiling, on behalf of Mccarthy, speaker of the US House of Representatives who blocked the passage of the bill, said that in this negotiation, the foundation for further dialogue was laid. Schumer, another US Senate Majority Leader who participated in the negotiations, even said that McCarthy agreed to adopt measures based on bipartisan cooperation. Schumer didn't come with certainty. Answer a reporter's question about whether the debt ceiling will be passed soon. The chances of avoiding debt default in the United States have increased, and coupled with strong economic data, the US dollar index has risen. In 102.5, the gold market fell off a cliff and closed below the $2,000 mark. The highest price of gold was $2018.4, and the lowest price was $1,985.5, closing at $1,988.9. City, down $27.5. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-16

May 16th Today's amplitude interval The US debt default remains a threat to the market, and many Fed officials show hawkish stance, but it is not expected that the Fed will pass the next two interest rate meetings. After raising interest rates, the price of gold is still consolidating at $2,000. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $2005 to $2020. With the announcement of the inclusion of four new shares in the Hang Seng Index, the number of constituent stocks in the Hang Seng Index will increase to 80, and Tencent's position will become more important, and its weight will be increased. Up to 8%. Tencent will announce its first quarter results this Wednesday. The market expects its median net profit to increase by 15.2% year-on-year, and Tencent's share price is strong. Leading a group of technology stocks to rise, Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed higher. The Hang Seng Index opened lower by more than 100 points, and Tencent's share price rose by 4%. The Hang Seng Index finally rose by 343 points or 1.7. 5%, closing at 19,971 points. The European Union raised its economic forecast for the Euro Zone yesterday. It is estimated that the economic growth forecast for this year and next will be slightly raised by 1.1% and 1.6%, and the euro will rise by 0.8% against the US dollar. And in After the epidemic, European luxury goods stocks continued to lead the way, and the investment-friendly atmosphere was improved. The three major European stock markets turned positive in an all-round way, and the German DAX index rose by 0.49%. The CAC index in Paris rose by 0.45%, while the FTSE 100 index in Britain rose by 0.31%. The market is concerned about the U.S. debt ceiling. U.S. President Biden will start negotiations with House Representative McCarthy, but the result is still a mystery! American small and medium-sized Bank risk seems to be showing signs of improvement, US financial stocks are doing well, the Dow Jones index has finally broken its five-day losing streak, the three major Wall Street indexes are all up, and Dow Jones The index rose by 0.15%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.33%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0. 66%. The market is concerned about the US debt default crisis. Finance Minister Yellen has warned many times that if the debt ceiling cannot be raised, it may happen as early as June 1. The first debt default in recent years will cause incalculable and devastating blows to the economy and affect the global financial system. Gold prices continue to consolidate at $2,000, gold The highest price was $2022.1, and the lowest price was $2007.8, which closed at $2016.4, up $5.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-15

May 15th Today's amplitude interval American debt default is imminent, which poses a threat to the future of the United States. The collapse of local small and medium-sized banks in the United States has already offset the Fed's increase once or twice. Interest rate behavior, coupled with the rising bank deposit insurance premium, may become the last straw to crush camels, dragging down financial ecology and endangering economic development. United States of America Inflation data declined moderately, although Federal Reserve Voter Kashkali said that if inflation remains high, it is necessary to maintain it for a longer period of time. Interest rate; However, I believe that the Fed will not raise interest rates in the next two interest rate meetings, and the trend of gold prices is not too pessimistic, and it can stabilize at 2000 US dollars. Today's suggestion wave Range from $2005 to $2022. China was accused by Canada of trying to threaten public officials in China, and Chinese stocks became scapegoats. In addition, new loans from the mainland amounted to 718.8 billion yuan. Only more than half of the market expectation, and the consumption data is weaker than the market expectation. The two sets of data also point out that after the announcement of the epidemic in the Mainland, the economic recovery and Not as prosperous as expected, the mainland stock market fell for four consecutive days, and Hong Kong stocks followed suit. The Hang Seng Index finally fell below the 20,000-point mark. In a week, the Hang Seng Index The index closed at 19,627 points last Friday, down 422 points or 2.11%. In addition to European Central Bank President Lagarde's speech at the beginning of last week, he said that high inflation must be highly concerned, and European Central Bank Vice President Guindos also published it on Wednesday. The speech pointed out that Europe's core inflation is more stable, and it continues to worry about inflation in the service industry. It is planned that interest rates may be further raised, but it depends on the final decision. Yu data. The three major European stock markets developed before last week. In one week, Germany's DAX index fell by 1.11%, while France's Paris CAC index fell. 0.47%, the FTSE 100 index rose by 0.63%. The risk of small and medium-sized banks in the United States has once again triggered the Lotus Effect. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation of the United States said that due to the losses caused by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank earlier, Large banks will face billions of dollars in additional deposit insurance fees. In addition, the deterioration of economic data and the crisis of US debt default have troubled investors. The three major Wall Street indexes fell across the board last week, with the Dow Jones index down 0.31%. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell by 0.24%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 0. 31. %。 Geopolitics is even more tense. Canada is suspected of sending people to threaten public officials in China and deport them. China countered and demanded. Canadian diplomats in Shanghai left the country, and the conflict made the gold market rise; Coupled with the imminent US debt default, US General Biden and US House Speaker Mai There was no result in the meeting between Kasiki and Chang. The highest price of gold was $2,048.2 last week, but the Federal Reserve Voter Kashkali said that if inflation remained high, It is necessary to maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time. The US dollar index is strong and returns to the 102 mark. The price of gold fell to 2001 US dollars last Friday, and finally reached 20. The market closed at $11, which was $5.8 in a week. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-12

May 12th Today's amplitude interval Federal Reserve Voter Kashkali said that if inflation remains high, it is necessary to maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, and the US dollar index will be strong and return. At the 102 mark, the price of gold plummeted by $37. The manufacturing data is uneven, but the labor data is relaxed, and the trend of gold price is not too pessimistic. Today's suggested volatility is 200. 8 dollars to 2025 dollars. The People's Bank of China announced yesterday that the new loans in April were 718.8 billion yuan, only exceeding half of market expectations. On the other hand, China's consumption data was better than the market. The market was weak, and two sets of data also pointed out that after the announcement of the epidemic in the Mainland, the economic recovery was not as vigorous as expected. The mainland stock market fell for the third day in a row, and Hong Kong stocks followed suit. Follow suit; The Hang Seng Index opened higher and closed lower, while the Hang Seng Index fell 18 points or 0.09% to close at 19,743 points. In addition to the speech of European Central Bank President Lagarde, it is necessary to pay close attention to it. In addition to high inflation, Guindos, deputy governor of the European Central Bank, also delivered a speech yesterday, pointing out that core inflation in Europe is more stable and continues to worry about inflation in the service industry. It is planned that interest rates may be raised further, depending on the data. The three major European stock markets fell for two consecutive days, and the German DAX index fell by 0.39%. The CAC index in Paris, France fell by 0.28%, while the FTSE 100 index in Britain fell by 0.14%. The risk of small and medium-sized banks in the United States once again triggered the Lotus Effect. The share price of Western Pacific Union Bank, which was facing bankruptcy, plummeted 23% again yesterday, following the US federal deposit. An insurance company came out to mend the knife, saying that large banks would face billions of dollars in additional deposit insurance due to the losses caused by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank earlier. Cost, the market atmosphere has deteriorated; Wall Street's three major indexes fell across the board, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.66%; Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 0.19%, Nasdaq The composite index fell by 0. 18%. The Bank of England announced an interest rate increase of 0.25% as expected yesterday, and the interest rate of the US dollar was not exceeded. The gold market took advantage of the trend and the highest price of gold was $2,048.2, but after that, A realistic turning point; The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits rose last week, while the producer price index increased in April, but the increase was lower than expected. The key to reversing the gold market is that Federal Reserve Voter Kashkali said that if inflation remains high, it is necessary to maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time. The US dollar index was strong, and it returned to the 102 mark. The price of gold plummeted by $37, with a minimum of $2011.2, and finally closed at $14.7 in 2015. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-11

May 11th Today's amplitude interval Last night, the United States released the overall and core inflation data for April. The latest annual figures show that inflation has cooled moderately, but core inflation is still firm. Interest-dependent Rising, housing rental costs show signs of downward adjustment, and wages may stagnate, which will help further reduce inflation and help the Fed to suspend interest rate hikes. Fixed, better for bulls. Today's suggested volatility is between $2025 and $2045. The poor relationship between China and Canada has cast a shadow over the meeting between Chinese and American officials. The mainland stock market fell for two days in a row, and Hong Kong stocks were not spared, followed by the decline. Although inside  intended to relax the bank deposit reserve, but proposed to control the bank interest rate. Chinese financial stocks were sold off, and the four major state-owned banks fell by more than 2% on average. Commercial stocks were even more hurt, falling by 2% to 6%, which dragged down the overall investment atmosphere. The Hang Seng Index opened 7 points lower and at most fell 170 points to close at 19,762 points, 105 points or 0.53. %。 European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the European Central Bank must pay close attention to factors that may further push up inflation, such as salary growth, but some members said it could. Suspend interest rate hikes before the third quarter to confirm the inflation trend. Investors pay attention to the inflation data in the United States, and see that core inflation is firm, and the three major European stock markets fall across the board. Germany's DAX index fell 0.39%, France's Paris CAC index fell 0.49%, and Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.29%. It has been reported by the media that Microsoft will suspend salary increase this year after drastically reducing the number of employees, and will cut the budget for bonuses and stock awards in order to achieve more savings. Effect. Last month, Microsoft announced its revenue in the first quarter of this year, and its net profit increased by 9% to $18.3 billion. However, it was still so stingy that the market was greatly surprised. And Google's Intelligent chat robots have a price and are favored by the market. The stock price soared by 5%, helping the Nasdaq Composite Index outperform the market by 1.04%. Standards containing technology stocks The S&P 500 index also rose by 0.46%, while the Jones index fell by 0. 09%. Last night, the United States released the overall and core inflation data for April. The latest annual figures show that inflation has cooled moderately, but core inflation is still firm. Even so, However, it is expected that with the increase of interest rate, the rental cost of housing will show signs of downward adjustment, and the salary may stagnate, which will help further reduce inflation and help the United States. The decision of the Federal Reserve to suspend interest rate hikes. If the gold market rides a roller coaster after the release of the data, the highest price of gold has been $2,048.2, and the lowest price has been $2,021.6. Finally, It closed at $2029.7, down $4.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-10

May 10th. Today's amplitude interval The bad relations between China and Canada, and the imminent US debt default, contributed to the upward trend of the gold market, and the price of gold returned to the 2030 floor. There is American inflation tonight. The data is released and it is worth keeping. Today's suggested volatility is between $2020 and $2040. China and Canada have bad relations and expelled domestic diplomats from each other; This storm shows the mainland that China welcomes foreign investment to the whole world, especially to western countries. As a result, Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower. The Hang Seng Index opened 44 points lower. China was accused by Canada of trying to threaten public officials in China, and Chinese stocks became scapegoats. The Hang Seng Index finally fell below the 20,000 mark to close at 19,867 points, down 429 points or 2.1%. The problem of American debt default has become a hidden danger, which brings uncertainty to the financial market. Investors are deeply worried about whether the President of the United States can solve the problem in a short time. On the other hand, the market is also waiting to see the inflation data released by the United States tonight to judge the interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve. The three major European stock markets fell across the board, while Germany DAX index fell 0.02%, CAC index in Paris fell 0.59%, and FTSE 100 index in Britain fell 0.18%. US President Biden met with President McCarthy of the US House of Representatives to promote the consensus of the two associations, but there are huge differences between the democratic and Republican parties. Biden expects to establish communication. In order to reach a consensus. However, Biden was born and basically would not accept the Republican Party's preconceived issues, so he proposed this morning to consider using his power. After the 14th amendment on the debt. If Biden rushes to raise the debt ceiling, it will certainly solve the urgent need, but at the same time it will tear the Republican Party. The relationship between a gain and a loss! Wall Street's three major stock indexes fell across the board, with the Dow Jones index down 0.17%, the Standard & Poor's 500 index down 0.46%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index down 0.46%. The composite index fell by 0.63%. Geopolitics is even more tense. Canada is suspected of sending people to threaten public officials in China and deport them. China countered and demanded to add. The Chinese diplomat in Shanghai left the country, and the conflict made the gold market rise; Coupled with the imminent US debt default, US General Biden and US House Speaker McCarthy There was no result at the long meeting. The highest price of gold was $2,037.7, and the lowest was $2,018.6. Finally, it closed at $2,034.5, up $13.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-09

May 9 Today's amplitude interval Last Friday, the non-agricultural data released by the United States was released last Friday. The figures were unexpectedly good, and the price of gold was reduced below $2,000. The market was worried about employment The situation will push up wages, make prices continue to inflate, and may extend the Fed's interest rate hike cycle. After the gold price is greatly adjusted, it may benefit from the US economy. The expectation of falling into recession and the pulling effect of the Fed's extension of the interest rate hike cycle, the price of gold temporarily stood firm at $2,000. Today, maintain Monday's suggested volatility at $2008 to $2030. The non-agricultural data released by the United States last Friday was much higher than market expectations, helping US stocks to rise sharply by more than 1%; Hong Kong stocks followed the uptrend, and the Hang Seng Index opened higher and closed higher. HSI opened higher. At about 80 o'clock, the banking stocks that benefited from the interest rate hike environment continued to lead, while the mainland banks were more active, with an increase of over 3% to 6%, and the Hang Seng Index rose at the most. 272 points, the increase before closing narrowed, closing at 20297 points, up 247 points or 1.24%. Yesterday, the coronation ceremony of King Charles III of England was a big day, and the British stock market was on holiday. The rise in international oil prices has made inflation in Europe a threat again, and the market has also increased. The European Central Bank's policy of raising interest rates is not satisfactory. European Central Bank President Lagarde once said after raising interest rates last week that the European Central Bank would not suspend the pace of raising interest rates. German and French stock markets have different names. The DAX index in Germany fell by 0.05%, while the CAC index in Paris rose by 0.11%. The Federal Reserve released an opinion survey of senior loan officers. The survey results show that in the first quarter, commercial and industrial loan standards tightened and demand weakened, continuing the recent The trend before the banking pressure appeared. The reason is that besides the increase in interest rates in the United States, the cost of borrowing has increased, and the collapse of regional banks in the United States has also triggered people. Worried by economists and expecting the American economy to fall into recession, businessmen reduced their investment and lending. Wall Street's three major stock indexes developed separately, and the Dow Jones index fell 0.17. %, the S&P 500 index rose 0.13%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.18%. The U.S. non-agricultural data was released last Friday, and the figures were unexpectedly good. The tense labor data once compressed the price of gold below $2,000. The market is worried that the employment situation will push up wages, make prices continue to inflate, and may extend the Fed's interest rate hike cycle. After the sharp adjustment of gold prices, it is not clear. Correct direction. The lowest price of gold was $2014.3, and the highest price was $2029.4. It closed at $2021.4, up $4.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-08

May 8 th Today's amplitude interval American debt default is imminent, which poses a threat to the future of the United States. The collapse of local small and medium-sized banks in the United States has already offset the Fed's increase once or twice. Interest rate behavior, although the US labor data is tight, but the economy has returned to growth, the central bank has the ability to control inflation without destroying employment. Market pu I believe that the Federal Reserve will end this interest rate hike cycle and have the opportunity to start cutting interest rates at the end of this year. This will continue to support the gold price to stabilize at $2,000. Today, the volatility suggested yesterday is maintained at $2008 to $2030. The China Association of Listed Companies said last week that the net profit of domestic listed companies reached 5.63 trillion yuan last year, an increase of 0.8% year-on-year, which was relatively poor. Including the hard-hit housing stocks and related banking stocks, and contact consumer stocks trapped in the epidemic, revitalizing Hong Kong stocks, plus the United States Federal. The Reserve Board raised the fund rate by 25 points, and three local note-issuing banks took the lead in increasing the prime rate by 1/8, which means that other banks followed suit. With the rising borrowing costs in Hong Kong, Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed higher. The Hang Seng Index rose 154 points in a week, closing at 20049 points and regaining the 250-day bull-bear dividing line. European stock markets have been hovering at a high level for many days, and there is no major news to break through. Last week, the reappearance of banking crisis in small and medium-sized areas in the United States once again caused market worries. In addition, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank joined hands to raise interest rates, also raising interest rates by 0.25%. European Central Bank President Lagarde said at the press conference that the decision to raise interest rates was poor. Not all of them passed unanimously. At the same time, she said that the European Central Bank would not suspend interest rate hikes, and some European Central Bank policymakers also spoke that they would raise interest rates again. Two or three times, European stock markets took advantage of the situation to adjust. In a week, Germany's DAX index rose by 0.24%, France's Paris CAC index fell by 0.78%, and Britain's FTSE 100 index. The number fell by 1.15%. As expected, the United States announced a 25-point interest rate hike in the early hours of Thursday, although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was at the press conference of the Federal Open Market Committee. He said that the banking system in the United States is "healthy and resilient", but investors' worries about the banking crisis are still lingering. Although the employment data in the United States is ideal, Alleviate the market's worries about the economic recession, and the three major stock indexes on Wall Street developed separately. The Dow Jones index fell by 1.28% and the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell by 0.88%. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 2.24%. The United States announced a 25-point interest rate hike in the early hours of last Thursday. The market expected that the Federal Reserve had completed this interest rate hike cycle. After the announcement of the interest rate hike, the gold market detonated its upward trend, and the price of gold. It once rose to $2,067, only $8 from the historical high! On Friday, the US non-agricultural data was unexpectedly good, and the price of gold was suppressed, causing large fluctuations and once fell. 2,000 US dollars, closing at 2016.8 US dollars on Friday. The lowest price of gold last week was 1,977.1 US dollars, up 27.3 US dollars in a week. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-05

May 5 th Today's amplitude interval As expected by the market, the United States announced a 25-point interest rate hike in the early hours of Thursday. The market expected that the Federal Reserve had completed the interest rate hike cycle and the price of gold continued to rise after the market opened. Potential, once rose to $2067, only $8 from the historical high! It is expected that the gold price will consolidate at a high level. Maintain yesterday's suggested volatility at $2035 to $2035 today. 2060 dollars. With the upward adjustment of the fund bank rate by 25 points in federal reserve system, three local note-issuing banks took the lead in increasing the best lending rate by 1/8, while other banks Following suit means that Hong Kong's borrowing costs have risen and Hong Kong stocks have opened lower and closed higher. After the Hang Seng Index opened 2 points lower, it was supported by Beishui, and the funds went to the four countries that benefited from interest rate hikes. In some banks, the average green share price was swept up by 4% to 5%, among which Agricultural Bank of China and Bank of China both hit 52-week highs. In the end, the Hang Seng Index rose 249 points or 1.27% to close. At 19948, the 250-day bull-bear boundary was re-established. The European Central Bank (ECB) slowed down its interest rate hike and made great efforts to make the Federal Reserve in line. Yesterday, ECB President Lagarde announced an immediate interest rate hike of 0.25%. She said that the decision to raise interest rates was unanimously passed by almost all the participants. At the same time, she said that the European Central Bank would not suspend interest rate hikes, and some ECB policy makers also Speaking, he said that he would raise interest rates two or three times. The European Central Bank's future interest rate hike policy and the crisis of bank failures in the United States have revived, and the three major European stock markets are all The line fell, Germany's DAX index fell 0.54%, France's Paris CAC index fell 0.85%, and Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 1.09%. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said at the press conference of the Federal Open Market Committee early this morning that the American banking system is "healthy and resilient", However, the worries of technical investors about the crisis of city banks are still lingering. Banks in small and medium-sized areas in the United States have been sold, and the most painful thing is that no one cares about the rumored intention to negotiate sales. Western Pacific Bank, the share price is half off again, and the market value is only $3.7. The three major Wall Street stocks fell across the board, with the Dow Jones index down 0.87% and the Standard & Poor's 500. The index fell by 0.74%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 0.49%. The United States announced a 25-point interest rate hike in the early hours of Thursday. The market expected that the Federal Reserve had completed this interest rate hike cycle, and the price of gold continued to rise after the market opened, once rising to 2067. Dollars, only $8 from the historical high! After that, the profit-taking disk pushed down the gold to $2030.4, but the banking crisis in the United States revived, which clearly stimulated risk aversion. The price of gold closed at $2,050.3 and rose by $10.7. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2023-05-04

May 3 rd Today's amplitude interval As expected, the Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% interest rate hike this morning, but investors have focused their attention on the statement of the Federal Open Market Committee. It can be seen in its content, but the wording suggesting further interest rate hikes has been deleted, and the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Powell, said that at today's meeting, there is one Some policy makers talked about suspending interest rate hikes, but it was not implemented at this meeting, suggesting that the federal funds rate may have peaked. The outlook for the dollar is bearish, gold The market is bound to challenge this year's high. Those who added a bet of $2,028 yesterday can harvest at more than $2,050. Those who saw more earlier will continue to fly kites and seek. Higher returns, stop earning, whatever you want. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $2035 to $2060. * * At the end of the article, the price of gold once rose to $2,067, only $8 from the historical high! ** Raymond Yue, president of the HKMA, explained the outflow of funds from the Hong Kong dollar system, saying that major central banks around the world have taken quantitative easing measures in response to the global financial turmoil and epidemic. The net inflow of funds into the Hong Kong dollar system has reached 1 trillion yuan. Therefore, with the increase in interest rates in the United States and the tightening of global liquidity, it is normal for the net outflow of funds from the Hong Kong dollar system. port The weak exchange rate triggered the weak exchange guarantee again. The HKMA bought more than HK$ 4.67 billion, and the banking system will drop to RMB 44.527 billion, the lowest level since 2008. Ping. There is also a tide in Hong Kong stocks. The market is concerned about the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting this morning and its statement after the meeting. Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower. The Hang Seng Index opened 247 points lower and fell nearly 400 points at most. The decline in the market closed slightly; The Hang Seng Index fell 234 points or 1.18% to close at 19,699 points. The market expects that after the Federal Reserve announced a 25-point interest rate hike this morning, it will end this interest rate hike cycle, and the continuous decline in international oil prices will also help improve enterprises. Industry profit, good risk market. The three major European stock markets rose across the board, with Germany's DAX index rising by 0.59%, France's Paris CAC index rising by 0.28%, and Britain's rich. The hourly 100 index rose by 0.19%. The impact of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in the United States continued to ferment. Although JPMorgan Chase bought the First Total Bank, this transaction did not consolidate depositors. It is completely understandable that depositors have confidence in regional banks and accelerate the transfer of funds from small and medium-sized banks to large banks. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is today, At the press conference of the Federal Open Market Committee in the early morning, he said that the American banking system is "healthy and resilient", but the Western Pacific Bank is on the verge of bankruptcy. It was also reported that the intention to negotiate sales was ignored, and the stock price continued to fall by 60%. The market was worried about the banking crisis, and the three major stocks on Wall Street fell across the board. The Dow Jones index It fell 0.8%, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.7%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.46%. The United States announced yesterday that the employment of private enterprises increased by 296,000 jobs in April, which was times higher than market expectations. Although the salary trend did not increase significantly, The recruitment boom has indeed kept the labor market tense, and the pressure of wage growth has not disappeared. As expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 points this morning. In the statement of the Federal Open Market Committee, we can see that the decision makers of the Federal Reserve are changing, although they believe that inflation is still high and that it is inappropriate to cut interest rates. Appropriate, but the wording suggesting further interest rate hikes has been deleted, which proves that the recent banking crisis has indeed limited the decision of officials to raise interest rates. Market expectation Fed The bureau will end this interest rate hike cycle, and the US dollar will fall to the edge below 101 points. The gold price will hit the high of this year, and the lowest price of gold will be $2,008, and the highest price will rise to. 2040.5 dollars, closing at 2039.6 dollars, rising by 23 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak