Gold market analysis

2022-05-26

May 26th Today's volatility range: The price of gold was subject to $1,870, and fell back after two consecutive days of unsuccessful attempts. Yesterday, the US dollar strengthened, foreign capital continued to sell RMB, and the offshore RMB price went low; And the European Central Bank's failure to keep pace with the US interest rate hike, The US dollar index has returned to the 102 level, and the hawks still agreed to raise interest rates by 0.5% in the next few meetings in order to combat inflation by Fed officials. Although the price of gold fell, it remained above $1,850, As long as it doesn't fall through the two barriers of $1850 and $1833, the price of gold will still challenge $1870. The suggested volatility today is $1,842 to $1,861. In order to protect the economy of the mainland, following the announcement last Friday that the interest rate of loans with a maturity of more than 5 years will be lowered, the Ministry of Finance of China issued a document yesterday, requesting the financing guarantee institutions of local governments to relax credit and speed up approval, which is in line with the requirements. Eligible industries should lend as soon as possible, so that new water can enter the market, and ultimately help SMEs tide over the difficulties and stabilize their jobs. Hong Kong's stock market rebounded with the mainland stock market, with the highest rise of nearly 260 points, but foreign investment followed The continued selling of RMB and the low price of offshore RMB narrowed the increase of Hong Kong stocks. The Hang Seng Index closed at 20,171 points, up 59 points or 0.29%. Earlier, European Central Bank President Lagarde said that he would be in the first place in advance this year. The third quarter began to raise interest rates. As a result of the Russian-Bird War, inflation in Europe has reached a high level in the past 40 years. The market is worried that the European Central Bank will follow the pace of interest rate hike in the United States, which will further weaken the economy and put the European Central Bank in a dilemma. this Later, Lagarde added that as long as inflation expectations are under control, the central bank will gradually adjust interest rates, implying that it will not raise interest rates by 0.5% at one time. Lagarde's suggestion eased the tension in the market, and it was announced yesterday. Germany's GDP increased by 4% year-on-year in line with expectations. The three major European stock indexes rebounded across the board, with Germany's DAX index rising by 0.84%. Paris CAC index rose by 0.87%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.67%. beautiful The minutes of last month's meeting of the Federal Reserve were made public, and Fed officials agreed that Russia's invasion of Ukraine posed higher risks, especially the challenge of keeping a strong job market while suppressing inflation. Viewed from the bitmap Many participants thought that it would be more beneficial for the Federal Reserve to cancel the easing policy more quickly, because there would be enough room to study the adjustment where needed later this year; Most Fed officials support raising interest rates by 50 points in the next few meetings; All Fed officials support the start of the scale reduction program. And the Federal Reserve has also updated its forecast for the inflation rate in 2022, the most It is predicted that the personal consumption expenditure will reach 4.3% in the new year, but the forecast for 2023 and 2024 will be lowered to 2.5% and 2.1% respectively. Yesterday, the United States made public the minutes of last month's meeting of the Federal Reserve on interest rates, predicting that the growth of personal consumption will be in the next year. Entering the target range of the Federal Reserve in 2008 may mean that its interest rate increase policy and scale reduction will be effective, and the interest rate increase cycle that started this year may end next year; In addition, most Fed officials support the next The interest rate was raised by 0.5% at several meetings, which fulfilled the market expectation. The three major stock indexes in new york rose across the board in the early period, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.6%. . The S&P 500 index rose 0.95%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 1.51%. The price of gold was subject to $1,870, and fell back after two consecutive days of unsuccessful attempts. Yesterday, the US dollar strengthened, foreign capital continued to sell RMB, and the offshore RMB price went low; And the European Central Bank failed to keep up with the pace of interest rate hike in the United States. With the number of 102, and the Fed officials fighting inflation, most officials expressed their support for raising interest rates by 0.5% in the next few meetings. Under the expectation of raising interest rates, the pressure on the price of gold increased, and the highest price of gold was $1,868.1. See the lowest at $1841.6, closing at $1853.2, down by $13.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-25

On May 25 Today's range: Gold prices still maintain upward momentum, up 5 days in a row. Expectations that US inflation is still a serious problem, coupled with a possible recession in economic performance, and the euro early rate hike, the DOLLAR continued to weaken, the DOLLAR index Gold benefited from the 102 level, and while it failed to break above $1,870 yesterday, it remained strong, with a chance of hitting $1,890 again in the short term. Today's recommended range is $1858 To $1,878. Foreign investors continued to sell renminbi assets, recording a net outflow of $2.3bn worth of renminbi last week, the largest weekly net outflow on record. Some economists refer to foreign investment The increased political risk in China, coupled with the fact that the mainland's approach to COVID-19 is out of sync with the rest of the world, has increased the determination of foreign investment to accelerate the flight out of China, and this trend is expected to continue. Mainland stocks fell, while Hong Kong The Hang Seng index, which briefly fell below the 20,000 level, pared losses to close down 357 points, or 1.75 per cent, at 20,12. Mixed European economic data yesterday, UK Hing Tak Risk markets were weighed down after European Central Bank Christine Lagarde said it would raise interest rates earlier than expected in the third quarter. All three major European stock indexes fell, with Germany's DAX down 1.74%. France's CAC index in Paris fell 1.66%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.35 percent. U.S. tech stocks tumbled 40 percent yesterday after Social media company Snap missed earnings after the market closed, sending other larger tech stocks tumbling as well Declines ranged from 2 to 8 per cent. U.S. economic data also came in worse than expected yesterday, with manufacturing, services and new home sales also falling short of expectations Gold bottom traditional enterprises, the Dow Jones Index rebounded low, eventually up 0.16%; The STANDARD & Poor's 500 index fell 0.81%; The Nasdaq composite index fell 2.35%. Gold prices still maintain the upward momentum, rising 5. Gold was the biggest beneficiary of the dollar's continued weakness, with the DOLLAR index falling below 102 on expectations of continued INFLATION in the United States, a possible recession in economic performance and early euro rate hikes It traded as high as $1,869.8 and as low as $1,849.4 before closing at $1,866.5, up $12.8. For detailed analysis and suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and contact the administrator https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-24

May 24th Today's volatility range: U.S. President Joe Biden said that he would consider lowering the tariff on China's population, which not only slowed down the geopolitical conflict between China and the United States, but also helped to ease the price increase in the market. Go to some Federal Reserve to take greater pressure to raise interest rates. The gold price of enterprises closed above $1,850, although the bulls were still dominant. It is expected that it needs to be consolidated in this position before it can break through $1,870 again. The suggested volatility today is $1,842 to $1,863. The COVID-19 case in Shanghai and Beijing still can't be suppressed, and the market is uneasy about China's dynamic clearing, fearing that the authorities will make the economy go away forever under a large number of long-term blockades, and the domestic market will be close. In 2000, the government continued to intervene in the economy, and the political risks continued to increase. For example, under the order not to speculate on housing, many private real estate companies in China were on the verge of bankruptcy, even though the central bank recently lowered the term for more than five years. The quoted lending rate and the relaxation of restrictions on house foreclosure in the Mainland, but the public are worried about becoming leeks. For a while, it is difficult to return the vitality of buying houses to the level of the previous year, because the political risks are too great. Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed lower, even though the mainland borrowed them. With the good news that the loan cost has dropped and the United States is considering lowering the population tariff on China, the Hang Seng Index finally fell by 247 points or 1.2%, closing at 20,470 points, indicating that the market bottom of Hong Kong stocks is too weak, so it is possible to try 20,000 again. Point support. Yesterday, after meeting with Japanese Prime Minister kishida fumio, U.S. President Biden said at a press conference that he would consider lowering the tariff measures to China implemented by the previous President Trump. The market looks forward to improving trade relations between China and the United States, In addition, the enterprise confidence index released by Germany yesterday unexpectedly rose, re-stimulating risk appetite, and the DAX index of Germany rose by 1.41%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.17%; The FTSE 100 index rose. 1.71%。 U.S. President Joe Biden said that he would consider lowering tariffs on China's population, which has become good news in the risk market. Investors expect that the tension between China and the United States has slowed down, and bank stocks are expected to raise interest rates. Under the circumstances, the interest spread is expected to widen and improve profitability. A group of bank stocks have become the locomotive of the rising market, leading the overall increase of US stocks by more than 1%, and the Dow Jones index rose by 1.98%; . The S&P 500 index rose by 1.86%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 1.59%. The price of gold kept rising, rising for four days in a row. Sino-U.S. trade relations are expected to improve, as U.S. President Biden announced during his visit to Japan that he would consider lowering import tariffs on China. The news stimulated European and American stocks to rise, while the dollar weakened. The U.S. dollar index fell nearly 102 points, while gold rose by the momentum, with the highest price at $1,865.5 and the lowest price at $1,843.5, closing at $1,853.7, up by $7.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-23

May 23rd Today's volatility range: The war in Ukraine continued, which led to the high prices of natural fuel and food, and at the same time, inflation increased, which increased the global economic burden. Central banks all over the world unanimously launched the policy of raising interest rates to control inflation. The level of interest rate reflects the cost of holding gold, but the rise of interest rate is also like a double-edged sword. At the same time, it hits the risk market and leads to the demand for hedging. The price of gold has digested the rising interest rate in the past two months. Last week, the gold market reversed its decline for four consecutive weeks, and this week's outlook is improving. The suggested volatility today is $1,838 to $1,855. Affected by the epidemic, China's economic data was inferior last month, and Hong Kong stocks fell first and then rose last week. Last week, it was shown that China was reducing its holdings of US Treasury bonds, and its total holdings fell to 1.039 in the first quarter. Trillion dollars, the lowest in 11 years. The dollar has fallen, the renminbi has strengthened relatively, and the Mainland Development and Reform Commission has threatened that the epidemic situation in China will gradually pass. Investors expect that the economic operation will return to normal, and the market The improved atmosphere, coupled with the mainland central bank's reduction of the 5-year official quotation rate to 4.45% on Friday, stimulated the Hang Seng Index to rise by 818 points or 4.11% and close at 20,717 points. Russia invaded Ukraine by force. Since then, the war has amplified the inflation in Europe, because these two countries were originally the two largest suppliers of natural fuel and food. Yesterday, British data showed that due to food and energy prices Soaring, and the inflation rate rose to 9%, the highest in 40 years, in April. Investors are worried about the negative impact of inflation on corporate profits. All three major European stock markets fell, and the German DAX index fell by 0.33%. Paris CAC index fell by 1.22%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.38. %。 Last week, the economic data of the United States did not perform well. The manufacturing index of the new york Federal Reserve recorded a negative growth of 11.6%, which was much lower than the expected growth of 17% in the market. The labor data was also poor. The number of new applicants in the United States last week was the same. It reached a new high this year, reaching 218,000, higher than the market expectation. In addition, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index was released yesterday, with a figure of only 2.6 points, far below the market expectation of 16 points. Plus high inflation Enterprises and markets are worried that under the effect of interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve, U.S. stocks have stepped into a bear market, and the Dow Jones index, which represents the traditional economy, has fallen for eight weeks in a row, setting a record for the longest market decline since 1923. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Nasdaq. The composite index fell for seven consecutive weeks, falling by 3.05% and 3.82% respectively. U.S. labor and manufacturing data are dragging at the same time, the economic recession is lingering, and investors are worried that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to fight off high inflation, which will further plunge the U.S. economy into recession. Last week's dollar exchange Both the price and the yield of one-year government bonds fell, and with the decline of European and American stocks, gold became a haven for safe-haven funds. The lowest price of gold last week was $1,786, and the highest price was $1,849.5, closing at $1,846.6. In a week, the price of gold rose by $35.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-20

May 20th Today's volatility range: Since Russia invaded Ukraine by force, the war has amplified inflation. Investors are worried that the Fed's interest rate hike to fight against high inflation will further plunge the US economy into recession, plus the US And the data of labor and manufacturing industry are dragging at the same time, and the gloom of economic recession is lingering, which increases the attractiveness of gold. The gold price is trying to reverse the decline in the past four weeks, and it will be confirmed to stabilize at $1,850. Today's suggestion Volatility of $1,830 to $1,853. The Census and Statistics Department announced yesterday that the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for the last three months reached a new high of 5.4% this year, and the underemployment rate also rose to 3.8%. Both labor figures were higher than market expectations. The Secretary for Labour and Welfare, Law Chi-kwong, said that with the decline of the epidemic situation in The 5th Wave, a new round of coupon scheme and various government relief measures, he expected the labor market to improve in the next few months. Although Secretary Luo is optimistic about the outlook, some experts have made the opposite estimation. As the number of COVID-19 infection groups in Hong Kong has gradually increased in recent days, the gradual relaxation of social distance measures may lead to the sixth wave of epidemic. Hong Kong's economy will only stagnate if the government does not change the current government's epidemic prevention policy. However, Hong Kong has just completed the next Chief Executive election, and it is estimated that the labor data of Hong Kong will still be difficult to improve before the end of the third quarter. the Hong Kong stock Yesterday's performance also dragged on, with more than 700 points inserted at most. The Hang Seng Index closed at 20,120, down 523 points or 2.5%, but the 20,000-point mark was finally saved. Since Russia invaded Ukraine by force, the war has amplified the inflation in Europe, because these two countries were originally the two largest countries supplying natural fuel and food. Yesterday, British data showed that As food and energy prices soared, the inflation rate in April rose to 9%, the highest in 40 years. Investors are worried about the negative impact of inflation on corporate profits. The three major European stock markets all fell, and the German DAX index fell by 0.91. %； Paris CAC index fell by 1.26%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.82%. As poor as the performance of local labor data, last night, the weekly sample of new applicants announced by the United States reached a new high this year, reaching 21.8. 10,000 people, higher than the market estimate of 200,000 people. In addition, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index was released yesterday, with a figure of only 2.6 points, far below the market expectation of 16 points. The stock market responded to the poor figures, and the Dow Jones index, which represents the traditional economy, opened lower. After 27 o'clock, it repeatedly fell to 473 points, and the closing decline narrowed to 36 points or 0.75%; . The S&P 500 index fell 0.58%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.26%. American labor and manufacturing data are dragging at the same time. The lingering gloom of economic recession, coupled with investors' worries that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to fight off high inflation, will further plunge the US economy into recession. Yesterday, the exchange rate of the US dollar and the yield of one-year treasury bonds fell, together with European and American stocks. Falling, gold has become a haven for safe-haven funds. The lowest price of gold is $1,810.9, and the highest price is $1,849.2, closing at $1,842.2, up by $25.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-19

Today's amplitude range Rising global inflation dragged down the violent selling of technology stocks, coupled with unsatisfactory corporate financial reports and a sharp drop in oil prices. The market preference at the beginning of the week subsided again yesterday. Gold follows the dollar alone. Rise in order. Whether gold will become a safe haven for this wave of stock market decline depends on whether it can stabilize and walk above 1800. The short-term support level is 1808/1778 and the resistance level is 1835/1860. Operation construction Discuss, give priority to with the goods, near the market position of 1812, below 1808 to surrender. Powell said that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates until there is "clear and convincing" evidence that inflation is receding. This tough remark led the market to be wary of the pace and magnitude of interest rate hike. This is a strong reminder to the market that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, probably very quickly, to restore their credibility in inflation. Powell promised that the Federal Reserve would rise when necessary. Interest rates, including raising interest rates above neutral to curb soaring inflation. He said that soaring inflation will threaten the economic foundation, and neutral interest rate is the level at which economic activities are neither simulated nor restricted. hawks However, this morning's market sentiment looks more fragile than yesterday's, and the Fed's tough stance is the main cause of panic in the market. British CPI reached a record high, rising sharply to 9% in April compared with the same period of last year. The Minister of Finance, Sonnak, said that he would provide strong support and take further actions to fight inflation at any time. The deterioration of inflation may lead to Accelerate the pace of interest rate increase in the UK. At present, the benchmark interest rate has been raised four times in a row, from the historical low of 0.1% to 1%. The market is expected to add another 0.25 to 1.25% next month. After the benchmark interest rate was raised to a 13-year high At the same time, the Bank of England issued a pessimistic forecast for the future, warning that Britain might face double-digit inflation, long-term economic stagnation and even economic recession. The Russian crisis has intensified the price of energy and food. In April, the consumer price index (CPI) of the UK rose by 9% year on year, a record high. The Bank of England warned that due to the upper limit of energy prices in the UK, it will increase by about 40% later, and the price increase rate will further accelerate. It is expected that the inflation rate will exceed 10% in October. Actual disposable income of the family It may drop by 1.75% this year, the second largest decline since 1964. Although the Bank of England maintains its forecast of economic growth of 3.75% this year, it is expected that economic output will decline by nearly 1% in the last quarter of this year, and GDP is expected next year. Shrink by 0.25%. The central bank expects that economic growth will continue to stagnate in 2024, with a growth rate of only 0.25%. This will bring difficulties to British people, especially low-income people, which is reflected in curbing inflation and avoiding recession. Between the difficulty. The Dow Jones index has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, and the stock market has stabilized in the past three trading days, but Powell's eagle sound "pulled across" the whole market yesterday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 1164. Points, down 3.57%. Standard & Poor's 500 index futures fell 4.04%, while Nasdaq 100 index futures fell 4.73%. Yesterday, the lowest price of gold was 1807.2, the highest price was 1824.5 USD, and the last price was 1816.3 USD. Close, up $1.4 or 0.08%. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-18

May 18th Today's volatility range: Russia softened Finland's attitude of joining NATO, saying that as long as NATO does not plant weapons in Finland, Russia will not do anything. Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe have slowed down slightly. Federal Reserve Powell The speech reinforced the market's expectation of raising interest rates. The gold market may fall below $1,800 again, aiming at this week's low of $1,787. The suggested volatility today is $1,787 to $1,820. The U.S. Treasury Department announced that China has reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds for the fourth consecutive month. According to the report, in March this year alone, it continued to reduce its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds by $15.2 billion, and its total holdings dropped to $1.039 trillion, which is the first time in 11 years. Come to a new low. The dollar fell again, which made the RMB strengthen relatively. In addition, the Mainland Development and Reform Commission threatened that the epidemic situation in China was gradually over, and the economic operation quickly returned to normal. Hong Kong stocks rose for three consecutive days. Hang Seng Index opened 240 points higher, After that, it rose more and more, and finally closed at 20,602 close to the high level, rising by 652 points or 3.3%. Yesterday, European economic data showed pornography, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the UK dropped by 57,000, showing the unemployment rate in the UK. Falling to a 48-year low, and the total domestic production in the euro zone in the first quarter increased by 0.3% month-on-month than expected, the three major European stock markets rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 1.62%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.31%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.76%. Liu He, Vice Premier of the State Council, said yesterday that it is necessary to support the development of platform economy in China, support the sustained and healthy growth of private enterprises, encourage platform enterprises to participate in major national scientific and technological innovation projects, and indicate that the government should be handled well. And market relations, Liu He's speech gave the long-lost technology stocks a chance to loosen up, the China Stock Exchange rose, and led the overall increase of US stocks by 1 to 2%, with the Dow Jones index rising by 1.34%; . The S&P 500 index rose 2.06%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.76%. The gold market was first high and then low yesterday. European and American stock markets are doing well, investors' risk appetite is increasing, the gold price has softened from the highest point of 1836.2 USD yesterday, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is strong. He expressed his determination to reduce inflation. He said that before prices began to fall back to a healthy level, the Federal Reserve would not hesitate to continue to raise interest rates. Under the expectation of interest rate hike, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose nearly 3%, and the price of gold The attraction was greatly reduced, reaching a low of $1,812.9 and closing at $1,815, down $9.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-17

May 17th Today's volatility range: Finland and Sweden respectively announced that they would apply to join NATO, while Russia warned that it would retaliate. Affected by the geopolitical development in Eastern Europe, market risk aversion has warmed up again, plus Last month, the manufacturing data of China and the United States also showed negative numbers, which cast a shadow over the economic outlook and eased the expectation of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The gold market was able to rebound when it fell below $1,800 twice, and it seems to be looking for it in this position. Yes, but it's still subject to $1854. It's necessary to break to reverse the recent decline. The suggested volatility today is $1810 to $1838. Affected by the epidemic, China's economic data was inferior last month, with a negative growth of industrial production of nearly 3%, far lower than the market's expectation of a positive 0.4%, and the unemployment rate in the mainland has increased; Hong Kong stocks perform repeatedly throughout the day, pointing to health. The index took on Friday's uptrend and opened more than 230 points higher. However, the mainland's economic data did not perform well. Hong Kong stocks turned down, and once fell by 130 points. At the close, it rose by 51 points or 0.26% to close at 19,950 points, 20,000. Gain and lose. The market is paying close attention to the geopolitical development of this Eastern European region, and Finland and Sweden have respectively announced that they will apply to join NATO. Finland is close to the north of Russia, and has a total of 1,300 kilometers. The border country is only 170 kilometers away from St. Petersburg, the second largest city in Russia. Finland's application to join NATO this time is like a replica of Ukraine for Russia. Potential threat, Russia warned that if Finland joined NATO, Russia would take "retaliatory measures". Affected by geopolitics, the three major European stock markets were mixed, and the German DAX index fell by 0.45%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.23%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.65%. China's economic data last month due to epidemic The situation is expanding and its performance is eclipsed. Investors are worried that the world's second largest economy will fall into recession, which will drag down the global economic outlook. The stock markets in Europe and Asia generally fell, and the opening of US stocks also took advantage of the situation. In addition, the United States was released last night. The manufacturing data also unexpectedly fell sharply. The manufacturing index of the new york Federal Reserve recorded a negative 11.6% growth, which was much lower than the market's expected growth of 17%. Finally, the three major Wall Street stock indexes developed separately, the Dow Jones index 0.08% slightly; . The S&P 500 index fell 0.34%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.2%. The gold market fell first and then rose yesterday. Following the decline on Friday, the price of gold once again fell below $1,800, reaching a low of $1,786.8. However, Finland and Sweden respectively announced that they would apply to join NATO, while Russia warned. Sue, will take revenge, market risk aversion rose again, the price of gold in the European market time to recover lost ground, China and the United States last month manufacturing data also appeared negative, cast a shadow over the economic prospects, the United States 10 years The yield of government bonds once fell below 2.9%, the US dollar index retreated from a high level to around 104 points, and the gold price rose to the highest level of US$ 1,827, which narrowed at the close, closing at US$ 1,824.6, up by US$ 13.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-16

May 16th Today's volatility range: The market is betting that the Fed will increase interest rates, and the market is flocking to the US dollar, which is not conducive to the recent performance of the gold market. The war in Eastern Europe is still going on, but some media reported that Russian troops suffered heavy losses in Lugansk, eastern Ukraine. There is a chance to reverse Putin's persistence in winning, and the risk aversion of gold may disappear, which is also beneficial to short play. The gold market fell for four weeks in a row, and once briefly pierced the $1,800 mark, because the position below was too Far, if the above-mentioned pass falls, it will fall by 40 dollars more, and there will be no support until about 1760 dollars. The suggested volatility today is $1,796 to $1,820. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang warned last week that the employment situation in China has become severe due to the restriction of the COVID-19 epidemic. The global market sentiment was further frustrated, and then mainland officials expressed infection. The number of people has declined, and it is expected that the economic activities suppressed by the epidemic earlier will rebound in retaliation, which will become an engine to stimulate the mainland economy. But in reality, the distant water can't put out the fire, and the trend of RMB continues to be weak. The offshore RMB exchange rate reflecting foreign investment in the Mainland fell below 6.78, a record low of more than one and a half years, and the exchange rate of Hong Kong dollar hit the weak guarantee level of 7.85. The HKMA re-entered the market every three years to defend the exchange rate of Hong Kong dollar. The Hang Seng Index closed at nearly 19,000 points on Friday, down 103 points or 0.52% for a week. Both Russia and Ukraine have indicated that the war in Eastern Europe will not cease fire, and the war will continue indefinitely until one side declares its surrender. European stock markets fell first and then rose last week. The European economic figures released last week. Unexpectedly better than market expectations, coupled with the speech of European Central Bank President Lagarde, it is said that the European Central Bank will still maintain the existing zero interest rate policy until the fourth quarter of this year. Investors take advantage of the low stock prices of European companies to make speculative purchases. In Europe, the three major stock markets began to rebound across the board on Tuesday. In a week, the German DAX index rose by 2.96%. Paris CAC index rose by 2.51%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.41%. British domestic production According to economists' comments, the reason for this economic recession in Britain is the same as that in most European countries, mainly because commodity prices, especially international crude oil and natural gas, have risen rapidly, leading to a successful life. Ben is increasing, crisis. In addition, yesterday, European companies announced that their performance was not satisfactory. The three major European stock markets fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 0.69%. Paris CAC index fell by 1.03%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.61%. The United States announced Last month, the consumer price index was higher than the market expectation, and investors were suspicious of the "moderate" interest rate increase policy expressed by the Federal Reserve last week. Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, made pessimistic remarks about the economic outlook, saying that the Federal Reserve He is trying to control inflation. I believe the bureau can still achieve its goal, but at the same time, he expressed a pessimistic view, saying that there is no guarantee that the US economy can make a soft landing. U.S. stocks opened higher and closed lower this week, summing up one week, the top three on Wall Street The stock index fell more than 2%, and the Dow Jones index fell 2.14%; . The S&P 500 index fell 2.41%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 2.81%. The inflation data of the United States is still high, and the hawks in the Federal Reserve still support the 0.75% interest rate increase. The market is flocking to the dollar, but gold has lost its light. On Wednesday, the stable currency LUNA plunged 99%. Bitcoin fell below $28,000, and the price of gold rebounded. However, under the expectation of interest rate increase, the dollar continued to be sought after. The US dollar index rose above the 105-point mark, while the price of gold declined steadily. The lowest price in the week was $1,799.2, the highest price was $1,885.9, and the market closed at $1,811.5 on Friday. In a week, the price of gold fell by $72.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-13

May 13th Today's volatility range: Bitcoin is picking up, while the gold market is the opposite; On the other hand, the inflation data of the United States is still strong. Investors bet on the Fed's interest rate hike. The US dollar index once surged to nearly 105 points, and the gold market was under pressure to fall. The U.S. dollar is in a strong position. In the short term, it is unfavorable to the bulls in the gold market. In terms of the trend of the chart, the gold price has found support above 1800, and I have to fall by 40 dollars more, only at 1760 dollars left and right. Trust. The suggested volatility today is $1,804 to $1,833. Yesterday, two Chinese financial officials spoke on the topic that the epidemic affected the domestic economy. Han Wenxiu, deputy director of the Central Financial and Economic Committee Office, said that the epidemic was a roadblock for China's economic development. He said We must make every effort to prevent and control the epidemic situation, aiming at the normal operation of the economy. Another official, Sheng Laiyun, deputy director of China's National Bureau of Statistics, said that this round of COVID-19 epidemic has indeed brought great impact on China's economy. The epidemic has a great impact on the production and life in some areas, but with effective prevention and control measures, the impact of the epidemic is expected to gradually weaken, and he expects that the economic activities suppressed by the epidemic will have revenge earlier. The rebound will become an engine to stimulate the mainland economy. Although mainland officials are more optimistic about the long-term economy, in reality, distant water can't put out the fire, and the trend of RMB continues to weaken. The offshore RMB exchange rate, which reflects foreign investment in the mainland, has fallen below. 6.78, a record low of over one and a half years. The exchange rate of the Hong Kong dollar hit the weak guarantee level of 7.85. The HKMA had to re-enter the market to defend the exchange rate of the Hong Kong dollar and buy 4.082 billion Hong Kong dollars in the market. Hong Kong stocks opened 260 points lower, After that, the trend continued to fall with the RMB exchange rate, and the Hang Seng Index finally closed at 19,380, down 444 points or 2.24%. Britain's gross domestic product (GDP) has regressed from the previous month. According to economists' comments, Britain is the second time. Economic retrogression is due to the same reasons as most European countries, mainly due to the rapid rise of commodity prices, especially international crude oil and natural gas, which leads to the rising cost of living and crisis. In addition, European companies yesterday The announced results were not satisfactory either. The three major European stock markets fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 0.69%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.03%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.61%. Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve Board, made pessimistic remarks about the economic prospects. He said that the Federal Reserve Board is trying to control inflation, but it is not an easy task. Although there are challenges, I believe there are still ways for the Board. Achieve the goal, but at the same time, he expressed a more pessimistic view, saying that there was no guarantee that the US economy could make a soft landing. U.S. stocks opened higher and closed lower, and the three major stock indexes on Wall Street finally saw red, with the Dow Jones index falling 0.33%; . mark The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell by 1.754%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.63%. On Wednesday, because the stable currency LUNA, which is decentralized, was stepped on when Bitcoin fell, because when LUNA fell, In order to maintain the stability of LUNA, LUNA's algorithm will sell out its bitcoin and its buyer LUNA, but this behavior will accelerate the decline of bitcoin, which has the largest market among all cryptocurrencies. And influence, while Bitcoin falls, it will destroy all investors' confidence in cryptocurrency. In this vicious circle, LUNA fell by 99%, and Bitcoin once fell through the $28,000 mark. However, after that, the largest stable currency in the market, USDT (TEDA currency), made a statement, saying that the hedged assets it held were American bonds, and it was able to meet the redemption requirements of investors, and finally temporarily stabilized the cryptocurrency outbreak. Due to the negative sentiment of the downturn, Bitcoin picked up yesterday and once regained the level of 30,000 USD. However, after this downturn, the market may be wary of cryptocurrency, and the crisis has not been lifted. Cryptographic currency is generally years. People accept it lightly, especially Bitcoin. Celebrities such as Musk, the richest man in the world, and the new stock god, Wood Sister of Ark Fund all love Bitcoin, and they see its charm. Cryptocurrency in the market The emergence of the Internet has virtually increased investors' investment choices in hedging. Bitcoin rebounded yesterday, while the gold market went in the opposite direction. In addition, the producer price index of the United States increased by 11% year-on-year, which was higher than expected. The U.S. dollar index rose above 104 points to close, and the gold market fell under pressure. The highest price of gold was $1,858.9, and once it was as low as $1,821.5. Finally, it closed at the lowest price of $1,821.9, down by $30.3. 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2022-05-12

May 12th Today's volatility range: The sharp rise in international crude oil and natural gas prices, coupled with the fact that Bitcoin once fell below the $28,000 mark, stimulated investors' interest in gold anti-inflation, while the inflation data for April released by the United States last night remained. Strong, the gold price found support around $1,832, investors are still digesting the interest rate hike policy of the United States, and there is no important data today. It is expected that the gold market will fluctuate due to lack of direction, but the volatility will not increase. The suggested volatility today is $1,842 to $1,860. The inflation problem in the United States is serious. In addition to raising interest rates to suppress price increases, the United States Federal Reserve has also tried its best. Just last month, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and the White House Deputy National Security Advisor Q Singh took the lead in saying that he would consider lowering tariffs on China's non-strategic goods to reduce inflation. U.S. President Joe Biden said on Tuesday that he would consider canceling the levy on imports from Chinese mainland. Tariffs to control rising consumer prices in the United States. Although Biden said that the plan has not yet been implemented, for China, this is a valuable signal enough to change the investment sentiment. In addition, Yesterday, the mainland announced last month's production price index, and the result was higher than expected, which also became good news for the stock market; Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed higher, and the Hang Seng Index finally closed at 19824, up 190 points or 0.97%. The war in Ukraine continued, and Ukraine pushed the front to another level yesterday, announcing the suspension of a transit natural gas pipeline from Russia to Europe via Ukraine, which took over nearly one-third of Russia. The price of natural gas, natural gas and crude oil exported by Ross to Europe rose by nearly 7% respectively! Although energy prices have risen, European Central Bank President Lagarde spoke yesterday, saying that the European Central Bank ranked fourth this year. In the previous quarter, the existing zero interest rate policy was still maintained. European stock markets rose for two consecutive days, and the German DAX index rose by 2.15%. Paris CAC index rose by 2.51%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.44%. The United States announced last month The consumer price index rose by 0.3% month by month, while the core consumer price index rose by 0.6% month by month last month. Both inflation rates were higher than market expectations, and investors responded to the "moderate" interest rate hike announced by the Federal Reserve last week. The policy has increased the uncertainty, which is expected to rise by 0.2%; The three major Wall Street stock indexes all went down, and the Dow Jones index fell by 1.05%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.54%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 2.56%. The sharp rise in international crude oil and natural gas prices, coupled with the fact that Bitcoin once fell below the $28,000 mark, stimulated investors' interest in gold's anti-inflation, while the April consumer price index announced last night rose by 8.3% year on year. It is the historical high in nearly 40 years. The inflation data made the bulls quickly dominate, and the price of gold immediately rose by $14. The price of gold was as low as $1,832.1, the highest was $1,858.3, and finally closed at $1,852.2. Up 13.8 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-11

May 11th Today's volatility range: The fall in international crude oil prices has weakened the upward trend of inflation. Although the proposal of Fed officials to raise interest rates by 50 points in June is gradually becoming clear, hawks in the Fed still support the 0.75% rate increase. Under the expectation of raising interest rates, the US dollar continues to be sought after, and the US dollar index is getting closer and closer to the 104-point mark. It is inevitable that the gold market will be under pressure, but I believe the gold price will find support around 1830 US dollars. Today, the suggested volatility is 1827. To $1,850. Hong Kong stocks returning from the holiday are doomed. The Hang Seng Index has dropped by more than 800 points at most. The next night, US stocks fell by more than 2%, and the US Securities Regulatory Commission listed a number of Chinese stocks on the "scheduled delisting list", including Hong Kong. The well-known Didi Chuxing and lufax, etc ... The Hang Seng Index opened lower by more than 700 points, and the Hang Seng Science and Technology Index even oversold by 3%. With the technology stocks leading the decline, Hong Kong stocks fell by 823 points at most. In the afternoon, China's political supervisor was sent to the mainland. Study on relaxing the policy to attract more foreign investment into the Chinese market. Before the market closed, the decline of Hang Seng Index narrowed, and finally closed at 19,633 points, down 368 points or 1.84%. Germany announced the economic index yesterday, although the data It's still negative, but unexpectedly better than the market expectation, and it's even higher than last month's. It seems that although the European economic outlook is still subject to the war between Russia and Ukraine and the increasingly severe inflation problem in recent days, the enterprises are facing the future. Tu is not overly pessimistic. Yesterday, the European stock market finally ushered in a rebound after falling for several days. The international oil price fell by more than 10% for two consecutive days, which eased the operating costs of enterprises. The three major European stock markets rose across the board. German DAX index rose by 1.17%; Paris CAC index is 0.51 L%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.59%. Yesterday, several officials of the Federal Reserve made speeches. When asked about the stock market crash, Williams of the Federal Reserve said that the financial environment had not overreacted, and agreed with Powell that it should be discussed in the future. The direction of raising interest rate by 50 points. Baldin, Williams' sister-in-law, also confirmed that the interest rate hike of 0.5% will be discussed in the next agenda. But the Fed seems that the eagle and the dove are fighting each other, and Cleveland's central bank governor Metz He said that inflation is too high. If inflation does not ease in the second half, the Federal Reserve will have to speed up the fight against inflation, and think that it has to consider raising interest rates above the neutral interest rate. He reiterated that the Federal Reserve will never rule it out. The possibility of raising interest rates by 0.75%. Waller, another Fed governor, said, for example, if the supply chain solution can alleviate inflation, it would be ideal, but it means that the opportunities are too small to be counted on. Reiterate that it is time to raise interest rates, and think that Higher interest rates will not lead to higher unemployment. The speeches of Fed officials once caused the market to fluctuate repeatedly. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street developed individually, and the Dow fell by 0.46%. The S&P 500 index rose 0.89. %； The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.2%. The decline in international crude oil prices has weakened the upward trend of inflation, and the hawkish in the Federal Reserve still expressed support for raising interest rates by 0.75%. Under the expectation of interest rate hike, the US dollar Continued to be sought after, the U.S. dollar index is getting closer and closer to the 104-point mark, and the gold market will inevitably fall under pressure. The gold price once reached the highest of $1,865.5 and the lowest of $1,835.5, and finally closed at $1,838.4, down by $15.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-10

May 10th Today's volatility range: Due to the re-outbreak of COVID-19 in China, the wars in Eastern Europe are endless, inflation is worsening globally, and the pressure to raise interest rates is greatly increased. However, the policy of raising interest rates has the opportunity to drag down the economy brought about by the previous monetary easing policy. Due to the long-term situation, global investment sentiment is low. The gold market is also doomed. The price of gold is testing the support of $1,832, and today the suggested volatility is $1,837 to $1,863. Yesterday, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang warned that the employment situation in China has become severe due to the COVID-19 epidemic. Affect the global market sentiment is further affected. Frustrated. Hong Kong stocks were closed yesterday, but the market was closed. Hong Kong stocks returning from today's letter holiday are doomed, and the Hang Seng Index's 20,000-point price seems to be lost. To commemorate the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany in World War II, some European countries set May 9th. "Great Victory Day". Yesterday, after taking charge of the military parade in Moscow's Red Square, Putin of Russia delivered a speech, saying that all Russian plans are being implemented according to schedule, and he said that they will be. Get results. Putin's statement that the outside world fully understood that the "special military action" of invading Ukraine has not yet achieved results, and the war will continue! Ukrainian President Zelenski is also there. Yesterday, I commemorated the same activity in the territory of Ukraine, saying that other countries would not bury the achievements of that year's victory, and insisted that Ukraine could drive the invaders out of the territory just as it did when it expelled the Nazis! Under the condition that both Russia and Ukraine have indicated that they will not cease fire, the war in Eastern Europe will continue indefinitely until one side declares its surrender. Yesterday, a member of the Executive Committee of the European Central Bank warned that the euro The damage caused by the Russian-Ukrainian war to the regional economy has brought the economy to a standstill, which makes the European Central Bank face a more complicated situation, because if it tries to curb inflation by monetary contraction, it may eventually lead to economic administration. The consequences of retrogression. European stock markets are shrouded in an uneasy atmosphere, with the three major European stock markets falling by more than 2% across the board and the German DAX index falling by 2.12%; Paris CAC index fell by 2.27%; British FTSE 100 The index fell by 2.34%. The global investment market in Europe commemorates the "Great Victory Day" of the victory over Nazi Germany, losing ground, whether it is the performance of the market, newly invested cryptocurrencies, traditional conservative gold, As well as natural gas and crude oil, which caused a sharp rise in prices due to the Russian-Ukrainian war, all recorded losses, among which bitcoin fell by nearly 10% and natural gas fell by 12%! And the US dollar, which has recently risen due to interest rate hikes, has also See red, but yesterday it also dropped from a high close to 104.2 points to the worst 103.4 points, and finally closed at 103.7 points, up 0.04%, maintaining a positive number. Yesterday's decline in the investment market was due to the fact that China was getting out of control because of the COVID-19 epidemic, and the whole country stepped up efforts to enclose communities, which tested the mainland government's ability to resolutely implement dynamic zero clearing and its affordable consequences. country Premier Li Keqiang said yesterday that China is facing a serious unemployment situation, fearing that prevention will also affect the global economy. Coupled with the market's measurement that global inflation is deteriorating, the Federal Reserve's relatively moderate monetary policy last week. It may be a misjudgment. Investors are worried about the economic slowdown and take the lead in reducing the investment ratio. Under this situation, of course, U.S. stocks are not immune. The three major stock indexes of Wall Street fell, and the Dow index still fell by 1.71%. General standard The 500 index fell by 3.07%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 3.78%. There is an uneasy atmosphere in the global investment market. Because of the re-outbreak of COVID-19 in China, the wars in Eastern Europe are endless, and inflation is global evil. The pressure to raise interest rates has increased greatly, but the policy of raising interest rates has the opportunity to drag down the economic growth situation brought about by the previous monetary easing policy. Among many investments, the US dollar index is the only one that keeps a positive number, but it has brought down the gold market. As an excuse, the gold price once reached the highest of $1885.9 and the lowest of $1851.8, and finally closed at $1854, down by $29.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-09

May 9th Today's volatility range: The crisis still exists in Eastern Europe. Although the situation seems to be gradually tilting towards the western countries, Putin's choice on the "Great Victory Day" on May 9th will determine the length of the war. Russia's war in Ukraine inevitably produced side effects, While the supply of natural resources is decreasing, the high prices of crude oil and natural gas have led to a serious deterioration of the global inflation problem, which has forced global central banks to consider raising interest rates to control inflation. The level of interest rate Reflecting the cost of holding gold, it is inevitable that the price of gold will be suppressed when interest rates are rising. The market is gradually digesting the factor of interest rate increase in the United States, and the price of gold is under great pressure when interest rates rise, which is expected to go down this week. There is still a good chance. Russian President Vladimir Putin's statement during the parade in Red Square today may make the volatility of the gold market bigger; The suggested volatility today is $1,864 to $1,904. Senior investors generally have an unscientific but almost true saying about Hong Kong stocks, that is, "Five poor, six unique, seven turn over! 」； In the first week of May, the Hang Seng Index fell to the edge of 20,000 points. Yinjin Due to the epidemic situation in the Mainland, Fitch, a credit rating agency, lowered its forecast of economic growth in the Mainland, reducing China's economic growth to 5.3% this year. However, the service industry data in the Mainland did not perform well, and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority followed last week. The United States stepped up its interest rate hike, and announced that it would raise the benchmark interest rate to 1.25%, with immediate effect. Hong Kong stocks were under pressure, and the Hang Seng Index hit 3.81% hard on Friday, closing at 20,002 points, down 1,087 points in a week. investment Concerned about the development of the Russian-Ukrainian war, Germany is no longer opposed to the EU sanctions prohibiting the import of Russian energy, and is actively developing clean energy, hoping to reduce its dependence on Russian natural gas, while EU leaders will be in the world. Work on Russia's energy embargo last week, On the other hand, Russia insists that other countries must settle the natural gas purchased from Russia in rubles, or cut off the supply. Poland and Bulgaria have been the victims of Russia's interruption of supply before, and Finland also refused last week. Russia's demand has caused natural gas and crude oil prices to rise again, and the economic situation has also been negatively affected by inflation. In addition, the Bank of England raised interest rates again last week, raising the benchmark interest rate to 1%, highlighting Eurolink. The severity of the inflation problem, coupled with the 0.5% interest rate increase announced by the Federal Reserve, put the risk market under pressure. In a week's summary, the three major European stock markets fell across the board, with the German DAX index falling by 3.01%; Paris CAC index fell by 4.22%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 2.08%. During the week when the US Federal Reserve held interest rate talks, the US stock market fluctuated like a roller coaster ride. Last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 points. Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, said that he had not considered raising interest rates by 75 points at a time and indicated his intention. In the next two meetings, it is possible to raise interest rates by 50 points each, which will stimulate U.S. stocks to rise by more than 3% as soon as possible. However, according to market measurement, the official interest rate of the Federal Reserve will exceed 2.5% this year due to worsening inflation. The yield of bonds rose by nearly 3.16%, the highest since 2018. The U.S. stock market opened wildly, and the three major stock indexes on Wall Street fell by 3 to 5%. Calculated in a week, the Dow index still fell by 0.24%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.61%; Nas The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.54%. On the eve of the interest rate hike, investors became cautious early last week, and the gold price hit a low of $1,850.5 last week. As expected by the market, the Federal Reserve announced a 0.5% interest rate increase on Wednesday, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made it clear that there was no "positive consideration" After raising interest rates by 75 basis points, the market was pleased that the cost of holding gold was lowered, and the price of gold once rose to $1909.8, but then the market predicted that it would be difficult for the Federal Reserve to guarantee that the official interest rate would stop at the end of the year when inflation worsened. At its so-called neutral interest rate, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose to its highest level in nearly five years, and the price of gold turned downward, finally closing at $1,883.6. After a week's summary, the price of gold fell by $13.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-06

On May 6 Today's range: Gold rose and then fell, rising nearly $1,910, on expectations that the Federal Reserve would struggle to keep its official interest rate at its stated neutral rate by the end of the year amid worsening inflation. Us 10-year Treasury yields rose to the highest in nearly 5 years, gold prices fell again after a false breakthrough, expected in the short term between $1855 to $1890, but yesterday's shadow shadow is too long, Today is more bearish. Today's recommended range is $1860 to $1885. China's big brother, Russia, is facing western sanctions; British media reported that the mainland government had been inspired to fear that it might one day face sanctions on the same scale as Those imposed by Russia in late February Through March, a comprehensive simulated stress test was conducted for a number of key sectors, including banking supervision and international trade. The allegation is groundless. Yu Wai-man, chief executive of the Monetary Authority, said in the Legislative Council recently that It is closely monitoring the international situation with the banking sector and preparing for the event that assets are frozen or Hong Kong is excluded from SWIFT, the global settlement system. Hong Kong is an international financial capital, and there has never been anything but foreign investment There has never been such a huge challenge for investment. Now the HKMA has such a plan, which can only be regarded as a helpless move, but it is always a good thing to be prepared. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority yesterday followed the US in raising interest rates The Hang Seng index closed lower at 20,793, down 76 points or 0.36 percent, after Hong Kong stocks came under pressure following a hike in benchmark interest rates to 1.25 percent with immediate effect and poor mainland services data. As expected, the Bank of England raised its benchmark interest rate for the fourth time in a row to 1%, highlighting the seriousness of Europe's inflation problem. The European Union reacted positively as Russian troops continued to bombard eastern Ukraine Discuss a sixth round of sanctions in Russia, including a gradual ban on Imports of Russian oil, which is bound to worsen inflation because of the energy problem. Inflation worries in Europe, plus the opening bell on Wall Street Down, Europe's three major stock markets fell, Germany's DAX index fell 0.75%; In Paris, the CAC index fell 0.43%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.17%. The Fed raised interest rates by 50 points on Wednesday, although the Fed Powell said he was not considering raising rates 75 times at a time and indicated his intention to raise rates 50 times at each of the next two meetings, sparking an early rally of more than 3 percent. But with the Fed's official interest rate set to exceed 2.5 percent this year amid worsening inflation, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose nearly 3.16 percent, the highest since 2018, and U.S. stocks opened sharply, with Wall Street closing three times lower Broad indexes fell anywhere from 3 to 5 percent. The dow was still down 3.12%, though its losses narrowed slightly. The STANDARD & Poor's 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite index fell 3.44% and 4.99%, respectively. As the market Gold rose as high as $1,909.8 after fed Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that he was not "actively considering" raising rates by 75 basis points. Us 10-year Treasury yields rose to their highest level in nearly five years and gold prices turned lower on expectations that the Federal Reserve would have trouble keeping its official interest rate at its so-called neutral rate by the end of the year amid worsening inflation. Gold hit a low of $1,872.50 before closing down $4.30 at $1,877.2. For detailed analysis and suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and contact the administrator https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-05

May 5th Today's volatility range: Just as the market expects the United States to raise interest rates by 0.25% this month, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a speech after the results of the interest rate discussion, saying that the Fed will raise interest rates to a neutral interest rate (i.e. 2.5%) first. If it is confirmed that it is necessary to continue to raise interest rates, They will not hesitate, but they may raise interest rates by 50 ideas each in the next two meetings, without considering the one-off rate increase of 75 ideas. The attitude of the Fed officials eased the expectation of future interest rate hikes, and the price of gold It is bound to hit the 1900 level in the short term. The suggested volatility today is $1,892 to $1,910. Hong Kong stocks ended their five-day rally. Fitch, a credit rating agency, lowered its forecast of economic growth in the Mainland, and lowered China's economic growth this year to 5.3% due to the recent epidemic situation in the Mainland. Hong Kong stocks opened lower yesterday, and then The selling pressure in the market increased, coupled with the market's concern that the Federal Reserve would announce the interest rate decision early this morning and the lack of support from Beishui. Finally, the Hang Seng Index closed at 20,869 points, down 232 points or 1.1%, and lost 21,000 points again. Pass. In order for Putin to claim victory on the Victory Day held in Moscow on May 9th, Russian troops continued to increase their artillery fire in eastern Ukraine, while the European Union was preparing for the sixth round of sanctions against Russia. It will worsen inflation in Europe, and the consumption power of European residents will drop sharply. According to the retail sales data of the euro zone released last night, it fell by 0.4% from the previous month, which shows that the industry performance lacks confidence in the economic prospects of Europe, plus Under the pressure of the Fed's interest rate hike expectation, the three major European stock markets fell, and the German DAX index fell by 0.40%; The French stock market, the capital of famous brands, is the worst, with the CAC index in Paris, France falling by 1.24%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.89. %。 Investors are concerned about the results of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, and US stocks fell early. The Federal Reserve finally raised interest rates by 0.5% as expected by the market, which is the biggest increase recorded by the Federal Reserve since 2000, but it shocked the market the most. It was the speech made by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell after the result of the interest rate discussion. He said that the Fed would raise interest rates to a neutral rate (i.e. 2.5%) first, and if it was confirmed that it was necessary to raise interest rates further, they would not hesitate, but in the next two times. The meeting may raise interest rates by 50 ideas each, without considering the situation of raising interest rates by 75 ideas at one time. Powell's remarks made U.S. stocks soar in the tail market. The three major stock markets on Wall Street rose more than 3%, and the Dow Jones index rose 2.81; Standard & Poor's 50 index rose by 2.97%; Nasdaq index rose 3.19%. On the eve of the Fed's interest rate hike, there was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the early part of the gold market, and the volatility was limited to about $10, the most turbulent of which was one hour after the announcement of the change of non-agricultural employment in the United States, when the data was handed over to 247,000, which was higher than the market. It is expected that the price of gold will go up and down sharply, but the volatility is still limited to 10 USD, and the lowest price of gold is 1861.5 USD. After the results of the Fed's interest rate discussion, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made it clear that he did not "actively consider" raising the interest rate by 75 USD. After 10 basis points, the price of gold rebounded obviously, reaching a peak of 1890, and finally closed at 1881.5 USD, up by 13.5 USD. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-04

5月4日   今日波幅區間： 澳洲聯儲銀行為應對通脹，宣布在疫情大流行之後首次加息25點子， 而市場預料英倫銀行在星期四將會作第四度加息，一度令美元指數下調，金價昨日反彈。 正逐步消化美聯儲將更積極收緊貨幣政策的預期。預料金價短期仍要再測試1850美元的支持。 今日繼續維持昨日建議波幅，即1850美元至1872美元。   對號入座   港股五一勞動假後復市，表現先跌後升。受累於美國近期加息的預期，恆生指數低開160點， 市場傳內地官媒報導有馬某涉嫌煽動，威脅國家安全，被杭州國家安全局拘捕， 投資者對號入座，阿里巴巴股價重挫9.4％，市值蒸發逾2千億港元，港股受拖累，最多跌440點， 之後央視作出澄清，暗示受拘捕者並非馬雲本人，最終集團股價仍下跌1.8%； 但阿里巴巴跌幅收窄已足以令港股反彈，恆生指數微升12點或0.06%收市。   俄羅斯總統普京簽署行政指令，要求聯邦政府在10日內確定被俄國視為不友好的組織或國家，列人制裁清單， 禁止出俄羅斯的產品及原材料到清單內法人或國家；亦禁止向被俄國制裁的組織或個人履行交易義務和金融交易。 而歐盟正籌備第六輪制裁俄羅斯措施，擬針對石油和銀行業， 然而，昨日原油價格出乎意料下跌，歐洲三大股市上升，德國DAX指數升0.72%；法國巴黎CAC指數升0.79%； 市場預料英倫銀行在本週將會再度上調央行利率，限制了英國股市的升幅，英國富時100指數升0.24%。   投資者關注美國聯儲局展開的一連兩天的議息會議，美股表現反覆， 市場正逐步消化美聯儲將更積極收緊貨幣政策的預期，加上美國期油價格下跌，利好企業表現； 道瓊斯指數最差時曾下跌140點，但收市反升67點或0.2%，紐約三大股指連脹兩日，標準普爾500指數升0.48%；納斯達克指數升0.22%。   承接金市昨日跌勢，金市開市下跌，金價最低見1850.5美元， 但澳洲聯儲銀行為應對通脹，宣布在疫情大流行之後首次加息25點子， 而市場預料英倫銀行在星期四將會作第四度加息，一度令美元指數下調，金價反彈， 金價最高曾見1978.1，但市場所仍關注今晚宣布的非農數據，及美聯儲在明日凌晨宣布的議息結果， 最終以1868美元收市，升5美元。   如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議，歡迎CLICK以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtak

2022-05-03

5月3日 今日波幅區間： 歐洲央行的貨幣政策將滯後於美國，為美元短期走勢提供一個利好消息， 美元指數昨日再次觸及本年度高位的103.7點，加強美聯儲在議息結果公布在即，市場相信聯儲局在明天會宣布提息0.5%， 而預期六月加息0.75%的機率亦從上次調查的八成調高至九成。 在美元保持強勢及息口預期上升之下，金市跌穿俄烏開戰以來低位。 相信市場正在消化美聯儲加息的預期，金市可能仍要進一步尋底。 今日建議波幅即1850美元至1872美元。   虎頭蛇尾   港股五一勞動假休市。   投資者仍關注俄烏戰事始的發展，除了在戰場上的戰火仍不停轟炸外，經濟上的互相制裁亦越演越烈， 德國不再反對歐盟禁入口俄國能源的制裁，正在積極發展清潔能源，希望減少對俄羅斯天然氣的依賴， 而歐盟領導人將在本周就俄羅斯能源禁運開展工作， 另一方面，俄羅斯堅持其他國家須以盧布結算從俄國購買的天然氣，否則截停供應。 之前波蘭和保加利亞已成為俄國斷供的受害者，更引發一波天然氣價格上升，經濟情況亦因通脹出現負面影響。 歐盟已清楚表達，歐盟成員國企業以盧布去支付俄羅斯的天然資源，是違反了歐盟的原則， 本月中將有另外的歐洲國家的採購公司到期結算，可能歐洲能源危機可能擴大。 除了通脹問題，歐洲央行的貨幣政策落後於同一個大陸板塊的英國，及開始走上加息環境的美國， 歐元兌美元跌近2017年以來低位，歐洲股市下跌，德國DAX指數跌0.82%；法國巴黎CAC指數跌1.37%； 英國股市假期休市。   美股四月下跌的幅度創多年以來的四月最差走勢，但在五月分第一個交易日做好， 但在美聯儲在今天開始議息，市場極度相信明天公布的議息結果是提息50點子， 而市場預期六月加息75點子的機率亦超過90%，美股會否在息口壓力之下變成虎頭蛇尾？有待觀察！ 美股昨日低開，但美國十年期國債但在美聯儲在今天開始議息，市場極度相信明天公布的議息結果是提息50點子， 而市場預期六月加息75點子的機率亦超過90%，孳息率意外從3%回落，為股市提升了上升的活力， 科技股從接近本年低位大幅反彈，華爾街三大指數上揚，道瓊斯指數升0.26%；標準普爾500指數升0.57%；納斯達克指數升1.63%。   歐洲央行的貨幣政策將滯後於美國，為美元短期走勢提供一個利好消息，美元指數昨日再次觸及本年度高位的103.7點， 加強美聯儲在議息結果公布在即，市場相信聯儲局在明天會宣布提息0.5%， 而預期六月加息0.75%的機率亦從上次調查的八成調高至九成。 在美元保持強勢及息口預期上升之下，金市跌穿俄烏開戰以來低位， 金價最高曾見1900.3美元，金價最低見1854.5美元，最終以 1863美元收市，跌34美元。   如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議，歡迎CLICK以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtak  

2022-05-02

May 2nd Today's volatility range: Western countries' economic war against Russia will further push up energy prices and increase the attractiveness of gold. The U.S. economy is reversing its best performance since 1984. Whether the Fed's goal of tightening policies to curb inflation will be slightly stabilized in the annual meeting will reduce the downward pressure on the gold price. Only next week, the U.S. interest rate will increase steadily by 0.5%, and the gold market will remain bearish. Today, the suggested range of last Friday is still maintained, that is,$1885 to $1902. The epidemic situation in the mainland has become more severe. Shanghai has been locked down, the first port city in the country has been closed down, and cases of infection have also been reported in Hangzhou and Beijing's Chaoyang District. The outside world has questioned the effectiveness of the mainland's insistence on handling the epidemic in a way of dynamic clearing. In reality, the performance of China's economic data is also poor. The manufacturing data has fallen for two consecutive months, and the RMB exchange rate has been falling sharply for consecutive days a week ago. In addition, President Xi Jinping presided over a meeting of the Central Finance and Economics Committee yesterday, proposing to comprehensively strengthen infrastructure construction, to accelerate the construction of new infrastructure, including strengthening the construction of network-based infrastructure such as transportation, energy, and water conservancy, and to ensure China's economic growth this year. The growth rate exceeds that of the United States. China Securities Depository and Clearing Co., Ltd. announced that it will reduce the transfer fee for stock transactions to reduce the cost of investors. Supported by many national policies, Hong Kong stocks rebounded last week, up 450 points or 2.18%. The Hang Seng Index closed at 21,089 points, but fell more than 4% throughout April. Asian stock markets are worried that the global economy will also be dragged down by the outbreak of Covid-19 in many provinces and cities in China. In addition, the war between Russia and Ukraine has always made investors have a negative view on the future of the European economy. Last week, Poland and Bulgaria refused to pay Russian natural gas in rubles, and Russia immediately announced that it would stop supplying natural gas to Poland and Bulgaria, pushing up fuel prices immediately as an example. Coupled with the expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, the European stock market went down. Although many European companies announced better-than-expected results last week, they could only narrow the decline. In a week's summary, the three major European stock markets fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 0.31%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.72%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.3%. The epidemic situation in the Mainland is getting worse, and investors are worried that it will affect the global economic development. In addition, the market estimates that the United States Federal Reserve is inclined to adopt more drastic measures to raise interest rates. According to the latest market survey, the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 0.5% in May is 97%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 0.75% in June also rises to 80%. The market expects that the rising interest rate will put pressure on the stock market. Microsoft and Yuan Xuanzhou, the parent company of Microsoft, announced that the results in the first quarter of this year were better than market expectations, but still not enough to lead the The S&P 500 index fell 2.71%; Nasdaq index fell 3.76%. The monetary policy of the European Central Bank will lag behind that of the United States, providing good news for the short-term trend of the US dollar. Coupled with the worsening epidemic situation in China, the market is worried that China's economic prospects will be dragged down. The US dollar is relatively strong, and the US dollar index has reached a high of more than two years, rising above the 103 level. In addition, the market expects the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by more than 1% in May and June. The gold market went down last week, and the lowest gold price was $1,872.2. Although last Thursday, the US announced that its GDP had unexpectedly shrunk, In addition, the core personal consumption expenditure price index continued to rise, highlighting the high inflation situation in the United States. It once brought the gold price back to $1,900, but with the rising dollar, the gold market was relatively eclipsed, and finally closed at $1,897. After a week, the gold price dropped by $34.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-04-29

April 29th Today's volatility range: The recession of the U.S. economy has provided room for the bulls in the gold market to rise, while the market is still concerned about the attitude of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates next week. Today, the gold market may only fluctuate in a narrow range. The suggested volatility today is $1,885 to $1,902. China Securities Depository and Clearing Co., Ltd. announced the reduction of the transfer fees of stock trading from 0.02% of the transaction amount to 0.01%. The agency said that this fee reduction can further reduce the cost of investors, stimulate the vitality of the market, and increase the risk to entities The strength of economic support. Yesterday, the futures index was settled, and the Hong Kong stocks were repeatedly made. Hong Kong stocks opened 170 points higher yesterday. President Xi Jinping presided over a meeting of the Central Committee of Finance and Economics recently, emphasizing that infrastructure is an important support for the economy. It is necessary to strengthen infrastructure construction in an all-round way, including network infrastructure construction such as transportation, energy, water conservancy, etc., and stimulate the completion of shares in several sectors. The Hang Seng Index closed at 20,276 points, up 329 points or 1.7%. a surname; short for Europe; lucky Many enterprises in Europe announced their results yesterday. Strong revenue temporarily overcame the negative sentiment of the Russian-Ukrainian war, driving the three major European stock markets to rise by more than 1% across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 1.35%; Paris CAC index rose 0.98 %； Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.13%. The U.S. Department of Commerce said that the U.S. gross domestic product fell by 1.4% in the first quarter of this year due to the worsening epidemic that hit economic activities and the significant expansion of the trade deficit. Although the U.S. economy has experienced the COVID-19 epidemic since 2020 It has shrunk again in recent years, but the new york stock market was still popular yesterday. Yuan Xuanzhou, the parent company of Facebook, announced that the performance in the first quarter of this year was better than the market expectation, with its revenue reaching 27.9 billion USD. In addition, the number of Facebook users lost from last quarter. 1,000,000 yuan, which has increased by 2.4 million yuan this quarter, greatly stimulating the stock price to rise by nearly 18%. The overall atmosphere of the price market has improved, and the Dow Jones index has risen by 1.84%; The S&P 500 index rose 2.48%; Nasdaq index rose 3.06 %。 The U.S. Department of Commerce announced that the gross domestic product unexpectedly dropped by 1.4% in the first quarter, emphasizing that the economy reversed the trend of the best performance of the American economy since 1984. Officials from the Ministry of Commerce explained that since the first three months of 2022, many Negative factors have affected the growth of local economy. Including the rising number of infections, which hindered economic activities, while inflation soared to the highest level since the early 1980s and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict also led to economic stagnation. American economy Faced with retrogression, it provided room for the bulls in the gold market to rise. The lowest price of gold was $1,872.2, the highest price was $1,896.8, and finally it closed at $1,894.5, up by $8.7. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak