Gold market analysis

2022-12-09

December 9th Today's amplitude range Yesterday, the price of gold rose repeatedly. Although the price of gold rose for three consecutive days, the volatility of the gold market narrowed to less than ten dollars yesterday, and the market outlook may fluctuate. The US dollar index is at 104 points Getting enough support is the key to the gold market, but even the U.S. Treasury Secretary is reluctant to comment on whether the dollar has peaked against other currencies. It is expected that gross gold will be extremely good and limited. gold The price is still "awkward", but it is still expected to be subject to $1,800, and the basic operation is still at high altitude. The suggested volatility today is $1,785 to $1,798. China had bad relations with Britain and America, and was marginalized by a western country headed by the United States in the process of trade; On Wednesday, the import and export figures released by the mainland customs always reflected The damage caused by de-China. The country is also aware of the problem, and it has repeatedly guided the United States to give up bullying, and on the other hand, it has also sought or increased. Strengthening trade relations with other countries, president visited Saudi Arabia yesterday, setting a milestone for establishing new relations with Middle East countries. In addition, the mainland Once again, the epidemic control measures were optimized, and the results were immediate. Hong Kong officials immediately woke up and cooperated. Yesterday, they immediately announced that the isolation and quarantine time would be relaxed from today to five days. Stocks rebounded sharply, fully recovering Wednesday's decline. The Hang Seng Index closed at 19,450 points, soaring by 635 points or 3.38% The fear of global economic recession lingers in the market, and after the European stocks closed last night, European Central Bank President Lagarde will make a speech, and investors' investment strategies are trending. Prudent, for fear of hawkish words dragging down the market, the three major European stock markets eventually developed independently, and the German DAX index rose by 0.02%; Paris CAC index 0.2% drop; % Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.22%. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said yesterday that the U.S. recession was not inevitable, and her speech stimulated investment. Optimism about the risk market, coupled with the fact that the number of initial jobless claims announced yesterday has increased compared with last week, the market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The space of strength narrowed, the three major stock indexes on Wall Street rose across the board, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.54%; The S&P 500 index rose by 0.75%; Nasdaq composite index Up by 1.13%. The price of gold rose again and again yesterday, for three days in a row. The gold market continued its upward trend in the early stage, but the increase was moderate. After the latest labor data was released in the United States, the performance was mixed. The market is expected, but it grows by more than 4,000 people per week. The market expects that the probability of the Fed raising interest rate by 50 points next week will rise by nearly 80%, and the US dollar index will go back to 105, and the price of gold will rise. Although it rose for three consecutive days, the volatility of the gold market narrowed to less than ten dollars yesterday, and the market outlook may fluctuate. Yesterday, the gold price peaked at $1,794.9 and finally reached $1,789.1. Dollar closed, up 3 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-12-08

December 8th Today's amplitude range China's economic recovery rate is still constrained by the conservative epidemic prevention policy. Due to the expected reduction of fuel demand, the price of U.S. oil futures dropped to the end of this year, releasing Part of the inflationary pressure in the United States, coupled with the announcement of a 50-point interest rate increase by the Bank of Canada in North America, the market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates with the same strength next week, and the price of gold Up 15 dollars. The price of gold is "awkward", but it is still expected to be subject to $1,800, and $1,794, which is close to the average price of 200 scales, can open short positions. today Suggested volatility is $1,776 to $1,794. Yesterday, the General Administration of Customs of China released the trade data for November. The figures show that China's international trade activities are in recession, and the import and export figures show a year-on-year decline. It was larger than the market expectation, falling by 10.6% and 8.7% respectively. Although the trade surplus was still maintained, the surplus narrowed to 69.84 billion US dollars, falling by more than 1.5 billion US dollars year on year. Yuan. The mainland trade data went bad, and U.S. stocks fell every other night, so the Hang Seng Index once again fell below the 19,000 mark. Hong Kong stocks opened 60 points lower, and buying came into the market in the early stage, constant The index once rose to nearly 300 points. Although the mainland once again relaxed epidemic control measures and introduced ten new policies, the market was disappointed that it failed to reach the level of coexistence with the virus. Hang Seng Index plunged 626 points or 3.22% to close at 18,814 points. Investors are worried that the global economy is going into recession, and hope that the recovery will be on China, which gave up the zero policy. Unfortunately, the new ten epidemic prevention policies in China announced yesterday are still in place. Like old wine and new bottle, it is still a long way from the standard of virus coexistence, which is a big loss of market expectations. The three major European stock markets reported a fall across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 0.59. %； Paris CAC index fell by 0.43%; % Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.41%. Although the epidemic prevention policy in China seems to be relaxed, the conservative policy is dead. Stiff, failed to provide immediate solutions to the global supply chain, and the Jinlong China index, which reflects the performance of China's concept stocks, fell by about 3%, and the market declined to the global economy. The fear lingered, and the three major stock indexes of Wall Street developed separately, and the Dow Jones index closed flat; The S&P 500 index fell 0.19%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.51. %。 The market is still worried about the deterioration of global economic growth, and the speed of China's economic recovery is still subject to conservative epidemic prevention policies. Due to the expected reduction of fuel demand, the US period The price of oil dropped to the end of this year, releasing some inflationary pressure in the United States. In addition, the Bank of Canada, which is also in North America, announced a 50-point interest rate increase, and the market used it to measure the beauty. As for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, the US dollar index fell back to the level below 105. The gold price reached the highest of 1790.6 USD yesterday, the lowest of 1768.8 USD, and finally reached 1786.1 USD. The dollar closed, up 15.1 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-12-07

December 7th Today's amplitude range Global economic growth has deteriorated, inflation has become the culprit, and the interest rate increase of the Reserve Bank of Australia will trigger the attitude of the United Kingdom, the European Central Bank and the United States Federal Reserve to discuss interest rates again. The market tends to be conservative, U.S. stocks fall, the U.S. dollar index rises to the middle level of 105, and the gold price can only close slightly. It is expected that the upward trend of gold price will not continue today. today Suggested daily volatility is $1,759 to $1,775. The rating agency Reputation lowered its global economic growth forecast again because the global central banks are competing to raise interest rates to suppress inflation, which ultimately affected economic growth, since the last time in September. The forecast growth of 1.7% was lowered to the latest 1.4% again. Among them, China will be affected by the deterioration of the real estate market in the Mainland, and China's economy will slow down. China's economic growth forecast has also been lowered from 4.5% to 4.1%. Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks opened lower by more than 300 points, and the low market position is now accepted. Finally, the market decline narrowed to At 7 o'clock or 0.4%, the Hang Seng Index closed at 19,441. The Reserve Bank of Australia announced yesterday that it would raise the interest rate by 0.25% to 3.1%. The latest central bank interest rate has become the highest in 10 years, and the Reserve Bank of Australia issued hawkish news. Interest rate, saying that it will insist on the need, and will adopt a more active interest rate hike to cool the inflation forecast. I believe that the attitude of the Australian Federal Reserve reflects the following of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank The atmosphere of monetary policy was discussed last week. All three major European stock markets reported a decline, and the German DAX index fell by 0.7%. Paris CAC index also fell by 0.14; % FTSE UK 00 index fell 0.56%. Fitch also lowered the US economic growth forecast by 0.3 percentage point to 0.2%, mainly due to the tightening of its monetary policy and the Reserve Bank of Australia. After the analysis of inflation by raising interest rates, investors reassessed the path of the Fed raising interest rates in the future. The three major stock indexes of Wall Street fell across the board, and the Dow Jones index fell by 1.03%. The S&P 500 index fell by 1.44%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 2.01%. Global economic growth has deteriorated, inflation has become the culprit, plus the Reserve Bank of Australia and Canada Interest rates will trigger the attitude of the United Kingdom, the European Central Bank and the United States Federal Reserve to discuss interest rates again. The market tends to be conservative, US stocks fall, and the US dollar index rises to the middle level of 105. Yesterday, the highest price of gold was $1,780.9, but there was obvious pressure. The lowest price of gold was $1,767.4, and finally it closed at $1,771, up $2.2. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-12-06

December 6th Today's amplitude range The performance of US economic data was unexpectedly better than market expectations. The pressure of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike triggered negative sentiment in the market. The price of gold increased immediately after hitting $1,810 yesterday. It's falling fast. Last week's rise above $1,800 seems to be false, and the journey of gold price bottoming is underway. The suggested volatility today is $1,759 to $1,778. Xi Jinping, president of the State Council, told EU officials visiting China that the lethality of the virus in China was weakening, and the market expected that a "basket" of factors had opened the gap. Speeding up the relaxation of epidemic control measures in the Mainland, the market expects that China's economic activities will speed up the recovery, and the rise of the mainland stock market, coupled with the fall of RMB against the US dollar, will also drive it. Hong Kong stocks continue to rise. The Hang Seng Index opened more than 500 points higher yesterday, and the market turnover was positive. HKEx recorded the highest turnover in more than half a year, and the turnover increased to Nearly 220 billion yuan, 19,000 points broke in one fell swoop and closed at 19,518 points. The Hang Seng Index closed up by 842 points or 4.51%. The purchasing managers' index of service industry in Germany and France declined, coupled with the negative growth of retail sales in the euro zone. The data was unfavorable to the risk market, and the European stock market failed. Follow the rising trend of Asian stock markets. On the other hand, Russia said it would not comply with the oil price ceiling measures proposed by the seven major industrial countries, threatening to suspend oil exports, and ordered Europe's energy crisis has further intensified, and the three major European stock markets have developed separately, with Germany's DAX index falling by 0.56%; Paris CAC index also fell by 0.67; % British rich The 100 index rose by 0.17%. The purchasing managers' index of American service industry fell slightly less than expected, but the purchasing managers' index of American Supply Chain Association unexpectedly rose, causing the market to worry about the Federal Reserve. May continue to tighten monetary policy, leading to an increase in the probability that the United States will fall into recession. On Monday, the three major stock indexes of Wall Street fell across the board, with the Dow Jones index falling by 1.41. %； The S&P 500 index fell by 1.79%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.93%. U.S. economic data unexpectedly outperformed market expectations, and the Federal Reserve added Interest rate triggered negative sentiment in the market, and the US dollar was once again welcomed by the market, and the US dollar index stabilized at 105 levels. The price of gold hit $1,810 yesterday, which led to short selling. The price of gold gradually dropped, and after the release of the US data, the gold market dropped significantly, reaching the lowest price of $1,765.9, and finally closing at $1,768.9, down by $28.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-12-05

December 5th Today's amplitude range China's epidemic prevention policy was suddenly relaxed at the peak of the epidemic. It is expected that China's economic activities will resume as soon as possible, which will help solve the global supply chain shortage problem. Ease the pressure of global inflation growth; In addition, although inflation in the euro zone has dropped, the figure is still 10% of double digits, and the European Central Bank will still increase it substantially. Interest rate. The U.S. dollar has softened relatively. Although the Federal Reserve has turned pigeons, it is expected to raise interest rates by 50 points. After all the good news in the gold market, if there is no new chemoattractant, the gold market It's also difficult to break above $1,800. Since it's not easy to break through, I tend to test the bottom bearing capacity again and again next week. If there is no new chemoattractant in the gold market, please pay attention to 18 00, today's volatility is suggested at $1797 to $1814. The epidemic situation in the mainland is still severe, and the mainland government insists on implementing the dynamic zero clearing policy. The move of sealing off districts and cities finally provoked the general public to rebound, and the "White Paper Operation" blossomed everywhere. The mainland government has an insight into the political crisis. Because of the long-term blockade in the past three years, people's grievances have been extremely deep, and the terrorist visits and demonstrations are out of control. the State Council called last Tuesday. A press conference was held, saying that the long-term closure really affected the people's normal production and living order, and the local government's law enforcement was too strong, so it was ordered that it must be corrected. Positive. One day after the announcement of the Order, the Guangzhou government, which has the most cases of infection in the Mainland, suddenly issued a notice, calling it the optimization of prevention and control measures, and several regions immediately lifted the temporary measures. Control area. The market expects that the mainland will abandon the zero clearing policy completely, China's economy will resume normal and accelerate, and the Hong Kong stock market will rise strongly, once rising through the 19,000 mark, and going up. It closed at 18,675 points a week, rising by 1,102 points or 6.27% a week. Last week, China suddenly relaxed its epidemic prevention measures, and investors hoped that mainland policy makers would adjust the definition of epidemic prevention with dynamic clearing, which would help normalize the global supply chain. In addition, Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, said that it is possible to slow down the rate hike at the last meeting of interest rate this year, and stimulate the risk asset market. European stock markets Since its development, the German stock market, which has been rising for eight weeks in a row, has finally stopped, and the German DAX index has dropped by 0.08% in a week; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.93%; Paris, France CAC index also rose by 0.44%. A number of data from the United States showed that the GDP grew by 2.9% quarter-on-quarter, better than expected, while small non-agricultural enterprises recorded a decline, among which the number of people in manufacturing and business services fell. While the salary survey leveled off, the actual personal expenditure fell quarter by quarter, but the decline was not as good as the market expectation, and the data was biased towards the dovish attitude of the Federal Reserve, while Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, also lived up to investors' expectations, saying that it might slow down the rate hike from December. New york's three major stock indexes rose across the board last week, saying Jones index rose by 0.24%; The S&P 500 index rose by 0.92%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.03%. After Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, said that the interest rate increase could begin in December, Barr, the vice chairman of the US Federal Reserve, released the pigeon again, saying that although the inflation in the United States is still extremely high. High level, but after a series of sharp interest rate hikes, it has been seen that the tightening of monetary policy has begun to take effect, and it is reasonable to slow down the rate hike when the interest rate is discussed in December. Practice. The Fed keeps releasing pigeons, and the market expects that the Fed will cut interest rates early. The US dollar index fell below 105 points, and the bull market in the gold market took advantage of the momentum. Last Monday, It rose above the $1,800 mark, with the highest price at $1,804.1, the lowest price of gold last week at $1,739.7, and finally closed at $1,797.8. In a week, the price of gold Up 44.2 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak  

2022-12-02

December 2nd Today's amplitude range The Federal Reserve continued to release pigeons, and the gold market exhibition rose unilaterally. The core personal consumer price index released yesterday was adjusted back to 2% in October, and the market believed that it had experienced the Federal Reserve. After several aggressive interest rate hikes, the upward pressure of inflation has been eased. The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates early, and the price of gold has continuously risen above 1784 and 1800 US dollars. Yuanguankou. The good news from the bulls has almost completely revealed that the gold market is about to slow down. The first thing is to keep the 1800 mark steady. Today's suggested volatility is $1788. To $1,806. Before the silent period of the Federal Reserve's meeting on interest rates, Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, lived up to investors' expectations, saying that it might slow down the rate hike from December. The news detonated that US stocks soared every other night. Yesterday, the Hang Seng Index was able to open more than 400 points higher, rising more than 640 points at most and once rising through the 19,000 mark, but the mainland In November, the purchasing managers' index of manufacturing industry was still lower than the dry and prosperous line, and the increase in the market narrowed. The 19,000-point mark was lost again, and the Hang Seng Index rose 139 points or 0.75% to 18,736. Point. The market turnover is booming, nearly 200 billion yuan. China suddenly relaxed its epidemic prevention measures, and investors hoped that mainland policy makers would adjust the definition of epidemic prevention that was dynamically cleared, which would help normalize the global supply chain, and add links. Powell, the chairman of the Reserve Board, said that it was possible to slow down the rate hike at the last interest rate meeting this year and stimulate the risk asset market. European stock markets generally rose. Only in while you are alone and helpless and poor, UK, the FTSE 100 index fell by 0.71%; German DAX index rose by 0.64%; Paris CAC index also rose by 0.23%. Barr, the vice chairman of the US Federal Reserve, released pigeons again, saying that although the inflation in the United States is still at a very high level, it has seen the tightening of the currency after a series of sharp interest rate hikes. The policy began to take effect, and it was considered reasonable to slow down the rate hike in December. Although the Federal Reserve continued to release pigeons, the new york stock market surged by more than 2% every other night. In addition, the manufacturing index contracted for the first time in two years, and investors' attitude turned. Prudent, the Dow Jones index fell 0.56%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.09%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.01%. The Federal Reserve keeps releasing pigeons, and the gold market shows. Unilateral market increase. The core personal consumer price index released yesterday was adjusted back to 2% in October. The market believes that after several aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, inflation is on the rise. The upward pressure has been eased, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates early. The price of gold rose through the 1800 mark, reaching a maximum of $1804.1, and finally reaching 18. 00 USD closed, up 31.8 USD. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-12-01

December 1st Today's amplitude range A number of economic data in the United States are biased towards the doves of the Federal Reserve, and Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of the United States, has not lived up to investors' expectations, saying that it may slow down the rate hike from December. Cut, the price of gold rose by 18 dollars. It is expected that the gold market will rise further, challenging the key position of the bottom-top reversal launched in March. Today's suggested volatility is $1768 to $1784. Yuan. Georgieva, Director-General of the International Monetary Fund, said that he called on China to abandon its strict containment measures and respond to the COVID-19 outbreak in a more targeted way. Also have Scholars have commented that the mainland government has an insight into the political crisis, and the long-term blockade in the past three years has caused deep resentment among the people. The demonstrations of fear visits are out of control, and the defense will be relaxed as soon as possible. Epidemic restriction, and it is expected that the current dynamic zero elimination policy will be replaced by a new policy in the second half of next year; Yesterday afternoon, the media reported that Guangzhou, which had the largest number of infection cases in the Mainland, suddenly However, a notice was issued, which was called the optimization of prevention and control measures. Many areas immediately lifted the temporary control areas, and the news detonated the market! Hang Seng Index closed at 18,597 points, up 392. Or 2.2%. China suddenly optimized its epidemic prevention measures, and investors looked forward to the normalization of the global supply chain, but inflation was still the top priority. The media reported that the European Central Bank was trying to reduce market liquidity. , decided to try to suspend the asset purchase plan and the emergency anti-epidemic bond purchase and re-investment policy next month. In fact, the annual rate of consumer price index in Europe is back to 10%. It is expected that the European Central Bank will not have more aggressive measures to raise interest rates. The three major European stock markets rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 0.31%; Paris CAC means The number rose by 1.04%, and the FTSE 100 index rose by 0.79%. Yesterday, a number of data were released in the United States. The GDP grew by 2.9% quarter by quarter, which was better than expected, while the small non-agricultural sector recorded a decline, among which the number of people in manufacturing and business services fell. While the salary survey leveled off, the actual personal expenditure fell quarter by quarter, but the decline was not as good as the market expectation. The data was biased towards the dovish attitude of the Federal Reserve, while the United States Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, also lived up to investors' expectations, saying that it might slow down the rate hike from December. The three major Wall Street stock indexes soared, and the Dow Jones index rose by 2.18%; The S&P 500 index rose 3.09%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 4.41%. The gold market rose early yesterday, but in the European market, the market was afraid of American super data. The release of the product will affect the fluctuation of the gold market, with many people leaving the market, and the price of gold has returned to its perfect shape. The lowest price of gold has dropped to $1,745, but the market has been waiting for the chairman of the US Federal Reserve for many days. Powell delivered a speech, which finally ushered in good news last night. Powell said that the authorities might slow down the pace of interest rate increase from December, suppressing the multi-day bull's immediate efforts. The price of gold rose, reaching a peak of $1,770, and finally closed at $1,768.2, up $18.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-30

November 30th Today's amplitude range China has an insight into the political crisis, and China the State Council spoke, saying that prevention and control can't affect people's normal life. The RMB rose against the US dollar, limiting the dollar's index. The gold market rose slightly yesterday, coupled with investors' wait-and-see attitude. It is expected that the gold market will remain volatile, but a number of heavy data from the United States will be released tonight. The amplitude may expand. The suggested volatility today is $1,734 to $1,765. Due to the strict sealing and control measures in the Mainland, demonstrations have recently taken place in several provinces and cities. the State Council held a press conference yesterday afternoon, saying that the long-term sealing and control was indeed a shadow. Sound people's normal production and living order, and the local government's law enforcement has gone too far, and ordered that it must be corrected. The market is about to relax again in the Mainland. Epidemic prevention measures are conducive to the resumption of China's economic activities. Hong Kong stocks opened 260 points higher yesterday, and the market rose more and more. Finally, the market closed at 18,204 points, the highest in the whole day. 06 points or 5.24%, weighing the eight-point mark. China is expected to relax its epidemic prevention measures, which will help normalize the global supply chain, increase the expected demand in the market, and the media reports that the oil group countries plan to cut production to control oil. Price, stimulate the international oil price rebound; The speculation of China's economic recovery has become two sides of the same coin. Europe's three major stock markets are up and down, and Germany's DA X index fell by 0.19%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.06%, while Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.51%. Building prices in the United States fell for three consecutive months in September, while yesterday The American Chamber of Commerce's Consumer Confidence Index was released. In November, the figure fell to 100.2 points, a four-month low, indicating that the Fed's series of interest rate hikes have reached a certain level. In part, the market expects the chance of raising interest rate by 50 points next month to increase. However, the performance of U.S. stocks was not active yesterday, and investors waited for the announcement of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. In other words, the three major stock indexes of Wall Street developed separately, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.01%; While the S&P 500 index fell by 0.16%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.58%. China issued a message that the local authorities had overcorrected the epidemic prevention measures, which affected people's livelihood and had to be corrected. The market hoped that the mainland would relax the epidemic prevention measures. The RMB rose against the US dollar in the morning, and the highest gold price ever reached US$ 1,759.6. However, investors have a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, and are waiting for the announcement of US domestic production tonight. Total value, small non-agricultural data, and the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the increase of gold price narrowed, and finally closed at $1,749.6, rising by $7.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-29

November 29th Today's amplitude range As Super Data Week approaches, investors wait and see, and the gold market falls again and again. The unstable factors brought by the China epidemic will benefit the upward trend of gold price, but the increase of the Federal Reserve Interest rate has become the focus of the market. Investors choose cash as a safe-haven asset. The dollar index rose back above 106, and the gold market fell to 11 dollars. Anticipate the gold market It is still a volatile pattern. Today, the suggested volatility is $1,734 to $1,755. Last Friday, the People's Bank of China announced that it would cut the deposit reserve ratio by 0.25%, hoping to save the current weak economy by relaxing monetary policy, but the PBOC's relaxation was not strong enough. As high as the market expected, and the epidemic situation in the mainland is still severe, many provinces and cities have found that many nucleic acid testing institutions are suspected of fraud, and the mainland government insists on it. With the implementation of the dynamic clearing policy, the move of sealing off districts and cities finally provoked the general public to rebound, and the white paper action blossomed everywhere; Investors are concerned about the development of China epidemic and the political situation. Unstable, the Hang Seng Index opened lower at 17,000 points, and at most, it fell by 739 points to 16,833 points. The decline in the end market narrowed, weighing 7,000 points to close at 172. 7 points, down 275 points or 1.57%. Europe is gradually falling into a recession crisis due to the impact of the war. The interest rate hike of the European Central Bank has attracted more attention from the market. Last night, at the European Central Bank President Lagarde Before the speech, Hernandez, the governor of Spain's central bank, spoke first, saying that so far, the rate increase was not enough to bring inflation back to the target level. Suggesting that the ECB's interest rate hike is not enough to suppress the upward trend of inflation; Later, European Central Bank President Lagarde said that strong labor support workers Capital is rising, and they will continue to assess the impact of salary increase. She expects the interest rate increase to be affirmative, but the path of interest rate increase will depend on the data, and it will be in every A decision was made at the meeting. The market aroused the fear of raising interest rates again. The three major European stock markets fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 1.06%. France ba The Li CAC index fell by 0.7%, while the FTSE 100 index fell by 0.16%. The epidemic situation in China has not declined, and its severe containment measures have provoked civil protests, which has aggravated investors' worries about the normalization of the national economic supply chain, and the market has also Considering a number of heavy economic data this week, the investment strategy of holding cash is once again popular. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street fell across the board, and the Dow Jones index fell by 1.45%; While the S&P 500 index fell by 1.51%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.58%. The gold market fell repeatedly, the epidemic situation in China rose, and the mainland government's epidemic prevention measures To the rare demonstrations, the RMB fell against the US dollar, and the gold market rose in the early stage, reaching a maximum of $1,763.8, but when it entered the US market, investors Wait and see a number of heavy data this week. Cash is the king of risk-takers, and the US dollar index rises back above 106. The price of gold falls under pressure, with the lowest value of $1,739.7, the highest After that, it closed at $1,741.8, down $11.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-28

November 28th Today's amplitude range The epidemic situation in COVID-19 has reached a new high, and the economic activity in China is no longer normal. There will still be a shortage of global supply chains, and global inflation will still increase in the short term. Long pressure. Last Thursday morning, the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were released, showing that officials tend to wait for future development with a relatively flat rate hike path, preferring to take a longer time. Time to raise the ultimate interest rate, reserve space to observe the economic data, and then react. And labor data is also the key, if next week's non-agricultural data is in accordance with the US The Fed is expected to fall, which will help dovish officials to play, while the US dollar index will try to support below 105, which will help gold prices go up. The gold market has shaken off its decline, But it is not easy to make an upward breakthrough. This week, it tends to fluctuate. Today, the recommended volatility last Thursday is still maintained, that is, $1,748 to $1,765. Outbreaks in the Mainland still plague the pace of China's normalization. China Health and Health Commission announced on April that the number of newly diagnosed cases exceeded 40,000, a record high for four consecutive days. Before recording, the peak of single-day diagnosis was 28,000 in April this year. At present, the mainland government still insists on implementing the policy of dynamic clearing, and the voice of sealing off districts and cities. One after another; Investors are concerned about the development of the China epidemic. Last week, Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower. The Hang Seng Index closed at 17,573 points. In a week, the Hang Seng Index fell by 418 points or 2.2 points. 9%。 The power of Hong Kong stock market is gradually losing, testing the support of 50 antennas. International oil prices have plummeted, and new york crude oil futures have once again fallen below $80. Last week, the market closed at $76, a record low this year. The drop in oil prices will help ease energy in Europe. Crisis, coupled with yesterday's satisfactory performance of European economic data, in which the manufacturing purchasing managers' indices of Britain, France and Germany all rose month by month in October, and Better than market expectations; In addition, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's interest rate discussion tend to increase the ultimate interest rate for a longer time to leave room, which eliminates the market's short-term fear of raising interest rates. The three major European stocks continued to rise last week, with the German DAX index rising by 0.76%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.02%, while Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.37%. The economic data of the United States is mixed, and the number of new jobless claims is rising again. However, the sales of new homes in the United States once again exceeded 600,000 every other month, and the consumption The confidence index was also positive, but on Tuesday, Fed officials released pigeons, and the minutes of the last interest rate meeting of the Fed meeting released on Thursday morning showed that the Fed In December, the bureau had the greatest chance to raise interest rate by 0.5%, which eliminated the more inclined pressure of raising interest rates. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street rose across the board, and the Dow Jones index rose by 1.28%. And standard The S&P 500 index rose by 1.53%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.72%. The gold market was long and short last week, and finally rebounded slightly. At the beginning of the week, the epidemic situation in China became more severe, and it may take more time for the market to hope for China's return to normal. Achieved, the RMB against the US dollar approached 7.16, a two-week low, while the market wait-and-see atmosphere was strong, and the global stock market fell, which also supported the rise of the US dollar. The gold price continued its decline a week earlier, with the lowest price at 1727.5. After the minutes of the November meeting on interest rates were released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday morning, the contents were revealed to the Fed officials. At present, the market guesses that the chances of the Federal Reserve raising interest rate by 0.5% in December are high, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds has dropped accordingly, making the US dollar lose some of its appeal. At one point, the price of gold fell below the 106 mark, reaching a high of $1,761.2, and closed at $1,753.6 on Friday, rising by $2.7 a week. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-25

November 25th Today's amplitude range Following the announcement of the minutes of the meeting on interest rates in November by the Federal Reserve in the morning of April 40, the market guessed that the Federal Reserve would increase its interest rate in December because the contents revealed that the officials of the Federal Reserve were pigeons. The interest rate of 0.5% is on the high side, the yield of 10-year treasury bonds falls accordingly, the US dollar loses some of its appeal, the US dollar index falls below the 106 mark, and the gold market unilaterally rises. However, the long holiday is just around the corner, and the market performance is relatively inactive. Maintain today's suggested volatility of $1,748 to $1,765 on Thursday. The People's Bank of China and China Banking Regulatory Commission announced earlier that banks should cooperate with the policy of "guaranteeing property delivery" to help state-owned and private real estate enterprises to raise funds. Country Garden yesterday Received a credit line of RMB 50 billion from the Postal Savings Bank. In addition, some sources said that Country Garden will also sign contracts with ICBC and Bank of China, and three state-owned banks will give Bi Guiyuan's total credit line will exceed 100 billion yuan, and Country Garden successfully raised funds in the secondary market earlier, which improved the market's confidence in the enterprise. Yesterday, Country Garden Shares rose by more than 20%, while domestic stocks became the locomotive of the market, while Hong Kong stocks continued to do well. The Hang Seng Index followed the trend of US stocks opening higher every other night, and finally rose by 137 points or 0.78%, closing at 17,660 points, but the market turnover dropped to less than HK$ 90 billion at the highest, and the momentum of the market outlook gradually lost, testing the offline support for ten days. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting show that the inflation situation in the United States is still high due to the persistent imbalance between supply and demand in the economy, but considering the tightening policy and inflation figures. According to the lag phenomenon, and slowing down the rate hike can reduce the instability of the financial system, so officials decided to exchange time for space, so the market is expected to be 12 The probability of raising the interest rate target by another 50 basis points is the highest at the meeting in October. The downward risk rate hike boosted the risk market, and the three major European stock markets continued for three consecutive days. L, the DAX index of Germany rose by 0.79%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.42%, while Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.01%. The United States is closed for Thanksgiving holiday. Following the announcement of the minutes of the November meeting on interest rates by the Federal Reserve on Thursday morning, the contents revealed that the officials of the Federal Reserve are in a pigeon state, and the market Guess the chances of the Federal Reserve raising interest rate by 0.5% in December are high, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds falls accordingly, and the US dollar loses some of its appeal, and the US dollar index falls below 106. At the barrier, the gold market rose unilaterally, reaching a maximum of $1,758.7. However, the US holiday was just around the corner, and the market performance was not active. Finally, it closed at $1,755.8, up 6.2 US dollars. Yuan. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-24

November 24th Today's amplitude range The minutes of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, which the market is eagerly waiting for Thursday morning, are finally revealed. There is a great chance of raising interest rate by 0.5% next month. Fed officials slow down the pace of raising interest rates, but Higher ultimate interest rate to solve inflationary pressure is considered by the market as a dovish message. The gold market rose for two consecutive days. The suggested volatility today is $1,748 to $1,765. Hong Kong stocks followed the trend of American stocks rising every other night, but the market was eagerly awaiting the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on Thursday morning. The transaction was relatively quiet, and the meeting was held yesterday. But pay 100 billion Hong Kong dollars. The Hang Seng Index opened more than 30 points higher, with a maximum of 216 points, but the market was afraid that the minutes of the Fed's interest rate meeting would change, and investors were not very active. City, the end of the market increase narrowed, closing at 17523 points, up 99 points or 0.57%. The international oil price plummeted, and new york crude oil futures fell below 80 dollars again, closing at 77.5. Dollar, approaching the lowest closing price of this year set in September this year is less than one dollar. The fall in oil prices will help ease the energy crisis in Europe, plus the European economy yesterday. The economic performance is ideal, among which the manufacturing purchasing managers' indices of Britain, France and Germany all rose month by month in October, and they were better than market expectations; Europe three Big stock markets rose hand in hand, and Germany's DAX index rose by 0.05%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.32%, while Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.19%. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were released. The report shows that all the participants agreed to raise interest rates by 75 points at the November meeting, but for the meeting in December The probability of raising the interest rate by another 50 points is the highest; Most of the participants thought it was appropriate to slow down the rate hike in the near future. They generally agree with the slower ones. Pace will enable the Committee to better assess the progress in achieving its goal of maximizing employment and price stability. Some participants commented that slowing down the rate hike could To reduce the risk of financial system instability. Participants reiterated their firm commitment to restore inflation to the 2% target, and they continued to expect that in order to achieve enough Strict policy stance, with the passage of time to lower inflation, it will be appropriate to continue to raise interest rates. A number of participants pointed out that due to inflation, there has been little so far. There are signs of weakening, and the imbalance between supply and demand in the economy persists. The assessment of the final interest rate level required to achieve the Committee's goal is slightly higher than the previous forecast. Period. The economic data of the United States showed mixed performance, and the number of new jobless claims rose again. However, the sales of new homes in the United States once again exceeded 600,000 after a month, and disappeared. The consumer confidence index is also positive, and the minutes of the Fed's interest rate meeting ended in doves, so the Fed has the greatest chance of raising interest rate by 0.5% in December. In addition to the more inclined pressure to raise interest rates, the three major stock indexes on Wall Street rose across the board, with the Dow Jones index rising by 0.28%; While the S&P 500 index rose by 0.62%; Nasdaq The composite index rose by 0.99%. The minutes of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, which the market was waiting for on Thursday morning, were finally revealed. The minutes showed that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.5 in December. %, but many participants pointed out that the current upward trend of inflation shows almost no signs of abating, and the evaluation of the final interest rate is slightly higher than this. The previous expectations. Fed officials slowed down the pace of raising interest rates but used higher ultimate interest rates to solve inflationary pressure, which was considered by the market as a dove message, and the gold market rose for two consecutive days. The lowest price of gold was $1,727.5, the highest was $1,753.5, and finally it closed at $1,749.6, up $9.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-23

November 23rd Today's amplitude range The market is eagerly awaiting the minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting on interest rates on Thursday morning, and investors have a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. The gold market volatility was only $12 yesterday. Jin Shi Jie Duan si Lian Falling, the upward view of the gold price has not changed, and it is gradually approaching to support the position of $1,725. Strategically, it is still waiting for the opportunity to adjust and buy close to this position. Jianri The amplitude of the discussion ranges from $1,732 to $1,752. Hong Kong stocks followed the trend of US stocks falling every other night. It is reported in the market that the regulatory authorities in China will punish the "Ant Group" for its market-confining behavior, with a fine of 10. Billion dollars. Before listing, the company broke its wealth. Investors also punished its holding institution, Alibaba. Its share price fell by 3%, which affected the entire technology sector. permanent Refers to the low opening and low closing. At most, it fell more than 368 points, closing at 17,424 points, down 231 points or 1.3%. As the winter approaches, the European energy crisis is more obvious; Eu health In addition to lowering the sanctions proposal on the upper limit of oil export price to Russia, delaying the full implementation of the proposal and relaxing the key shipping clauses, it is proposed to introduce Increase the transition time of 45 days in the process of entering the oil price ceiling. Its purpose is to buy time and space and increase the opportunity to supply oil. Energy endangers the European economy, the three major European stock markets fall, and the German DAX index rises by 0.29%; The CAC index in Paris rose by 0.35%, while the FTSE 100 index in the UK rose by 0.35%. Up by 1.03%. Two more Fed officials mentioned the inflation situation in the United States, and they all mentioned the threat of the labor market to inflation. Federal Reserve Meister Table Shows that the demand for labor in the United States is still higher than supply, and higher savings will further promote consumption. Restoring price stability is the top priority of the Federal Reserve, which will use all Tools to achieve this goal. The Federal Reserve Meister said that in most industries, wage growth still lags behind inflation growth, and it is also possible that people can get better wages when they change jobs. It will take some time to raise interest rates to persuade families to keep saving. The longer interest rate hike in the market is interpreted as a moderate interest rate hike, and the three major stock indexes of US stocks are across the board. Rise, the Dow Jones index rose by 1.18%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index also rose by 1.36%. The market is eagerly awaiting Midland on Thursday morning. According to the minutes of the meeting on saving and discussing interest rates, the gold market was relatively quiet yesterday, and its volatility narrowed to $12. Fed officials said they would still support the interest rate hike, but their attitude was moderate. The U.S. dollar index and U.S. 10-year Treasury yields both fell, and the gold price closed slightly. The lowest gold price is $1737.1, the highest is $1749.8, and the most After that, it closed at $1,740, up $1.80. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-22

November 22nd Today's amplitude range Thanksgiving Day is approaching, economic data is getting less and less, and the market is waiting for the interest rate report of the Federal Reserve last month. In addition, the epidemic situation in the mainland has risen sharply in recent days, and the global stock market has fallen, and the market is in the middle. The epidemic situation in China was severe, which supported the rise of the US dollar last week, while the price of gold fell under pressure. Although the gold market fell for four days in a row, the upward view of the price of gold has not changed, and the trend is still gradual. Approaching the more supportive position of $1725, wait for the opportunity to buy after adjustment. The suggested volatility today is $1,722 to $1,746. Chief Executive Lee Ka Chiu John is serious about black boy; Attending an international conference as the head of Hong Kong for the first time was a trick. After attending the APEC summit on Sunday, When Thailand returned to Hong Kong late, the nucleic acid test at the airport was positive, and finally it was forced to be isolated in the government. The epidemic situation in the mainland has also become more severe, and the mainland again yesterday Nearly 27,000 new crown cases were confirmed. At present, Guangdong is still a province with a serious epidemic situation, and many areas are under blockade and control, while Beijing, as the foot of the emperor, is under six. Since the recurrence of death cases in June, it is time for the local government to tighten the nucleic acid testing of people entering Beijing to a daily check. Investors are concerned about the development of China epidemic, Hong Kong Shares opened lower by 338 points, and fell by more than 600 points at most. Before the close, the decline narrowed to 336 points, and the Hang Seng Index closed at 17,655 points. China relaxed the quarantine measures for the epidemic ten days ago, but the epidemic situation has been rising repeatedly recently, making the epidemic situation in China more severe, with more than 20,000 cases for the sixth consecutive day. Infections, investors who hope that China will return to normal and save the global economy may have to wait a little longer. The EU embargoed Russia to sanction Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The oil ban will come into effect in January next year. Germany has indicated that there will be an oil shortage in Germany at that time, and it has published a forecast of the energy crisis in Europe. Machine, will cause damage to the whole continent's economy. The three major European stock markets fell, and the German DAX index fell by 0.36%; Paris CAC index fell 0.15%, and the UK FTSE 100 index fell by 0.08%. China, the world's second largest economy, is plagued by the epidemic. Investors are worried that China will tighten the epidemic control measures in the Mainland again, which will be detrimental to the global economic recovery. Oil prices plunged 5% yesterday. The market is also concerned about the contents of the October meeting on interest rates announced by the Federal Reserve this week. Due to the recent disagreement among officials of the Bureau, the final result is But the eagle pigeon is still elusive, so we have to wait, which leads to the weakening of the investment atmosphere. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street fell across the board, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.13%. Standard & Poor's 500 The index fell by 0.39%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.09%. The epidemic situation in the Mainland has also become more severe, and it may take more time for the market to expect China to return to normal. Yes, the RMB is approaching 7.16 against the US dollar, a two-week low. There was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the market, and the global stock market fell, which also supported the rise of the US dollar. The US dollar index once broke the 108 mark, and the gold market fell under pressure. The highest price of gold was $1,753.1, the lowest was $1,732.6, and finally it closed at $1,738.2. The price of gold fell by $12.7 for four consecutive days. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-21

November 21st Today's amplitude range Last week, the mainland relaxed the quarantine measures for the epidemic situation, but the epidemic situation has repeatedly increased, and the sound of closing districts and cities has revived, hindering the pace of normalization. Face-to-face talks between China and the United States, Both sides have their own calculations, but they fight without breaking, because both of them have flaws in their prospects. If China wants to go back to the road of growth, besides domestic demand, foreign trade should avoid being marginalized. However, the political situation in the United States is unstable, the economic data are uneven, and rising interest rates have the opportunity to make stagflation. Although hawkish officials of the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 points next month, but Expectations are only scared, but they may not come true. This week, we announced the contents of last month's meeting on interest rates, and we can see the clue. On the contrary, the European Central Bank may be more aggressive and have a steeper rate hike. The gold market rose more than $120 for two weeks in a row, and retreated $20 last week. The upward view of the gold price has not changed, and it is a buying opportunity after adjustment. Today's suggested volatility is 1745. To $1,760. The mainland relaxed its quarantine measures last week, but the epidemic situation has been on the rise recently. The National Health and Health Commission stressed that it was announced last week to optimize the prevention and control of epidemic situation in novel coronavirus. The measure is not to lie flat, nor to seek coexistence with the virus! However, the zeroing measures have to pay a price, and the price is high, so in the end, it's still a matter of saying "no". But the body is honest, and optimization is another way of saying compromise. The People's Bank of China and China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission jointly issued a notice to support the stability of the real estate market, asking for money. Enterprises should treat all kinds of real estate enterprises, such as state-owned and private enterprises, equally, and banks should provide special loans to support the property market in line with the policy of "guaranteeing property delivery". And match The China Development and Reform Commission announced that last week, the official media also reported that China government advisers suggested raising the mainland's economic growth target to 5.5% next year. The news will help boost the market. Confidence, helping to boost the economy. Benefiting from the relaxation of epidemic isolation measures in the Mainland, Hong Kong stocks opened higher last Monday, but the trend of interest rate hike in the United States is now eagle, failing to stabilize 1800. At 0 o'clock, the Hang Seng Index closed at 17,993 points, up 660 points or 3.1% in a week. Last week, the euro zone announced that the gross domestic product of the third quarter was as expected, and the economic prosperity index of the region has improved. In addition, the new British finance minister Hou Junwei announced the withdrawal. Abolishing all the tax reduction measures that ousted the former finance minister earlier, and explaining the recent tax arrangements alone, will bring in an additional revenue of 32 billion pounds a year, and the government will also Spending needs to be cut to fill the gap in public finance. Europe's economy is turning for the better. The three major European stock markets all rose last week, and the German DAX index rose by 1.46%. France Paris CAC index rose by 0.74%, and UK FTSE 100 index rose by 0.92%. The results of the mid-term elections in the United States are revealed. As the media statistics show, the Republican Party has won more than the House of Representatives. The number of seats, while the Democratic Party of the United States temporarily beat the Republican Party by a single vote, and gained an advantage in the Senate election, even if the Democratic Party of Georgia could not get by. Half of them need to be re-elected in December, but at the critical moment, US Vice President Kamala D. Harris holds two trump cards of voting rights, stabilizing the control of the Senate and avoiding it. President Biden's government of the United States has become a lame duck, but it still makes it more difficult for the current administration. Investors are disgusted with instability, and the retail sales of department stores in the United States are now retrogressive. The performance of U.S. stocks all fell last week, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.01%. And the Standard & Poor's 500 Index 0.69% down; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.57%. Last week's inflation data in the United States were repeated, but the labor market was still booming, which was not conducive to the Federal Reserve's performance next month. On Friday, Collins, the president of Boston Bank of the Federal Reserve, said more directly that she didn't see the obvious evidence that inflation was declining, but instead increased the profit that she thought needed to be raised. Up to the upper limit, raising interest rate by 75 basis points is still under discussion. Her speech broke the market's expectation that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 50 points next month, and the dollar The index is approaching 107 points. After the gold market rose for two weeks in a row, the gold price shook last week, with the highest price rising to $1,786.59, the lowest price reaching $1,747.6, and finally reaching $1,750.9. Yuan closed. In a week, the price of gold fell by $20.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-18

November 18th Today's amplitude range Last week, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States fell to 222,000, lower than market expectations. The US dollar rebounded above 106, and the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 points in December. The probability dropped slightly, and the gold market adjusted downward yesterday; However, the U.S. dollar is just catching up, and the gold market is promising, as if waiting for a breakthrough. Today's suggested volatility is $1756. To $1,774. In line with the early announcement of the China Development and Reform Commission, the media reported yesterday that a consultant of the China government suggested raising the mainland's economic growth target to 5.5% next year, explaining the epidemic prevention measures. Ease, financial support for the real estate industry, boost the confidence of the market, and help promote the economy. However, the opening of Hong Kong stocks followed the fall of US stocks the next night, plus the inside After repeated outbreaks, the Hang Seng Index finally fell for two consecutive days. The Hang Seng Index closed down 210 points or 1.15% to 18,045 points. Hou Junwei, the new finance minister of the United Kingdom, announced the cancellation of the previous order. All the tax reduction measures proposed to step down, together with the explanation of the tax law arrangement alone, will bring in an additional revenue of 32 billion pounds a year, and the government will also need to cut expenditure. Fill the gap in public finance. After the news, the pound rebounded, but the stock market fell, and the FTSE 100 index of the UK fell by 0.05%; Consumer Consumption Index of Europe in October On a monthly basis, the two major European stock markets parted ways, and the German DAX index rose by 0.22%; Paris CAC index fell 0.47%. Although the consumption data released last week showed signs of downward adjustment, investors expected inflation to peak and the Federal Reserve would slow down the rate hike, but yesterday's US labor data The performance is better than expected, and the Federal Reserve Kashkali spoke, saying that the data of one month is not convincing enough, indicating that there are not too many signs of economic cooling at present. Like, now I don't want to predict when to stop raising interest rates. The three major Wall Street stock indexes continued to fall, with the Dow Jones index falling by 0.02%; While the S&P 500 index fell by 0.27%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.35%. Yesterday's U.S. data was more positive, which was not conducive to the Federal Reserve's performance next month, among which the Federal Reserve paid close attention to the number of workers. According to the better-than-expected performance, the number of first-time jobless claims in the United States fell to 222,000 last week, which was lower than the market expectation. The dollar rebounded above 106, and the gold market opened lower. Low, the lowest gold price was $1,754.5, the highest interest rate was $1,774.9, and finally closed at $1,760.6, down $13.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-17

November 17th Today's amplitude range The U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 points in December. If it is really calculated according to this rate increase next month, it will be only 50 points short of the latest rate of the Federal Reserve. The market has gradually digested this message, the strength of the US dollar has come to an end, the tone of the gold market is still optimistic, and the gold market has hovered at a high level recently, which seems to be waiting for a breakthrough. today It is suggested that the wave amplitude should be 1770 USD to 1792 USD. If the wave exceeds 1785 USD, speculative raising can be made, and 3 mosquitoes can stop the erosion. According to the Mainland Development and Reform Commission, looking forward to the whole year, China's economic growth rate is expected to further accelerate. Because of a series of stable economic policies implemented by the state earlier, the effect will be In the fourth quarter, investment confidence will continue to increase. However, the mainland market still fell yesterday; After three consecutive days of rising, Hong Kong stocks finally shook and turned down; Hong Kong stocks opened lower. Yesterday, the Hang Seng Index dropped by 245 points, but it was supported at 28,000 points, and the decline narrowed at the close. The Hang Seng Index closed at 18,256 points, down 86 points or 0.47%. Early on, Russian troops launched the most frequent missile attack on Ukraine since the start of the war, and one missile was launched on neighboring Poland, which is a NATO ally, and the president of Poland planned it. Whether to send an aid signal to NATO or not, the market is sensitive to geopolitics, which has pulled the negative sentiment of investors. The three major European stock markets are all down, and the UK The FTSE 100 index fell by 0.26%; German DAX index fell by 1%; Paris CAC index fell 0.52%. The retail sales data released by the United States yesterday beat market expectations, However, the retail sector fell, because the American department store "Target" announced the third quarter results, saying that in response to the deterioration of the market environment, the Group implemented a higher price reduction rate. The quarterly net profit dropped by 52% due to the rising freight cost of commodities, the increase in the number of employees and the increase in labor pay, and the revenue from the end of the third quarter to the fourth quarter is expected. People will still be weak. November and December are big holidays in the United States. The extremely negative outlook has increased market pressure. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street retreated, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.12%. And standard The S&P 500 index fell 0.83%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.54%. Yesterday, a number of Fed officials spoke, among which Daley said that the final interest rate of the Fed was set at The range of 4.75% to 5.25% is reasonable, but to reiterate this moment, it is still not the time to consider suspending interest rate hike. Waller said that the recent market data performance made He feels more at ease about raising interest rate by 50 points next month. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 points in December, and the gold market is still hovering at a high level, waiting for a breakthrough. The lowest price of gold $770.4, the highest rose to $1,785.1, and finally closed at $1,773.7, down $4.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-16

November 16th Today's amplitude range The producer price index of the United States is lower than the market expectation, reflecting that the inflation data of the United States seems to have peaked, once again easing the pressure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and the dollar is strong. The signs of coming to an end are more obvious, and the tone of the gold market is still optimistic. Suggested volatility today is $1,770 to $1,788. The first face-to-face meeting between China and the United States at the Asia-Pacific Economic and Trade Conference held in Indonesia lasted more than three hours. Chinese President Xi Jinping pointed out that China and the United States are currently closed It is not in the interests of the two countries, emphasizing that Sino-US relations should not be a zero-sum game in which you lose and I win; China and the United States need to find the right way to get along with each other and promote the two countries. Relations will return to a healthy and stable development track and create favorable conditions for win-win cooperation. US President Biden stressed that the United States will actively compete, but seek responsibility. Managing competition effectively, although it can't solve all problems with China, he pointed out that the United States and China must work together to cope with climate change and safeguard the global economy. Stable. Biden believes that Xi Jinping is willing to compromise on some key issues. President met with President Biden of the United States. Although the two sides spoke their own words and failed to change their relations, they could see both sides from their attitudes. Agree that China and the United States, as the largest and foremost economies in the world, have the responsibility to work hard to maintain global economic stability; There is no tit-for-tat exhibition between the two sides. Wolf Warriors's diplomatic tone is a smooth transition. Yesterday's China data was not satisfactory, but the first meeting between China and the United States made investors look forward to it. Zhang's relationship will cool down under the six consensus. Hong Kong stocks rose for three consecutive days, and the Hang Seng Index rose 723 points or 4.1% to close at 18,343 points. The latest European economic data dominate the trend of the stock market. Britain and France released labor data on the same day, and the unemployment rate in Britain rose, and it just won the first place in the European stock market. France's fell, coupled with the expected GDP in the third quarter of the euro zone, the economic prosperity in the region has improved, and the three major European stock markets have been mixed. Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 0.19%; German DAX index rose by 0.46%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.49%. The first meeting between China and the United States didn't end in discord, and six consensuses were set up to find ways to resolve differences. Investors are hopeful about the improvement of bilateral relations, which is beneficial. Economic prospect; On the other hand, the US producer price index released yesterday is lower than the market expectation. In addition to reflecting the decline in production costs, enterprises have the opportunity to increase profits. In addition, it also reflects that the inflation data of the United States seems to have peaked, once again easing the pressure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. All three major stock indexes on Wall Street rose, Dow Jones The index rose by 0.17%; While the S&P 500 index rose by 0.88%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 1.45%. The producer price index of the United States is lower than the market expectation, The inflation data of the United States seems to have peaked, once again easing the pressure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The market predicts that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 points in December is high. More than 85%, coupled with the Russian military launching the most frequent missile attacks against Ukraine since the war, and breaking into neighboring Poland, increased the market unease, and the lowest gold price. $767.1, the highest rose to $1,786.5, and finally closed at $1,778.3, up $6.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak  

2022-11-15

November 15th Today's amplitude range Brainerd, vice chairman of the Federal Reserve, indicated that he would slow down the rate hike. The gold market closed almost flat yesterday, closing out the cross star shape, and the position was rather awkward. Today. There is a great opportunity for downward adjustment; The aesthetic strength has come to an end, and the tone is still optimistic; Therefore, the enterprising person can make a swing strategy more actively and eat up the bipolar trend. Keep today's suggested range, that is, $1758 to $1774. After the National Health and Health Commission suddenly announced last Friday that it would further optimize novel coronavirus epidemic prevention and control measures and relax the days of centralized isolation for immigrants, After good news, the People's Bank of China and China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission jointly issued a notice on supporting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, requiring financial enterprises to All kinds of real estate enterprises, such as state-owned enterprises and private enterprises, should be treated equally, and banks should cooperate with the policy of "guaranteeing property delivery" and provide special loans to support the property market. Neiji Property stocks surged 9% to 45% yesterday. The Hang Seng Index opened 673 points higher, and then rose above 18,000 points. However, there was pressure at the high level, and it finally closed at 17,619 points, up. 24 points or 1.7%. China announced last week that it would relax its disease prevention measures, and yesterday it made another move to save the economy. Once China's economy returns to normal, it will help to improve the shortage of global supply chains, and Help lower inflation and help global economic recovery. Hou Junwei, the new finance minister of the United Kingdom, finally officially issued a statement that he would use combination boxing to solve the financial black hole facing the United Kingdom. The announcement of raising interest rates and cutting government expenditure made up for it. The market responded positively, with the FTSE 100 index rising by 0.22%. German DAX index rose by 0.62%; The CAC index in Paris rose by 1.04%. After this rise, the total market value of the French stock market has replaced the United Kingdom and won the leading position in the largest stock market in Europe. Although the results of the mid-term elections in the United States have not been officially announced, the market expects that the Republican Party will have a high voice for winning the majority of the House of Representatives, and whether the Democratic Party of the United States will be able to hold the party together. And the party won the control of the Senate. The result is unpredictable. If it is split 50-50, at the crucial moment in the future, it is necessary to use the trump card of Vice President Kamala D. Harris's two voting rights to avoid The administration of President Biden of the United States has been exempted from becoming a lame duck, but it has indeed increased the administrative difficulty of the current administration. The market is seeking stability, and the changes in American politics are somewhat contrary. And, after the inflation data dropped last week and the U.S. stocks swelled, the three major stock indexes on Wall Street retreated yesterday, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.59%; And the S&P 500 refers to The number fell by 0.89%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.21%%. The gold market closed almost flat yesterday. After experiencing a cumulative increase of more than $90 last week, the gold market retreated early yesterday, with a minimum of $1,753.3, but Federal Reserve Vice Chairman brainerd She said that the bureau was not ready to stop the pace of tightening, but agreed that it was appropriate to move to a slower rate hike, and said that the time to raise the rate scale was coming soon. Suggest that it will slow down the rate hike. The news supported the rebound of gold price, with the highest price rising to 1775.1 USD, and finally closing at 1771.5 USD, with a slight increase of 0.2 USD. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-14

November 14th Today's amplitude range Optimizing the epidemic prevention measures in the Mainland and unexpectedly announcing the relaxation of restrictions on Friday, China's economy has returned to normal, which is conducive to the pace of global economic recovery, and it is hard to get a dollar. Duxiu, the US dollar index fell below 106, and the trend seems to continue downward, which will help boost the price of gold, and the unstable political factors in the US mid-term elections will increase. The attraction of gold. The strength of the U.S. dollar has come to an end. The price of gold has risen for two weeks in a row, and the sword refers to $1,800. This week, it is expected to remain optimistic, but it has risen. Urgent, should be adjusted after low suction. The suggested volatility today is $1,758 to $1,774. Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed higher last week. Last Monday, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange of China announced the latest statistics. At the end of October, China's foreign exchange reserves increased month by month. SAFE explained, Although the global financial asset prices fluctuated, the scale of foreign exchange reserves in October was still rising and strong due to comprehensive factors such as exchange rate conversion and asset price changes. China's long-term economic fundamentals will not change. That is, Hong Kong stocks started to rise, although the new loans in the Mainland had to fail to meet the standard in the week, only reaching the market expectation. A little over 75% of the time, the Hang Seng Index retreated slightly, but the latest inflation data of the United States was lower than market expectations that night, and the market expected that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates at a leisurely pace, plus On Friday, the National Health and Health Commission of the Mainland suddenly announced that it had decided to further optimize the prevention and control measures of the novel coronavirus epidemic and relax the number of days of centralized isolation for immigrants, Hang Seng Index. Above the weekly low, it rose more than 1,400 points and finally closed at 17,325 points. The Hang Seng Index rose 1,164 points in a week. The market is concerned about the inflation data released last Thursday, and the newly released figures have dropped, which is lower than market expectations. Investors look forward to the decline of inflation in the United States, and the Federal Reserve may Will make a policy of slowing down the interest rate increase. After the consumer price in the United States was released, the three major European stock markets developed separately last week, and the new British prime minister, Xin Weicheng, and Xin Caixiang. Hou Junwei is facing a fiscal black hole, and the new government is saving the nation. The news conference will raise interest rates to make up for it. The FTSE 100 index in the UK fell by 0.23% last week. German DAX index Up by 5.68%; Paris CAC index rose by 2.78%. Since the beginning of the interest rate hike cycle in the United States, the market expects that the inflation in the United States will fall. After repeated measurements in the past six months, the results all show that the purchasing power of American residents depends on However, it is stronger than the experts' estimate; It wasn't until the new inflation data last night that the market really felt the threat of rising interest rates. Federal Reserve official Daley yesterday Comment on inflation, saying that the inflation report shows that falling prices are good news, but we still need to pay attention to other economic data; And the number of new jobless claims released yesterday once again Rising, which is also an economic phenomenon that the Federal Reserve is happy to see. Daley said that she supports the Fed to slow down the rate hike, and that it is better to act early than slow. Dull policy. The pressure to raise interest rates in the United States dropped, which increased the attractiveness of risky assets. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street soared for two days, and the Dow Jones index rose by 4.15%. And the S&P 500 refers to The number rose by 5.91%; The Nasdaq Composite Index soared by 8.11%. In the mid-term election of the United States, the media statistics show that the Republican Party will hold the majority of the House of Representatives, which It will make it more difficult for US President Biden, whose background is Democratic party member, to govern. The political situation in the United States is unstable, the risk of investors' bets increases, and the latest The inflation data of the United States was unexpectedly lower than the market expectation, and several Fed officials held the pace of raising interest rates. The US dollar index fell below the water level of 106, and the price of gold rose in one fell swoop. Through the resistance line extended from the peak period, the price of gold rose by more than 90 dollars. The lowest price of gold last week was $1,664.8, the highest rose to $1,772.9, and finally The market closed at $771.3, rising by $90.4 per week. 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