Gold market analysis
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Gold market analysis

2022-11-11

November 11th Today's amplitude range The market pays attention to the inflation data released last night, and the newly released figures are lower than market expectations. The market expects that the decline of inflation figures in the United States will benefit the Federal Reserve. With the policy of slowing down the interest rate increase, the US dollar index broke through the 108 mark, and the price of gold surged by more than 50 US dollars; The rise of the US dollar has stopped, which is beneficial to the gold price, but it has been low since this rebound. Meter, has risen more than $120, may be vomiting. The suggested volatility today is $1,732 to $1,758. Yesterday, the People's Bank of China announced that new loans from the mainland were only 615.2 billion yuan, which only reached a little over 75% of the market's forecast, indicating that the domestic economy is still weak. However, the failure of banks to meet the standards is somewhat related to the collapse of real estate enterprises in the Mainland. Banks are afraid to lend money to these enterprises, which means that there is one less water pipe for discharging water. The severe epidemic prevention measures in the Mainland of China have affected the economic progress, and the prospect is still uncertain. The second return of Hong Kong stocks has a closer relationship with the country, and its fate is roughly the same. Same, on the road of sharing weal and woe. Hong Kong stocks opened 220 points lower yesterday, and friends couldn't resist. The Hang Seng Index fell by more than 400 points at most, and finally closed. Fell 277 points or 1.7% to close at 16,081 points. Although Hong Kong stocks fell for three days in a row, last night, US stocks soared, and Hong Kong stocks had the opportunity to retry this week's high. The market pays attention to the inflation data released last night, and the newly released figures are lower than market expectations. The market expects that the decline of inflation figures in the United States will benefit the Federal Reserve. Make a policy of slowing down interest rate hikes. After the consumer price of American residents was released, the three major European stock markets rose significantly, and the DAX index of Germany rose by 3.55%; Paris c AC index rose by 1.96%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.55%. After the U.S. began to step into the interest rate hike cycle, the market expected that the inflation in the U.S. would fall. After half a year Many measurements in the past few years show that the purchasing power of American residents is still strong, which is better than experts' estimates. It wasn't until the new inflation data last night that the market really gave way. Feel the threat of rising interest rate. Federal Reserve official Daley commented on inflation yesterday, saying that the inflation report shows that the price drop is good news, but we still need to pay attention to other economic data; And the new one released yesterday The number of jobless claims has risen again, which is also an economic phenomenon that the Federal Reserve is happy to see. Daley said that she supported the Federal Reserve to slow down the rate hike, and Early action is better than slow and sluggish policy. The pressure to raise interest rates in the United States has dropped, which has increased the attractiveness of risky assets. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street have soared by more than 3%. Dow Jones index rose 3.69%; While the S&P 500 index rose by 5.43%; The Nasdaq Composite Index soared by 7.35%. U.S. inflation data is unexpectedly lower than It is expected that the market will boost the gold market, and the price of gold will rise through the resistance line extended from the peak period in one fell swoop. In addition, several officials of the Federal Reserve Bureau will slow down the rate hike, and the US dollar index After falling through the 108 mark, the price of gold once rose more than 50 dollars. The lowest price of gold is $1,704, and the highest price rises to $1,757.3 after the data is released. The market closed at $1,755.6, up $49. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-10

November 10th Today's amplitude range The results of the mid-term elections in the United States are now surging, and the trend of the gold market is also wavering. The US dollar index has regained the 110 mark, and the price of gold is obviously under pressure at the 100-balance moving average, with the highest price. The final decline ended. The price of gold fell yesterday, but the overall market momentum is still there. The market is concerned about the inflation data released tonight, and the gold market may expand its volatility. Code injection and corrosion prevention. The suggested volatility today is $1,694 to $1,720. Tired by the continuous warming of the epidemic, the decline of import and export data on Monday showed signs of a slowdown in the mainland economy, and the inflation data in the mainland unexpectedly fell. Yesterday, The published consumer price index of China fell to an increase of 2.1% at the same level, which was worse than the market expectation. The phenomenon of lying flat may become a new trend, plus the producer price index. It is now sinking, with a year-on-year decline of 1.3%, and China's economic prospects are hampered. The mainland stock market fell, and Hong Kong stocks did not run as well. Yesterday, they continued to close low by nearly 200 points. Now it's two consecutive losses. The Hang Seng Index opened 4 points lower. After the mainland released inflation data, the selling pressure in the market increased. The Hang Seng Index once fell more than 300 points, and the closing decline narrowed to 198 points or 1.2%, closing at 16358. The results of the mid-term elections in the United States have become the focus of the European and American markets, and investors' attitudes have gradually become conservative. In addition, German commercial banks have issued a battalion police to announce the profit in the third quarter on an annual basis. By more than 50%, and it is also reported in the market that HSBC will continue to reduce its business in Europe, and plans to lay off more than 200 employees in France next year. European banking stocks Leading the market, Germany's DAX index fell by 0.17%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.17%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.19%. The Republican Party of America may be The Senate suffered a waterloo in the election, losing two swing states in a row, including Pennsylvania and New Hampshire. Investors were cautious in winning the election. The media reported that after Musk entered the social network Twitter, he drastically reduced his Tesla stock by nearly $3.95 billion to pursue his dream, plus the Facebook parent. As the company's performance continued to decline, it announced a large number of layoffs, and technology stocks became the target of public criticism. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 2.48%; The Dow Jones index fell by 1.95%; And the S&P 500 index also fell 2.07%. The results of the mid-term elections in the United States are surging, the trend of the gold market is wavering, and the US dollar index has regained the 110 mark. The price of gold finally fell. At last, the price of gold was as low as $1,703.2, and the highest price rose to $1,722.3, but the high price was under pressure and the market was paying attention to it. The consumer price index released by the United States tonight, the price of gold finally fell, closing at $1,706.6, down $6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-09

November 9th Today's amplitude range The political situation in the United States is unstable, the risk of investors' bets increases, the US dollar index falls below the 110 mark, the gold price rises vigorously, and the momentum is stronger after it rises above the 1700 psychological mark. Touched the 100-day average of around $1,716 before turning back. The U.S. dollar's turn will benefit the prospects of the gold market. Today's suggested volatility is $1,702 to $1,719. The epidemic situation in the Mainland continues to heat up, with more than 6,800 new cases of COVID-19 infection yesterday, of which Guangzhou is the most serious, with 2,106 new local cases yesterday alone. In order to prevent further outbreak of the virus, the local government announced the extension of containment measures. The spread of the epidemic in the mainland is actually conducive to accepting the pattern of virus coexistence in thinking, However, with the existence of a "basket" of factors, it is hard to predict when the zero-clearing policy will be implemented. Hong Kong stocks rose for two days in a row, and then got angry again, coupled with the mainland epidemic. Cases rose, the mainland stock market fell, and the Hang Seng Index retreated in the stuffy market, falling 38 points or 0.23% to 16,557 points. There is a chance that the market disagreement about Brexit will be buried this year, and the relevant consultation meeting that had been stagnant for eight months was restarted last month. The Irish Foreign Minister said yesterday, I felt the sincerity of reaching an agreement from the London government, saying that I was optimistic about resolving the differences between the two sides with the EU through negotiations before the end of the year. Brexit issue Dawn, the market reacted positively, all three major European stock markets rose, and the German DAX index rose by 1.16%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.39%; Britain The FTSE 100 index rose by 0.16%. The mid-term elections in the United States are going on, and the election results are expected next week. The market is betting that the Republican Party is dominant, and behind the Republican Party is the traditional business giant. Look! Look at the challenger of the current US President, the former US President Trump, and you can know a thing or two. If he turns over, it will be beneficial to preserve the interests of traditional enterprises. Three major Wall Street stocks The Dow Jones index rose by 1.02%; While the S&P 500 index rose by 0.58%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.49%. Mid-term elections in the United States According to the anecdotal survey, it is very likely that the Republican Party will win the majority of the House of Representatives, and it is very likely that the Republican Party will win the majority of the House of Representatives. Competition in the Senate is also fierce; If any parliament falls into the hands of the Republican Party, it will increase the number of US President Biden whose background is Democratic party member. The difficulty of administration. The political situation in the United States is unstable, the risk of investors' bets increases, the US dollar index falls below the 110 mark, and the price of gold rises vigorously. The lowest gold price is 166. $4.8, the highest rose to $1,717, and finally closed at $1,712.6, up by $37.2. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-08

November 8th Today's amplitude range The whole world hopes that China will relax its domestic epidemic blockade measures, and that one country may save the global economy. Some Fed officials are against Powell, hoping to slow down the rate hike. Cutting, while the dollar fell, the capital tide took place, and the price of gold was not raised intentionally. Yesterday, it may be that the profit-taking plate was wary of the 50-day average, and it was also observing later this week. Time inflation data. Looking at the trend, the price of gold should be able to break through. Maintain today's suggested volatility of $1,670 to $1,690. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange of China announced the latest statistics yesterday. At the end of October, China's foreign exchange reserves were 3.052 trillion USD, increasing by nearly 23.47 billion USD every month. outside The Bureau explained that although the global financial asset prices fluctuated and went up and down, through the comprehensive factors such as exchange rate conversion and asset price changes, foreign exchange in October The scale of reserves is still rising, and it is emphasized that the fundamentals of China's long-term economic improvement will not change. Hong Kong stocks have been playing for two days, and the market is looking forward to the epidemic prevention measures in the Mainland first next year. The orderly relaxation of the quarter, coupled with the soft tone of some Fed officials, stimulated the Hang Seng Index to return to a three-week high. Hang Seng Index opened nearly 130 points lower, but buying actively. After entering the market, the turnover reached HK$ 148.6 billion yesterday, and the Hang Seng Index closed at 16,595 points, up 434 points or 2.69%. Last week, Britain raised interest rates by 75 points closely to the Federal Reserve, which temporarily stopped the decline of the pound, prevented the population price from rising in the short term and further worsened the inflation in China. Buying time will give the new British leadership time to improve the economic problems. I believe the Bank of England will follow suit until the economic crisis dawns. city Hoping that China will relax its epidemic prevention measures, the three major European stock markets rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 0.52%. Paris CAC index Up by less than 0.01%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.36%. Last week, the United States announced the result of interest rate decision, and as the market expected, it raised interest rate by another 75 points. Although Powell said after the interest rate meeting that the final interest rate level will be higher than Their expected level, and the interest rate hike cycle will be longer than expected; However, later on, some officials of the Federal Reserve played devil's advocate, saying that they hoped to slow down the rate hike. Pace. The pressure to raise interest rates was lowered to stimulate risky assets. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street rose across the board, and the Dow Jones index rose by 1.31%. And the Standard & Poor's 500 Index 0.96%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.85%. Some Fed officials placed pigeons, and the US dollar fell for two consecutive days. The US dollar index fell below 110, but the gold price failed to benefit. Investors waited and saw this week's pass. Expand the data to determine the market outlook, and the gold market ended down. After the opening of the market, the gold price was pushed down, as low as $1,666.9, until the US market rebounded, the most It rose to $1,681.9, but there was a lot of resistance in the range of $1,680, which finally narrowed the decline, and finally closed at $1,675.4, down by $5.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-07

November 7th Today's amplitude range China will have the opportunity to unblock the epidemic blockade measures in an orderly manner next year. Once China's economy returns to normal, the tide of capital investment may end, and the decline against the US dollar will be settled. the other party On the other hand, 75 points of the Fed's three interest rate increases have been digested. Powell said after the interest rate meeting that the final interest rate level will be higher than their expected level, but the interest rate will be increased. Although the speed can be slowed down as soon as December, the interest rate hike cycle may be extended, and the market is weighing the next rate hike of 50 points and 75 points by Wachovia Powell. The probability of children is quite close. The strength of the US dollar may come to an end. The price of gold surged on Friday, and it can still rise again next week. Suggested volatility today is $1,670 to $1,690. Dollars. The epidemic situation in COVID-19 continues to heat up. Last week, the number of new local cases exceeded 4,000. National statistics announced last week that the purchasing managers' index of non-manufacturing industries fell in October. Below 50 points of the dividing line between prosperity and poverty, the latest figure is 48.7 points, which is lower than the market expectation of 50.2, reflecting that the service industry in the Mainland is shrinking, and it is in line with the central government. The policy advocated by the leaders to promote domestic demand and protect the economy has deviated, and Hong Kong stocks have been dragged down, hitting a low of more than 14 years; There are two favorable factors in the market, one The weekly performance fell first and then rose. The media reported that American auditors had completed the first round of on-site audit of China Stock Exchange ahead of schedule, and the market was looking forward to the epidemic prevention measures in the Mainland. In the first quarter of next year, it began to relax in an orderly manner. The Hang Seng Index soared nearly 1,500 points a week to close at 16,161 points, up 821 points or 8.73%. The new British Prime Minister, Xin Wei and Xin Cai, proposed to increase taxes to deal with Britain's fiscal black hole. Xin Weicheng is familiar with financial affairs, which will help improve the British economy. upper/better/previous/a surname Last week, the purchasing managers' index of manufacturing industry in the UK rebounded after shrinking for the second month in a row. In addition, the market spread that China would relax its epidemic prevention measures, and the US dollar plunged sharply. Last Friday alone, the three major European stock markets rose by more than 2%. In a week's summary, the German DAX index rose by 1.63%; Paris CAC index rose by 2.29%; hero The FTSE 100 index surged by 4.07%. Last week, the United States announced the results of interest rate talks. As expected by the market, the Federal Reserve revealed last Wednesday that it would raise interest rates by another 75 points. Powell is at the interest rate meeting. After that, the final interest rate level will be higher than their expected level, and the interest rate hike cycle will be longer than expected. Pressure to raise interest rates has completely shaken up US stocks, although New york's stock market rebounded by more than 1% due to investors' expectation that China would relax its epidemic prevention restrictions. After a week's summary, the three major Wall Street stock indexes still closed down, and the Dow Jones index fell. 1.4%; While the S&P 500 index fell by 3.59%; The Nasdaq Composite Index hit more than 5%. The market digested the news of the Fed's interest rate hike. The price of the US dollar fell against a basket of currencies, and the US dollar fell below the level of 111. In addition, the non-agricultural data went backwards from last month. China's unemployment rate is unexpectedly higher than market expectations. In addition, the market expects China to relax its epidemic control measures, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to release it at the interest rate meeting next month. Slow interest rate increase, last Friday, the US dollar saw its biggest drop in a single day in a year and a half, and the price of gold bounced sharply. The lowest price of gold last week was $1,616.7, and the highest price was $1,681.8. Finally, it closed at $1680.9. In a week, the price of gold rose by 36.6 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-04

November 4th Today's amplitude range Yesterday, the United States announced the number of initial jobless claims last week, which fell for three consecutive weeks. At the same time, it was lower than the market expectation, indicating that the domestic job market in the United States is strong. If there is no accident, tonight's non-agricultural data will show a similar trend, which will affect the Fed's position of raising interest rates in December. The gold price will gradually bottom out, and the key is Whether it will fall below this year's low support of $1,615. The suggested volatility today is $1,615 to $1,637. The epidemic situation in COVID-19 continues to heat up, and the number of new local cases in a single day has once again exceeded 3,000. The Municipal Health Commission issued a message, and the National Association will unswervingly implement the zero clearing policy; The mainland stock market fell in response, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3,000 points, and the onshore RMB even fell below 7.3 against the US dollar, reflecting that funds are not optimistic about China's economic prospects. Wulou It rained all night, and the Federal Reserve released its eagle on Wednesday, and local banks followed suit to raise the prime mortgage rate. Raymond Yue, the chief executive of the HKMA, warned that the bank interest rate had increased by one percent. Step up, you must be prepared. After the mainland's wake-up and interest rate rise, Hong Kong stocks rose for two consecutive days, and their feet softened, falling 487 points or 3.1% to close at 15,339. Point. Yesterday, it was the Bank of England's turn to announce the interest rate hike. As expected by the market, the result was close to the Fed's interest rate hike of 75 points. In addition, some media reported that the UK was studying to increase capital gains. Yes, rumors are bad for investors, but the British stock market went upstream, and the FTSE 100 index rose by 0.61%! British and American interest rate hikes put pressure on global stock markets, The European Central Bank (ECB) is subject to a fragile economy. In the past, the policy of raising interest rates was conservative and lagging behind. ECB President Lagarde made a speech yesterday, saying that he was facing a high inflation crisis. The Bank must take action. Although she didn't put forward a specific plan, it is expected to launch a more aggressive interest rate increase model. Germany's DAX index fell 0.93%; Paris CAC The index fell by 0.54%. Yesterday, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States shrank again, which showed that the labor market in the United States was booming. It supported the hawkish position of the United States Federal Reserve, and the Federal Reserve discussed interest rates yesterday. After the results are available. Powell said after the interest rate meeting that the final interest rate level would be higher than their expected level, and the market was weighing up the 50% interest rate increase of Wachovia Powell next time. It is quite close to the probability of 75 points. U.S. stocks fell for four days in a row, and the Dow Jones index fell 0.46%. While the S&P 500 index fell by 1.06%; Nasdaq comprehensive The index fell by 1.73%. The United States announced the number of initial jobless claims last week, with the latest figure of 217,000, which fell for three consecutive weeks and was lower than the market expectation. It shows that the domestic job market in the United States is strong, which will affect the attitude of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in December. The gold market has bottomed out again, with the highest gold price reaching $1,641 yesterday and the lowest. See $1616.7, and finally close at $1629.6, down $5.7. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-03

November 3rd Today's amplitude range The change of gold price is reversed, reversed, and then reversed! . A small number of non-agricultural news, the price of gold stepped down, the Federal Reserve announced the results of interest rate discussion as expected, and the price of gold actually soared to US$ 670, but Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hammered it out, saying that the previous policy had not seen any effect, saying that according to the data since the last meeting, the most The final interest rate will be higher than they expected! The price of gold plunged again, returning to Monday's closing price. Under the pressure of raising interest rates, the gold market is still easy to fall but difficult to upgrade. Bureau. The suggested volatility today is $1,630 to $1,644. Yesterday, when the typhoon hit Hong Kong, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange closed early, and Hong Kong stocks took on the momentum of Tuesday's clip warehouse, and then rose again. Typhoon "Niger" was not sensible and forced its way around Hong Kong. During the international financial leaders' investment summit in Hong Kong, during which the political departments of Hong Kong coordinated in an orderly manner, the Observatory changed the signal No.8 at 1: 40 pm. The meeting started smoothly in the morning; Looking forward to the relaxation of epidemic prevention measures in the mainland in the first quarter of next year, Hong Kong stocks continued their early rebound momentum yesterday, and the Hang Seng Index opened higher and closed higher. The Hang Seng Index rose more than 400 points at most less than an hour after the market opened in the afternoon, and finally HKEx closed early at 1: 55 minutes under the influence of typhoon, closing at 5,827 points, up 371 points or 2.4%. The purchasing managers' index of the manufacturing industry in the euro zone is worse than expected, with the latest data reported at 46.4, which is lower than the market expectation of 46.6, indicating that the economy is still in recession. In addition, the market is waiting for the results of interest rate discussion announced by the Federal Reserve later. Venture capitalists tend to be conservative. The three major European stock markets all fell, and the German DAX index fell by 0.62. %; Paris CAC index fell by 0.98%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.35%. Yesterday, U.S. stocks opened down to meet the heavy information of the market, not the beauty. As a result of the Fed's interest rate discussion, the market decided that it was imperative for the Fed to raise interest rate by 0.75% this month. Instead, it was Powell, the director of the Federal Reserve, who wanted to raise interest rates in the future. Degree is the focus of technical investors. Powell said after the meeting on interest rates that the previous policy had not seen any effect, saying that according to the data since the last meeting, The final interest rate will be higher than they expected. Powell's wording caused the US stocks to rush in, and the Dow Jones index fell by 1.52%; While the S&P 500 index fell by 2.52%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 3.66%. gold The market is double-killing, and two heavy news make the change of gold price reverse, reverse, and then reverse! The price of gold rose to $1,658 in the early stage, and the growth of small non-agricultural data was announced. Better than the market expectation, the price of gold gradually fell back to the opening level. Following the announcement of the US interest rate by the Federal Reserve, and as the market expected, the interest rate was raised by 75 points, and the gold market again It soared to a daily high of $1,669.5. However, Powell explained that although the rate hike could slow down as soon as December, the rate hike cycle might be longer, and the gold market would again At present, the gold price reached a low of $1634.8, and finally closed at $1635.3, down by $12.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-02

November 2nd Today's amplitude range The two-day Fed meeting on interest rates was held yesterday, and there was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the market. As seen yesterday, the probability of raising interest rate by 75 points this week has dropped to 85%. In fact, the market has predicted that the Fed would rather do more than do less. It is imperative to raise interest rate by 0.75% this month, but it is the Fed. Long Powell's attitude toward raising interest rates in the future is the focus. Today's suggested volatility is $1,630 to $1,653. Due to the epidemic situation, coupled with the strict zero elimination policy of the state, the intermittent measures of sealing and controlling shooting in different regions have dragged down the whole domestic economic activities and affected the manufacturing production. And demand, the mainland's Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index contracted for the third consecutive month in October, with the latest figure of 49.2, up 1.1 points from September and higher. At the market expectation of 48.5, the mainland stock market opened higher, and Hong Kong stocks also took advantage of the short positions. The Hang Seng Index surged by more than 900 points at most yesterday. Although the closing increase narrowed, it was still. Up 768 points or 5.2% to close at 15,455 points. The new British Prime Minister, Xin Weicheng, prescribed the right medicine, saying that it was inevitable that everyone would have to face tax increases to deal with Britain's fiscal black hole. Xin Weicheng was familiar with financial affairs, which would help improve Britain. China's economic situation. Yesterday, the purchasing managers' index of manufacturing industry in the UK rebounded after shrinking for the second month in a row. Although it is still below the dry line of 46.2, it has already surpassed the market. It is predicted that the FTSE 100 index in the UK will rise by 1.35%. Although the annual inflation rate in the euro zone has risen to an all-time high of 10.7%, the market still hopes that the international oil price will fall, which will improve its performance. The DAX index of Germany rose by 0.6% due to the worsening inflation caused by the source crisis; Paris CAC index rose by 0.98%. US stocks opened higher and closed lower. Because the purchasing managers' index of institute for supply management's manufacturing industry is better than the market expectation, and the number of job vacancies in the US labor mobility survey report is in September. There were 440,000 job vacancies, and the strong economic data stimulated the three major indexes of US stocks to open higher. However, the market was obviously concerned about the two-day interest rate meeting started by the Federal Reserve yesterday. Investors tend to be conservative. The Wall Street stock market finally fell on the first trading day in November, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.24%. While the S&P 500 index also fell by 0.4. 1%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.89%. When the mainland stock market rises, the state will intervene in the foreign exchange market again; The Reserve Bank of Australia announced the result of interest rate yesterday, with a moderate interest rate increase of 0.25%. The rate increase was in line with market expectations, and the Australian dollar Once the US dollar fought back, and the Bank of England also announced the result of interest rate this week, the market predicted that it would follow the pace of interest rate increase in the United States, and the pound stopped its decline. The US dollar The index was slightly lowered, and the gold market rebounded, with the highest gold price reaching $1,657.1. However, due to the two-day Fed meeting held yesterday, investors were cautious and closed. The increase narrowed to close at $1,647.9, with the lowest gold price at $1,630.8, rising by $14.3 throughout the day. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-11-01

November 1st Today's amplitude range The market is worried that the epidemic clearing policy implemented by the China government will continue to plague the domestic economy. In addition, the new team of Jijinping tends to the extreme left and the onshore RMB is against the US dollar. Try low again; In addition, the Fed's interest rate hike is just around the corner, and the US dollar index is back at 111 level; Investors are concerned about the interest rate results announced in the early hours of Thursday morning, but expect the Federal Reserve Would rather do more than do less mentality will appear, this week's interest rate increase of 75 points is close to 90%. There is a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the market, and the price of gold is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. Today's suggested volatility is $1,624 to $1,640. The National Bureau of Statistics announced yesterday that the purchasing managers' index of non-manufacturing industries in October fell below 50 points of the dividing line between prosperity and poverty, and the latest figure was 48.7 points, which was higher than the market expectation. 50.2% is low, which reflects that the service industry in the Mainland is shrinking, and it deviates from the policy of boosting domestic demand and safeguarding the economy advocated by the central leaders, and the market is worried. The domestic economic prospect will be more and more difficult due to the implementation of the epidemic clearing policy, and the onshore RMB will try to be low against the US dollar again. The mainland stock market fell, Hong Kong stocks were also dragged down, and then In addition, the Census and Statistics Department predicted that the gross domestic product in the third quarter of Hong Kong would decline sharply. Yesterday, the Hang Seng Index opened lower and closed lower, and the Hang Seng Index finally fell 176 points or 1.18% to close at 146. At 8: 00, the lowest closing price in more than 13 and a half years. Last week, the European Central Bank announced that it would raise the three major interest rates by 75 points, and investors are gradually digesting the pressure of raising interest rates. Germany announced yesterday that retail sales in September increased from the previous month. It is expected that there will be a positive number, and the figure will increase by 0.9%, which is stronger than the market expectation of 0.3% contraction. The satisfactory performance of economic data has boosted the market sentiment. On the other hand, the UK Once again, the new prime minister, Xin Weicheng, commented on the economy in a new role for the first time, saying that it was inevitable to increase taxes to deal with Britain's fiscal black hole. Xin Weicheng is familiar with financial affairs, Its policy is obviously contrary to the previous Prime Minister's policy, but it is finally the right medicine, which will help improve the British economy. The three major European stock markets developed individually, German DAX index rose by 0.13%; Paris CAC index fell 0.1%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.72%. Although U.S. stocks fell yesterday, the Dow Jones index still delivered its best monthly performance since 1976 in October, rising nearly 14% and falling to a 13-year low relative to Hong Kong stocks. Bit, behave like a cloud of mud! Investors are concerned about the meeting of the Federal Reserve on interest rates today and tomorrow. The market expects that the Fed officials will still raise interest rates by 75 points this time. The probability is as high as 88%, and venture capitalists will accept it when they are too good. The three major indexes of Wall Street are all down, with the Dow Jones index falling by 0.39%; While the S&P 500 index also fell. 0.75%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.03%. The dollar is strong and the gold price is under pressure. China's economic data is poor, and the market is worried about the implementation of the China government The policy of clearing the epidemic will continue to plague the domestic economy, and the new team of Jijinping will lean to the extreme left, and the onshore RMB will try its low level against the US dollar again; In addition, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. Soon, the U.S. dollar index returned to the 111 level, with the highest gold price at 1645.7 dollars and the lowest at 1631.8 dollars, closing at 1633.7 dollars, down 10.6 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-31

October 31st Today's amplitude range With the exception of Japan and China, most central banks around the world use interest rate hikes to curb inflation. Recently, they have followed the trend of the Federal Reserve. Although the US dollar has recovered from a high level. However, Canada's central government took the lead in slowing down its pace, which inevitably provoked market reverie; Investors are concerned about the results of interest rate discussion announced in the early hours of Thursday morning, but it is expected that the Federal Reserve will be better The mentality of doing more is better than doing less will appear, and the result of raising interest rate by 75 points this week will be as stable as Mount Tai. Under the premise of raising interest rates, the gold market will still be under pressure. Today's suggestion wave From $1,630 to $1,650. At the end of the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China, Ji Jinping broke the routine and became president for the third consecutive term. The market was concerned about the shift change of the new official in charge of finance and finance. However, it is expected that the new prime minister will lean to the extreme left, because in terms of seniority, Li Keqiang, who is more enlightened, is not on the list of the new CPC Central Commission for Discipline Inspection Standing Committee, which proves the enlightened economy. It's not the tea of the chairman of the idea collection. It is expected that market economy measures will be more inclined to the common prosperity policy put forward by the chairman, and also more inclined to new communism, which will make investors worry. Considering that the era of China's reform and opening-up proposed by Deng Xiaoping is coming to an end, the economic prospect is difficult, and the momentum of capital investment continues. Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower last week, Hang Seng Index It fell 1348 points or 8.3%, and closed at 14863 on Friday, the lowest closing price since April 28, 2009. Once again, Britain changed its phase, and the new Prime Minister Xin Weicheng was born in finance and was familiar with financial affairs. His vigorous and vigorous policies generally won the support of political parties and reached the basic market. People's applause, it is expected that he will end the British political turmoil after taking office, a stable political situation is conducive to officials in charge can focus on economic issues, and the pound is low. It rose by 12% against the US dollar. The European Central Bank announced the results of interest rate discussion yesterday, raising the three major interest rates by 75 points. This rate hike is the second in a row in Europe. The interest rate increased by 0.75%, but the inflation situation in the euro zone has not improved, and the recent annual inflation rate is as high as 9.9%. With the rise of interest rates and market volatility, Many financial institutions in the euro zone have performed well. In a week, all three major European stock markets rose, and the DAX index in Germany rose. 4.03%; Paris CAC index rose by 3.94%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.22%. The economic data released by the United States last week were mixed. The gross domestic product of the United States in the third quarter was better than expected, but the year-on-year income was worse than the market expectation. labour In terms of data, the number of initial jobless claims continued to increase last week, but the growth rate was lower than that of the market. And the core durable goods orders are even more unexpectedly retrogressive, Zhou The employment cost index of 5% is still on the high side, but the core personal consumption expenditure price index has increased by 5.1% year-on-year, which is lower than expected. The market expects that the Federal Reserve will only raise it again. The high interest rate is 0.75% more, and there will be no advance mode, which temporarily relieves the pressure of interest rate increase. Last week, the three major Wall Street indexes were all successful, and the Dow Jones index rose. 5.72%; The S&P 500 index also rose by 3.94%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.24%. Last week, the economic data of the United States went to extremes, but the employment cost index and the personal consumption expenditure price index, two important inflation indicators that the Federal Reserve paid more attention to, were on a chain-by-chain basis. However, there is a steady upward trend, highlighting that the continuous pressure will keep the central bank's attitude of raising interest rates substantially. Investors in the gold market are keeping a close eye on this week's Fed meeting. Interest rate meeting, the market expects the Fed to raise interest rates by 75 points again, and the haze of raising interest rates lingers. Today, the market tumbled last week, with the highest price of gold reaching 16 last week. $75, the lowest is $1638.1, and it closed at $1644.3 last Friday. In a week, the price of gold fell by $13.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-28

October 28th Today's amplitude range The economic data released by the United States are mixed, and the gold market lacks direction, with the volatility narrowing slightly to $16. The market is obviously waiting for the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates next week. As a result, the gold market is expected to remain in a competitive situation. Today's suggested volatility is $1,655 to $1,672. The Bank of Canada unexpectedly raised interest rates by only 0.5%, which is lower than the market expectation. Investors expect that the US Federal Reserve will slow down the rate hike, which will benefit the risk market, and then add Last night, the Jinlong Index, which reflects the general technology stocks, rose. The leading technology companies listed in Hong Kong opened sharply yesterday, and the Hong Kong stock market opened more than 400 points, up 5% at most. At 15: 00, it reached 15,833, but the selling pressure increased at a high level. Before the market closed, most of the gains were retreated, and the Hang Seng Index finally rose only 110 points or 0.7% to close at 15,427 points. The European Central Bank announced the results of interest rate discussion yesterday, raising the three major interest rates by 75 points, in line with market expectations. This interest rate hike is the second time in a row that Europe has increased sharply. The interest rate is increased by 0.75%, but the inflation situation in the euro zone has not improved, and the recent annual inflation rate is as high as 9.9%. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the inflation rate in the euro zone is still severe and continues to be higher than the neutral interest rate of the central bank, indicating that the European Central Bank is likely to Continue to raise interest rates in the next few meetings. The three major European stock markets developed individually, with Germany's DAX index rising by 0.12%; Paris CAC index fell 0.51%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.23%. U.S. stocks share weal and woe. The Dow Jones index, which represents traditional enterprises, rose for five days in a row, but the Nasdaq Composite Index, And the S&P 500 index, which includes representatives of technology stocks, fell for two consecutive days. Affected by the pressure of interest rate increase, technology stocks with higher P/E ratio have become the targets of reduction. Coupled with the mixed corporate performance announced yesterday, the three major indexes of Wall Street developed individually, with the Dow Jones index rising by 0.62%; While the S&P 500 index also fell. 0.55%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.63%. The economic data released by the United States are mixed. The GDP of the United States in the third quarter was better than expected, but the year-on-year income was worse than the market expectation. Labor data On the other hand, the number of initial jobless claims continued to increase last week, but the growth rate was lower than that of the market. However, the core durable goods orders have unexpectedly regressed, and the gold market is short. Lack of direction, the volatility narrowed slightly to $16. The highest gold price was $1,670.9, the lowest was $1,654.8, and finally closed at $1,664.8, up 1.4 US dollars. Yuan. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-27

October 27th Today's amplitude range U.S. economic data continues to weaken, and the rate hike cycle is only 0.5% higher than that of the Bank of Canada before the U.S., which is lower than the market expectation of 75 points. Investors look forward to it. The Fed will relax its attitude towards raising interest rates, with the US dollar index falling below 110 points and the yield of US ten-year treasury bonds falling by nearly 4%. The strong dollar situation seems to have ended. Bundle, the gold price bulls are temporarily dominant. Today, the suggested volatility is $1,658 to $1,680. Poor wage earners in Hong Kong! The MPF, which the government originally intended to protect the public, has become a withdrawal box for financial predators. Since the beginning of this year, the average wage earner has lost nearly 6. Ten thousand yuan! For the general public, the choices offered by fund companies on the MPF list are limited, and most fund managers cannot provide effective counter-cyclical investments. Funds are used to hedge the current situation, and even a large number of individual citizens turn a blind eye to their own MPF portfolios, all of which are the causes of money loss. Of course, Ki. Manager's portfolio can be interpreted as a more conservative portfolio, which can protect citizens' assets and avoid greater risks. However, handing the money to others will erode. In addition to money, it has to be levied. In any case, it will always be resentful! If you have any comments and feelings, please leave a message on Facebook. If so Readers who are interested in investing can also click the following links to communicate with each other: Or call us at https://t.me/mingtakchat /WhatsApp: 54454098. Yesterday, the central government re-exported it to maintain the healthy development of the stock market, the bond market and the property market. After five consecutive days of losses, Hong Kong stocks finally ushered in a rebound. The Hang Seng Index opened nearly 70 points lower, The lowest price is 15041, but there is obvious support at 15,000. In addition, the central government's speech made the market quite stable, and the mainland stock market rose. In the end, Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed higher, and the Hang Seng Index closed up 152 points. Or 1%, to close at 15,317 points. The market is observing the result of interest rate discussion by the European Central Bank today, benefiting from the rising interest rate in Europe, and the financial situation in many euro zones yesterday. The institutions had excellent performance, but the market volatility and worries about the economic prospects failed to make the financial sector rise, and the European banking index fell by 0.3%; Even so, the three major European stock markets rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 0.94%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.94%; The FTSE 100 index in the UK Nearly closed, down by less than 0.01%. A number of American companies announced their third quarter results yesterday, and U.S. stocks were mixed in honor and disgrace. Heavyweight companies, including Alphabet, the parent company of Google, and Microsoft, all performed worse than the market. It is expected that technology stocks will drag the Nasdaq Composite Index down by 2.04%; The S&P 500 index also fell by 0.73%; Dow Jones index benefits from financial credit Visa had a good performance, and managed to hold the uptrend, closing up slightly by 0.01%. While the growth of building prices in the United States is slowing down, the sales of new houses are better than market expectations, However, a decrease of nearly 11% from the previous month proves that a series of interest rate hike policies of the Federal Reserve have played a role, and in the rate hike cycle, the Bank of Canada raised interest rates only more than before the United States. 0.5%, which is lower than the market expectation of 75 pips, stimulating the upward price of gold. The highest price of gold was $1,675, the lowest price was $1,649.8, and finally it closed at $1,665.2. Up 12.2 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-26

October 26th Today's amplitude range U.S. economic data continues to weaken, and investors expect that the Fed will relax its attitude towards raising interest rates. The yield of U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds has dropped from a high level, and the price of gold has gone up. Rise. The new British Prime Minister David Sin officially took office, and the political turmoil in Britain came to an end. The exchange rate of British pound against the US dollar rose to a six-week high, limiting the rise of gold price. gold The price is long and short, and today, we keep the suggested volatility of 1640-1664 USD yesterday. The mainland of China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission released positive messages to the market, which showed that the financial risks were generally convergent and the financial system was generally stable. And the RMB is expected to remain in the long run. The reason is that China has a sustained surplus in international trade and a huge return on net assets of foreign investment, which shows that the RMB exchange rate is supported by both. Will be able to maintain stability. Even so, there is no sign of slowing down the investment situation in the Mainland, and the onshore price of RMB fell below the 7.3 mark in the early stage. Hong Kong stocks opened lower. At the worst, the Hang Seng Index once fell below 15,000 points. In the past two days, the turnover has increased greatly, with the hand shadow of the national team supporting the market, and 15,000 points were finally recovered. Hang Seng Index Final Receipt Reported 15,165 points, down 15 points or 0.1%. Former British Chancellor of the Exchequer Xin Weicheng became the only candidate for the leader of the ruling Conservative Party and was automatically elected. He met with King Charles III yesterday and was officially appointed as Britain. The new prime minister. Although Xin Weicheng still faces great challenges, it is expected that the opposition voice has been removed from the Conservative Party, and the British political turmoil will come to an end and be stable. The political situation is favorable for officials to focus on economic issues, and the exchange rate of the pound against the US dollar rose to a six-week high. The three major European stock markets developed individually, German DAX index rose by 0.94%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.94%; Britain's FTSE 100 index was close to flat, falling by less than 0.01%. U.S. economic data continues to deteriorate, and investors expect the Fed to relax its attitude towards raising interest rates. The market predicts that the Fed will raise interest rates by 75 points in November. Nail on the board, and it will remain at 50 points in December. The yield of ten-year treasury bonds dropped to 4.1%, which was good for the risk market. The three major indexes of Wall Street continued for three days. Up, the Dow Jones index rose 1.07%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.62%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.25%. U.S. building price growth slows down, In addition, the consumer confidence report in October is lower than the market expectation, which shows that the Fed's continuous interest rate hike has finally played a role, and the market hopes that the joint administration will There will be no steeper interest rate increase next month to control the market price. The yield of 10-year government bonds will fall and the price of gold will rise slightly. The highest gold price is $1662.4, the most See $1,638.4 low, and finally close at $1,653, up $3.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-25

October 25th Today's amplitude range Except Japan and China, most central banks around the world use interest rate hikes to curb inflation; However, Ji Jinping is the second president, and the market expects that the economic planning will Tending to the extreme left, becoming neo-communist, the market lacks confidence in China's prospects, the offshore RMB has collapsed, the US dollar index is relatively strong, and the gold price closed down yesterday. Field. The yield of US dollar index and US ten-year Treasury bonds hovered at a high level, and it is expected that the price of gold will remain under pressure. Suggested volatility today is $1,640 to $1,664. At the end of the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China, Ji Jinping broke the routine and became president for the third consecutive term. The market was concerned about the shift change of the new official in charge of finance and finance. However, it is expected that the new prime minister will lean to the extreme left, because in terms of seniority, Li Keqiang, who is more enlightened, is not on the list of the new the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection of the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee, which proves the enlightened economy. It's not the tea of the chairman of the idea collection. It is expected that the market economy measures will be more inclined to the common prosperity policy put forward by Chairman Ji, and also more inclined to the new communism and China economy. The prospect is difficult. Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower, falling more than 300 points at the opening. In the afternoon, the decline turned sharp, with a maximum of 1,128 points, closing at 15,180 points, down 1,030 points or 6.36%。 British Prime Minister Zhuo Hui went to Taiwan in the afternoon, bearing political consequences for the hastily approved tax reduction plan; And the former prime minister Johnson, who will make a comeback in the market, announced that Instead of competing for the leader of the Conservative Party, former British Chancellor of the Exchequer Xin Weicheng became the only candidate for the leader of the ruling Conservative Party and will become the next prime minister. Anticipate British political turmoil Coming to an end, the stable political situation is conducive to the officials in charge to focus on economic issues. In addition, yesterday, the US stock market soared, and the three major European stock markets rose continuously. On the third day, the DAX index of Germany rose by 1.61%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.66%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.59%. The decline of the purchasing managers' index in the United States shows that the continuous interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve has finally shaken the rising trend of worsening inflation, matching with the pigeons of Federal Reserve officials last week. In terms of wording, the market predicted that the Fed would raise interest rate by 75 points to 95% in November, which had completely forgotten Brad's earlier "front-loading" rate hike strategy. Warning. The three major Wall Street indexes continued to rise, with the Dow Jones index up 1.34%, the S&P 500 index up 1.24% and the Nasdaq Composite Index up 0.82%. The price of gold rose first and then fell. The gold market continued its upward trend last week during the opening session, rising all the way to a daily high of $1,670.8, then falling back below 1,660, and then continuing sideways. Until the China stock market closed down by more than 2%, and the RMB collapsed, the conversion price of offshore RMB against the US dollar began to fall from 7.24, and even fell nine times to 7.32, setting a new record. New low, the US dollar index rose above 112 points again, and the price of gold fell under pressure, reaching a low of $1,644, and finally closed at $1,649.7, down by $8.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-24

October 24th Today's amplitude range In addition to Japan and China, most central banks around the world use interest rate hikes to curb inflation. Recently, they have followed the trend of the Federal Reserve, and Japan has unlimited interest rates. To intervene in the yen exchange rate, the US dollar stopped its earlier strength, but the yield of US ten-year treasury bonds is still hovering at a high level under the expected interest rate hike, and the price of gold is still short. Period rebound pattern, failed to turn. Strategically, it's still better to be aloof. Suggested volatility today is $1,650 to $1,670. At the end of the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China, as the market rumors, Ji Jinping broke the convention that the chairman could not serve more than two terms, and became president for the third time in a row. like that During the meeting, the spread of capital was accelerated, and the onshore price of RMB fell to a low level of nearly 14 years against the US, highlighting that investors or businessmen have obviously warned against the China market in the near future. Heart; Coupled with the acceleration of the process of RMB electronization in the Mainland, the mainland residents who are not optimistic about the prospects and are full of cash are also enriched with culture. In short, they will go fast and have a good life. Bound! As a window for Hong Kong's foreign investment in China, there is also the phenomenon of capital outflow. Last week, the HKMA entered the market again to take a selling order of about HK$, leaving only the overall bank balance. With a little over HK$ 10 billion, the interest rate will soar, which will affect the performance of Hong Kong stocks. Coupled with external factors, Hong Kong stocks opened lower and closed lower again last week, with the Hang Seng Index falling the lowest. Near the edge of 16,000, the Hang Seng Index finally closed at 16,211 points, a record low in 13 and a half years. Calculated in a week, the Hang Seng Index fell by 376 points or 2.3%; British Prime Minister Zhuo Huisi became famous in World War I, won the party election, and became the second female prime minister in British history, but made her more famous. Maybe she resigned after only 45 days in office, becoming the shortest prime minister in British history. The British political situation has changed suddenly, and the change of people is like a merry-go-round. In less than four months, there was a king, two prime ministers, three finance ministers and four interior ministers. Although Zhuo Huisi stepped down for the hastily approved black hole tax reduction draft, However, it is expected that her resignation still failed to quell the political turmoil, but finally temporarily stabilized the market confidence, the pound rebounded slightly, and the Bank of England's interest rate hike is expected to decline. To 0.75%. The three major European stock markets rose for two weeks, and the German DAX index rose by 2.76%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.74%; The FTSE 100 index rose. 0.88%。 Last week, American stocks were significantly ahead. The market is still paying close attention to the Fed's attitude of raising interest rates. Fed Brad said a week earlier that due to the hot inflation data, the It is necessary for the authorities to adopt a "front-loading" strategy in order to show the rate increase of the Federal Reserve. However, last Friday, the tone was slightly relaxed, indicating that some minor measures could be taken. The adjustment. And his colleague, Daley, said that it was appropriate to slow down the rate hike when the federal funds rate was close to the highest level, and the Federal Reserve was a bit dovish and on the US stock market. On Friday, it rose sharply by more than 2%. In a week, the three major indexes of Wall Street rose collectively, the Jones index rose by 4.89%, and the S&P 500 index rose by 4.88. %, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 5.72%. The renminbi continued to weaken, and the gold market rose in the early stage. With the sudden resignation of the gold price by British Prime Minister David Zhuohuisi, the pound rebounded, coupled with the Bank of Japan. People intervened in the yen exchange rate, the US dollar index fell below 112 points, and the Fed officials turned their backs. The haze of a strong interest rate hike was swept away, and ten-year treasury bonds were born. The interest rate dropped from 4.3% to 4.19%, and the price of gold rebounded last week. The lowest price of gold last week was $1,617.3, the lowest was $1,668.5, and the last price was $1,657.6. Close the market. In a week, the price of gold rose by 13.1 USD. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-21

October 21st Today's amplitude range The renminbi continued to weaken, the British political arena exploded, and the gold market once surged. However, many Fed officials agreed that the current inflation level was still too high, saying The Federal Reserve has not fulfilled its mission objectives. The attitude of the Fed officials has caused the yield of long and short US Treasury bonds to reach a high of more than 15 years, forcing the gold market to fall back. in advance The yield of US dollar index and ten-year treasury bonds will remain strong under the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve. The price of gold has fallen to a critical point, testing the support of $1,624, and expanding at any time. A big decline, it is still better to be short-selling strategically. The suggested volatility today is $1,616 to $1,635. According to media reports in the mainland, the CSRC will relax a small number of enterprises involved in real estate, but enterprises that do not take real estate as their main business will be allowed to raise funds in the stock market, which may be accelerated. The spin-off of mainland housing enterprises is beneficial to reduce their debt level, but the most important thing is market confidence. If the problem of uncompleted residential flats and investment prospects is not solved, the property market Or related enterprises will not be transferred to optimism. Hong Kong stocks have been weak recently, and opened lower and closed lower yesterday, hitting new lows for more than eleven years. Hang Seng Index opened 280 points lower, the most The gap had dropped by 634 points or 3.8%, the lowest since May 2009, and finally the decline of the Hang Seng Index narrowed, closing at 16,280 points, down by 231 points or 1.4%. British Prime Minister Zhuo Huisi became famous in World War I, won the party election, and became the second female prime minister in British history, but made her more famous. It was only 45 days after she took office that she suddenly resigned and stepped down, becoming the shortest prime minister in British history. The British political situation changed suddenly, and in just less than four months, it changed. A king, two prime ministers, three finance ministers and four interior ministers; Although Zhuo Huisi stepped down for the hastily approved black hole tax reduction draft, she is still expected to resign. It was able to calm the political turmoil, but it finally stabilized the market confidence temporarily. The pound rebounded slightly, and the Bank of England's interest rate hike is expected to drop to 0.75%. British FTSE 100 The index rose by 0.3%; German DAX index rose by 0.18%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.76%. The U.S. stock market rose first and then fell. U.S. stocks followed European stocks in the early stage, but the shadow of the Fed raising interest rates again in November lingered, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds rose to 4.24. %, the highest level since 2008, while the upside-down spread of the yield of two-year government bonds has widened, rising to 4.61%, the highest level since 2007. With the unstable economic outlook and investors' lack of confidence, the three major indexes of Wall Street turned to the collective and reported a decline, with the Jones index falling by 0.3%, the Standard & Poor's 500 index falling by 0.85%, and NASDAQ. The composite index fell by 0.61%. The renminbi continued to weaken, and the gold market rose in the early stage. With the sudden resignation of British Prime Minister John Joyce, the pound rebounded, and the US dollar index fell by more than 0.6%. The price of gold exploded immediately, reaching a maximum of $1,645.7. After that, the market digested the good news. In addition, many Fed officials said that the inflation level is still at this stage. However, it is too high, indicating that the Fed has not yet completed the task of raising the short-term interest rate target. The attitude of Fed officials has caused the yield of long and short U.S. Treasury bonds to reach more than 15 years. The high level forced the gold market to fall back. The lowest gold price was $1,622.5, and finally it closed at $1,628.2, slightly down by $0.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-20

October 20th Today's amplitude range The RMB and British pound dropped significantly, the US dollar was relatively strong, and yesterday's economic data was still strong, which supported the hawkish view of the Federal Reserve, and the yield of ten-year treasury bonds was on the high side. The price of gold fell yesterday. It is expected that the US dollar index and the yield of ten-year treasury bonds will remain strong under the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve. The price of gold has fallen to a critical point and will expand at any time. The decline, falling below 1624, can be sold, stop the erosion with $4, and fight for 12 mosquito gold. Suggested today's volatility, that is, $1612 to $1630. The mainland's capital withdrawal behavior has intensified. The People's Bank of China has carried out reverse repurchase operations of RMB 2 billion for 9 consecutive days, but the increased money supply has accelerated the outflow of funds, and the people FOB currency hit a new low against the US dollar this year; The HKMA also re-entered the market to take a sell order of about HK$ 3 billion, leaving the overall bank balance at just over HK$ 10 billion. Interest rates have a chance to soar, affecting the performance of Hong Kong stocks. The Hang Seng Index opened lower and closed lower, closing at 16,511 points, down 403 points or 2.4%. After the British Prime Minister Zhuo Huisi publicly apologized, he still failed to quell the dissatisfaction of the party's friends. Some media reported that some British Conservative MPs submitted no-confidence suggestions to the Prime Minister. but Later on, it was reported that Wendy Morton, the chief whip of the British Conservative Party, resigned. According to the wind, Zhuo Huisi had a great chance to step down. British political instability, sterling It fell nearly 0.9% against the US dollar. In terms of data, inflation in the UK and the Eurozone peaked, the three major European stock markets fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 0.16%; Paris CA C index fell by 0.43%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.13%. During the announcement period of American companies, many financial institutions performed better than expected, and US stocks opened higher in the early stage. However, Tesla, the leader of trams in the world, did not perform well. Bid, reversed the market atmosphere, and yesterday's economic data was still strong, supporting the hawkish view of the Federal Reserve. The yield of ten-year treasury bonds rose to 4.1%, Walter The three major indexes on the street turned down, with the Jones index down 0.32%, the Standard & Poor's 500 index down 0.62% and the Nasdaq Composite Index down 0.85%. Mainland investment behavior has intensified, RMB fell below 7.2 against USD; The British political arena is unstable, with the pound falling by nearly 0.9% against the US dollar and the US dollar index rising by nearly 1%. Yesterday, the building permit announced by the United States was higher than expected. Strong economic data support the hawkish view of the Federal Reserve. The yield of ten-year treasury bonds rose to 4.1%, and the price of gold fell under pressure. The highest price of gold is $1,654.5, after which See the minimum of $1627.7. Finally, it closed at $1,629, down $23.2. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-19

October 19th Today's amplitude range The gold market is long and short, and without the influence of other important data, the trend of the US dollar has become the thermometer of the gold price, expecting the US dollar index and the yield of ten-year treasury bonds. After the Fed's hawkish attitude, it will remain strong, and the price of gold will remain high. Keep yesterday's suggested range, that is, $1635 to $1658. Benefiting from the double rise of the NASDAQ index in the United States every evening, the Hang Seng Science and Technology Index soared by 136 points or 4.25%, leading Hong Kong stocks to rise for three consecutive days. Hang Seng Index opened 247 points higher, Although there was a sell-off in the middle, which once pushed the market down by more than 50 points, many airlines in the mainland encrypted a number of international flights from the end of the month, and the market interpreted that the mainland was about to release them. The wide entry restrictions stimulated Hong Kong stocks to close at a high level yesterday. The Hang Seng Index closed at 16,914, up 301 points or 1.82%. After the bridge exploded in Crimea last week, The Russian-Ukrainian conflict seems to have escalated, but the media reported that when Russian President Vladimir Putin was unable to attack for a long time, the number of soldiers began to decrease, and the forced recruitment among the people in the country caused another trouble. People's grievances, coupled with the joint sanctions against Russia by many countries, may cause permanent losses to the economy, and they are interested in making peace. Three major European stock markets rose across the board, Germany DAX index rose by 0.93%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.44%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.25%. According to Bloomberg, due to the market volatility, Wall Street's interest rate and foreign exchange trading revenue soared to a record high in the same period in the third quarter, ranking the top five in the United States. During the same period, the bank's fixed income transaction income surged by 22%, which was better than the market expectation. The news of the increase in corporate revenue stimulated the three major U.S. stock indexes to open lower and close higher, the Jones index 1.12%, the S&P 500 Index rose 1.23%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.9%. The market is long and short, and without the influence of other important data, The trend of the dollar has become a thermometer of gold prices; As the US dollar index is obviously negatively correlated with the trend of gold price, after the US dollar index fell to 111.77 points yesterday, the gold price rose to Japan. It was as high as $1,660.9, and then the dollar rebounded, and the gold market adjusted downwards at will, with the lowest price of $1,645.9. Finally, it closed at $1,652.1, up $1.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-18

October 18th Today's amplitude range The British political arena is on the rise, British Prime Minister Zhuo Huisi apologizes, and the new British finance minister Hou Junwei takes office, canceling the large-scale proposal made by former finance-related Hao Ting. The tax reduction plan, which has no source of funds, also took the opportunity to resolve the storm of public grievances caused by "tax exemption for the rich", temporarily quelling a political chaos in Britain, and the pound was exchanged for At one point, the US dollar rose by more than 2%, causing the gold price to rise. It is expected that the US dollar index and the yield of ten-year treasury bonds will remain strong after the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve, and the price of gold will remain high. Empty. The suggested volatility today is $1,635 to $1,658. Affected by Federal Reserve official Brad's "front-loading" rate hike strategy, U.S. stocks plunged last Friday, and Hong Kong stocks followed the decline. The Hang Seng Index opened lower by more than 100 points. Earlier, The selling pressure increased, falling by 278 points at most, hitting an 11-year low. The 20th meeting of the Chinese Communist Party in the Mainland is still not over. In order to show the country's voice and the merits of the chairman, the mainland stock market is bright. The stock market rose, and Hong Kong stocks regained lost ground. Finally, the Hang Seng Index rose by 25 points or 0.15% to close at 16,612 points. British Prime Minister Zhuo Huisi abandoned his car to protect his handsome, England Chancellor of the Exchequer Guan Haoting did not shorten the visit of the International Monetary Fund in the United States last week, in order to be asked to resign, and the new British Chancellor Hou Junwei took up his post. Ren, canceled the large-scale tax reduction plan that was proposed by the former finance and had no source of funds, and also took the opportunity to resolve the storm of public grievances caused by "tax exemption for the rich" British pound rose by 1.64% against the US dollar after a political turmoil in Britain. In addition, the media reported that Credit Suisse, the European investment bank with a credit crisis, was given consideration for capital injection by Middle East funds, which drove the overall European stock market to rise, and the German DAX index rose. 1.73%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.83%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.89%. Investors are concerned about the impact of American companies after the Fed's repeated interest rate hikes, Yesterday, Bank of America was the first to announce its results, announcing that its quarterly profit and revenue exceeded the market forecast. The news boosted market sentiment. Plus the manufacturing in new york this month. The data of the industry was significantly worse than expected, and investors hoped that the Fed would have a chance to turn around. The three major indexes of Wall Street rose across the board, with the Jones index rising 1.87% and Standard & Poor's. The 500 index rose by 2.66%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 3.43% in retaliation. When Hou Junwei, the new British chancellor of the exchequer, took office, he immediately canceled the large-scale tax reduction plan made by the former chancellor of the exchequer, which had no source of funds, boosting the value of the pound against the US dollar. The rally, coupled with the call of ECB officials that the ECB must withdraw its support measures as soon as possible and not stop monetary tightening policy prematurely, caused the US dollar index to fall below 113. Level, the price of gold rose unilaterally at the opening of the market, reaching a maximum of $1,668.5, and finally closed at $1,650.8, up $6.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-17

October 17th Today's amplitude range The inflation data has once again affected the market. Although the market expects the Fed to raise interest rates by 75 points in November, it is a foregone conclusion, but Fed Brad's method of "raising interest rates ahead of schedule" Fear of the market has contributed to the strength of the U.S. dollar index and the yield of ten-year government bonds. Last week, the decline of the gold market widened, indicating that the price of gold is still easy to fall but difficult to rise in the short term. Jianri The amplitude of the discussion ranges from $1,630 to $1,655. The increase of broad money supply in the Mainland is obviously different from the global tightening monetary policy. There is certainly the idea of saving the market behind it, but the RMB seems to keep going. Weak, the People's Bank of China said on Wednesday that it would not allow the foreign exchange market to push down the RMB excessively, but the market accelerated the selling of RMB. The onshore price of RMB against the US dollar yesterday. The market closed down nearly 300 points, hitting a two-week low. The investment situation reflects investors' pessimism about China's economic prospects. As a window to the mainland, Hong Kong shares are also associated with it. The selling pressure still exists. Although the mainland stock market celebrated the 20th CPC Congress last Friday, it once helped Hong Kong stocks regain the 17,000-point mark, but in the end Unable to hold steady. In a week, the Hang Seng Index dropped 1,152 points or 6.5% to close at 16,587 points. The European Central Bank tried to test how the best interest rate trend can effectively control inflation with a model. Finally, the model concluded that the interest rate consistent with the target was set at 2.25%, which was low. At the market expected interest rate, the current market forecast is higher than 3%. The news revived the European risk market, and the German and French stock markets rose. In a week, the German DAX The index rose by 1.34%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.11%; British Prime Minister Zhuo Huisi abandoned his car to protect his handsome, and Guan Haoting's resignation was intended to give up his earlier proposal. The scale tax reduction plan with no source of funds, which has disrupted the UK financial market and caused political instability in the past three weeks, caused the FTSE 100 index to fall by 1.89 last week. %。 U.S. stocks performed repeatedly last week, and finally they couldn't escape falling. US President Biden's government announced new sanctions against China, restricting US companies from selling high-tech equipment to China. Products, together with the failure of New Oriental to provide accounting papers to the SEC for auditing, triggered the delisting crisis of China Stock Exchange again, which kicked off the decline of US stocks. In addition, the consumer price index of the United States is higher than expected, and the market is jittery. In the shadow of the interest rate increase of the Federal Reserve and the United States, the three major indexes of Wall Street fell last week, Jones said The index fell by 1.15%, the S&P 500 index by 1.55% and the Nasdaq Composite Index by 3.11%. The consumer price index released by the United States last week is higher than expected. Although the market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 75 points in November, it is a foregone conclusion, but the Federal Reserve Brad is on the On Friday, the hot inflation data failed to show the rate increase of the Federal Reserve, and the inflation data was often higher than the level originally predicted by officials. He said that by As inflationary pressure heats up, it is necessary for the authorities to adopt a "front-loading" strategy, indicating that the rate of interest rate increase in the future may be higher than 0.75%. According to the expression, it is possible to make November 100-point interest rate increase, 25-point interest rate increase or 50-point interest rate increase in December. In short, it is the rate increase after overdraft, making a more rapid rate increase path, and in 2023. There is no hope of interest rate reduction. Last week, the price of gold fluctuated and fell, with the highest reaching $1,700, the lowest falling to $1,640.3, and finally closing at $1,644.5. Sum up a week, the price of gold It fell by 50.5 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak