Gold market analysis

2022-09-15

September 15th Today's amplitude range Inflation in the United States is still high. Although the producer price index released last night has dropped and the US dollar has stopped rising slightly, investors are still worried about Midland United. In the interest rate meeting next week and the rest of this year, it is possible to take more drastic measures to raise interest rates. The price of gold shows negative growth in the latest manufacturing data, While the dollar fell, it still failed to rebound successfully, indicating that the pressure is not light. The gold price will be supported by $1,690. Suggested volatility today is $1,685 to $1,703. Yuan. The United States released last month's inflation data on Tuesday night, and the core consumer price index was times higher than the market expectation. Some investment banks predicted that the investors' Federal Reserve will be in the next week. During the interest rate meeting, the interest rate was raised by 100 points to suppress the nearly out-of-control price increase. The next night, U.S. stocks suffered a stock crash, with an average decline of more than 4%. Hang Seng Index opened nearly 400 lower. Points, and finally fell below 19,000 points to close at 18,847 points, down 479 points or 2.5%. Fitch, a credit institution, looks down on the global economic outlook, drastically reducing the total global production. Value expectation. Fitch said that due to the impact of supply chain shortage, and the global interest rate hike by the central bank in order to control the rapidly rising inflation. Move, from the second quarter forecast cumulative growth of 3.5% this year down by one third to 2.4%, and it is expected that the euro zone and the UK will enter recession later this year, while The United States will begin to experience a mild recession in mid-2023. Last night, the latest manufacturing data released by Europe also reflected the economic recession. In July, the production index fell by 2.3% month by month, which was larger than the market expectation. Europe The three major stock markets continued their decline, with the German DAX index falling by 1.17%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.37%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.47%. Tuesday in America The published consumption data in August showed that inflation was still high, and investors were worried that the Fed's interest rate meeting in September would be stronger. The next night, U.S. stocks plunged 4.5% % to 5%. U.S. stocks opened lower yesterday, and the latest publicly-owned manufacturing data retreated by 0.1% as expected, easing the tense market atmosphere. The three major indexes on Wall Street turned negative. Play; Dow Jones index rose 0.1%, Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 0.34% and Nasdaq composite index rose 0.74%. Inflation in the United States is still high, although yesterday The producer price index (PPI) released in the evening has dropped, and the US dollar has stopped rising slightly. However, investors are still worried that the Federal Reserve may adopt the following measures at its interest rate meeting next week. More exciting means of raising interest rates, the gold market finally recorded a decline. Yesterday, the gold price reached a high of $1,707.2 and a low of $1,693.7, closing at $1,697.4. Drop 5 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-14

September 14th Today's amplitude range In August, the core consumer price index was more than twice the market expectation. The market was worried that the Federal Reserve might take more exciting measures to raise interest rates this year, and the dollar regained its strength. The gold price will be supported by $1,690. The suggested volatility today is $1,687 to $1,704. After the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, Hong Kong stocks did not follow the rising trend of European and American stock markets every other night, and finally opened higher and closed lower. Hang Seng Index opened 40 points higher, but the market seems to be waiting for American Stock Connect. Data, Hong Kong stocks fell between buying and selling. The Hang Seng Index finally fell 35 points or 0.18% to close at 19,326 points. Affected by the inflation data of the United States in August, it was twice higher than the market Affected by the market expectation, investors are worried that the Federal Reserve will adopt a larger rate hike policy at the September meeting on interest rates, and the 30-year Treasury bonds and 5-year treasury bonds in the United States The upside-down range of bond yields shows that the market is more worried that raising interest rates in a high inflation environment will trigger economic recession, which will eventually trigger stagflation. Investors reduce risk Assets, the three major European stock markets saw red, and the German DAX index fell by 1.61%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.39%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.18%. The original inflation in the United States was expected to peak, but the August core consumer price index released last night was times more than the market expectation, and the market worried that the Federal Reserve might take more measures this year. Excited means of raising interest rates, the US dollar regained its strength, and the US dollar index soared to 109.9, once again approaching the historical high. The three major indexes of Wall Street are now in stock market crash; Dow-Jones Index Fell by 3.94%, the S&P 500 index by 4.33% and the Nasdaq Composite Index by 5.16%. Last night, the United States will release inflation data, and the result is a big surprise to the market; The latest core consumer price index in August reached 0.6% month-on-month, which was twice the market expectation. Although the consumer price index declined year-on-year, it was still hovering. The high inflation figure of more than 8% is still far from the ideal of the Federal Reserve. The market is worried that the Federal Reserve may take more exciting measures to raise interest rates, and the dollar will show strength again. The price of gold was under significant pressure, with the lowest price of $1,697.1 and the highest price of $1,731.8, closing at $1,702.4, down $22.2. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-13

September 13th Today's amplitude range The market is not afraid of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in September. The US dollar index and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds are falling hand in hand. The gold market bulls are taking advantage of the momentum to fight back, and the price of gold is up again for the first time this month. The market closed above $720, and the market survey showed that the probability of the US raising interest rate by 75 points in September exceeded 85%, which can be said to be an established fact; The United States will announce consumption tonight. The price index, regardless of the outcome, will not change the attitude of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. I believe the price of gold will still wander between $1690 and $1730. Today's suggestion Volatility of $1,710 to $1,730. Hong Kong stocks were closed for the Mid-Autumn Festival yesterday. European stock markets continued their upward trend on Friday, rising by more than 2% yesterday. After the European Central Bank announced a 0.75% interest rate increase last week, it reversed the decline of the euro, and the US dollar was relatively low, the US The yuan index once fell below 108 points yesterday, and the risk market atmosphere was good. The three major European stock markets performed brilliantly, and the German DAX index rose by 2.39%. Paris, France CAC index rose by 1.95%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.69%. It is expected that inflation in the United States will peak in the market, and it has absorbed the third consecutive interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve in September. 0.75% of the expectation, the recent strength of the US dollar was hit hard, and the US dollar index fell for four consecutive trading days, and was lowered by another 0.6% yesterday; The weakening of the US dollar boosted all assets except the US dollar, and US stocks followed the rise of European stocks. The three major indexes of Wall Street rose for two consecutive days; Dow Jones index rose 0.71%, the standard The S&P 500 index rose by 1.09%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 1.27%. Although two more Fed officials indicated that they would support the Fed to raise interest rates again at this month's interest rate meeting. 0.75%, but the market has obviously digested this interest rate increase. The US dollar index and the yield of 10-year government bonds have gone down hand in hand, greatly boosting all assets except the US dollar, Of course, gold is no exception. The price of gold dropped to $1,712 at the worst in the early stage, but then climbed up, reaching the highest price of $1,735.2, closing at $1,724.6, rising. 7.4 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-12

September 12th Today's amplitude range The trend of the US dollar is too strong, causing Japan's intervention. The European Central Bank's interest rate hike policy will be in line with that of the US Federal Reserve. The new British Prime Minister Zhuo Huisi is gearing up, promising to introduce a rescue measure with a total value of 40 billion pounds, temporarily stopping the decline of the pound; The withdrawal of RMB from the mainland has supported the strength of the US dollar; Moreover, the U.S. economic data is on the strong side, and maintaining a more active interest rate hike attitude will be the keynote of the Federal Reserve before the end of this year. It can be said that it is an established fact that the market survey shows that the probability of the next interest rate hike in the United States is over 85%. However, the news of the interest rate hike will continue to ferment until the Federal Reserve officially announces the interest rate hike, before which the gold price will still wander between $1690 and $1730. The suggested volatility today is $1,708 to $1,724. The epidemic situation in the Mainland has been heating up in recent days, with more than 1,000 cases of virus infection in a day, and many provinces and cities have closed their districts. The market is worried that China's economy will stop again, and the published manufacturing index has regressed, which has become an excuse for investors to sell goods. The FOB price of RMB against the US dollar continues to fall, indicating that capital withdrawal is still active. Hong Kong is the window of mainland capital, which can best reflect the degree of foreign capital withdrawal. However, Hong Kong stocks have been seriously weakened recently. The Hang Seng Index fell for two weeks in a row, and closed at 19,000 points last Thursday. Fortunately, on Friday, the central government made a secret move, releasing water earlier to support the economy, and encouraging the flexibility of one city and one policy. However, on Friday, it was reported that more than 24 cities in the mainland had introduced the housing policy of "one person buying a house to help the whole family" by using provident fund, and Hong Kong stocks rebounded by more than 500 points, narrowing the decline. In a week's summary, the Hang Seng Index dropped 90 points or 0.46% to close at 19,362 points. Last week, European stock markets fell first and then rose, trapped in the long-term war between Russia and Ukraine, which caused inflation to worsen and the economy to fall into recession. Coupled with the pressure of the European Central Bank to raise interest rates, the three major European stock markets continued to decline again and again before Friday. However, after the European Central Bank officially announced a 0.75% interest rate increase, investors generally accepted the strength of the European interest rate increase, and the softening of the US dollar stimulated the global stock market to rise. The three major European stock markets finally rose. In a week, the German DAX index rose by 0.20. Paris CAC index rose by 0.73%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.96%. U.S. economic data is firm, non-manufacturing data and labor data are higher than market expectations, and economic data continues to be strong. The call of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third time in a row in September is getting louder and louder. Under the pressure of rising interest rate expectations, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a speech on Thursday, saying that in order to suppress the worst inflation deterioration in 40 years, the authorities would take interest rate hikes as usual and directly. Powell's words are full of the possibility of raising interest rate by 75 points in September, but the market has already accepted this rate increase, stimulating the three major Wall Street indexes to rise for two consecutive days before the end of the week; In a week, the Dow Jones index rose 2.66%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.53% and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.11%. International oil prices softened last week, easing the tension of inflation in the United States. However, the economic data of the United States is strong, and the market expects that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 0.75% will rise to more than 80%. The US dollar index hit a 20-year high of 110.8 last Thursday, and the price of gold was under pressure, falling to $1,691.5 at the worst last week. However, Japan hinted that it would intervene in the foreign exchange market, and with the euro raising interest rates in the direction of the Federal Reserve, the euro reversed its downward trend against the US dollar, and the US dollar In a week, the price of gold rose by $4.50. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-09

September 9th Today's amplitude range The European Central Bank announced the results of the interest rate meeting yesterday, raising various official interest rates by 0.75%. Affected by the news of the interest rate hike, the euro rebounded against the US dollar and once again returned to the exchange rate. Change price. In addition, Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, hinted that he would raise the interest rate by 0.75% again at the meeting on September 20th to 21st. Market survey: the next US interest rate hike is 75 points. The probability of the child exceeds 85%, which can be said to be an established fact; However, the news will continue to ferment until the Federal Reserve officially announced the interest rate hike, before which the price of gold was still there. Between $690 and $1730. The suggested volatility today is $1,698 to $1,720. The FOB price of RMB continues to fall against the US dollar, indicating that the capital withdrawal situation is still active. Hong Kong is the window of mainland capital, which can best reflect the degree of foreign capital withdrawal; And port Recently, stocks have been seriously weakened. The Hang Seng Index has fallen for six consecutive days, with a cumulative decline of more than 1,000 points. Yesterday, it finally fell below 19,000 points to close. The Hang Seng Index fell 189 points or 1% to close. Reported 18,854 points, the lowest since March 16 this year. Queen Elizabeth II, the head of Hong Kong's colonial era, died at the age of 96. This English history The death of the longest-serving queen in the last world represents the last generation. Her son Charles waited for many years and finally succeeded to become the new king. It is said that the first crown prince is in Waiting for 70 years, he once considered withdrawing from the crown prince status. It is often said that "it is easier to build a business than to keep it! Charles ascended the throne at a time when Britain's national strength was not as good as before, Even more depressed. The European Central Bank announced the results of interest rate discussion yesterday, raising the three major interest rates by 0.75%. European Central Bank President Lagarde appeased the market at the press conference. She said that although However, the inflation risk is expected to be upward, but the European Central Bank will not encrypt the rate hike schedule, and emphasizes that 75 basis points is not the norm, and will only raise interest rates sharply when necessary. that The real risk market has already accepted the reality of raising interest rates. The three major European stock markets developed for three consecutive days, and the German DAX index fell by 0.08%. Paris CAC index rose 0.32%； Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.33%. Powell, the chairman of the US Federal Reserve, spoke yesterday, saying that in order to suppress the worst inflation problem in 40 years, the authorities would take interest rate hikes as before and directly. Powell's words are full of the possibility of raising interest rate by 75 points in September, but the market has already accepted this rate increase, and the latest number of jobless claims has fallen again, which stung. Stimulate all three major Wall Street indexes to rise; The Dow Jones index rose 0.61%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.67%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.6%. ECB The results of interest rate discussion were announced yesterday, and various official interest rates were raised by 0.75%. Affected by the news of interest rate increase, the euro rebounded against the US dollar, once again returning to a calculated exchange rate. In addition, Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, hinted that he would raise the interest rate by 0.75% again at the meeting on September 20th-21st. The decline in the gold market reflects the expectation of interest rate hike, with the highest gold price at 1728.2. USD, with the lowest price of USD 1,704, closed at USD 1,708.7, down USD 9.7. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-08

September 8th Today's amplitude range The international oil price plunged by 5% yesterday, easing the tension of inflation in the United States. The market expects that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rate by 0.75% again will rise to more than 80% for a period of ten years. However, the yield of government bonds fell instead of rising, indicating that investors gradually accepted the current interest rate hike expectation. In addition, the euro reversed its decline under the expectation of interest rate hike, and the U.S. dollar index rose and then fell back. The price of gold rebounded yesterday. Recently, the gold market has fluctuated, and it is possible that the market will continue to fluctuate until the Federal Reserve officially announces a rate increase. Suggested volatility today is $1,710 to 726 dollars. The People's Bank of China announced that China's foreign exchange reserves decreased by nearly $49.2 billion last month compared with July. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange said that downward pressure on the global economy has increased, and international The financial market fluctuated violently and the US dollar index strengthened, so many factors combined to order the overall reserve to fall. However, the recent weakness of RMB is the key, and the real reason is capital withdrawal. Seriously, or deliberately reduce the dollar? It remains to be seen! Actually, Russia has exposed China as a behind-the-scenes player and justifiably announced its intention to build a new gas pipeline. Pipeline to China; Of course, you have to pay a price to buy goods at the price of bamboo shoots. Being deliberately put on the stage by China's big brother and becoming its powerful economic partner, China's return to Russia's arms will be detrimental to the future global trade of the mainland, especially its bad feelings with the United States. Will deepen, whether it is good or bad, although it is still unknown, but the situation of leaving capital is inevitable! Hong Kong is the window of mainland capital, and it is involved in this vortex. China and Hong Kong stocks have weakened recently. The Hang Seng Index once fell below 19,000 points, and the closing decline narrowed, still falling by 158 points or 0.82%. The Hang Seng Index closed at 19,044 points. New head of England As soon as Xiang Huisi took office, the pound fell to a new low against the US dollar since 1985, largely reflecting the decline of this "dynasty where the sun never sets". To save the current economy, Zhuo Huisi The 40 billion-pound bail-out measures promised may further stimulate inflation and deepen the local economic dilemma! In addition, the ECB's interest rate hike will It was announced today that investors have generally accepted the European Central Bank's expectation of raising interest rates by 0.75%. The three major European stock markets are mixed, with the German DAX index rising by 0.33%; France Paris CAC index rose by 0.02%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.84%. The international crude oil price has dropped nearly 8% for two consecutive days, which is conducive to the cooling of the hot inflation in the United States. The US dollar index rose 110.8 points yesterday and then fell back to 109.5, closing at 10. The yield of one-year treasury bonds was also lowered by 2.5%, reflecting that investors gradually accepted the current interest rate hike environment. The three major indexes of Wall Street rose across the board, and the Dow Jones index rose by 1.4%, the standard. The S&P 500 index rose by 1.84%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 2.14%. The international oil price plunged 5% yesterday, easing the tension of inflation in the United States. The market expects Midland. The probability of raising interest rate by 0.75% will rise to more than 80%, but the yield of 10-year government bonds will fall instead of rising, indicating that investors are gradually accepting the current interest rate hike expectation, plus the euro. Under the expectation of raising interest rates, the decline was reversed, and the US dollar index rose and then fell back. Long investors in the gold market took the opportunity to fight back, and the worst price of gold fell to $1691.5. With the bulls entering the market, gold The highest price was $1,719.5, and it closed at $1,718.4, up $17.5. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-07

September 7th Today's amplitude range The gold market repeated yesterday, forming a double-kill! Yesterday, the gold price opened at a high of $1,727, but it was unsustainable. Although it withstood the closing price of $1,700, the trend was serious. Wonderful, the main melody of the market is still bearish. The suggested volatility today is $1,685 to $1,705. When the house leaks, it rains all night, and Sichuan is closed due to the rising of epidemic situation, many provinces and cities in the Mainland also suffer from the hot weather, and the dry weather causes the river water level to drop, which may lead to The shortage of power supply is the most severe in Sichuan province, where more than 80% of electricity is generated by hydropower. Worst of all, there is still nearly 7. Sichuan residents really want to cry! When the Hong Kong stock market opened yesterday, it rose to more than 130 points under the pretext that the People's Bank of China lowered the foreign exchange reserve ratio again, but There was nothing to do with it. The Hang Seng Index ended up falling, closing at 19,202 points, down 22 points or 0.12%. British Foreign Secretary John Joyce won the election of the Conservative Party leader and automatically became the British Prime Minister. The media reported that the first task of the new Prime Minister was to solve the current inflation evil in Britain. To solve the problem, Zhuo Huisi is preparing to introduce 40 billion pounds of relief measures, including tax cuts and subsidies to help residents and reduce the energy costs of British enterprises. a surname; short for Europe; lucky The three major stock markets in Europe were cautiously optimistic yesterday, with the German DAX index rising by 0.85%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.19%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.21%. Yesterday, the US Labor Day holiday opened higher and closed lower. institute for supply management's non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index reported 56.9 points, which was higher than market expectations. Economic data Continue to be strong, and the call of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 0.75% for the third time in a row in September is also getting louder and louder. Under the pressure of expected increase in interest rates, all three major indexes on Wall Street The Dow Jones index fell 0.54%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.35% and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.74%. The gold market repeated yesterday, forming a long and short double. Kill! When the market opened in Asia, the price of gold surged by more than 10 USD, reaching a maximum of 1726.9 USD. However, the strong trend of USD still controlled the gold market, and then the price of gold stepped down. In the European session, it began to fall, with the worst ever reaching $1,699.9, closing at $1,701.9, down $8.3. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-06

September 6th Today's amplitude range Russia retaliated against the sanctions imposed by the Group of Seven and announced the permanent closure of one of the natural gas pipelines to Europe. The news stimulated the European energy crisis to heat up and invested Also worried that energy prices will rise sharply, which will further hit the European economy. The euro fell below 1 against the US dollar, which contributed to the strength of the US dollar. This week, the European Central Committee The result of interest rate discussion will be announced soon, and the market is expected to raise interest rate by 0.75%, which will help save the weakness of the euro. Russia's anti-sanctions have increased the demand for yin avoidance, and today's suggested volatility is 1708. To $1,732. The epidemic situation in the Mainland has been heating up in recent days, with more than 1,000 cases of virus infection in a day, and many provinces and cities have closed their districts. The market is worried that China's economy will shut down again, and yesterday's public The manufacturing index of cloth industry has regressed, which has become an excuse for investors to sell goods. The Hang Seng Index opened lower and closed lower, falling by 400 points at most, and the closing decline narrowed, still falling by 226 points or 1.2%, reported at 19225. We should pay attention to the fact that the People's Bank of China cut the reserve ratio of foreign exchange deposits again yesterday, and put water on the market, but it was obviously powerless, and the Hang Seng Index fell. After nearly half a year's low, the trend of Hong Kong stock market outlook is still bearish. The war in Russia has been going on for more than half a year, and western countries continue to increase sanctions against Russia. Last Sunday, the G-7 reached a new agreement, which will impose sanctions on Russian oil and prices. Set the upper limit. Russia's Putin immediately threw down his tools, no longer embellished his anti-sanction actions against Europe, and said earlier that he had temporarily closed the supply for repairing the Beixi No.1 pipeline. Natural gas should be bound in Europe, and it should be changed to shut down Beixi No.1 natural gas pipeline indefinitely. Affected by the news, investors are worried that the energy crisis will accelerate the economic recession in Europe. Pace, coupled with yesterday's European economic data showing no improvement, the three major European stock markets all developed independently, and the German DAX index fell by 2.22%; Paris CAC index fell 1.20%； Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.08%. The American Labor Day holiday was closed yesterday. The US holiday is closed, and the gold market yesterday seemed to be in a state of half-rest, with a volatility of only US$ 8. Europe because Russia announced the permanent closure of its The news of a natural gas pipeline to Europe has stimulated the European energy crisis to heat up, and investors are also worried that energy prices will rise sharply, which will further hit. In Europe, the euro fell below 1 against the US dollar, which contributed to the strength of the US dollar. The gold market was under pressure. The highest price of gold was $1,715.8, and the lowest price was $1,707.8 to $1,710.2. The dollar closed, and the price of gold fell by 2.50 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-05

September 5th Today's amplitude range U.S. economic data is popular, and the U.S. dollar index has reached a new high, once approaching a high of 110 points. The market is worried that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more aggressive interest rate hike in September. The forecast of raising the sub-interest rate by 0.75% is reflected in the trend of the rising ten-year treasury yield. The interest rate market predicts that the Federal Reserve will do it again and again this month. And the chance of raising interest rate by 75 points in the third rate rises to 60%; By November this year, the probability of accumulating to 125 pips is also 50% worse, indicating that the bond price is not It will continue to fall for some time to come, and the rise of the yield rate is not conducive to the upward development of the gold price. Last week's rebound in hardware market may be a back draw from the market decline, The market outlook continues to be bearish! There is still a chance to try again where the iron bottom of $1,680 has been since the virus pandemic. If it falls through, the prospect will be even grayer! Suggested volatility today $692 to $1,714. Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, put an eagle in the annual meeting of central banks around the world. The market expects that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 75 points in September will surpass 50 points. The market expects the United States With the increase of interest rate, and the mainland's announcement of Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index in August, the latest figure dropped below 50 points to 49.5 points. It shows that the mainland manufacturing industry has returned to contraction, and the mainland epidemic is on the verge of getting out of control in the near future. The Hang Seng Index finally fell below the 20,000-point mark. After a week's summary, the Hang Seng Index It fell 717 points or 3.6% and closed at 19,452 points. The war in Russia has been going on for more than half a year. The long war has led to a sharp rise in food and energy prices, which has led to the deterioration of inflation in Europe. The European Central Bank member proposed that it will be held in September. The proposal of raising interest rate by 0.75% was put forward at the meeting on interest rates, which is the most radical monetary policy tightening since the euro came into existence. Negative news flooded the market, and more evidence showed that Europe is entering an economic recession. The euro manufacturing purchasing managers' index of 49.1 is lower than expected, while the British manufacturing purchasing managers' index is higher than the published figures. Good forecast, the new data is 47.3 points, and both sets of data are lower than the 50-point dividing line between prosperity and decline, which shows that the manufacturing industry in Europe has contracted, and the top three in Europe. The performance of the stock market in the whole week was low, but the three major European stock markets rose by more than 2-3% last Friday, stimulated by the non-farm payrolls report of the United States, with a total of 1 Weeks, and finally their respective development; German DAX index rose by 0.67%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.70%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.97%. U.S. economic data showed strong performance, with the latest manufacturing purchasing managers' index of institute for supply management reaching 52.8 points, which was the same as that of July, but better than market expectations. In addition, the performance of labor data is uneven. Last week, the number of first-time jobless claims in the United States fell for three consecutive weeks. The number of non-agricultural jobs in August announced by the United States on Friday increased by 52.6 from July. 10,000 slowed down to 315,000, still exceeding the expected 298,000, but the unemployment rate increased to 3.7%, the first increase since January this year, although Friday's non-agricultural data helped to reduce it. The Federal Reserve had a more aggressive interest rate hike expectation, but the market atmosphere was still unfavorable to the risk market. U.S. stocks finally fell for three weeks in a row, and the Dow Jones index fell by 2.99% in a week. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 3.33%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 4.18%. Last week, the economic data of the United States outperformed market expectations. The market predicted that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 75 points in September was still high, and the US dollar stood out. Last week, the US dollar index It once hit a record high near 110 points, the price of 10-year treasury bonds fell, and its highest yield also rose to 3.26%. Last Friday, the latest non-agricultural data beat expectations, but lost. However, the industry rate has picked up, and safe-haven demand has helped the gold market narrow its decline. The highest gold price is $1,745.6, and the lowest is $1,688.9, closing at $1,712.7, summarizing one star. Period, the price of gold fell by $25.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-02

September 2nd Today's amplitude range Yesterday, the U.S. economic data was popular, and the U.S. dollar index hit a new high, once approaching a high of 110 points. The market was worried that the Federal Reserve would adopt a more aggressive means of raising interest rates at nine The forecast of raising the interest rate by 0.75% again every month is reflected in the trend of the rising ten-year government bond yield, and the gold price was completely suppressed yesterday; Federal Reserve Board Whether to raise interest rates by 0.75% or not, apart from the recent inflation data, the labor data is another important factor for officials to consider. See you tonight for non-agricultural data. The price of gold still hasn't gone out of the downward trend. Yesterday, after a deep adjustment, there was a post-draw. At the close, it fell below the psychological barrier of $1,700. Today There is a chance to try the iron bottom since the virus pandemic again, that is, it is about $1,680. If it falls through, the prospect will be even grayer! Today's suggested volatility is 1680 US dollars. To 1705 dollars. Yesterday, the mainland announced the Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index in August, and the latest figure dropped below 50 points to 49.5 points, indicating that the mainland manufacturing industry has returned to contraction. State, coupled with the recent outbreak in the mainland is on the verge of getting out of control, and there are over 100 cases of local infection in Chengdu, the Chengdu Municipal Government has decided to completely close the city! The news aggravated investors. The Hang Seng Index closed down by 357 points or 1.8% to 19,597 points, with the turnover still exceeding HK$ 100 billion during the fall, and the market outlook is in danger! More evidence shows that Europe is entering an economic recession, and the euro manufacturing purchasing managers' index of 49.1 is lower than expected, while the British manufacturing purchasing managers' index has published figures. The forecast is better than that, and the newly reported data is 47.3 points. Combining the two sets of data, both of them are lower than the 50-point dividing line between prosperity and decline, which shows that the European manufacturing industry has contracted, and Europe The three major stock markets fell by more than 1% in unison, and the DAX index of Germany fell by 1.58%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.48%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.89%. U.S. economic data showed strong performance. The latest number of manufacturing purchasing managers' index in institute for supply management was 52.8 points, which was the same as that in July, but better than the market forecast. In addition, the labor data are also popular. Last week, the number of first-time jobless claims in the United States fell for three weeks, and the latest figure was 232,000, gradually approaching the virus. Average before the row. Supported by favorable data, U.S. stocks stopped a four-day losing streak, with Dow Jones index up 0.46%, Standard & Poor's 500 index up 0.3% and Nasdaq. The composite index rose by 0.02%. The latest U.S. manufacturing data and labor data outperformed market expectations. The news stimulated the US dollar to hit a record high, and the US dollar index was once Close to 110 points, the strength reached its peak, and the yield of the relevant 10-year treasury bonds also rose to 3.26%, reflecting the market's forecast that the Fed will raise interest rates by 75 points in September. When the market opened, the gold market was all under pressure and fell, with the lowest price at 1688.9, closing at 1697.3 USD, down 13.7 USD. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-01

September 1st Today's amplitude range The exhausted employment data eased the market tension a little, but there was still concern that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates more aggressively. Means, the price of gold has always been under pressure and failed to get out of the downward trend. Yesterday, I raised $1,717, successfully got it, and ate it at $1,711! The gold market is still in decline, and there is a chance to fall below 1700 today. After the dollar appears, you can smoke it, but you can empty it first, and then you can bounce back below $1,700, but remember to stop the erosion! The suggested volatility today is $1,698 to $1,716. The hawkish words of Williams, the third person in the Federal Reserve and the permanent voting committee, the chairman of the Federal Reserve of new york, caused the early US stocks to drop by more than 1%, and the Hong Kong stocks closed at a low level yesterday. Benefit from the mainland The manufacturing data outperformed market expectations, and the 300 billion yuan added by the State Council's stable economic policy will start to be released in September. The Hang Seng Index reversed its decline, falling by nearly 4.5% at most. 00 to 200 points, but the market selling pressure was still there, and the transaction increased to HK$ 130 billion. So the two sides were evenly matched, and the market closed up slightly by 5 points or 0.03% to 19,954 points, 200. The 0: 00 mark was lost again! The market outlook is mostly bearish, depending on whether Beishui can support Hong Kong stocks in the south again. ! Europe's inflation has reached a high level again. The consumer price index of the euro zone announced yesterday increased by 9.1% year-on-year. Many members of the European Central Bank have said that they must take measures to suppress prices. The disorderly growth momentum, support for raising interest rates by 75 points, and some members frankly willing to imitate the practice of the Federal Reserve! The market originally expected the European Central Bank to raise interest rates by 0.75% in September. It has already been sung, and after the comments of the members of the European Central Bank, raising interest rates by 0.75% in October has also become another worry of the market; The three major European stock markets fell more than 1% in unison, Germany's DAX index fell 0.94%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.37%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.12%. Small non-agricultural data went bad yesterday, and market statistics will be held in mid-August. An increase of 300,000 people are employed, but the reality is very cruel. Even half of the expected number has not been achieved, and only 132,000 people can enter the workplace. In addition, recently, many enterprises have laid off employees to cut costs. The voice keeps coming out. In the face of the worsening employment environment, U.S. stocks fell for four consecutive trading days, with the Dow Jones index falling by 0.88% and the S&P 500 index falling by 0.78%. Nasdaq Composite The index fell by 0.56%. In August, the small non-agricultural data were released in half, and the July mobile job survey released on Tuesday increased significantly, which is quite different! This may be the reason for the lag, and the July figures could not be reflected immediately. Recently, enterprises have taken action to recycle recruitment, but most of the vacancies are more likely due to resource mismatch, which may not meet the employment demand! The exhausted employment data eased the market tension a little, However, I am still worried that the Federal Reserve will take more aggressive measures to raise interest rates. The price of gold has always been under pressure and has not been able to get out of the downward trend. The highest price of gold is $1,726.6, and the lowest price is $1,709.7, with 17. $1 closed down $13.4. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak    

2022-08-31

August 31st Today's amplitude range U.S. economic data was good yesterday. If the Fed's interest rate hike strategy is based on the principle of inflation data, it is obvious that yesterday's data is unfavorable to doves! In September The 0.75% interest rate increase is heating up, and with the hawkish words of Williams, the third person and permanent voting committee of the Federal Reserve and chairman of the Federal Reserve of new york, the price of gold continues to be under pressure. gold When the price goes to the bottom, there is a great chance that it will fall below $1,720. Once it falls below $1,717, it can be filled empty. You can see $1,711, stop the erosion with $1,720, and fight with three mosquitoes. Six mosquitoes! Suggested volatility today is $1,711 to $1,730. Last Friday, Powell, the chairman of the US Federal Reserve, put an eagle in the annual meeting of the global central bank last week. The market expected that the probability of the Fed raising interest rate by 75 points in September would exceed 50 points. It is expected that the rate hike in the United States will gradually heat up, and Hong Kong stocks will open lower and close lower on the settlement date of the futures index. The Hang Seng Index finally fell below the 20,000-point mark and fell 74 points yesterday. Or 0.37%, to close at 19,949 points. Williams, the third person in the Federal Reserve, continues to hawk. Today, Hong Kong stocks are sure to smoke! Yesterday, Germany, Britain and France were the same The manufacturing purchasing managers' index was released this month, and the three major economies showed different performances. Germany showed better data than the market expected, while the latest figure in the UK was worse than expected. Color, while the data released by France is as expected by the market. The three major European stock markets have also developed, with the German DAX index rising by 0.55%; Paris CAC index fell 0.19%； Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.86%. Following US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's falconry at the annual meeting of the global central bank, Williams, the third person and permanent voting committee of the Federal Reserve and chairman of the new york Federal Reserve, yesterday Also aggressive, commenting that there are contradictions in the current economic data of the United States, inflation is still too high and the labor market is still strong; The overall situation is similar to that of last month. The policy of saving money and implementing it has not yet achieved the desired results. Of course, it depends on the economic data to indicate how high the interest rate needs to rise, but Williams also put forward his benchmark. Yes, we need an interest rate slightly higher than 3.5%, and said that the high interest rate situation will continue for several more years! Williams' hawkish wording caused the U.S. stocks to fall, saying The Jones index fell by 0.96%, the S&P 500 index by 1.08% and the Nasdaq Composite Index by 1.12%. Crude oil prices plummeted by 6%, and the consumer confidence index of the United States immediately rose in August. The latest data reported 103.2 points, the first time since May this year, and higher than the market forecast. Period; In addition, the Ministry of Labor released a new survey of mobile jobs in July, and the number of job vacancies increased to 11.24 million, which shows that the labor market is booming! If the Federal Reserve Board The strategy of raising interest rates is based on the principle of inflation data. Obviously, yesterday's data was unfavorable to doves! The gold market has not yet gone out of the downward trend, with the highest price rising to 174. 0.6 USD, the lowest is 1721.2 USD, and it is down by 13.1 USD to 1724.4 USD. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-30

August 30th Today's amplitude range U.S. economic data showed a strong performance on Thursday. U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell put an eagle in the annual meeting of the global central bank, and the price of gold was difficult to rise under the expectation of raising interest rates. Yesterday, With the weakening of the US dollar, the market was close to a draw. The trend of the gold market yesterday also reacted well, and it is waiting for the next key data; That is, it was announced this Friday at 8. Monthly non-farm employment report. Today is still expected to be a volatile market, with high selling and low selling; The suggested volatility today is $1,727 to $1,746. Investors are worried that the United States will still raise interest rates sharply when the economic environment is not good. U.S. stocks plunged more than 3% last Friday. Hong Kong stocks fell below the 20,000-point mark when they opened yesterday, but China and the United States A cooperation agreement was reached on audit supervision, and the crisis that China Stock Exchange was forced to withdraw from the market in the United States eased slightly, which became the only good news in the market. The Hang Seng Index finally reached the 20,000-point mark. It was recovered and closed at 20023 points, down 146 points or 0.73%. Following the US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's global central bank's eagle state last Friday, the European Central Committee A number of officials also made hawkish remarks yesterday; They all said that they would raise the interest rate at the meeting in September because of the worsening inflation in Europe. 0.75% interest rate, which is the most aggressive monetary policy tightening since the euro came into existence. Negative news is unfavorable to the risk market, the European stock market continues to fall, and Germany D AX index fell by 0.59%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.83%; British stock market is closed for holidays. Powell, the chairman of the US Federal Reserve, released the eagle at the annual meeting of central banks around the world. The market expected that the probability of the Fed raising interest rate by 75 points in September would exceed 50 points, and the market was uneasy. Emotion, in which the yield rate of long and short government bonds continues to widen upside down, indicating that investors are less and less optimistic about the follow-up economy; U.S. stocks continued Friday's decline yesterday, Dow Jones The index fell by 0.57%, the S&P 500 index by 0.67% and the Nasdaq Composite Index by 1.02%. Powell's hawkish remarks at the annual meeting of the global central bank in Asia After continuous fermentation, the price of gold was once at its lowest level in a month, and the lowest price was 1720.4. However, after entering the European market, many European officials expressed their support for raising the interest rate by 75 points in September. Boosted the euro's expansion in the foreign exchange market, the US dollar softened relatively, and the bulls in the gold market immediately launched a big counterattack, with the highest price of gold rising to 1745.6 USD, and finally closing at 1737.5 USD. It fell slightly by 0.6 US dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-29

August 29th Today's amplitude range U.S. economic data showed a strong performance on Thursday. Powell, chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, put an eagle in the annual meeting of the global central bank, saying that he was not satisfied with the low inflation in July. It is reported that the policy can't be relaxed too early, and it is stated that the interest rate hike cycle will reach 4% next year, with the US dollar outshine others, and the price of gold will continue to be under pressure. In addition, Europe fought in Russia and Ukraine. As a result of extreme weather, food and energy prices soared, and inflation in the UK was so severe that there was a strike tide, that is, eastern and western Europe were facing the threat of economic recession. It has further supported the strength of the US dollar, which is not conducive to the upward development of the gold price. The suggested volatility today is $1,727 to $1,743. Last week, Hong Kong stocks fell first and then rose. In the first three days, Hong Kong stocks took on the previous week's decline. However, after the typhoon saddle, the country continued to have good news. Li Keqiang last week Presided over the executive meeting of the State Council, saying that in order to consolidate the foundation of economic recovery and development, 19 successive policies and measures to stabilize the economy will be deployed, and it is decided to increase by 300 billion yuan to Last Friday, China and the United States reached an agreement on the audit of China's stock market. The Hang Seng Index only got one and a half trading days. It fell down and rose, closing at 20170. In a week, the Hang Seng Index rose 397 points or 2.01%, ending its two-week decline; However, U.S. stocks plunged more than last Friday. 3%, Hong Kong stocks can't be immune, and the 20,000-point mark is hard to hold! The long-awaited annual meeting of the global central bank finally opened last Friday. As the representative of the American owner, Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, took the lead in speaking, saying that in July This low inflation data is welcome, but it is not enough to convince the Federal Reserve that the upward trend of inflation is declining, and it is necessary to see more evidence and then slow down the rate hike. The pace is appropriate, and the warning of history is not to relax the policy too early. He also said that higher interest rates would bring pain to families and businesses. It is likely that the environment will weaken and bring some pain to families. These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation, but the failure to restore price stability will mean more. Pain. And announced that according to the economic forecast in June, the median federal funds rate will be slightly lower than 4% by the end of 2023, but how much will the rate increase be in September? Fed officials We still need the latest data to make a decision. Powell, the chairman of the US Federal Reserve, put an eagle in the annual meeting of central banks around the world. The market expects that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 50 and 75 points in September will change from June 4th to 1st. Half. Bao Lao's remarks shook the financial market. New york's three major stock indexes bear the brunt, with a small stock market crash, with a one-day drop of more than 3%. In a week, Dow Jones refers to The index fell by 4.22%, the S&P 500 index by 3.89% and the Nasdaq Composite Index by 4.44%. European stock markets were inevitably affected, with an average drop of over 1% on Friday. In a week, Germany's DAX index fell by 4.23%; Paris CAC index fell by 3.41%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.63%. Powell's remarks at the annual meeting of the global central bank indicate that the policy of high interest rate increase will continue to be implemented, and the market expects that the probability of raising interest rate by 50 and 75 points will change from June 4 to 1. Half a hour later, the US dollar stood out, the US dollar index approached 109 points, and the gold market suffered a setback. Friday's decline almost offset the increase of the first three trading days, and the price of gold went up. The highest weekly price was $1,765.6, and the lowest price was $1,727.9, closing at $1,738.1, with a cumulative decline of $9.4 per week. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-26

August 26th Today's amplitude range The gold market rose for three days in a row, but it was obviously restricted by the 50-day moving average of $1,768, closing close to the 20-day average of $1,758. While the wait-and-see atmosphere in the gold market remains. Strong, waiting for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's comments on monetary policy and economic prospects at the annual meeting of global central banks tomorrow. The future development route of gold price has not yet It's more appropriate to be bright and clear. The suggested volatility today is $1,748 to $1,768. Premier Li Keqiang presided over the State Council executive meeting on Wednesday, saying that the domestic economy had calmed down in June and resumed its development momentum, and that in order to consolidate the economic recovery After the foundation of development, 19 successive policies and measures to stabilize the economy will be deployed, and it is decided to increase the quota of policy-oriented development financial instruments by more than 300 billion yuan, and allow local One city, one policy, improve the flexibility of aid. With the increase of water pipes in the Mainland to save the market, the performance of Hong Kong stocks is contrary to the earlier fatigue. In the morning, the Hong Kong Observatory only got half a day's market after the typhoon signal No.8 was lowered. Under the circumstances, the Hang Seng Index rose nearly 700 points to close at 19968, up 699 points or 3.63%.   Although the European Central Bank had to raise interest rates in the face of high inflation, in the case of shrinking the table, because the European economy is still not performing well, there may be some problems among the member countries. There are still differences. Foreign media reported that the European Central Bank will not make a decision to end its 3.3 trillion euro asset purchase plan due to the pandemic before September! The European Central Bank's water collection action has the opportunity to be extended. Coupled with the ideal performance of German economic data, the three major European stock markets all rose, and the German DAX index rose by 0.4%; Paris, France CAC index fell by 0.08%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.13%. Yesterday, the U.S. economic data performed well, stimulating a sharp rise in U.S. stocks. The US Department of Commerce announced that the GDP in the second quarter contracted more than originally expected. Yes, the figure decreased from 0.9% in the first quarter to 0.6%, while the market expected negative 0.8%; In addition, the revised quarterly profit of enterprises increased by 9% from the previous month. It shows that corporate revenue is still growing; In addition, the number of new jobless claims has dropped, which has eliminated the worry that the American economy will land hard. The three major Wall Street stock indexes finally It rose more than 1%, the Dow Jones index rose 0.98%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.46%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.67% to close. The gold market rose for three consecutive days, the highest. It rose to an average of $1,765.6 in the past 50 days, but the latest economic data of the United States showed strong performance. The ideal data reduced the demand for safe haven, and the market was still waiting for the United States. Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, commented on monetary policy and economic prospects at the annual meeting of the global central banks tonight. The price of gold has narrowed, and the lowest price of gold is $1,750. It closed at $1,758.4, up $6.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-25

August 25th Today's amplitude range There is a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the gold market, waiting for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's comments on monetary policy and economic prospects at the annual meeting of global central banks tomorrow. And the American classics Economic data are uneven, the future development route of gold price is unclear, and today it is expected that it will remain a volatile pattern. The suggested volatility today is $1,743 to $1,760. Typhoon Ma 'an hit. At 7 o'clock last night, the Observatory announced that the No.8 northeast gale or storm signal came into effect. This morning, the Observatory also revealed that according to the weakening of the wind, The typhoon signal No.3 was hoisted from 9: 00 to 11: 00 this morning. Although the time is a bit awkward, all wage earners should be protected by Lee's wall today. All can be started smoothly, but under the wind and rain, readers should be careful! The mainland economy has also experienced policy storms, under common prosperity, between the rich and the poor. Really close! President Xi said that if the housing is not fried, leeks will be cut everywhere, and it is even more spectacular that the unfinished buildings bloom everywhere in the country! The Hang Seng Technology Index fell nearly 3%, while the property stocks fell again. Hong Kong stocks, of course, did not run, and then opened higher and closed lower! The Hang Seng Index opened 38 points higher, but after that, it was unsustainable, falling 300 points at most, closing at 19,268 points, down 234 points. Or 1.2%, the lowest since the beginning of May this year. Russia made a small test and announced the suspension of gas transmission to European countries. Affected by the news, yesterday, Europe The price of natural gas in Europe breaks through 300 euros per megawatt hour! European countries used to rely too much on Russia's natural gas supply. Once the supply was reduced in the winter later this year. Should, or even break, the situation is unimaginable. By then, the price of natural gas will only be more expensive, or even reach an unaffordable level, and inflation will also rise along with it, and the economy The chance of being dragged down will expand! The three major European stock markets went up and down, and the German DAX index fell by 0.22%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.39%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.18%. The United States announced last night Business durable goods orders unexpectedly did not decrease, and it was better than market expectations. The data improved the venture capital atmosphere, but it was affected by the annual meeting of the global central bank this Friday. Will be held, investors did not dare to go too far; The three major Wall Street stock indexes finally rebounded slightly, with the Dow Jones index up 0.19% and the S&P 500 index up 0.31%. NASS The Nasdaq Composite Index closed up 0.41%. The market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, waiting for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's comments on monetary policy and Comments on the economic outlook. The performance of the gold market is also relatively stable, with the fluctuation of less than $14, the lowest price of gold being $1,742.5, and the highest price of gold being $1,755.9. $751.5 closed, up $3.50. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-24

August 24th Today's amplitude range The organization data of the United States is weak, and the sales volume of new homes in the United States has broken the lowest sales volume since 2016, reflecting the rising interest rate and becoming a barrier for consumers to buy their own homes. At the same time, Also, the anti-rebound market lacks confidence in the economic prospect and is unwilling to bear the long-term price of 108.5 < the gold price rebounded to close. It remains to be seen that the price of gold has stabilized. today Suggested volatility is $1,735 to $1,757. Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed lower. The market waited for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's comments on monetary policy at the central bank's annual meeting on Friday. The market was worried that he would hawk down US stocks. It fell every other night, and the performance of Hong Kong stocks was lackluster. Sino-US commercial disputes resumed, and seven entities related to China were added to the export control list. Hong Kong stocks fell. At the close, the Hang Seng Index finally fell by 175 points or 0.83%, closing at 19,327 points. Russia has announced that it will suspend gas transmission at the end of the month due to the maintenance of gas pipelines. Affected by the news, the price of natural gas rose by more than 13% yesterday, which further stimulated inflation, but also weakened the source because of the rising cost of living energy. In other consumption choices, investors are even more pessimistic about the economic prospects of Europe. In addition, the U.S. stock market opened sharply, the three major European stock markets fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell. 0.27%%； Paris CAC index fell by 0.26%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.63. The U.S. Department of Commerce announced the latest purchasing managers' index of manufacturing and service industries, and both of them shrank at the same time, reflecting that corporate investment has shrunk and the market is worried about the U.S. economy. Slowing down, the three major stock indexes on Wall Street fell across the board, with the Dow Jones index down 0.22%, the S&P 500 index down 0.47% and the Nasdaq Composite Index down 0.07% to close. Following last week's announcement of the latest data on new housing starts in the United States, which was the lowest since half a month in recent years, the sales volume of new homes in the United States broke the lowest since 2016 yesterday. In response to the rising interest rate, it has become a barrier for consumers to buy their own homes. At the same time, it also counter-rebounds. The market lacks confidence in the economic prospect and is unwilling to take the risk of long-term investment. plus The purchasing managers' index of manufacturing and service industries both exceeded market expectations, with the US dollar falling from a high of 109, while the gold price jumped by 23 dollars in high and low terms, with the lowest price of 17. $30.9, with the highest gold price of $1,754.1, closing at $1,748, up $12.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-23

August 23rd Today's amplitude range Investors are worried about the energy crisis in Europe, with the euro falling below the 1-for-1 conversion price against the US dollar, the US dollar index entrenched at the near high of 109, and the yield of ten-year government bonds. The rate rose above 3%, and the price of gold fell for six days in a row under the double pressure, and the support point kept falling. It is expected that the market outlook will still fall more and rise less, and the next support will be at $1,725, falling. Go after others. The suggested volatility today is $1,730 to $1,747. The financing environment in the mainland market is difficult, especially for the enterprises in the interior. After last week, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly lowered the medium-term loan facility and reversed the loan. After the purchase rate, yesterday, the one-year and five-year quotation rates of the loan market were lowered by 3.65% and 4.3% respectively, hoping to reduce the burden of mortgage payment and boost the public's desire to buy a house; However, the building is a long-term investment in addition to its district functions. Under the policy of not speculating in housing, the public is worried that it will become leeks after entering the market, and the interior enterprises used to be high-speed. The running business model is gone forever, and it even leads to the blooming of unfinished buildings all over the country. It seems that the National Policy Bureau has to make more efforts to change this predicament! Yesterday, the Hong Kong stock market opened down following the decline of the US stock market on Friday, falling by up to 200 points. The Hang Seng Index finally fell by 116 points or 0.59%, closing at 19,656 points. Russia continues to In terms of energy supply, it was announced again that gas transmission would be suspended at the end of the month due to the maintenance problem of gas transmission pipeline. The news brought negative reaction to the market and worried about the energy crisis. The euro fell below the 1-for-1 conversion price against the US dollar, indicating that investors are not optimistic about the economic prospects of Europe. In addition, the U.S. stock market opened sharply, and the three major European stock markets fell across the board. Germany's DA X index fell by 2.32%%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.8%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.22%. Recently, the economic data of the United States has obviously improved, and the inflation trend seems to have peaked! But instead, the market expects that Wachovia Chairman Bowie will put an eagle in debt at the annual meeting of the global central bank. Securities market investors made a statement first. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds rose above 3%, and the relative risk market immediately weakened. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street fell by more than 2%, and the Dow Jones index fell. 1.91%, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 2.14%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index, which is sensitive to interest rates, fell hard and closed down 2.55%. The performance of recent economic data in the United States Better-than-expected, the U.S. dollar index is entrenched at a high of around 109, and the annual meeting of the global central bank is about to be held. The market is worried that Wachovia Chairman Bowie will put an eagle in the meeting for ten years. The yield of treasury bonds rose above 3%! Affected by the strength of the US dollar and the interest rate in the bond market, the price of gold fell for the sixth consecutive day, with the highest price reaching US$ 1,749.1 and the lowest price. See $1,727.9, and the closing decline narrowed slightly, closing at $1,735.9, down $11.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-22

August 22nd Today's amplitude range Recently, the economic data of the United States has performed better than expected, especially the growth of labor data, which the Federal Reserve does not want to see. The probability of raising interest rate by 0.75% in September still accounts for four. Ok. In addition, Europe is facing the threat of economic recession, and the inflation in Britain has reached double digits, but the economy is seriously deteriorating. Europe lags behind the United States in interest rate level. As a general fact, the gap in interest rates has also become a reason to support the dollar. The continued strength of the US dollar is not conducive to the development of gold prices. The gold price will be under pressure from the strong performance of the US dollar, organic Will try $1,733. The suggested volatility today is $1,733 to $1,752. Recently, the financing difficulties in the mainland market, especially in-house enterprises, have become even more difficult. Yesterday, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly lowered the medium-term lending facilities and reverse repurchase profits. Rate, hoping to increase the circulation of the market to stimulate the economy, but China's economic data has gone bad in an all-round way, the mainland stock market is sluggish, and Hong Kong stocks are still under pressure to fall. Summarize for a week, Hang Seng Index fell 402 points or 2% to close at 19,773 points. The three major European stock markets developed individually. At the beginning of last week, the European stock market was not affected by China's economic downturn. The impact fell, but it was obvious that the market was wary of the market outlook, and investors were chasing defensive shares with lower risk. However, the UK announced the latest data year on Wednesday. The rate reached double digits, a 40-year high, and the market worried that the Bank of England would raise interest rates aggressively to suppress the rising price trend, plus countries in the euro zone. The gross domestic product was not up to standard, which destroyed investors' confidence in the risk market, and the market began to collapse. Germany's DAX index fell by 1.12%; Paris CAC index 0.94% down; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.11%. The inflation data released by the United States last month shows that the inflation trend is expected to peak. The market expects the Fed to raise interest rates sharply in September, and the U.S. economy has a chance to follow With the Federal Reserve's willingness to make a soft landing, U.S. stocks failed to go public immediately after last week's listing. In addition, the Open Market Committee showed many members' opinions in the early morning of last Thursday. Yes, although they have the opportunity to slow down the pace of raising interest rates, they emphasize that it will be a continuous action to combat inflation! The yield rate of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds first reflects the interest rate trend, It rose by 2.9%. After a week's conclusion, the three major stock indexes on Wall Street ended up down, with the Dow Jones index down by 0.16% and the S&P 500 index down by 1.2%, which was sensitive to interest rates. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell the hardest, falling 2.62% to close. The performance of US economic data is better than expected, especially the growth of labor data, which the Federal Reserve does not want to see. Last month, the report of the Market Committee indicated that they will take root. Act according to the data, and take the fight against inflation as the primary work goal. Last week, Brad Market of the Quadruple Reserve Bureau said in an interview that it supported another interest rate increase of 0.75%. The U.S. dollar index continued to rise above the 108-point level, and the gold price was pressed by the strong performance of the U.S. dollar. Last week, it fell for five trading days and closed at $1,747.5. In a week, the price of gold has dropped by 54.5 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-08-19

August 19th Today's amplitude range The performance of US economic data is better than expected, especially the growth of labor data, which the Federal Reserve does not want to see. Last month, the report of the Market Committee indicated that they would Act according to the data, and take the fight against inflation as the primary goal. Yesterday, Brad Market of the Federal Reserve said in an interview that it supported another interest rate increase of 0.75%. The gold price will be under pressure from the strong performance of the US dollar, and will be tested at $1,745. The suggested volatility today is $1,762 to $1,745. Under the pressure of interest rate increase in the United States in recent months, the two major note-issuing banks in Hong Kong finally couldn't help but raise the ceiling price of new mortgage rates, indicating that there will be another one in Hong Kong's property market. Unfavorable factors; The performance of the local Bank of East Asia dropped by 44%. The bank is the mother of all trades. After two and a half years of epidemic, it can be seen that local business is difficult to do! Hong Kong stocks opened higher by less than 70 points, that is, the daily high of 19991 points began to turn down, and fell by nearly 250 points at most. The decline in the tail market narrowed, and the Hang Seng Index finally fell by 158. Or 0.8%, to close at 19,763. It was announced that consumer prices in the euro zone rose by 0.1% month-on-month and 8.9% year-on-year in July. Although the data is in line with market expectations, this increase has been since 1999. The highest level since the euro was founded in. European Central Bank officials immediately opened their cards, suggesting that they would raise interest rates sharply again next month to suppress inflation. Investors take advantage of the situation Energy stocks injected as the main cause of inflation led the three major European stock markets to rebound, with the German DAX index rising by 0.6%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.45%; British FTSE 1 00 index rose by 0.33%. Yesterday, the United States announced that the number of initial jobless claims was unexpectedly reduced to 250,000 last week, and the market expects to increase the capital by 13,000 to 265,000. In addition, the fee The city's federal manufacturing index rose by 6.2 points per month, which was higher than expected. Two economic data were higher than market expectations, which was good for venture capital. The three major stock indexes on Wall Street rose across the board. The Dow Jones index rose 0.06%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.26%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.21% to close. The dollar continued to strengthen, and the gold market rose first and then fell. When the market opened, the price of gold benefited from the decline of Asian stock markets, with the highest price rising to $1,772.5. However, it was lonely at the top, and then fell after entering the US market. The United States announced last week's The number of initial jobless claims has finally developed well after rising for several weeks, falling back to 250,000. The favorable data stimulated the US dollar index to regain 107 points, and the price of gold fell to the end. The price dropped to $1,755.5 at most, and closed at $1,758.4, down $3.8. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak