Gold market analysis

2022-02-01

February 1st Today's volatility range: First of all, I wish you all success in the Year of the Tiger in Batas! After last week's cut of nearly $60 from a high level, the price of gold stabilized yesterday. The United States held talks with Russia to discuss the changes in the situation in Eastern Europe. The temporary results were unknown, which became a risk factor, and the risk aversion mood in the gold market increased slightly. On the other hand, investors are still observing the non-agricultural data released by the United States this week. Federal Reserve Baldin made an assessment of the job market, saying that the forthcoming employment report will grow strongly, boosting the gold price yesterday. Yesterday, the volatility of gold price didn't narrow but rose. Unless the situation in Eastern Europe is tense again, the prospect of gold market is still weak. Maintain yesterday's suggested range of 1,782 to 1,798 dollars. In the last year of the Year of the Ox, HKEx only provided half-day market, with a total turnover of HK$ 65.1 billion, and the Hang Seng Index closed up by 252 points or 1.1%, which was considered as the last prize. But to sum up the whole Year of the Ox, the performance of Hong Kong stocks is not only bad, but the facts are still very popular! Due to a system of national economic monitoring policies, the wrestling between China and the United States, and the lingering impact of Covid-19 on the global economy, etc. Hong Kong has become a pain in the neck, affecting its attractiveness in the global economy. Hong Kong stocks fell by 6,370 points or 21.1% in the Year of the Ox, underperforming the global stock market. The tension in Eastern Europe has eased slightly, and the performance of the three major European stock markets is different. Investors are worried that the Bank of England will raise interest rates again at Thursday's meeting on interest rates. On the contrary, the European Central Bank, which announced the results of the meeting on interest rates on the same day, has already indicated that there is no condition to raise interest rates in 2022. With the interest rates changing, the three major European stock markets are developing separately, and Germany's DAX index rose by 1.01%. Paris CAC index rose by 0.48%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 0.03%. After Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said last week that he would take more radical measures than expected to fight the strongest inflation in 40 years, many officials spoke yesterday, generally supporting the general plan of raising interest rates in March, but the news seemed to be digested by the market. In addition, the performance of several large-scale companies in the US stock market this week has been publicly announced. Investors are optimistic about the short-term performance of the US stock market, seeing that Apple and Visa, the credit card issuer, announced their satisfactory performance as soon as possible. The three major Wall Street indexes rose across the board, with Dow Jones index rising by 1.17%, S&P 500 index rising by 1.89% and Nasdaq index rising by 3.41%. After last week's cut of nearly $60 from a high level, the price of gold stabilized yesterday. The United States held talks with Russia to discuss the changes in the situation in Eastern Europe, and the temporary results were unknown, which became a risk factor. Gold market risk aversion increased slightly. On the other hand, investors are still observing the non-agricultural data released by the United States this week. Federal Reserve Baldin made an assessment of the employment market, indicating that the employment report to be released will grow strongly. Due to the pandemic, many workers are still waiting to see, and it is expected that the employment market will have a stronger performance until spring and summer. This remark stimulated the rebound of the gold price, which started to rise from the opening price of 1791.7 USD, reaching the highest of 1799.9 USD, closing at 1797.2 USD, up 5.5 USD. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat  

2022-01-31

January 31st Today's volatility range: The war crisis in Eastern Europe, which once pushed up the price of gold, slowed down, and Biden of the United States seemed to retreat from the attitude of sending troops to Eastern Europe, causing safe-haven funds to leave the gold market. In addition, the opportunity cost of holding gold will increase with the increase of interest rate in the United States, and the US dollar index also stole money from the market due to the interest rate increase in March, rising to nearly 97.4 level, which is even more unfavorable to the trend of the gold market. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1782 to $1798. Last week, two major events influenced the global financial market. First of all, Russia continued to send more troops to Ukraine and its surrounding areas, and conducted offensive and defensive drills, which aroused the concern of NATO allies and sent more ships and military aircraft to the Baltic Sea. U.S. President Biden is also studying how to send thousands of U.S. troops to the Baltic Sea and consider sending warships and fighters to set out within 72 hours to cope with the changes in the situation in Ukraine. The risk of war pushed the global stock market atmosphere to pessimism at the beginning of the stock week. Although the situation in Eastern Europe is now turning around, representatives of Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany are meeting on behalf of Paris to seek alternative peaceful solutions. In addition, Biden of the United States seems to have retreated in his attitude of sending troops to Eastern Europe. US Secretary of Defense Austin said on Friday that Mr. President has made it clear that he does not intend to send combat troops to Ukraine for combat operations. Instead, the United States will only devote itself to helping Ukraine in terms of security assistance and material provision. The United States did not send troops to Eastern Europe, which greatly eased the chances of conflict between the two camps. America's plan to stay in Eastern Europe temporarily eased the decline of the stock market; On the other hand, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell released an eagle last week, indicating that the Federal Reserve decided to start raising interest rates in March. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell pointed out that the job market is very strong and the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates without damaging the recovery of the labor market. Although Powell said that the rate hike is still undecided. He also said that it is not excluded to raise interest rates at every meeting of the US Federal Open Market Committee. According to the mildest market estimate, the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at least four times in 2022, with a total interest rate increase of at least 100 points. The path of interest rate increase is obvious, which weakens the attractiveness of the risk market. Last week, Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed lower. Last week, the People's Bank of China lowered the quoted interest rate of China's loan market by 10 pips to 3.8% per annum, and the Hang Seng Index was close to 25,000 pips. However, the situation in Eastern Europe and the Fed's interest rate hike weakened investors' confidence, and the Hang Seng Index ended its upward trend for five consecutive weeks. In a week, the Hang Seng Index fell by 1,415 pips or 5.7%. Although the tension in Eastern Europe has slowed down a little, as the eye of the wind in Europe, Russia and NATO allies have been scared all the time without withdrawing their troops, and the three major European stock markets are under pressure. In a week, Germany's DAX index fell by 1.32%. Paris CAC index rose by 0.82%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.17%. The President of the United States said that he did not want to be stationed in Eastern Europe and become a big winner under the tense situation in Eastern Europe. Coupled with the satisfactory performance of American economic data, in the fourth quarter of 2021, the GDP increased by 6.9% compared with the initial annual rate, which was better than market expectations and the largest increase since 1984. On the other hand, the US labor data is also good. The Ministry of Labor announced that the number of first-time jobless claims last week was 260,000, a weekly decrease of 30,000, the first decline in the past four weeks. On the other hand, Apple and Visa, the credit card issuer, reported satisfactory results, and the three major indexes of Wall Street fell and rebounded. In a week, Dow Jones index rose by 1.3%, S&P 500 index rose by 0.8%, and Nasdaq index fell slightly by 0.04%. Short positions completely dominated the gold market last week. The Federal Reserve decided to raise interest rates in March. Representatives of Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany met on behalf of Paris. After the meeting, they expressed their support for unconditional compliance with the ceasefire agreement. The tension in eastern Europe is expected to slow down. In addition, the economic data of the United States performed well, and there was too much bad news in the gold market. The price of gold dropped sharply from the high of $1,853.9, and the lowest once saw $1,780.3. Finally, it closed at $1,791.7. After a week, the price of gold fell by $41.9. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-28

1月28日 今日波幅區間: 空頭昨日完全主宰昨日金市。美聯儲確定在三月加息；俄羅斯、烏克蘭、法國及德國代表在代表巴黎開會，會後俄羅斯代表表示四國都支持無條件遵守停火協定；言語令東歐局勢緊張局勢有望放緩。另外，美國經濟數據表現理想，都成金市的壞消息，金價跌穿1800美元。壞消息盡出，金價有望反彈，第一目標是從上1800美元樓上。今日建議波幅1792美元至1805美元。   壞消息   香港出口增長勝預期，但消息難敵美國加息風險，原因美國聯儲局主席鮑威爾在周二放鷹，明示美聯儲將在三月開始加息，首次加息幅度雖然未曾確定，但最令投資者恐懼的是，鮑威爾表示，不排除在每次美國聯邦公開市場委員會會議上都加息。加息陰霾令全球股市為之震動，香港股市跟隨歐美股市下跌，曾最多跌超過700點，收市前反彈，恆生指數升最終挫482點或1.99%收市，失守24000點。   東歐局勢現轉機，俄羅斯、烏克蘭、法國及德國代表在代表巴黎開會，尋求另類和平解決方案。會後，俄羅斯談判代表雖然稱，會上仍留有許多議題未能解決，但暫時四國皆有共識，乃是支持無條件遵守停火協定。兩國關係有望降溫，歐洲股市則變得熾熱，歐洲三大股市全綫上揚，德國DAX指數升0.74%；法國巴黎CAC指數升0.95%；英國富時100指數漲1.69%。   美國經濟數據表現理想，2021年第4季國內生產總值環比年率初值增長6.9%，優於市場預期，創自1984年以來最大增幅。另一方面，美國勞工數據亦造好，勞工部宣布上周首次申請失業金人數有26萬人，按星期減少3萬人，是過去4周以來首次出現下滑。華爾街三大指數大幅反彈。道瓊斯指數升1.58%，標準普爾500指數升1.59%，納斯達克指數升1.42%。   空頭昨日完全主宰金市。美聯儲確定在三月加息，俄羅斯、烏克蘭、法國及德國代表在代表巴黎開會，會後表示四支持無條件遵守停火協定；令東歐局勢緊張局勢有望放緩。另外美國經濟數據表現理想，金市太多壞消息，金價跌穿1800美元。金價昨日最高見1822.1美元，最低見1791.9美元，最後以1797美元收市，跌22.4美元。   如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議，歡迎CLICK以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat  

2022-01-27

1月27日 今日波幅區間: 美國疑似在出兵東歐的態度上有所縮沙，俄羅斯和烏克蘭在代表法國開會，尋求尋求另類和平解決方案。兩國關係稍為降溫，金市現疲態；加上鮑威爾放鷹，表明美聯儲會在三月開始加息，美元及美元十年期孳息率都迫上日高，金價重創近30美元。鮑威爾已揚鷹爪，美聯儲三月加息消息應已被消化，剩下的是待在二月揭盅的加息幅度。金價在1820美元成為主要考驗，跌穿要再試1800美元的支持，預計金價在1820美元至1830美元之間整固。今日建議波幅1818美元至1828美元。   烏克蘭局勢現轉機。烏克蘭外長庫列巴說，目前在邊境集結的俄軍尚未足以發動攻勢，但俄羅斯有能力短時間內大舉增兵，他說局勢連日升溫已威脅到烏克蘭的安危 。但出奇的是，美國拜登似乎在出兵東歐的態度上有所退縮。他昨日表示，一旦俄羅斯攻擊烏克蘭，美國則會制裁俄羅斯總統普京。拜登這說話來得有點虛，眾所周知，美國制裁名單長之又長，香港亦有數名官員有幸上榜，但不見得制裁方法有何扭轉局勢的效用！但拜登的說法顯示美方有所顧忌，這或多或少減輕擦槍走火的危機。   市場觀望昨晚美國聯儲局議息後聲明，港股在連跌兩日後反彈。恒生指數高開近百點，最多曾升逾240點，但市場憂慮美國加息的議題，港股乏力支持，大市成交減少至近1321億港元，最終恆生指數升46點或0.19%。   美國疑似在出兵東歐的態度上有所縮沙，俄羅斯和烏克蘭代表在巴黎與德、法兩國商討烏克蘭局勢，尋求另類和平解決方案。烏克蘭外長庫列巴更稱：「我肯定總統普京樂見這個計劃成功，他便不用訴諸武力。」東歐局勢降溫，歐洲股市大幅反彈。德國DAX指數升2.22%；法國巴黎CAC指數升2.11%；英國富時100指數漲1.33%。   美聯儲主席鮑威爾在新聞發布會上強調，在過去10年大部分時間，聯儲局官員都希望看到工資上漲，但他承認近來工資也在迅速上漲，持續的實際工資增長超過了生產率，薪金人上漲將通脹推往惡化的惡化，通脹壓力給基層市民帶來生活巨困難，鮑威爾指他傾向提高美國個人消費物價指數的預測，所以現在美聯絡儲更希望做的，是實現價格穩定的目標。   對於美國聯就業市場，鮑威爾指就業市場十分強勁，他解釋，雖然勞動力參與率仍低於大流行前的水平，但總體失業率已降至4%以下，最重要的是目前美國的就業崗位空缺數量超過了失業人數；所以他認為，美聯儲可以在不損害勞動力市場復甦的情況下提高利率。鮑威爾稱，美聯儲打算在3月份的會議上提高利率，而加息幅度仍未定下來。他更表示，不排除在每次美國聯邦公開市場委員會會議上都加息。   美股三大指數連續第三日大幅波動，俄羅斯與烏克蘭關係降溫，美股承接歐洲股市升勢而高開，華爾街三大指數曾升1.5%至3.4%不等。但美聯儲主席鮑威爾昨日大打開口牌，表明會在三月開始加息，美股即時承壓回軟，最終倒跌收場。道瓊斯指數跌0.38%，標準普爾500指數跌0.15%，納斯達克指數跌0.02%。   鮑威爾放鷹，美元指數衝近日高的96.46點收市，而美聯儲十年期國債孳息率更一度升近1.9%，金市完全受壓，金價昨日最高見1850.1美元，最低見1815美元，最後以1819.4美元收市，跌28.6美元。   如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議，歡迎CLICK以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-26

1月26日   今日波幅區間: 美國國防部宣布在72小時內駐軍東歐，俄羅斯則警告會作出相應升級行動。市場避險情緒進一步升溫。美聯儲將開始議息會議，並將在周四凌晨有結果，在此前仍以俄羅斯的軍事動向影響力較大。昨日金價成功挑戰上周1848美元的高位，升勢似乎有餘未盡，仍有力向上。今日建議波幅1842美元至1855美元。   恐慌   羅斯在波羅的海練軍，惹起國際對烏克蘭的關注，據報北約成員國將組成一支4萬人規模的應變部隊，以應對烏克蘭局勢變化。隨着美俄雙方外交談判失敗，美國召回在俄國的領事職員及家屬，似為即將出現的戰爭作準備。美國國防部長奧斯汀在周一下達命令，指示8500名士兵進入戒備狀態，準備72小時內到歐洲以防事態升級。俄羅斯則警告，說只要美軍進入東歐，俄羅斯會作出相應升級行動。   內地財政部公布今年將以更大力度去實施減稅降費措施，以緩衝中國經濟下行壓力，可惜此利好消息完全被東歐戰爭危機所蓋過，滬深股市全綫下跌；香港股票市場也表現得一厥不振，港股昨日低開400點，最多曾跌654點，最終仍跌412點或1.67%，24000點失而復得，成交擴大近1465億港元。   受累俄羅斯與烏克蘭衝突升級，歐洲周一股市表現跑輸全球，投資者認為跌勢過急，又見美股出現大奇蹟倒升收市，昨日投資者人市歐洲股市實行搏反彈，最後果然奏效。德國DAX指數及法國巴黎CAC指數同樣升0.74%；英國放寬社交限制措施，英國富時100指數表現較好，漲1%收市。   美俄雙方外交談判失敗，美國國防已命8500名士兵進入戒備狀態，準備72小時內到歐洲以防事態升級。投資者恐防擦槍走火，反映投資情緒的恐慌指數VIX漲近兩成，報35.65點，再創一年新高，華爾街三大股票指數奇蹟不再，開市大跌，最終道瓊斯指數跌0.19%，標準普爾500指數跌1.22%，納斯達克指數更大跌2.28%。   金價昨日再進一步上升，受惠於歐洲地緣政治局勢再度升級，反映投資情緒的恐慌指數VIX漲近兩成，金市完全發揮其避險功能，金價昨日最低見1834.9美元，最高見1853.9美元，最後以1848美元收市，升4.9美元。   如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議，歡迎CLICK以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat    

2022-01-25

1月25日   今日波幅區間:   俄羅斯持續在烏克蘭及其周邊地區增兵，惹來北約盟國派遣更多艦艇和軍用飛機。而美國美國總統拜登亦正在研究向波羅的海和駐軍數千名美軍，及派遣戰艦和戰機出發，以應對烏克蘭局勢變化。市場避險情緒進一步升溫，戰爭危機甚至蓋過美聯儲加息的動向。昨日金價收市成功企在1840美元以上，正在挑戰上周出現的高位。今日建議波幅1835美元至1848美元。   打仗   俄羅斯持續在烏克蘭及其周邊地區增兵，惹來北約盟國派遣更多艦艇和軍用飛機，傳美國美國總統拜登亦正在研究向波羅的海和駐軍數千名美軍，及派遣戰艦和戰機出發，以應對烏克蘭局勢變化。較早時候，傳媒報導美國將召回在俄國的領事職員，似為即將出現的戰爭作準備，令國際形勢更形緊張。   港股在連升多日後，承接納斯達克指數早日跌勢，在港上市的高科技股領跌恆生指數近二百點，投資者以俄羅斯及烏克蘭的局勢緊張為理由，推低恆生指數下跌1.24%，但成交略為減少至1243億港元。   俄羅斯與烏克蘭衝突升級，除北約盟國加派軍隊往波羅的海一帶，傳美國總統拜登亦考慮部署數千名美軍，及出動戰艦及一批戰機往東歐。戰雲密佈的氣氛震散歐洲股票市場，德國DAX指數跌3.87%；法國巴黎CAC指數跌3.9%；英國富時100指數跌2.93%。   美股昨日出現大逆轉，市場對美聯儲加息預期升溫，有銀行出報告指美聯儲在3月需加息50點子，才能壓制正在惡化的通脹；加上俄羅斯和烏克蘭局勢緊張，美國宣佈召回在俄羅斯和烏克蘭的領事館職員及他們的家屬，似為戰爭在準備。紐約股市開市承接歐股跌勢，開市即急挫，道瓊斯指數一度暴瀉3.6%，標準普爾500及納斯達克指數仍曾大跌4%及4.9%，但收市前投機資金趁機入市撿便宜，華爾街三大股票指數最後出現倒升，分別上升0.29%，0.28%及0.63%收市。   金價昨日再進一步上升，並成功企於1840美元以上收市。受惠於歐洲地緣政治局勢緊張，加上美國經濟數據強差人意，昨日美國公布的製造業及服務業採購經理指數都比市場預算為差，十年期國債孳息率曾跌近1.7%，金價昨日最低見1829.8美元，最高見1844.4美元，最後以1843.1美元收市，升8.5美元。   如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議，歡迎CLICK以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat  

2022-01-24

1月24日 今日波幅區間: 美國聯儲局已在12月啟動去量化寬鬆政策，並將在3月澈底回收所有因疫情原因而多發的鈔票，而有部份聯儲官員支持在三月同時加息，以控制通脹。原本加息是一項不利金價的因素，但聯儲局鷹派的行動已被慢慢地被市場消化，縱使下星期出現更肯定的時間表，可以對金價的影響也有限；因市場將更聚焦於通脹持續惡化的可能，及新冠病毒大流行對勞工市場及以置整體經濟的影響。另外，黃金將受惠於加密貨幣的下跌及歐洲地緣政治緊張的問題，預料金價在下周議息日子前仍將波動，只要守在1830美元以上，仍可繼續看漲。今日維持上周五的建議波幅，即1830美元至1844美元。   水向低流 人民銀行副行長劉國強在上周三在發報會上表示要「及時回應市場的普遍關切」，其言詞被市場解讀為放寬金融市場借貸的訊號。一如市場預測，人民銀行果然在上周四下調中國貸款市場報價利率10點子至年率3.8%，雖然下調幅度不大，但意義重大，除了壓制人民幣匯價上升，加強輸出競爭力之外，也代表打擊無序增長的經濟生態已到尾聲，不單是企業融資成本減輕，更意味着將有更多寬鬆政策可能出臺。總結一周升582點或2.39%，港股已連續三周上升，距離2萬5千點僅差35點。 歐洲央行行長拉加德在上周四稱歐元區不會在2022年度加息，由於較高的利率可能會削弱股票尤其市盈率更高的高科技股的吸引力，所謂水向低流，據美國銀行最新全球研究報告顯示，上周流入歐洲基金的資金總額為19億美元，使至今流入歐洲股市基金總額累積達到31億美元，是2018年以來最強勁的年初表現，歐洲三大股市在上周初表現良好，可惜周五因俄羅斯與烏克蘭衝突升級，德國DAX指數跌1.97%；法國巴黎CAC指數跌1.75%；英國富時100指數跌1.21%。總結一周，經周五一跌，德、法、英三國股市周初升幅化為烏有，分別下跌1.76%，1.04%及0.65%。 美股市場仍受困於市場對儲備局加息預期升溫，在上周聯儲官員進入禁聲期，市場再沒有收到他們的聲音，但美國美國財長耶倫在上周四發言，表示通脹上升出乎所有專家意料，但她補充應對通脹的責任由美聯儲和拜登政府共同承擔。越俎代庖的言論猶如向疲憊的股票市場潑冷水，加上歐洲地緣政治問題，總結一周，華爾街三大股指跌幅頗大，瓊斯指數累跌4.58%；標準普爾500指數累跌5.69%，納斯達克指累跌7.55%收市。 國際油價創2014年以來高位，這除了反映最近的歐洲地緣政治問題，也顯示了全球病毒大流行所造成的供應鏈短缺問題，更突顯價格扭曲變化的嚴重性。面對近50年代以來最大通脹壓力，再對上一個星期，多位美聯儲官員發言表示支持在3月加息的可能性建議。上周聯儲官員進入禁聲期，市場再沒有收到他們的聲音，但估計他們的論調仍在市場中迴響，但金價在今周亦照樣上漲，主要是避險情緒升溫，美國在加息的大前提下，風險市場表現疲憊，而比特幣價格跌近三萬五美元，亦促使資金轉泊至較傳統，及價格亦相對落後的黃金市場。最後，是俄羅斯與烏克蘭有爆發戰爭的可能，都成金價利好因素。金市在上星期衝穿1830美元，金價上周最低見1805.8美元，最高見1847.7美元，最後以1834.6美元收市，總結一星期，金價累升16.6美元。   如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議，歡迎CLICK以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-21

January 21st Today's volatility range: The U.S. Department of Labor announced the number of first-time jobless claims last week. The number of applicants reached 286,000, which was not only worse than expected, but also increased for the third consecutive week. Long investors attacked with weak labor data. The price of gold rose by nearly ten dollars, reaching the highest of 1847.9 dollars. However, the market is still worried about the trend of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting next week, and the price of gold has dropped to a high level since it hit the golden week. It is expected that it will still fluctuate before the interest rate meeting next week. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1830 to $1844.   As predicted by the market, the People's Bank of China really lowered the quoted interest rate of China's loan market by 10 pips to 3.8% per annum. Although the reduction was not significant, it was of great significance, representing the central government's efforts to combat the disorderly growth of economic ecology. At the end, not only is the financing cost of enterprises reduced, but it also means that more easing policies may be introduced. Yesterday's stolen property stocks rose further, while property management stocks rose even more sharply. The turnover increased to 1783 yesterday. 100 million yuan, reflecting the obvious strengthening of investor confidence, eventually the Hang Seng Index rose by 824 points or 3.42%, and Hong Kong stocks rose for two days in a row, which is expected to be relayed by domestic banks and challenge 25,000 points. As soon as possible, the UK released the inflation data for December. It shows that inflation has risen to a high level in the past 30 years; Affected by rising energy prices, the European Central Bank announced the consumer price index of the euro zone in December yesterday, which further increased to 5% year-on-year. However, the president of the European Central Bank Lagarde said that the European Central Bank would not raise interest rates this year. The risk is supported by no interest rate hike, and the German DAX index rose by 0.65%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.30%; Compared with Britain, where the market expects to raise interest rates, Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.06%. U.S. stocks opened higher and closed lower, following the rise of Asian and European stock markets. The Dow Jones index opened higher, with the highest rise of 461 points, reaching a high of 35,490 points throughout the day. However, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the rise in inflation was beyond the expectations of all experts. However, she added that the responsibility for dealing with inflation should be shared by the Federal Reserve and the Biden administration. The remarks of overstepping one's duties provoked a market reaction, and the difference in the number of first-time jobless claims was worse than market expectations, and the Dow Jones index was riding a roller coaster. Eventually fell by 313 points or 0.89%; The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 51 points or 1.13%, and the Nasdaq index fell 186 points or 1.3% to close. The gold price rose first and then fell, and the gold market was closed for most of yesterday, with the lowest price of 1,836 US dollars. Entering the US market, the US Department of Labor announced the number of first-time jobless claims last week. The number of applicants reached 286,000, which was not only worse than expected, but also increased for the third consecutive week. Long investors attacked with weak labor data. The price of gold rose by nearly ten dollars, reaching the highest of 1847.9 dollars. However, the market is still worried about the trend of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting next week. The price of gold dropped from its highest level in nearly eight weeks, and finally closed at $1,839.4, down $1.2. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-20

January 20th Today's volatility range: The international oil price has been at a high level for nearly eight years, and once rose above $87 per barrel, indicating that the shortage of supply refining and Russia's problems in crude oil supply have forced the crude oil price upward, which will affect all downstream production costs. The market turned to anti-inflation gold products, and the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds returned after rising for three days in a row. The U.S. dollar index also fell due to the rise of the British pound and the euro, which benefited the gold market. The price of gold rose by more than yesterday. Thirty dollars. It is expected that it will still fluctuate before next week's interest rate meeting date, and today's suggested volatility is 1828 to 1844 dollars.   Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell lower. The Hang Seng Index fell by 161 points at most, and once fell below the 24,000 mark. Liu Guoqiang, deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, said at the news conference as soon as possible that he would "respond to the general concerns of the market in a timely manner" Interpreted by the market as a signal to relax lending in the financial market, it was obvious that yesterday's domestic property stocks stole up, and finally the Hang Seng Index stopped falling and rose by 15 points or 0.06%, ending the 3-day decline. British Prime Minister Johnson was caught in the epidemic. Still holding a party, being complained and distrusted by members of Congress, as the leading actor who still has power, how can he voluntarily surrender the right to meet, and the way to quickly build popularity is to cancel the epidemic prevention policy that disturbs people; Yesterday Britain The media confirmed from Prime Minister Johnson that the epidemic restriction measures will end next week, which will help to downplay the political crisis he is facing. The market generally believes that even if the British Prime Minister is really asked to present his successor. Nor will it make significant economic changes. In addition, the inflation data of the UK in December increased by 5.4% year-on-year, the highest in nearly 30 years. Therefore, investors believe that the Bank of England will raise interest rates by 0.25% next week, which is expected to push up the price of the British pound against the US dollar and Europe. In the stock market, the German DAX index rose by 0.24%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.55%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.35%. US stocks opened higher and closed lower, while international oil prices continued to hit the highest level since 2014, once rising above 87 US dollars per barrel. Showing the shortage of supply refining and Russia's problems in crude oil supply, the price of crude oil was forced upward, which would affect all downstream production costs, and aggravated the market's forecast for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates early. The three major Wall Street indexes were for two consecutive days. Fall sharply, Dow Jones index fell 0.96%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.97%, and the Nasdaq Index fell 1.37% to close. International oil price enterprises have been at a high level in the past eight years, and once rose above 87 dollars per barrel, highlighting that the United States has been in the past 50 years. Since the biggest inflation pressure, investors have turned to the gold market. The yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose for three days in a row, and the U.S. dollar index also fell due to the rise of British pound and euro. Yesterday, the price of gold rebounded sharply and rose above $1,830. The lowest price was $1,810.3, the highest price was $1,843.4, and finally it closed at $1,840.6, up by $26.8. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-19

January 19th Today's volatility range: International oil price enterprises have been at a high level in the past eight years, highlighting that the United States is under the biggest inflationary pressure in the past 50 years, the market expects the Fed to raise interest rates early, and the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds has returned to the pre-epidemic level. Put pressure on the gold market. It is expected that the price of gold will still fluctuate between 1780 and 1820 before the interest rate meeting date. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1806 to $1818.   Yesterday, Hong Kong released the unemployment figures for the last quarter of last year. The figures show that the number of unemployed people has dropped for ten consecutive months, but the number of unemployed people in Hong Kong is still as high as 140,000. Although official figures show that the labor market has improved, it is new. A wave of epidemic has been quietly killed, not to mention the most damaging tourism industry. Even the catering industry, which has slightly improved, has returned to the hard battlefield because of the government's tightening of epidemic prevention measures, and the customs clearance in the mainland, which the government has focused on, has been delayed. The prospect is not optimistic; The longer the local epidemic drags on, the worse the economic performance of Hong Kong will be! The Hang Seng Index is facing the challenge of falling below the 24,000 mark again. Hong Kong stocks rose first and then fell yesterday, and finally closed down by 105 points or 0.43%. British Prime Minister Johnson faced a political crisis because he still held a party during the epidemic, and as many as 30 letters were submitted by Conservative MPs to express his distrust of Johnson. Johnson will present it voluntarily? Who will succeed him? The missing position? It added a new unstable factor to the Brexit and epidemic situation in Britain. In addition, the newly announced number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the UK is larger than expected, which also affects the performance of European stock markets, with the German DAX index falling by 1.01%; Paris, France CAC index fell by 0.94%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.63%. When the US stock market reopens after the holiday, it is selling now, and the international oil price has reached the highest level since 2014, which highlights the distorted rise of inflation in the epidemic, and at the same time, aggravates the market pair. According to the Federal Reserve's forecast of raising interest rates early, the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds soared, reaching 1.88%, which directly pushed the level before the Covid-19 pandemic. Bond prices fell, which lowered the attractiveness of the stock market and the three major Wall Street indexes. Fall sharply, Dow Jones index fell 1.51%; The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 1.74%, and the Nasdaq index fell 2.66% to close. International oil price enterprises have been at a high level in the past eight years, highlighting that the United States is in the biggest inflation pressure in the past 50 years. Force. Due to the rising inflationary pressure, the market's expectation for the Fed to raise interest rates early is heating up, and the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds has returned to the pre-epidemic level, which has become an unfavorable factor in the gold market. Yesterday, the lowest price of gold was $1,805.8, the highest. 1822.8 dollars, and finally closed at 1813.8 dollars, down 5.5 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-18

January 18th Today's volatility range: Faced with the biggest inflationary pressure since the 1950s, several Fed officials spoke last week to support the possibility of raising interest rates in March. Some investment banks have also reported that in order to cope with the worsening inflation, the Federal Reserve Will raise interest rates five times this year. But the truth is, we have to wait for the Federal Reserve's meeting on interest rates from January 25th to 26th. Now that Fed officials have entered the silence period, the volatility of the gold market has narrowed. It is not clear that the gold price is expected to raise interest rates. The exact period will fluctuate between 1780 and 1820. Today's suggested volatility ranges from 1806 yuan to 1823 dollars.   According to the economic data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China in the last quarter of last year, in 2021, China's GDP increased by 8.1% year-on-year, slightly lower than the market expectation of 8.4% growth for the whole year. Plus domestic recent days Many provinces and cities found Covid-19, and the relevant government immediately closed the area. Some researchers pointed out that China's zero-clearing policy would create a longer-term community burden and stifle economic growth. On the contrary, European and American countries are now dealing with epidemic situation. The policy of co-existence with viruses is gradually getting results, with hundreds of thousands of shocking figures slowly dropping back to tens of thousands of digits every day. Therefore, in the long run, China's manufacturing industry may become unstable in supply due to the state of stopping and opening. There is a risk that production will move out. Coupled with the political disputes between China and the United States, in the long run, it will lose out to western countries. The mainland's economic growth was lower than expected, coupled with the lingering COVID-19 epidemic in China and Hong Kong. Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed lower. The Hang Seng Index fell 165 points or 0.68% to close, and the market also shrank, with a record of 105.3 billion. Domestic production in the UK in November The monthly growth of the total value has accelerated to 0.9%, which is faster than the expansion before the Covid-19 pandemic. In addition, with the opening of the Swiss Davos Economic Forum, the market expects that political and business leaders of various countries will make suggestions and promote mutual cooperation. Normalize global economic production. Optimistic atmosphere pushed the market to rise. The three major European stock markets rose comprehensively yesterday, and the German DAX index rose by 0.32%. Paris CAC index rose by 0.82%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.91%. Yesterday was Martin Luther King's Day, and the US stock market was closed for the holiday. Faced with the biggest inflationary pressure since the 1950s, several Fed officials spoke last week to support the possibility of raising interest rates in March. There are also reports from investment banks, Said that in order to cope with the worsening inflation, the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates five times this year. But the truth is, we have to wait for the Federal Reserve's meeting on interest rates from January 25th to 26th. Now federal reserve officials have entered a silent period, and yesterday the gold market was again affected by the United States After a long holiday, the volatility narrowed. The lowest price of gold was 1813.2 USD, the highest price was 1823.2 USD, the volatility was only 10 USD, and finally it closed at 1819.3 USD, up 1.3 USD. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-17

January 17th Today's volatility range: The U.S. Federal Reserve has started the policy of quantitative easing in December, and more hawks support raising interest rates early in March. However, Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, thinks that the soaring inflation rate in the United States is largely due to COVID-19. The confusion caused by the symptom pandemic is related, and the recent retail data is booming and the job market is getting worse. Is the Fed raising interest rates in the second quarter according to market consensus, or is it completely controlled by hawkish officials? It is expected that the price of gold will raise interest rates. No definite period will fluctuate between 1780 and 1820. Today's suggested volatility ranges from 1806 yuan to 1820 dollars. At present, there is a The 5th Wave epidemic in Hong Kong. Before the Lunar New Year, the Hong Kong government tightened social restrictions. It is expected that many vendors will lose their budgets. The more serious industries are the catering industry which has been shut down for the night market, and the whole year is looking forward to the new year's performance. Flower farmers and flower merchants who earn more. Although Hong Kong's market is gray, the stock market is still supported by the national team. The Hang Seng Index fell less and rose more last week, and rose again last week, keeping the record of four consecutive weeks of rising. Hang Seng Index Up 890 points or 3.8%. In the rebound of epidemic situation in Europe, there is a clear threat to European economy. The European Central Bank said that inflation is at a high level, but some members said that they don't want to raise interest rates too early to avoid affecting economic recovery. And Britain In November, the monthly GDP growth accelerated to 0.9%, the three major European stock markets developed separately last week, and the German DAX index fell by 0.40%. Paris CAC index fell by 0.81%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.77%. Last week, the chairman of the Federal Reserve made a speech, which was not as hawkish as expected. However, the inflation in the United States continued to heat up last week, with a year-on-year increase of 5.5%. Many Fed officials preferred to raise interest rates in March, and the retail sales data in December was greatly lost. Market expectations, the biggest consumer festival in the west has gone backwards, which is the worst performance since February last year. new york stock market fell. In a week, Dow Jones index fell by 0.88%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.3%, Na The Nasdaq fell 0.28% to close. Last week's U.S. economic data showed mixed results, inflation continued to rise, but the retail market and job market were not satisfactory. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell spoke at the congressional testimony, and he The comments on current inflation in the United States are mild. On the contrary, more Fed officials prefer to raise interest rates early. The inconsistent interest rate hike cycle caused the gold price to rise. The lowest price of gold last week was $1,790.4 and the highest price was $1,828.2. Finally, it closed at $1,818. After a week, the price of gold rose by $21.4. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-14

January 14th Today's volatility range: Inflation in the United States continues to heat up, breaking the new high in nearly 40 years. Yesterday, several Fed officials expressed their support for the Fed to start raising interest rates in March this year. The price of gold is in two directions: global inflation and US interest rate hike. Walking under the power of the left. Today's suggested volatility ranges from 1806 yuan to 1825 dollars.   Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor attended the Legislative Council meeting to answer questions from Members, some of whom mentioned that the epidemic prevention policy of transportation and aircrew seemed to lack government supervision, and Mrs. Lam used her strength to give a warning, pointing to Hong Kong. In response to the epidemic situation, the quarantine of air cargo personnel has been greatly tightened, and now the air cargo capacity has been greatly reduced. If the situation is further tightened, some fresh foods, electronic products and medicines may not arrive in Hong Kong. Lin Tai's words It may be true, but the epidemic prevention for transportation and aircrew can still be improved? At least, Mrs. Lin didn't give a positive response to the question raised by some Members. Also, the Hong Kong government has always been good at it. The means of forbidding to levy can still be further implemented, including increasing punishment for violators and even considering criminalization. Because of the shortage of supply chain caused by the COVID-19 epidemic, there are different levels of inflation in the world. Yesterday was the Chief Executive's warning of future inflation in Hong Kong. Although Hong Kong is close to the mainland, Hong Kong lacks its own resources, most of which All products depend on imports, and it is expected that Hong Kong's inflation will increase faster than the progress of economic recovery. In December last year, the United States announced that while withdrawing from quantitative easing, it would raise interest rates to fight inflation, although the Federal Reserve has not yet The specific dates are listed, but there is a consensus in the market that Hong Kong's financial sector has been rising for several days. However, the weak accumulation of domestic property stocks has also dragged down its property management industry. The Hang Seng Index struggled at 24,000 points yesterday, and finally rose by 27 points or 0.11% to close the market. Benefiting from the fact that the chairman of the Federal Reserve was not as hawkish as he thought, and the deterioration of inflation in the United States was not so serious, the European stock market consolidated slightly after rising for two days in a row. The three major European stock markets developed separately yesterday, and the German DAX index rose by 0.13%. Paris CAC index fell 0.5%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.16%. The U.S. Department of Labor announced that last week, the number of leaders' unemployment benefits returned to 2.3 million, which was worse than expected. In addition, many Fed officials expressed their support for the Fed to start raising interest rates in March this year. The news shook the Wall Street stock market. About three major indexes fell for the second consecutive day, with Dow Jones index falling 0.49%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 1.42%, and the Nasdaq index fell 2.57% to close. The price of gold rose first and then fell, and the gold market rose as soon as possible. The momentum, the early gold price made good, coupled with the poor performance of the US labor data, the highest once rose to $1,828.2. However, in their speeches, many Fed officials who entered the US market expressed their support for the Fed to start raising interest rates in March this year, and then to pay more attention to gold. As a result of market pressure, the lowest price of gold was 1812.4 yesterday, and finally it closed at 1822.8 US dollars, down 3.4 US dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-13

January 13th Today's volatility range: The inflation in the United States continues to heat up, breaking the new high in nearly 40 years, and the early moderate speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the congressional testimony eliminates the pressure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates early. Gold price became anti-inflation yesterday. Investment tools, however, the period when the United States begins to raise interest rates should not be far off, and it is still waiting for the high level to be empty. Keep yesterday's suggested range of 1,800 yuan to 1,828 dollars. Following the early upward trend of U.S. stocks due to the moderate attitude of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, Hong Kong stocks opened 330 points higher yesterday. After that, the National Bureau of Statistics released the consumer price index of mainland residents, and the data showed inflation in the mainland. There was a drop, which provided a space to stimulate the rise of technology stocks. After that, Hong Kong stocks rose more and more, and the Hang Seng Index finally rose by 663 points or 2.79%, and the turnover was also lively, reaching HK$ 153.6 billion. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell When attending the congressional witness meeting, the speech was not as hawkish as expected, eliminating the market pressure on the United States to raise interest rates early. The yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds dropped from a high level, catalyzing the pursuit of risk markets. Europe's top three yesterday The stock market rose across the board, with the German DAX index rising by 0.43%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.75%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.81%. Just as Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said when attending the congressional testimony, US inflation will continue for a while, and the newly released US inflation data is supporting Powell's statement that last night, US core consumption The price index increased by 5.5% year-on-year higher than expected, while the American consumer price index rose to 7% year-on-year, the highest since 1982. After the release of inflation data, several Federal Reserve made speeches on inflation respectively. In his speech yesterday, Federal Reserve official Brad said that in the case of high inflation, there is a great possibility of raising interest rates in March, and warned that there may be four interest rate hikes in 2022, knowing that Brad was on the 12th of last year. At the meeting on interest rates in June, he was one of many representatives who supported raising interest rates three times this year, and his hawkish position was obvious. Brainerd, another Fed governor, is more moderate. He agrees that the inflation rate is too high. Admittedly, slowing down excessive inflation is the most important task of the Federal Reserve, but he also pointed out that while reducing inflation, it is also necessary to maintain economic recovery. He pointed out that the Federal Reserve should focus on maintaining the strength and resilience of the financial system, which is the first task. Is to protect economic benefits and help economic recovery. Daley, another Fed official, said that the supply and demand will reach a balance as much as half a year, which will naturally lower inflation, and said that interest rate hikes could be started as early as March. The International Monetary Fund warned the world to face greater uncertainty and potential turmoil under the threat of Covid-19, but pointed out that inflation had a chance to fall in the short term. Combined with the early speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market thought that the United States Inflation will be controlled, offsetting the pressure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates early. The three major Wall Street indexes rose for the second consecutive day across the board, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.11%. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.31%, and the Nasdaq Index rose 0.23% to close. Inflation in the United States continues to heat up, breaking nearly 40 years since the United States ushered in a new high. In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a speech at an early congressional testimony, and his comments on current inflation in the United States were mild, which eliminated the possibility that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates early. Pressure, the lowest price of gold was 1814.8 yesterday. After the inflation data was released, the highest price of gold was 1828.1 USD, and finally it closed at 1826.2 USD, up 4.6 USD. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-12

January 12th Today's volatility range: Chairman Powell of the Federal Reserve spoke at the congressional testimony. His comments on the current inflation in the United States were mild, and there was no news that the Federal Reserve would speed up the early interest rate hike. His expression was positive for the gold market. Influence. The yield of 10-year bonds dropped from a high level, and the price of gold ushered in Xiaoyangchun. However, under the contradictory forces of interest rate hike and strong inflation, the bulls tasted the sweetness first yesterday, but today they can wait for the high position to be empty. Suggested amplitude 1800 to 1828 dollars. The 5th Wave broke out in Hong Kong. Earlier, it was reported that the Education Bureau announced that it would stop face-to-face classes this week. However, the Education Bureau responded that it had no intention of making this decision for the time being, but unexpectedly, after only one day, it turned its back. Yesterday, the Education Bureau suddenly Issue a suspension order to announce that all kindergartens, child care centers and primary schools in Hong Kong will stop face-to-face classes on or before this Friday. Due to the epidemic situation in The 5th Wave and the tightening of the community segregation policy by the Hong Kong government, the vaccination rate in COVID-19 is remarkable. Urgent, the government decided to increase the number of vaccination centers in Hong Kong to fourteen. Now Mrs. Lin's government can finally calculate the results! Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks were struggling. The Hang Seng Index opened 14 points lower and rose over 100 points, but the mainland A-share market declined. The Hang Seng Index finally fell, down 7 points or 0.03%, and the turnover was lower than yesterday, less than HK$ 130 billion. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell attended the congressional hearing last night, where he offered his views on inflation and the United States. The economic outlook is more positive, and the view is more moderate. The news made the tail market of the three major European indexes go higher, the three major European stock markets rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 1.11%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.95%; British FTSE 100 The index rose by 0.62%. Chairman Powell of the Federal Reserve commented on inflation when attending the congressional testimony yesterday. He said that the soaring inflation rate in the United States is largely related to the chaos caused by the COVID-19 symptom pandemic. If Fed officials see inflation, It lasted longer than expected and caused deep-rooted risks to the economy, so they had to further raise interest rates with the passage of time. However, he said that the Fed had not made any decision on the timing of the normalization process. Any decision, he added, the Fed will reduce its balance sheet earlier and faster than last time, but at least they usually hold 2-4 more meetings before making a decision. The three major indexes of Wall Street have finally stabilized in the new year. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's affirmation of the economic prospects of the United States, and his moderate stance at the congressional witness meeting, at least in his testimony, did not provide any evidence of an early rate hike. The American stock market immediately became boiling, Dow Jones. The index rose by 0.51%; The S&P 500 index rose 0.95%, and the Nasdaq index rose 1.41% to close the market. Chairman Powell of the Federal Reserve spoke at the congressional testimony. His comments on current inflation in the United States were mild, and there was no news that the Federal Reserve would speed up the early interest rate hike. His expression had a positive impact on the gold market. The price of gold yesterday. The lowest price was 1800.2. After Powell's speech, the price of gold went up all the way, and the highest price was 1823.4 dollars, closing at 1821.6 dollars, up 19.8 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-11

January 11th Today's volatility range: The Federal Reserve announced the minutes of last month's meeting, indicating that the pace of interest rate hike will be accelerated. Some investment banks have reported that the United States will raise interest rates four times this year. However, the market is divided on the inflation facing the United States, and some have studied American inflation. American inflation, under the attack of house price and salary, will exceed 7% this year. Under the contradictory forces of interest rate hike and strong inflation, the price of gold has temporarily lost its direction and is expected to fluctuate between 1780 and 1820 dollars. The suggested volatility is 1793 yuan to 1809 dollars. The epidemic in The 5th Wave has reached the community, and it is reported that the government has issued instructions to all civil servants that they should be vaccinated before the 16th of next month, and that doctors' test reports should be cancelled as surrogates, otherwise they will not be allowed to work in government offices, that is, they will be dismissed in disguise. According to the relevant guidelines of the subway staff, this will make more people accept the vaccination work and push up the vaccination rate of this newspaper. Hong Kong stocks have not followed the US stock market recently. After Beishui re-invested in Hong Kong stock market, Hang Seng Index It rose for three days in a row. Yesterday, on the news of the interest rate hike in the United States, financial stocks took the lead and became the locomotive of the upward trend. Banks in Hong Kong generally rose by 2% to 3%. The Hang Seng Index rose by 253 points or 1.08% again yesterday, reaching more than 800 points, and the transaction was completed. It also rose significantly by nearly HK$ 140 billion. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend the congressional hearing tonight. Before the hearing, there was risk aversion in the market. The three major European stock markets all fell, and the German DAX index fell by 1.13%. France Paris CAC index fell by 1.44%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.54%. The minutes of the meeting of the Federal Reserve released by the United States last Wednesday showed that in the policy meeting last month, many officials supported a faster rate hike. Some investment banks even expect the United States to raise interest rates four times this year, and Fed officials prefer it. In 2022, interest rates will be raised three times and more. The pressure of raising interest rates made it difficult for the US stock market to move forward. The three major indexes of Wall Street developed separately, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.45%. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.14%, and the Nasdaq index had inserted 2.7% at most. The market closed up and rebounded, eventually rising by 0.05%. The yield of U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds rose to 1.8% in Asian session yesterday, a record high of nearly two years, and the price of gold fell sensitively to the interest rate, the worst of which was 1790.4 yesterday, but after that, the stock market fell and safe-haven funds were used. Flowing into the gold market, the price of gold went up, reaching the highest of $1,802.4 and closing at $1,801.8, up by $5.2. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-10

On January 10 Today's range: Hawkish comments from the Fed's minutes of last month's meeting, which showed a faster pace of rate hikes, kept gold under pressure, and Friday's non-farm data was less than half of what the market expected, barely weak The rally that brought gold back to $1,790 after last week's multiple breaks below $1,800 finally expired on Friday, when bears took over a two-week bridgehead known as a bottom reversal. Become the next wave of upward resistance. Today is still bearish gold, recommended range of $1780 to $1800. The Hong Kong government has been tightening its community quarantine policies, from eating out to limiting, since infected crew members began roaming the community, triggering multigenerational transmission and triggering a COVID-19 crisis in Hong Kong officialdom With flights arriving from eight hardest-hit countries, the education bureau is expected to announce the end of face-to-face classes this week, but the bureau says it has no intention of doing so. On the economic impact of the fifth wave of COVID-19 in Hong Kong, Financial officials pointed out that a renewed outbreak of the epidemic in Hong Kong would be a negative factor for Hong Kong's economic recovery. Besides, Hong Kong is an export-oriented economy and is vulnerable to a number of external changes, including external changes The pandemic, continued bottlenecks in global supply chains and rising fuel and commodity prices have led central banks in the US and Europe to adjust monetary policy in the face of sustained inflationary pressures. If the situation continues, there is a chance to trigger funds Losses could cause asset prices to fall and even deal a serious blow to the real economy. The fifth wave of the novel coronavirus outbreak in Hong Kong, involving senior government officials, and the signal of the US interest rate hike, Hong Kong stocks fell first and then rose last week, with the Hang Seng index up 95.7 points or 0.41% over the week. Although the outbreak is still raging, who experts say there is considerable evidence that the Omicron variant causes milder symptoms than its predecessor. Investors turned positive on risk markets, three of Europe's biggest stocks Markets rose across the board last week, with Germany's DAX up 0.82%; France's Paris CAC index rose 0.93%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 1.36 percent. The US Federal Reserve minutes released on Wednesday showed a decline in the previous month A number of officials at the U.S. policy meeting supported faster rate hikes. The record shows officials leaning toward three rate increases of 0.25 percent each in 2022, three more in 2023 and two more in 2024. But faster and more frequent rate hikes cannot be ruled out. The hawkish comments continued to affect investment markets for the next two trading days. In the US, for example, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell from a record high on the day of the announcement. All three major Wall Street indexes posted losses last week under pressure to raise interest rates, The Dow was down 0.29%; The STANDARD & Poor's 500 index fell 2.02%, while the Nasdaq fell 4.46%. Gold ended the week down $32.20, its worst performance in six weeks. Gold peaked last week at $1,831.8, but the Fed raised interest rates The pace will pick up, with 10-year Treasury bonds pushing up to 1.73 percent on the fed's early rate hike, hitting gold at its worst at $1782.7, but Friday's non-farm data was half of what the market was expecting. The weak data pushed prices back to close at $1796.6. For detailed analysis and suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and contact the administrator https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-07

January 7th Today's volatility range: The minutes of last month's meeting released by the Federal Reserve showed that the pace of raising interest rates would be accelerated, and hawkish remarks kept the price of gold under pressure. Yesterday, the number of people claiming unemployment benefits for the first time returned to more than 200,000 again. Will there be any comment on the non-agricultural data tonight? Make a preview? The market is expected to increase 400,000 jobs, which should not be the case from Wednesday's private survey. Today, we are still bearish on the price of gold, suggesting a range of 1,775 yuan to 1,796 dollars. Hong Kong's officialdom broke out in COVID-19, which was affected by the crisis. As many as 12 high-ranking officials attended the birthday parties of political celebrities. Among the nearly 100 guests who attended, one of them was proved to be a close contact of the Victoria Park dance group. Afterwards, the Secretary for Home Affairs, Xu Yingwei, was listed as a preliminary confirmed case and had to be sent to Penny's Quarantine Center for isolation. His colleague, Feng Yinglun, political assistant of the Development Bureau, also confirmed that he was listed as a close contact. Also need to be sent to quarantine center for isolation. Yesterday, Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor admitted that he was disappointed that many senior officials failed to lead by example under the epidemic, and even named Xu Yingwei as the one who needed to be held accountable for his actions. Lin is not partial. Naturally, it is rare, but compared with the accident of two Cathay Pacific stewardesses, Mrs. Lin summoned the chairman of Cathay Pacific to "look at the lungs" on New Year's Eve, saying that they needed to "take leadership responsibility", which seemed a little worse. The The 5th Wave outbreak in Hong Kong implicated senior government officials. Coupled with the signal of interest rate increase in the United States, the Hong Kong stock market dropped by nearly 200 points, but there was buying in the tail market, and the Hang Seng Index eventually rose by 165 points or 0.72%. At the same time of ending the losing streak, it also returned to the level of 23,000 points. The Fed's signal of raising interest rates early put pressure on the stock market. The three major stock markets in Europe fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 1.35%. France ba Li CAC index fell by 1.72%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.88%. The United States announced the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Reserve as soon as possible, showing that the day of raising interest rates is coming, and the interest rate will be raised as soon as the first quarter of this year is completed, so that The global risk market generally fell, and many economic data failed to meet the standards yesterday. Among them, the number of first-time jobless claims increased from 207,000 to 207,000, which also became a negative factor in the market. All three major Wall Street indexes recorded losses. Dow Jones fell 0.47%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.1%, while the Nasdaq index fell 0.13%. Yesterday, after the gold price opened slightly higher to $1811.6 in Asian session, it was bombarded by bears. Although the bulls tried to fight back after falling below $1800, in the end, the national debt raised interest rates in advance by the Federal Reserve in ten years. The effect went up to 1.73%, causing the price of gold to quickly fall below the mark of 1800 and 1790 dollars, reaching the lowest of 1786.4 dollars and closing at 1790.9 dollars, down 19.4 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-06

January 6th Today's volatility range: Yesterday, the non-agricultural changes doubled compared with market expectations, but this data instead supported the arrangement of the Fed to raise interest rates early. After that, the Federal Reserve announced the minutes of last month's meeting, indicating that the pace of raising interest rates will be accelerated, and hawkish remarks will put pressure on the price of gold. Like yesterday's comments, it is difficult for the market to benefit the gold price if the Federal Reserve starts raising interest rates as expected. Today's suggested range is 1800 yuan to 1815 dollars. Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor said that in response to the outbreak of Omicron virus in Hong Kong community, he decided to tighten epidemic prevention measures, including banning dining in the hall after 6 pm on Friday, and re-issuing a four-person gathering restriction order, which also announced the suspension. Large-scale activities. In addition, flights from eight countries including the United States and Canada were also suspended. With the outbreak of The 5th Wave epidemic, the government tightened epidemic prevention measures, and many industries stepped into the cold winter, which hit investors' confidence. Hong Kong stocks opened higher yesterday. After 33 o'clock, it turned to fall, and it fell deeper and deeper. The Hang Seng Index finally closed down by 382 points or 1.64%, falling below 23,000 points. Although the epidemic is still raging, experts from the World Health Organization say that there is much evidence that Omicron COVID-19 variant virus causes milder symptoms than previous variants. There is a new strain of virus in France, but experts say it will not put pressure on the medical system, and British Prime Minister Johnson reiterated that Britain will not implement it. Seal the city. The three major European stock markets rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 0.74%. Paris CAC index rose by 0.81%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.16%. Last night, the United States announced the change of non-agricultural employment in December last year, and the number of employees doubled compared with market expectations, reaching 807,000. The risk market thought it was a good prospect, but the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting released yesterday showed that, in the last one, In the policy meeting last month, many officials proposed to raise interest rates faster. The records show that officials prefer to raise interest rates three times in 2022, each time by 0.25%, further raise interest rates three times in 2023 and raise interest rates twice in 2024. However, it is not excluded that there will be faster and more frequent interest rate hikes. "Hawkish" remarks shook the investment market, the Dow Jones index fell from a historical high, with a loss of 1.07%, while the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell by 1.97%. Under the pressure of raising interest rates, Nasdaq The Nasdaq index performed the worst, dropping 3.34%. Last month, the data of the number of non-agricultural employment was greatly improved, but it didn't hinder the rise of gold price. The reason is that the market has expected that on the eve of Christmas and New Year holidays, retail and catering employers are willing to hire more employees. The price of gold rose to a high of $1,829.6, but the minutes of last month's meeting released by the Federal Reserve of the United States showed that the pace of raising interest rates would be accelerated, with 10-year Treasury bonds rising above 1.7% and the price of gold being suppressed. The lowest price of gold was $1,808.3, closing at $1,810.3. Down 4.2 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2022-01-05

January 5th Today's volatility range: Overnight, 1 million cases of infection in the United States caused market panic, and the performance of organization data was worse than the budget. The price of gold rebounded yesterday and showed strong support at $1,800. There will be non-agricultural food at 21:15 tonight. Data, the market expects 400,000 jobs. It is expected that the data will make the market fluctuate, but it will not be unilateral. On the contrary, the market expects that it is difficult for the Federal Reserve to start raising interest rates as expected to benefit the gold price. Today's suggested volatility 1807 to 1817 dollars. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang presided over the State Council executive meeting. In order to manage tax evasion, enterprises, partners or wholly-owned companies with high risks or bad records are no longer accepted to calculate taxes by evaluation methods. Targeted efforts to increase inflation will be launched. This measure to bring order out of chaos will have a profound impact on investment companies, employees holding shares in listed companies, entertainers and online celebrity e-commerce. Most importantly, according to the state affairs, According to the institute, all those who have been hit must pay the taxes of the previous two years before 31st of this month, that is, not only pay the taxes of the new year, but also add the tax difference calculated by the evaluation method in the early years. Expect to raise funds Capital will affect the investment market in the short term, especially the prices of the stock and real estate markets. The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.2% and 0.44% respectively yesterday. The change of tax policy in the mainland hit the mainland stock market, and the North Water chose to go south, and the turnover in the big market increased to more than 100 billion Hong Kong dollars. Finally, the Hang Seng Index closed up by 15 points or 0.06%. Although the epidemic is still raging, the World Health Organization Experts say that there is a lot of evidence that the symptoms caused by the Omicron COVID-19 variant virus are milder than those caused by previous variants. Investors turned positive to the risk market, the three major European stock markets rose by more than 1%, and the German DAX index rose. 0.99%； Paris CAC index rose by 1.5%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.65%. With the continued spread of Omicron virus, nearly one million new infections were recorded in the United States yesterday, and the market was still trapped by the epidemic. The three major indexes of Wall Street developed separately, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.59%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.06%; The Nasdaq index closed down 1.33%. The epidemic situation in the United States is severe, coupled with the manufacturing purchasing index and the temporary workers market. Both were inferior to market expectations, and the price of gold was boosted. The lowest price of gold was $1,798.5, but it was supported when it fell below $1,800. The highest price rose to a high of $1,816.8, closing at $1,814.5, up by $13.3. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat