Gold market analysis

2022-08-18

August 18th Today's amplitude range The Open Market Committee of the United States reported that although officials mentioned the opportunity to slow down the rate hike, they will still act according to the data, and it is still the case to fight inflation. Their primary purpose is that the market shows that the probability of a 50-point interest rate increase in the United States in September is increasing. There is something wrong with the gold market, and the price of gold cannot return to 1 in the short term. $75 may have to be further adjusted to $1,745. The suggested volatility today is $1,755 to $1,772. The Ministry of Finance of the Mainland announced that the national budget revenue in the first seven months of this year totaled 12.5 trillion yuan, down 9.2% year-on-year, while the national budget expenditure reached 1 4.68 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%; It shows that the shortage of people has expanded, and the state has fine-tuned its economic policy, and destroyed it from the outside to the domestic market; Vice Premier Hu Chun Hua said that more effective measures should be taken to accelerate the recovery of domestic consumption, support the recovery of service consumption, promote the continuous expansion of bulk consumption, and guide emerging consumption. Healthy development. With the support of the state, the mainland stock market rose, and Hong Kong stocks followed the trend of the mainland market. The Hang Seng Index rose by more than 200 points at most, closing at 91. Or 0.46%, reported to 19,922 points, and lost at 20,000 points. Yesterday, the latest data released by the UK reached a double-digit annual rate, a 40-year high. The market was worried that the Bank of England would raise interest rates aggressively to suppress rising prices. The rising trend, coupled with the euro zone's GDP not up to standard, undermined investors' confidence in the risk market, and the three major European stock markets ended their five-day rising momentum. Germany's DAX index fell 2.01%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.97%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.26%. The US Department of Commerce announced that retail sales in July Compared with last month's flat, the sales of automobiles and gasoline increased by 0.7% after deducting the significant decline, which shows that the recent oil price drop is indeed comforting to consumers. Slow down the expenditure pressure. After that, the Federal Reserve released the report of the Open Market Committee, and officials agreed that the fall of inflation might take more time than expected. According to the minutes of the meeting, the rate of interest rate increase in the future will depend on the upcoming economic data; Officials believe that it may be appropriate to slow down the rate hike at some point, but The bureau stressed that it would continue to raise interest rates to suppress high inflation. With the "Inflation Reduction Act" just signed by US President Biden, the bill is not friendly to corporate repurchase. Policy, U.S. stocks opened lower, and in the early morning open market committee showed the intention of many members, although they have the opportunity to slow down the pace of interest rate hike, but stressed Fighting inflation will be a continuous action! The yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds first reflected the interest rate trend, rising above 2.9%, and the three major stock indexes on Wall Street closed down. Dow Jones The Nasdaq index fell 0.5%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.72%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index, which is sensitive to interest rates, fell the hardest, closing down 1.25%. The U.S. dollar continued to strengthen, and the gold market opened down, falling to $1,759.9 at most. With the announcement of the interest rate meeting last month by the Market Open Committee, its report mentioned the link. Reserve officials said in the parliament that there was an opportunity to slow down the rate hike, which caused a beautiful misunderstanding among investors. The gold market had recovered some of its lost ground and bounced up to $10. 770 dollars, but unfortunately it backfired. Raising interest rates to combat inflation is still the purpose of the Federal Reserve. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds rose, and the bulls were hit head-on again, with 17 $62.2 closed, down $13.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-17

August 17th Today's amplitude range The latest data on the number of new housing starts in the United States dropped to the lowest level in the past 18 months, reflecting the rising interest rates in the United States, which made it difficult for consumers to buy their own homes. The expectation of a 50-point interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve continues to rise; On the other hand, the U.S. retail industry is doing well, and the market expects the U.S. economy to soften under the policy of raising interest rates. Lu consolidated the strength of the US dollar, and the price of gold fell in a narrow range yesterday. I still believe that the gold price will be consolidated below 1800, and the bulls are still waiting for the opportunity to regain sovereignty. Today's suggestion Volatility of $1,765 to $1,780. Recently, the mainland market is facing difficulties in financing, and the People's Bank of China has opened the door to convenience. Contrary to the general environment that most countries in the global economy are tightening monetary policies, the revenue is unexpected. Lower the medium-term lending rate, with the news that Hong Kong stocks opened 66 points higher. However, in the afternoon, the news that Tencent would sell its shares in Meituan broke the market and the Hang Seng Index. It fell nearly 400 points at most, closing at 19,830 points, down 210 points or 1.05%. The European economic outlook index released by the European Center for Economic Research points to pessimism, although the number reaches Negative 55 points, but still higher than the market expectation. However, the three major European stock markets have risen for five days in a row, but the market is also wary of the market outlook. In these two days, investors are still focusing on risks. Low defensive shares, yesterday it was the turn of resource shares and public shares to lead the inflation market, and the German DAX index rose by 0.68%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.34%; British FTSE 00 index rose by 0.36%. Yesterday, Wal-Mart and Home Depot, the retail giants, announced better results than market expectations, stimulating the rise of US stocks, but investors raised their hands to sell Chinese stocks with technology sectors. The Nasdaq Composite Index, dominated by technology stocks, fell by 0.19%, the S&P 500 rose by 0.19, and the Dow Jones index rose for the fifth consecutive time. Last trading day, it rose by 0.71% yesterday. However, US President Biden has just signed the "Inflation Reduction Act" worth $750 billion, among which there are unfavorable corporate buybacks and unfriendly ones. Policy, may affect the market rally. The latest data on the number of new housing starts in the United States was released. Last month, the number was less than 1.5 million, down by nearly 10% from the previous month, which was the lowest level in the past 18 months. How much reflects the profit of the United States The rate of increase has made it difficult for consumers to buy a home! One more piece of data points to the effectiveness of the Fed's interest rate hike policy against inflation growth, which consolidates the strength of the US dollar, which refers to After rising for two days in a row, the gold price closed slightly lower under a narrow fluctuation, with the highest gold price reaching $1,783.2 and the lowest gold price reaching $1,771.5, and the closing decline narrowed slightly to $1,775.8. The dollar closed down by $3.80. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-16

August 16th Today's amplitude range Affected by the poor performance of China's economic data, investors are worried that Chinese consumers will reduce their purchases of gold ornaments. After the market opened, the gold market kept falling, reaching the psychological barrier of $1,800. No guarantee. However, this kind of news may not hold the price of gold for a long time, but the trend of interest rate is more influential. I still believe that the price of gold will consolidate below 1800 and regain its upward trend. Today's suggestion wave From $1,770 to $1,785. Recently, the financing difficulties in the mainland market, especially in-house enterprises, have become even more difficult. Yesterday, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly lowered the medium-term lending facility and reverse repo rate, hoping to make it a market Increase in circulation to stimulate the economy, but yesterday, China's economic data went bad all over the country, and Hong Kong stocks fell under pressure. The Hang Seng Index closed down by 134 points or 0.67% to 20040, and the turnover even fell to 3. The lowest in months, only 73.8 billion yuan. European stock markets have not been affected by the deterioration of China's economy, but it is obvious that the market is wary of the market outlook, and investors are chasing low-risk defenses. Sex stocks, insurance stocks and medical stocks led the market. All three major European stock markets rose, and the German DAX index rose by 0.15%. Paris CAC index rose by 0.25%; British wealth The 100 index rose by 0.11%. The inflation data released by the United States last month showed that the inflation trend is expected to peak. The market expects the Fed to raise interest rates sharply in September, and the US economy has the opportunity to follow the Fed's will to soften. Landing. U.S. stocks failed to rise last week, and the market opened down again, but the yield of U.S. bonds fell, which benefited the risk market. The three major stock markets on Wall Street finally rose across the board, and the Dow Jones index 0.45%; The S&P 500 index rose 0.4%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.75%. China's economic data has fallen across the board, and investors are worried that the performance of the world's second largest economy will be affected. Global market, but instead of taking advantage of the rising risk, the price of gold has not benefited. On the contrary, it has kept falling with the news, because Chinese consumers are the main supporters of gold ornaments, and the price of gold is the lowest. At $173.1, the closing decline narrowed slightly, closing at $1779.6, still down by $22.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-15

August 15th Today's amplitude range The gold market rose for four weeks in a row and closed above $1,800. As the storm continues in the Taiwan Strait, does the Chinese People's Liberation Army "fake exercises and really attack Taiwan" and engage in psychological warfare, which is false and true? Situation, more can cause international concern, risk aversion is not easy to disappear, which is beneficial to the bullish gold price. The latest dollar inflation data points to price control, and the market expects the Fed to slow down. The pace of raising interest rates; In addition, the British economy seems to be stagflation. These two reasons support the rise of gold prices, but they still need to be consolidated between 1785 and 1810. Suggested volatility today $791 to $1,808. Hong Kong stocks fell first last week, and the result was almost flat. Last week, the United States announced that non-agricultural data was significantly higher than market expectations, and investors were worried that the Federal Reserve would take a more aggressive interest rate hike in September. Means, coupled with the extension of the "Island Lock Exercise" by the People's Liberation Army of China, two weak news once caused the Hang Seng Index to fall below 20,000 points, followed by the consumer price index released last Wednesday and Thursday night and Manufacturing data show that inflation in the United States seems to be peaking and falling. The market expects that the Fed's interest rate hike will drop slightly, and U.S. stocks have risen sharply. Hong Kong stocks rose for two consecutive days before the end of the week. Almost completely recovered lost ground, the Hang Seng Index dropped 26 points, or 0.1%, in a week to close at 20175 points. Last week, most European companies handed in their brilliant performance reports during the performance period. In addition, last Wednesday, the market saw that the U.S. consumption data in July was zero month by month, and then the manufacturing data appeared even more. The retreat is another retrogression since April 2020. The probability of investors' budget that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 points has been lowered, and the market atmosphere is good. In a week, the top three in Europe. The stock market all rose, and the German DAX index rose by 1.63%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.26%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.82%. The United States announced last month's consumer price index No change has been recorded month by month, indicating that the inflation trend is expected to peak. The market expects the Fed to raise interest rates sharply in September, and the producer price index will drop month by month in July. Fell by 0.2%, which is the shrinking again since April 2020; Last week, the number of jobless claims rose again, and the big picture of the economy is moving in the direction that the Federal Reserve wants. Although it is still a long way away, several interest rate hikes in the past have already shown the suppression of price increases. Effective! The three major stock markets on Wall Street rose sharply, with the Dow Jones index rising by 2.93% in a week. The S&P 500 index rose by 3.35%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.71%. Jin Shangtong announced the continuation of the actual joint military exercises in the sea and airspace around Taiwan Province Island by the People's Liberation Army of China at the beginning of last week to stimulate the demand for hedging. In addition, last Wednesday night, the United States announced The consumer price index shows that the inflation in the United States seems to have peaked and dropped, and the producer price index released on Thursday in July dropped unexpectedly. Due to the recent drop in the most energy cost, the latest monthly data of manufacturing industry has dropped by 0.2%, which is another negative growth after the emergence of "negative oil price" since the Covid-19 pandemic! Inflation back The price of gold closed at $1,802, with the lowest price of $1,771.2 last week and the highest price of $1,808. In a week, the price of gold rose by 26.2 US dollars. Yuan. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-12

August 12th Today's amplitude range A number of data show that inflation in the United States seems to have peaked, but the market expects that the Fed is still not satisfied with the current inflation environment, and the pace of raising interest rates will not stop. Gold price is still subject to Contain, the gold price will be consolidated between $1,780 and $1,800. The suggested volatility today is $1,780 to $1,794. With the consumer price index released on Wednesday showing that the inflation in the United States seems to be peaking and dropping, the market expects that the Fed's interest rate hike will decrease slightly, and US stocks will rise sharply. Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks took on the upward trend of new york stock market, and completely recovered their lost ground at an early date. The Hang Seng Index opened more than 200 points higher, and finally rose 471 points or 2.4% to close at 20082 points. Although the Hang Seng Index has returned 20000 points, but the market turnover is still below HK$ 90 billion, which shows that investors are wary of the market outlook and their motivation is still insufficient! Benefiting from the performance of retailers such as department stores and famous brands, coupled with the satisfactory performance of the financial sector, European stock markets performed well in the early stage, but American economic data showed that the economy was going downhill. Weakened the investment atmosphere, the three major European stock markets have their own directions, and the German DAX index fell by 0.07%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.33%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.51%. The economic data released by the United States last night showed that the economy was slowing down. In July, the producer price index fell by 0.2% month by month, which was the contraction again since April 2020; Shangshang zhoushen The number of people receiving unemployment benefits has risen again, and the big picture of the economy is moving in the direction that the Federal Reserve wants. Although it is still a long way away, the past interest rate hikes have proved effective in suppressing prices! The three major stock markets on Wall Street were in a downturn, with the Dow Jones index rising by 0.08%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.06%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.58%. Gold market to undertake the decline, Asian market. Once fell to $1,783.6. The consumer price index released on Wednesday shows that the inflation in the United States seems to have peaked and declined. The producer price index released in July yesterday, Also pointing in the same direction, due to the recent drop in the most energy cost, the latest monthly data of manufacturing industry recorded a decline of 0.2%, which was after the emergence of "negative oil price" since the Covid-19 pandemic. Another negative growth! The fall in inflation helped ease the pace of the Fed's interest rate hike, with the highest price of gold rising to $1,799.4. However, the price rise was only a flash in the pan, and the price of gold finally closed at $1,789.5. It fell by $2.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-11

August 11th Today's amplitude range The US consumer price index in the market is expected to increase by 8.7% year-on-year, down from 9.1% in June; However, the newly released data is 8.5%, slightly lower than the market expectation, and the gold price is behind the data. There is a bumpy trend, with the highest rising to $1,808, but the worst still hasn't fallen below the key point of $1,786 mentioned yesterday. The price of gold will be consolidated between $1,780 and $1,800, with the expected volatility. Narrow. The suggested volatility today is $1,783 to $1,796. Mainland consumption released inflation data yesterday. Consumer prices rose by 2.7% year-on-year, mainly due to the sharp rise of raw materials and food, while the producer price index dropped sharply to 4.2%, a decline ratio of There are many markets, and there is a rumor in the Mainland that interior housing enterprises have misappropriated the trust deposits of buyers. The news that interior housing stocks burst into thunder went away, and the performance of interior housing stocks dragged down the market. The Hang Seng Index finally lost 20,000 points. Hang Seng Index closed down 392 points or 1.96% at 19610. Recently, the performance of Hong Kong stocks has been sluggish, and it is possible to try again the support close to 19,200 on May 22nd. European stock markets are still dominated by enterprises. Dominated by the performance, many companies announced good profit performance yesterday, which improved the bearish atmosphere of the market at an early date. In addition, the market saw that the latest inflation in the United States was lower than expected, and the Federal Reserve was expected to raise interest rates by 75 points. The probability has been lowered, the three major European stock markets have risen across the board, and the German DAX index has risen by 1.25%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.52%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.36%. Last night, the U.S. announced the consumer price index last month, which did not record any change on a monthly basis, indicating that the inflation trend is expected to peak. The market expects the Fed's expectation of a sharp interest rate hike in September to cool down. Ivins, an official of the Federal Reserve Bureau, commented on the performance of inflation data, saying that it is possible to consider slowing down the rate hike cycle, and the expectation that interest rates will soften will be beneficial to the risk market. The three major stock markets on Wall Street rose significantly, saying Jones index rose by 1.63%; The S&P 500 index rose 2.13%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.89%. In the early days of the gold market, there was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, waiting for the latest inflation data released by the United States. The lowest price ever dropped to less than USD 7 to USD 1,787.6, which entered the US market. The US Department of Commerce and Industry announced that the consumer price index in July increased by 8.5% year on year, which was lower than expected, and the price of gold fluctuated greatly, the highest. It rose to $1,808, reflecting the signs that inflation seems to be falling. However, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rebounded, and the price of gold came under pressure, closing at $1,792.3, down $2.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-10

August 10th Today's amplitude range At present, there are still two focuses in the market. The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) continues to conduct drills around Taiwan Province, and investors are concerned about whether China will "fake drills and really attack Taiwan". And tonight the United States announced The consumer price index will reveal whether the inflation in the United States has peaked last month, so as to estimate the Fed's rate hike in September. The market is expected to grow by 8.7% year-on-year, compared with June's 9.1% has been lowered; Recently, however, the booming labor market and rising labor costs in the United States have not damaged consumers' purchasing power. Experts may have underestimated the growth rate of prices. if As a result, inflation is really higher than expected, and the price of gold will fall back to the level of 1770. On the contrary, there is a chance to regain $1800. Yesterday, the gold price tried again at the $1,800 mark to soften, and it will pass tonight. The inflation data may make the price of gold more bumpy, and the 50-balance moving average of $1,786 is the key. Be prepared to stop the erosion. The suggested volatility today is $1,778 to $1,802. Mainland real estate enterprises once again burst into thunder, and Longguang Group announced that it would suspend the payment of the interest due on five overseas US dollar senior bills. The market was worried that this would trigger a new wave of debt default; And Hong Kong Real Estate Zhongkongbao, convener of the Executive Council of Business Affairs, Mrs. Ye Liu Shuyi, once said that the government should consider exempting mainland buyers from double stamp duty. Real estate stocks were once high and once took The overall market rose by more than 200 points, but the government came out to clarify that there had been no discussion and no plans. The Hang Seng Index fell to close, closing down by 42 points or 0.21% at 20003 points. Recently, the turnover of Hong Kong stocks has been less than 100 billion yuan for five consecutive days, but the HKMA has repeatedly offered to take over Hong Kong dollars, which shows that the market is in dire straits! Yesterday, a number of companies reported lower-than-expected profits, and the European stock market was weak. In addition, the market is waiting to see the US consumer price index released tonight. The three major European stock indexes Before the development, the DAX index of Germany fell by 1.08%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.53%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.05%. American chip industry is facing an impact; China actively sends Yesterday, the media reported that China's national leaders were dissatisfied with the slow development of the domestic chip industry, and were ordering the investigation of industry executives and senior officials in charge. The United States is the largest. Micron Phong, a chip manufacturer, warned that in the face of the current economic environment and supply chain problems, its prospects have suffered greatly, and it is predicted that its revenue will only reach the lower limit or lower level in the next quarter. The U.S. government also made early preparations, and Biden used the "chip method" to help the American industry to crack down on its major competitors. Wall Street has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, and is waiting for the public tonight. Cloth inflation data, Dow Jones index rose 0.18%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.42%; The Nasdaq Composite Index was dragged down by Chang-chip stocks, with a sharp drop of 1.19%. our country The People's Liberation Army continues to conduct live-fire drills near Taiwan Province Island. The market is concerned about whether China will follow Russia's example, carry out fake exercises, carry out a real war, and recover Taiwan Province with a thunderous momentum. Risk sentiment once pushed up the price of gold to $1,800.5, but the United States announced that labor costs rose in the second quarter, and the increase in the price of gold narrowed, with the lowest price of gold reaching $1,783.3 and finally reaching $1,794.4. The market closed at $5.20. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-09

8 yuan Fast & Furious 9 Day Today's amplitude range There are two focuses in the market. First, whether the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) "staged a fake exercise and really attacked Taiwan". With Russia as a precedent, it is no wonder that China suddenly sent troops to recover Taiwan! Second, the trend of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in September. Last week, non-agricultural data did not fall but rose, and the market's probability of raising interest rates in 75 yuan increased. The consumer price index announced by the United States tomorrow night refers to There will be more guidance, and the gold price may have to retry the $1,800 mark before it softens. The suggested volatility today is $1,781 to $1,798. Yesterday, the Hong Kong Government announced that it would shorten the quarantine policy for visitors from other places, from 7-day hotel quarantine to Jurassic World 3 Days Hotel quarantine plus Avengers: Endgame Days Medical Supervision, which will take effect this Friday. Message is All business people welcome it, but it doesn't help Hong Kong stocks rise! Last week, the United States announced that the non-agricultural data was significantly higher than market expectations, and investors worried that the Federal Reserve would take a more active approach in September. The means of raising interest rates and the extension of the "island-locking exercise" by the Chinese People's Liberation Army caused the Hang Seng Index to fall below 20,000 points. The decline in the end market narrowed, and the Hang Seng Index finally closed at 20,045. Points, down 156 points or 0.77%. The European stock market took on last week's rally and rose again. The profit of enterprises was higher than expected, and some enterprises took the opportunity to make joint purchases. The market atmosphere became active, and the three major European stock indexes rose across the board. German DAX index rose by 0.84%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.81%; Britain's FTSE 100 yuan index rose 0.57%. There is a lot of news in American politics, which was cracked down by "chip method" before. Its main competitor, the US Senate passed another "Inflation Reduction Act" just last Sunday, which included partial tax reduction to subsidize the purchase of new energy vehicles. Finally, To reduce carbon emissions in the United States and contribute to environmental protection. Whatever the apparent reason, the principle of politicians is concerned with enhancing the competitiveness of the United States. Wall Street had a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, and the "Inflation Reduction Act" made it possible for the Jones index to close slightly higher by 0.09%; The Standard & Poor's 500 yuan index fell by 0.12%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.37%. The gold market is adjusted in the early stage, and the lowest price is $1,771.2; However, at noon, the Chinese People's Liberation Army announced the continuation of actual combat joint military exercises in the sea and airspace around Taiwan Island. Chinese diplomacy The Ministry said that Taiwan is China's territory, and China has the right to conduct normalized military exercises in its own territory, in line with international law. After the news, safe-haven demand gradually pushed up the price of gold, which was the highest. It rose to $1,790, and finally closed at $1,789.2, which was close to the high level, rising by $13.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-08

On August 8 Today's trading range Gold, which had challenged $1,800 for two straight days last week on the back of the Taiwan situation, gave up most of its gains on strong U.S. nonfarm data. The market is also focused on the Fed's decision to raise interest rates in September. However, recent US data has been mixed, with the market predicting a 50-50 chance of a 0.5 percent or 0,75% rate hike. With no more important data due next week other than the US price index, it is believed that gold will consolidate. Today's recommended range is $1,765 to $1,785.   Us House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan shook the risk market. China, as the main actor of the tension across the Taiwan Strait, certainly could not avoid being affected. Mainland Internet media reported wildly that a large number of People's Liberation Army assembled in Xiamen and conducted live artillery exercises, including missile tests. Although the tension across the Taiwan Strait is heating up, it did not eventually develop to the point that patriotic netizens on the mainland said that when Pelosi falls, it will be the day of the People's Liberation Army attacking Taiwan, so as to avoid the confrontation for the time being. However, Pelosi's actions provoked a huge reaction from the Chinese side. The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) conducted live fire drills on the island for three days immediately after Pelosi's departure on Thursday. It remains to be seen what will happen next. Hong Kong stocks rebounded this week, but the weak performance of domestic property companies dragged down the performance of mainland banks, and the Hang Seng Index rose 45 points or 0.23% in the last week. Eurozone purchasing managers' index data released last week of July, reverse digital is June, though better than expected, but fall below the 50 point separates, show that manufacturing is weak, sparked concerns about Europe's economy is expected to decline further, but last week with European company earnings, profits is higher than market expectations for, the big three European stock market rises the city last week end, Germany's DAX rose 0.67 percent; France's Paris CAC index rose 0.37%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.22 percent. The number of U.S. jobless claims rose again on Thursday, rising for the seventh straight week to 260,000, also the highest since November 2021, as the data pointed to a continued slowdown in the labor market. Investors are worried about the U.S. economy entering a recession, but Friday's non-farm data was much better than expected, two inconsistent labor data sent Wall Street's three major indexes into separate development, to conclude the week, the Jones index fell 0.13%; The S&P 500 rose 0.32 percent; The Nasdaq composite index rose 2.29 percent. Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi has completed her visit to Taiwan. During her stay in Taiwan, she met with Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen and offered assurances that she will not break her commitment to Taiwan. Pelosi's actions provoked a huge reaction from the Chinese side. The Chinese People's Liberation Army conducted a live fire round of the island for three days immediately after Pelosi left Taiwan. The media even reported that a missile flew over Taipei. Markets are focused on whether China will follow Russia's lead and turn its military exercises into military operations, deploying the People's Liberation Army to invade Taiwan within days and take the opportunity to recover Taiwan. Last week, gold hit a low of $1,758.4 and rose as high as more than $1,795 on the Taiwan tensions, but the better-than-expected non-farm data gave up most of its gains on Friday to close at $1,775.8, still up $9.50 on a weekly basis. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following links to join the group and contact the administrator https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-05

August 5th Today's amplitude range The market pays attention to whether the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) staged a fake exercise, really attacked Taiwan, and took the opportunity to recover Taiwan Province. Geopolitics in the Taiwan Strait is heating up, and the price of gold rose like a rocket yesterday, which challenged it forever. The $800 mark. The market is also waiting for tonight's U.S. non-agricultural data, which will be used as a thermometer of U.S. inflation. Suggested volatility today is $1,772 to $1,808. Yuan. Hong Kong stocks rebounded strongly! In the past January, Hong Kong stocks underperformed the European and American stock markets for a long time. Yesterday, they finally spit out their grievances. Yesterday, they rose by more than 2% and returned to the level of 21,000 points! Refers to Hang Seng Yesterday, the number finally closed at 20174 points, up 406 points or 2.1%. Although Hong Kong stocks have risen for two consecutive days, the turnover in these two days is only HK$ 100 billion, indicating that the upward momentum is still there. However, be careful that 21,000 points will be lost again! The Bank of England announced the result of interest rate meeting yesterday, and the official decision was to raise interest rate by 0.5%, the largest rate increase since 1995. And raising the official interest rate to 1.75% is also the highest interest rate in the UK since the end of 2008. Bank of England Governor Bailey spoke to the media after the result of interest rate discussion, saying that energy Rising prices have reduced consumers' disposable income, leading to worsening economic prospects. He said that he had seen the GDP growth in the UK slow down, and predicted that the UK and European economies would enter recession later this year. Bailey's forecast of unimpeded risk market rise. The reason is that many European companies announced their satisfactory performance, which led European stocks to rise for the second day in a row, and the DAX index of Germany rose by 0.54%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.64%; hero The FTSE 100 index rose 0.04%. Last week, yesterday, the United States announced the number of people claiming unemployment benefits for the first time, and the number rose again, for the seventh consecutive week, reaching 260,000, which is also It is the highest since November 2021, and the data shows that the job market continues to slow down. Investors are worried that the U.S. economy is in recession, and the three major indexes of Wall Street are developing separately, the Jones index 0.26% down; The S&P 500 index fell 0.09%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.41%. Pelosi, the speaker of the US House of Representatives, completed his visit to Taiwan Province. During his stay in, he even met with Tsai Ing-Wen of Leader of Taiwan Province, and made an assurance that he would not renege on his commitment to Taiwan Province. Pelosi's behavior provoked a huge reaction from China. After Pelosi's departure from Taiwan, the Chinese People's Liberation Army staged a live-fire performance of "encircling the island for three days". The media even reported that missiles had crossed Taipei. Over the sky. The market is concerned about whether China will follow Russia's footsteps, change from military exercises to military actions, deploy the People's Liberation Army to attack Taiwan within a few days, and take the opportunity to recover Taiwan Province. Geopolitics in the Taiwan Strait heats up, The price of gold showed a sharp performance, rising almost all day, once hitting the 50-balance moving average. The highest price of gold rose to $1,795, and finally closed at $1,791, up 25.6. Dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-04

August 4th Today's amplitude range The situation in the Taiwan Strait is tense, and the market is concerned about whether China will follow Russia's footsteps, from military exercises to military actions, and deploy the People's Liberation Army to attack Taiwan and recover Taiwan Province within a few days. Geopolitics warmed up, and the price of gold rebounded yesterday. In addition, the market is also waiting for tomorrow's US non-agricultural data, which will limit the fluctuation range of gold price. Today's suggestion wave From $1,756 to $1,772. Yesterday, the mainland published the Purchasing Managers Index of Service Industry in July, with a year-on-year growth rate higher than that of the market, reaching 55.5 points, the highest level in nearly 15 months. Hang Seng Index opened 176 higher. However, the bonds issued by some interior housing enterprises were rated low because of their reputation, and their bond prices exceeded 25%, and a number of interior housing and property management stocks generally fell by 1% to 4%, which was jointly dragged down. Their main creditors, mainland banks, were also dragged down. The domestic banking sector fell by nearly 0.4% to 1%, which restrained the expansion of Hong Kong stocks. The Hang Seng Index finally closed at 19,767 points. Up 77 points or 0.4%. The situation in the Taiwan Strait was once tense, which once affected investors' sentiment, because it was reported earlier in the mainland that the day when the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Pelosi landed in Taipei was the time when the People's Liberation Army attacked Taiwan. Now, China only waits for Pelosi to leave Taiwan before starting to encircle Taiwan Province Island for three days, which is considered restraint. Sino-US geopolitics eased, the European stock market ended its two-day losing streak, and Germany's DA X index rose by 1.04%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.97%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.54%. U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi completes her visit to Taiwan Province Although it was criticized by the Chinese side at times, it didn't provoke a war. It was considered that the pressure of the United States to solve geopolitics was partly eliminated, and the opening of the US stock market rose, plus the announcement of July yesterday. The purchasing managers' index of the service industry performed well, and the market had expected to regress. The expected figure was 53.5 points, but the actual figure was better than expected, at 56.7 points, showing that The economic recession is still strong, with the three major Wall Street indexes rising across the board, with the Jones index rising by 1.28%; The S&P 500 index rose by 1.53%; Nasdaq composite index rose 2.59%。 Pelosi, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, visited Taiwan Province and met with Tsai Ing-Wen, President of Taiwan Province. During this time, Pelosi promised that the United States would stand by Taiwan Province and would not turn its back on Taiwan Province. Promise. On the other hand, the Chinese side reacted fiercely. The PLA announced a three-day live-fire exercise starting today, involving the surrounding areas of Taiwan Province, through the military performance arrangement published by Xinhua News Agency. Sea area, and warn all ships and aircraft not to enter the above sea area and airspace, which is equivalent to blocking Taiwan Province for three days. As the tension in the Taiwan Strait rebounded again, the gold price rose to the highest level. 172.8 USD. After the gold price entered the US market, the purchasing managers' index of service industry performed better than expected in July. The gold price once softened, with the lowest price of 1754.4 USD, and finally $765.4 closed, up $4.50. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-03

August 3rd Today's amplitude range U.S. House Speaker Pelosi visited Taiwan Province, and the political situation became tense. Hedge funds had pushed the price of gold up to nearly 1790, but many Fed officials said they were fighting inflation. The work is still not finished, suggesting that interest rates may still be raised sharply in September. Market survey showed that the probability of the Fed raising interest rate by 75 points next time rose from 25% to 40%, and the US dollar reversed its recent weakness. The price of gold is under pressure again. Today's suggested volatility is $1,745 to $1,762. Pelosi, the speaker of the US House of Representatives, visited Asia, and the media reported that her executive plane took a detour, avoided the airspace of the South China Sea, and arrived in Taipei at night. Pelosi visit The Taipei incident affected the tension in the Taiwan Strait, and mainland China reported that China had sent fighter planes to cross the central line of the Taiwan Strait as a warning. In addition, China's two aircraft carriers also left. Open the port, but it is unknown that I have received any tasks and failed to determine the destination. Tensions in the Taiwan Strait have scattered Hong Kong stocks. The Hang Seng Index has dropped by more than 600 points at most, and the Hang Seng Index closed at the close. 1689 points, down 476 points or 2.36%. China's Foreign Ministry made a statement on the visit of US House Speaker Pelosi to Taiwan Province, expressing firm opposition and severely condemning it. In addition to the cannon, the Chinese army Fang also came out to show his strength. Mainland online media reported wildly that a large number of PLA people gathered in Xiamen and made a live performance, including missile test. Tensions in the Taiwan Strait are rising, European stock markets fell for the second day in a row, and Germany's DAX index fell by 0.32%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.42%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.03%. Speaker of the US House of Representatives Pei Luo Xi's visit to Taiwan Province incited the risk market. As one of the two protagonists of the tense situation in the Taiwan Strait, the United States can't avoid being affected. In addition, a number of Fed officials will express their views. Fighting inflation, the yields of US dollars and government bonds rose, the three major indexes of Wall Street fell across the board, and the Jones index fell by 1.22%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.64%; Nasdaq comprehensive The index fell by 0.16%. The gold market fell first and then rose, and Pelosi, speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, made a detour to Taiwan Province. China immediately warned and sent military exercises by sea, land and air. The tension in the Taiwan Strait stimulated risk aversion, and the gold price The highest price rose to $1,788.1, but then the Fed officials came out to express their position. Daley said that the fight against inflation was not over, and Meister said that the Fed still had more work to do, the most What's scary is the Federal Reserve Evans, who said that it was possible to raise interest rates by 75 basis points, and doubted whether it was necessary to raise interest rates by 100 basis points. Their statement implies that the interest rate hike will continue, The yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds soared by more than 6%, and the U.S. dollar index also reached 106. Under the double blow, the price of gold finally closed at close to the all-day low, at $1,760.9, down by 11.2 dollars. Yuan. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-02

August 2nd Today's amplitude range U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Asia made the political situation tense, and the chances of global economic recession increased, which stimulated the demand for safe haven, and the price of gold rose to a higher level. When the dollar is in a downturn, the price of gold will benefit from it, and this week, there are many opportunities to go up. Today's suggested volatility is $1,767 to $1,785. In the past July, Hong Kong stocks showed Underscoring the European and American stock markets, it opened 120 points lower again yesterday, showing investors' worries about the economic situation in Hong Kong and the mainland. However, yesterday afternoon, HSBC Holdings outperformed the market forecast. During the period, one share saved the whole audience. The Hang Seng Index rose by 94 points at most, and the highest was 20,251 points. The increase in the tail market narrowed, and finally the Hang Seng Index closed up by only 9 points or 0.05% to 20,165 points. It shows that the bottom of the Hong Kong stock market is still weak, and the support of 20,000 points is a bit dangerous! Yesterday, the euro zone released the purchasing managers' index data for July. The figures are backward compared with June. Although they are better than expected, they fall below 50 points of the dividing line between the ups and downs. The weakness of the manufacturing industry has caused the market to further worry about the recession of the European economy. The three major European stock markets have stopped rising, and the German DAX index has dropped by 0.03%. Paris, France CAC index fell by 0.18%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.13%. Pelosi, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, visited Asia, and it is widely rumored in the market that her itinerary will include a visit to Taiwan Province and Meeting with President Tsai Ing-Wen of Taiwan Province, the Chinese Foreign Ministry has immediately protested that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan Province violates the one-China principle, and the market rumors that China is waiting for the opportunity to Today and tomorrow, cross-border display of military strength, strong smell of gunpowder! With the weakening of the venture capital atmosphere and the weakening of former US Treasury Secretary Summers, the possibility of the US economy falling into recession will reach 75% in the next two years, while the new female stock goddess Mutou's speech is even more pessimistic. It means that the American economy has fallen into recession! The three major Wall Street indexes fell across the board, with the Jones index falling by 0.14%; The S&P 500 index fell 0.29%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.18%. There was no result in the talks between China and the United States, and the market was greatly disappointed. Instead, Pelosi, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, visited Asia, and it was announced that she would visit Taiwan Province today to provoke China again. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs warned verbally that the situation became tense, stimulating the demand for safe haven. The price of gold rose for the fourth day in a row, following last week's rise. The lowest price of gold was $1,758.4 and the highest price was $1,775.4. Dollars, and finally closed at $1,772.1, up $5.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-01

August 1st Today's amplitude range The gold market successfully turned around last week, and a number of U.S. economic data tables are now going downhill under the tight monetary policy, which also means that prices are going down, and employment and salary may be the last thing to crush the camel. A reed. Although the market still expects that the Federal Reserve will still propose to raise interest rates in September, there is a chance that the rate hike cycle will end next year due to the compression of inflation. The price of gold has survived the impact of interest rate increase in July, With the U.S. economy experiencing a technical recession and the U.S. dollar in a downturn, the price of gold is like a bath fire again, and there will still be many opportunities to keep going up this week. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1,750 to $1,772. Yuan. Hong Kong stocks ended last week's decline, falling by 466 points last Friday, which wiped out last Tuesday's increase! Last Tuesday, some mainland media reported that the mainland government was afraid that the explosion of internal rooms would eventually hurt the finance. System, so the first shot, the State Council intends to approve 300 billion yuan, to provide debt to specific developers, to help them complete the delivery. By the mainland government issuing special real estate bonds to "maintain stability", Stimulating Hong Kong stocks to rise by more than 400 points, coupled with the US Federal Reserve's announcement of a 75-point interest rate increase last week, the Hang Seng Index finally fell by 452 points or 2.2% to close at 20,156 points. Insert more than 1,700 points in 7 months or 8.3%, obviously underperforming the European and American stock markets! Last week, the euro zone announced the second quarter GDP, with a quarterly growth of 0.7%, which was higher than the market expectation of 0.2%. In addition, European companies announced their ideal performance, especially the banking stocks bid farewell to 11. In the era of negative interest rate since, the performance has stood out even more. In a week's summary, the three major European stock markets finally rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 1.74%. Paris CAC index rose 3.73 %； The FTSE 100 index in the UK rose by 2.02%, while it rose by 5.48%, 8.87% and 3.54% respectively throughout July. According to the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Enterprise Activity Index, enterprise activity continues to decline, It seems to reflect the unfavorable economic outlook, and the Federal Reserve announced another 75-point interest rate increase last week, while the US gross domestic product has fallen for two consecutive weeks, showing a technical recession, despite a number of unfavorable news. Under the pressure, the three major indexes of Wall Street rose instead of falling, because many giant enterprises beat expectations, and the Dow Jones index rose by 2.97% in a week. The S&P 500 index rose 4.31%; Nasda The composite index of grams rose by 4.45%. In July, it increased by 6.73%, 89.28% and 12.33% respectively. The gold market rose first and then fell. Last Monday and Tuesday, investors paid attention to the interest rate increase of the US Federal Reserve, and expected the interest rate increase of 75 points. As a result, the price of gold was sold early, and the lowest price dropped to $1,711.6, which was heard at the interest rate meeting. After the announcement of the announcement and the speech of Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, the market interpreted that the inflation in the United States was controlled to some extent, and the market bet that the Federal Reserve would not dare to make another sharp increase in September when the economic data showed uneven performance. With the interest rate increase, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell by more than 0.5%. In addition, yesterday, the negative growth of domestic production in the United States for two consecutive quarters was unfavorable to the trend of the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. dollar index fell back from a high of 109 to 105. The price of gold climbed to the highest level of $1,768. After a week's summary, the price of gold rose by $38.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-07-29

July 29th Today's amplitude range The market sees through the Fed Chairman Powell's role as an eagle to realize expectation management, and they all bet that the Fed will not dare to raise interest rates sharply again in September, and the US economy will become technical. The recession has also weakened the strong performance of the US dollar and contributed to the upward trend of the gold price. The gold price exceeded US$ 1,750 yesterday, which is testing whether it can take another step or make a false breakthrough. The key is to hold the 1740 mark; It is expected to consolidate today. Today's suggested volatility is $1,745 to $1,765. The US Federal Reserve announced a 75-point interest rate hike, but the Hong Kong government did not immediately follow the interest rate hike, which was regarded as half good news for Hong Kong stocks. The Hang Seng Index opened 35 points higher, and the market was concerned about the beauty last night. China announced the second quarter GDP, and there was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. Under the circumstances, the transaction volume was obviously weak, only exceeding HK$ 90 billion, and the transaction volume was less than 1,000 for the 54th consecutive day. At last, the Hang Seng Index closed at 20,622 points, down 47 points or 0.23%. Although the market is worried that the European economic performance will be dragged down by inflation and decline, the European stock market has benefited from the technical recession in the United States and the weakening of the US dollar. Relative attraction, coupled with the announcement of satisfactory performance by European companies, the three major European stock markets finally rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 0.87%; Paris CAC index rose by 1.3%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.01%. Yesterday, the United States announced the gross domestic product (GDP) of the second quarter, which unexpectedly regressed by 0.9% and experienced negative growth for two consecutive quarters, forming the so-called technology. Sexual retrogression, hit by such unfavorable data, the New York stock market opened down by more than 0.4%, and then US President Biden came out to bail out, saying that according to Federal Reserve Chairman Bowie And the opinions of many important bankers, The United States has not fallen into recession, and the strong Biden's voice has played an inspiring role. The three major indexes on Wall Street have turned upside down, with the Dow Jones index rising by 1.02%; The S&P 500 index rose by 1.21%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 1.08%. The gold market took on an early uptrend, and after the Asian market opened, it went all the way up. The market bet that the Fed's performance in economic data was uneven, and it was afraid to do so in September. Suddenly, the interest rate was raised sharply, and the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell by more than 0.5%. In addition, yesterday, the U.S. experienced negative growth in domestic production for two consecutive quarters, which was unfavorable to the trend of the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. dollar index It fell nearly 106 edges, and the gold price climbed up, reaching the highest of $1,757.1, and finally closed at $1,756.1, rising by $21.5. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-07-28

July 28th Today's amplitude range As expected by the market, Fed officials unanimously approved another 0.75% interest rate increase. After the interest rate meeting, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that the future economic outlook is unclear and interest rate increases are coming. In action, we will respond according to the data. According to market analysis, Powell has actually seen the signal of falling house prices, and the number of new jobless claims has risen for seven weeks in a row, waiting for the salary to fall. It is expected that Powell will only come out as an eagle, and the gold market will enter a turning point. The enterprise's $1,750 will reverse the recent decline, and it is expected that it will consolidate today. Today's suggested volatility is $1,728 to 745 dollars. Gaenssler, chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, said that there was still no consensus with mainland auditing standards, and stressed that auditors must be able to make contributions to overseas companies listed in the United States. And accountable audit, auditors will not be allowed to work in China and Hong Kong before the two countries reach an agreement on the audit standards. On the other hand, China Securities Regulatory Commission is studying to encourage foreign countries. The company's listing in China also supports the legal compliance of Chinese companies to list overseas, saying that it is studying to expand and optimize the plan named "Huluntong", which seems to be the reason why China Stock Exchange was listed in the United States. Be prepared when you are forced to withdraw from the market. The market is concerned about the result of the Fed's interest rate increase, and the turnover of Hong Kong stocks is less than 100 billion yuan for four consecutive days. China and the United States failed to reach a framework agreement on the review of accounting papers, and increased the withdrawal of China Stock Exchange in the United States. The crisis in the market affected the atmosphere of the market. In addition, interior houses and property management stocks became the target of sale again. Country Garden and property management company Country Garden services fell by 15% and 22% respectively, and the Hang Seng Index was low. After opening 212 points, we couldn't reverse the disadvantage, and finally closed at 20670, down 235 points or 1.13%. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will announce a 75-point interest rate increase this week, and investors were worried about a radical increase. Whether the pace of interest rate will plunge the economy into recession, the European stock market retreated as soon as possible. But yesterday, the market accepted the expected increase, and European stocks rebounded slightly. The three major European stock markets finally rose across the board, Germany The national DAX index rose by 0.53%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.75%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.6%. The Federal Reserve announced at 2: 00 this morning that the members voted unanimously, that is, 12 to 0, to approve the result of this 75-point interest rate increase. In the statement of the interest rate meeting, it is shown that the Federal Reserve Board We will still pay close attention to the risk of inflation. Inflation is still high, and food and energy prices are rising. Under the shortage of supply chain, there is still pressure to increase prices, which describes the weak expenditure and production. However, the employment growth is strong, so we will be prepared to adjust the policy as appropriate, and will accelerate the scale reduction in September as planned, raising the monthly reduction limit of mortgage-backed securities to $35 billion, while The monthly reduction limit of national debt will rise to $60 billion. At the press conference, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell described that the economic growth will be lower than the trend level for a period of time, the possibility of soft landing will be obviously reduced, and he is concerned about the employment situation. Powell said, At present, the employment situation is strong, and the wage level is also increasing, which is inconsistent with the performance of the economic recession. It is necessary to make the labor market weak, so that inflation can fall back. no Can provide clear guidance as before, and will not provide specific forward-looking guidance for the September meeting, saying that based on the data, it may be appropriate to raise interest rates sharply at the next meeting; With the increase of interest rate, It may also be appropriate to slow down the rate hike! As expected by the market, the Fed officials approved another rate hike of 0.75% by 12-to-0, while Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said after the interest rate discussion that the future economic outlook is unclear. In the future rate hike, In response to the data, it failed to provide forward-looking guidance, suggesting that it is possible for the next September meeting to make a bigger interest rate hike or slow down the rate hike. Market analysis Powell has actually seen The signal that house prices are falling, and companies are beginning to reduce recruitment. Inflation has been controlled to some extent. It is not excluded that what he called "a greater interest rate hike" is just an expectation management. Wall Street The big index soared, and the Dow Jones index rose by 1.37%; The S&P 500 index rose 2.26%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 4.26%. In the early part of the gold market, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates this week. Under the expected 75-point effect, the price of gold was sold in the early part, and the lowest price dropped to $1,711.6. The announcement was made at the meeting on interest rates and Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve. After the discovery, the market interpreted that the inflation in the United States was controlled to some extent, and Powell just came out to play the eagle. Instead, the price of gold rose sharply, reaching a maximum of $1,740.3, and finally closed at $1,734.6, up 17.1. Dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-07-27

July 27th Today's amplitude range Yesterday, the Federal Reserve started a two-day meeting on interest rates. According to the US economic data released last night, the Fed's monetary policy of tightening by raising interest rates is gradually showing results. The sales volume of new homes and the prices of buildings in the United States have both fallen, indicating that hot money has recovered after the borrowing cost has risen. Generally speaking, the building price and salary level are difficult. Adjust in the opposite direction, which also makes these two data better reflect the economic trend; The Federal Reserve should raise interest rates by 75 points as scheduled. It is expected that the price of gold will fluctuate greatly before and after the announcement of interest rate hike. Move, today's suggested volatility is $1,697 to $1,728. The opening of Hong Kong stocks followed the decline of U.S. stocks last Friday, falling by more than 250 points at most. Alibaba launched its delisting plan in the United States and announced its application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange from the 20%. Status, jumped to the primary main board listing status, the stock price rose nearly 5%, and led other technology stocks to rise. The Hang Seng Index opened more than 100 points higher yesterday. Driven by the shares of Juke.com, the Hang Seng Index It rose by nearly 390 points or 1.9% at most, and finally rose by 342 points or 1.67% to close at 20905. It is expected that the Federal Reserve of Market Alliance will announce a 75-point interest rate increase this week. Investors Worried about whether the aggressive pace of raising interest rates will plunge the economy into recession, venture capitalists will become cautious, and the earnings performance of enterprises will be worse than market expectations, and the three major European stock markets will eventually Across the board, Germany's DAX index fell 0.87%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.42%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.01%. The market is concerned about the Federal Reserve's interest rate discussion this week, and it is expected to announce an interest rate increase of 0.75% in the early hours of Thursday. Investors have a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, and Wal-Mart, a large chain store, has issued a profit warning. It means to cut prices to reduce inventory, which dragged down the retail sector. Yesterday, the US consumer confidence index also fell for four consecutive months, the lowest point since March 2021. The three major Wall Street indexes closed down, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.71%; The S&P 500 index fell by 1.15%; The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.96%. Last night's U.S. economic data showed that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy of tightening by raising interest rates was gradually effective, and the sales volume of new homes in the United States and The prices of buildings have all fallen, indicating that hot money has recovered after the borrowing cost has risen. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 points as expected by the market. The Federal Reserve started yesterday. During the two-day interest rate meeting, investors were worried about whether the aggressive rate hike would lead to economic recession. The price of gold did not change much, with the highest price of gold reaching 1728.2 and the lowest price dropping to 1713.7. Dollars, and finally closed at $1,717.5, down $2.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-07-26

July 26th Today's amplitude range Lagarde, president of the European Bank of History, was hawkish, saying that in order to bring inflation back to the target level, the central bank would spare no effort to raise interest rates as needed. The price of gold had risen to 1736. Dollar, but the market turned its attention to this week's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting, and the price of gold softened. It is expected that the price of gold will still fluctuate around $1,722, and it is still more appropriate to build short positions on rallies. Maintain the recommended volatility of $1,710 to $1,728 yesterday. The opening of Hong Kong stocks followed the decline of U.S. stocks last Friday, with a maximum drop of more than 250 points. However, yesterday afternoon, the news that the collective supply cut off finally caught the attention of the mainland government, and some media reported the mainland administration. The government was afraid that the explosion of houses would eventually hurt the financial system, so it took the lead and told the State Council to approve 300 billion yuan to provide debts to specific developers to help them. Finish the building. Due to the mainland government issuing special real estate bonds to "maintain stability", the property and property management stocks rose by 2% to 10%, which helped Hong Kong stocks narrow their decline. The Hang Seng Index finally closed down by 46% Or 0.2%, closing at 20562. European stock markets were low and then high yesterday. Affected by the decline of U.S. stocks last Friday, the European stock market opened lower. Last week, the European Central Bank announced a 50-point interest rate increase, this time after 11 years. To raise interest rates, and at the same time announced that the European Central Bank ended the eight-year era of negative interest rates. Bank stocks stood out and reversed the market tension. The three major European stock markets finally Individually, Germany's DAX index fell by 0.33%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.33%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.41%. Investors wait and see this week's Fed meeting on interest rates, In addition, a number of giant companies will publish their results this week, and the performance of US stocks has been repeated. It is expected that the Federal Reserve of the Market Alliance will announce a 75-point interest rate increase this week, but investors are more worried about the radical increase. Whether the pace of interest rate will cause the economy to fall into recession, as shown by the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Enterprise Activity Index yesterday, the continuous decline of enterprise activity seems to reflect the unfavorable economic outlook. The three major Wall Street indexes finally went up and down, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.28%; The S&P 500 index rose by 0.18%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose and fell by 0.43%. The European Central Bank announced a rate hike of half a percentage point last week. Lagarde, president of the European History Bank, was hawkish in an interview with the German media, saying that in order to bring inflation back to the target level, the management committee Will spare no effort to raise interest rates as needed. The European Central Bank emphasized the interest rate hike, forcing the US dollar to fall back to 106.2, and did it for the bulls in the gold market. The highest gold price was 1736.3. Dollar, but the market turned its attention to this week's interest rate meeting of the Federal Reserve. In this case, the yield of US bonds rose, and gold helped the price soften, dropping to the lowest of $1,714.8, and finally closing at $1,719.9. City, down $7.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-07-25

July 25th Today's amplitude range The gold market is in a weak position. Last Friday's analysis showed that last week's strategy of pushing the market to open positions below $1,700 was not optimistic about the market outlook, but speculation in the announcement of the European Central Bank. Raising interest rates is expected to bring down the US dollar index for a short time and increase the chances of gold price rising. In fact, the profit target has been achieved, and readers who are not open positions should not be too aggressive. It's Mei's turn this week. When the Federal Reserve announced the interest rate increase, the gold market was bound to be under pressure, and it was bound to repeatedly test the support of $1,822. Today's suggested volatility is $1,710 to $1,728. The Hang Seng Index ended its two-week losing streak and rose 311 points this week. On the occasion of the collective failure of the owners of uncompleted residential flats in the Mainland, it is reported that the mainland authorities are studying to stop the building due to the uncompleted residential flats. Buyers who pay back their mortgages provide a buffer period to ease the risk of the explosion of their premises spreading to other banks; The mainland tried to dismantle the bomb for the unfinished building to prevent the damage to the financial market. Harm, coupled with the decline in the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds, U.S. stocks rose for three consecutive days, which contributed to the rebound of the Hang Seng Index. In a week, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.53% and finally closed at 20,609 points. Gazprom issued a message last week, saying that due to special circumstances, the supply of natural gas could not be guaranteed, and it received such a "threatening" message before the coming of winter. Europe's fear of fuel shortage has been aggravated, but yesterday, the market reported that Russia's gas pipeline "Beixi No.1" will resume gas supply to Europe on Thursday as originally planned. Transport. Stimulate the market atmosphere, even if the European Central Bank unexpectedly announced a 0.5% interest rate increase last Thursday, it will not prevent the three major European stock markets from rising continuously. In a week, Germany DAX The index rose by 3.02%; Paris CAC index rose by 3%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.64%. Entering the announcement period of American performance, many large enterprises announced their satisfactory performance. They were worried that the worsening inflation and the sharp interest rate increase of the Federal Reserve would affect their enterprises. Profitable performance; However, the fact proves that this is not the case. The market atmosphere has become positive. In addition, the European Central Bank has raised interest rates by 0.5% and the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has dropped, which also helps the U.S. stock market. Yes, the three major Wall Street indexes rebounded last week, and the Dow Jones index rose by 1.95%; The S&P 500 index rose 2.48%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 3.45%. The European Central Bank announced last Thursday that it would raise interest rates by half a percentage point. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that inflation in Europe continued to rise and had to raise interest rates by 0.5%. In addition, she also said that earlier she The forward-looking guideline for September's interest rate hike means gradual interest rate hike, which is no longer applicable. Later, Lagarde said in an interview with the media that the European Central Bank will continue to raise interest rates until inflation falls back to 2% target level. The European Central Bank's "unexpected" interest rate hike briefly suppressed the strength of the US dollar, while the yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds also dropped to 2.7%. The bulls took the opportunity to fight back. The lowest gold price was $1,681, the highest gold price was $1,739.4, and finally closed at $1,727.7. After a week's summary, the gold price rose by $20.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-07-22

July 22nd Today's amplitude range It was predicted that the European Central Bank would announce a rate hike of half a percentage point yesterday. The result was really guessed right. The euro rebounded and rose to its highest level in two months. The US dollar index fell to nearly 106.5, and the price of gold The swimming range is nearly $40, and the gold market is in a weak position. Yesterday, the market strategy has been explained. It is not optimistic about the market outlook, but speculation in the interest rate increase announced by the European Central Bank, and it is expected to refer to the US dollar. After a short period of time, the price of gold has increased, and the target has been achieved. Today's suggested volatility is $1,705 to $1,723. Recently, the Legislative Council of Hong Kong is discussing the implementation of the cyber security law in Hong Kong. According to the general trend, the bill is bound to be passed. It's just the scale of implementation! Mainland China The Internet Office made a demonstration. Didi violated the cyber security law, the data security law and other illegal acts, and decided to impose an administrative penalty, with a total of 8.8 billion yuan. Hong Kong dollars. But whether the real reason is as stated by the Internet Information Office is difficult for outsiders to know; It's just that the market has been blowing, and Didi is forced to list in the United States at the moment of Sino-US confrontation, and It's targeted. Hang Seng Index is opening lower and closing lower. Hong Kong is about to follow the mainland and implement the cyber security law, which will make Hong Kong enterprises more conservative in managing online information and have the opportunity to increase manpower to handle it. Make the enterprise cost rise. Of course, ordinary citizens will be in danger, and they don't know which words or deals will lead to jail, which will hit online media communication. Hang Seng Index opens lower. Closed low, and finally closed at 20,574 points, down 315 points or 1.5%. The European Central Bank announced a rate hike of 0.5% last night. European Central Bank President Lagarde said at a press conference that due to most nuclear The inflation index has risen, and it is expected that inflation will be at an unstoppable high level for a period of time. The trend of the euro has an impact on future inflation, which explains that the weak euro is even larger. One of the reasons for the decision to raise interest rates. The euro's interest rate hike has the opportunity to ease the price increase. Although the European Central Bank started the interest rate hike cycle relatively late compared with Britain and the United States, it is better late than never, and the three major European stock markets rebounded. The national DAX index rose by 0.27%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.27%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.21%. Entering the US performance announcement period, Tesla announced its performance after the market closed on Wednesday. Winning expectations, it rose by nearly 10% yesterday, the market atmosphere became hot, investors rushed to the market, lazy labor data and manufacturing data went bad, and the three major indexes of Wall Street rose for two consecutive days, saying Jones index rose by 0.51%; The S&P 500 index rose by 0.97%; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 1.36%. It was predicted that the European Central Bank would announce a half-percentage-point interest rate increase yesterday, and the result really came true. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that inflation in the United States and Europe continued to rise and had to raise interest rates by 0.5%. In addition, she also said that her earlier forward-looking guidance on the interest rate hike in September meant gradual interest rate hike, which was no longer applicable, suggesting that the interest rate hike could be even stronger, and the US dollar index fell to 106.5. The gold market fell first and then rose, with the lowest price of 1680.9 yuan. After the European Central Bank announced the result of interest rate discussion, the price of gold rebounded sharply by more than 40 dollars, with the highest price of 1720.3 yuan, and finally closed at 1719.2 dollars. City, up $22.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak