Gold market analysis

2021-12-07

12月七日 今日波幅區間： 病毒與美聯儲提早加息的兩種因素正在爭奪市場,金價仍將在兩股力量之中震盪,方向未明,短期將在1760及1800美元橫行一段日子。今日建議波幅1768美元至1783美元。 中國人民銀行官在港股收市後公布,為支持實體經濟發展,促進綜合融資成本,決定在2021年12月15日下調金融機構存款準備金率0.5%。經本次下調后,金融機構加權平均 存款準備金率為8.4%。是次降準,共將釋放資金約1.2萬億人民幣。這已是本年度中國人民銀行第二次降準安排,上次降準日期為七月15日,不足半年內連續減少金融機構的 存款準備金,可見國內的經濟危機相當嚴峻；雖然國務院總理李克強表示,「中國將繼續實施穩健貨幣政策,適時降準,是為了加大對實體經濟特別是中小微企業支持力度, 確保經濟平穩健康發展。」但從內房因資金短缺,因而陸續出現債務違約風險可見,中國市場在急促發展下,有過度膨脹之勢,亦變得相對脆弱。 舉例來說,內房佳兆業在今日到期四億美元票據到期,之前要約貸方交換票據失敗,如一月內不能籌足現金支付或獲其它融資安排,即陷真正債務違約,可能較先出事的恆大 地產更早被人清盤。上周五滴滴在美國上市的股票大跌兩成。滴滴出行表示,經認真研究,已啟動在紐交所退市的工作,並同時啟動轉往在香港上市的預備工作。明眼人都清楚, 滴滴是在國策之下退市,更甚的是美國證監會在上周五落實《外國公司問責法》最終修正定稿,要求海外上市公司符合審計規定,否則需要退市,在美國上市的中概股應聲急插。 港股昨日延續中概股在美退市的下跌走勢,恒生指數再跌417點或1.76%。然而,中國人民銀行在收市後宣布降準,港股今天勢必反彈。 經歷一周南非變種病毒希腊字母第15字的壓抑,加上歐洲央行行長拉加德表示歐元極不可能於2022年加息,並將維持以低利率政策去刺激經濟,歐元兌美元徘徊於近年半低位,歐元走弱 之下,有利歐洲出口,包括一眾絲打至愛的奢侈品牌。投資者亦在昨日在低位入市,歐洲三大股市全線反彈,德國指数指數升1.39%;法國巴黎成都飞机公司（Chengdu Airplane Company的缩写）指數升1.48%;英國富時100指數 升1.54%。美股回勇,上周美股因美國出現希腊字母第15字患者,加上美聯儲提早加息一事上言之鑿鑿,影響市場氣氛,華爾街三大指數分別下跌逾一至2.6%不等。昨日美股反彈力甚強, 甚至連遭主席馬斯克減持的特斯拉,股價曾下跌多過6%,收市只僅跌0.6%;股民入市心態可見一班！道瓊斯指數升1.87%,;標準普爾500指數升1.17%;納斯達克指數則由跌1.1% 倒升0.93%收市。 金市昨日窄幅波動,亞洲時段,金價升至昨日最高的1787.8美方,美股開市後,強力反彈,壓制避險資產,加上揮之不去的加息壓力,十年期國債孳息率仍逐步上升,金價則被冷落, 曾見最低1775.8美元,收於1778.6美元,跌5.2美元。 如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議,歡迎点击以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-12-06

December 6th Today's volatility range: The global epidemic rebound, especially the emergence of variant viruses, made the problem more complicated. It was thought that this advantage would gradually disappear with the targeted medical system, but the constantly variant viruses became a hidden worry and an economy. Returning to normal uncertainty will continue to benefit the gold market with safe-haven function. On the contrary, another opposing force is that the low-interest environment in the United States may change rapidly, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and the US Treasury Secretary Yellen joined forces to fly the eagle, and the United States will not be slowed down by the South African virus in raising interest rates early. The price of gold fluctuates between two forces, the direction of which is not clear at present, and it will run amok at 1760 and 1800 dollars for some time in the short term. today The suggested volatility ranges from $1762 to $1788. Didi's US-listed stocks plunged in the opening market. Didi Chuxing said that after careful study, the delisting work on NYSE will be started from now on, and at the same time, the preparatory work for listing in Hong Kong will be started; The market is instant to Didi. Reaction, falling faster than the drip about the time. However, investors not only pay attention to the Chinese stocks listed in the US, but also because Didi is delisted under the influence of the national policy, investors are even in the shadow of delisting risk. Hong Kong-listed Kewang shares were also listed by the Central Committee. On Friday, the leading shares of Kewang were under pressure, with a drop ranging from 2% to 7%. The net worth of the major shareholders holding this batch of shares has shrunk greatly, and Chairman Ji's policy of common prosperity has at least succeeded in striking a blow. Almost oligopolistic giant enterprises, and narrow the gap between the rich and the poor. In addition, the new variety of new coronavirus Omicron has become the first discovered area in Asia in Hong Kong, threatening the process of Hong Kong's economic recovery. Hong Kong stock market underperformed the global stock market because of the severe virus hidden danger and the tangible hand of the country. Hong Kong stocks fell for the third week in a row. In a week, the Hang Seng Index closed down by 1.3% last week. World Health Organization announces new South Africa The new coronavirus variant Omicron has appeared in more than 40 countries around the world, indicating that the variant is more transmissible. We call on all countries around the world to be prepared and handle the epidemic situation carefully. Due to the emergence of community infection cases in Europe, As well as the uncertainty about the infectivity of new virus variants and the effectiveness of vaccines, Germany announced last Thursday that it would implement the community isolation policy again, re-restrict people who did not receive vaccines, and at the same time announce the continuity. Fireworks are prohibited on New Year's Eve in the following year to avoid large-scale crowd gathering. Investors fear that more European countries will introduce social restrictions in the golden period before Christmas and New Year, which will be detrimental to the European consumer economy. Foreground, as an alliance economy with the largest number of countries in the world, nearly half of its income depends on tourism, and the threat posed by the virus to the economy can be imagined. The European Central Bank immediately announced that it could distribute emergency epidemic funds to member countries in need. Last week, the European stock market experienced a week of ups and downs, and the three major European stock markets developed individually. The President of the European Central Bank Lagarde even indicated that it is extremely unlikely that the euro will raise interest rates in 2022 and maintain a low interest rate policy to stimulate the economy. Germany DAX index fell by 0.57%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.38%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 1.1%. Last week, six States in the United States were found to have patients with Omicron. Although Biden government reiterated that it would not close the city at this stage, However, the virus is always a hidden danger. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Yellen endorsed Federal Reserve Chairman Powell last week to support the remarks that the US economy is strong and may raise interest rates early. Investors' risk aversion mentality started, and it was greatly adjusted on Tuesday and Wednesday. Although on Thursday, the Civil Aviation Administration of China canceled the airworthiness directive of the unsafe state of Boeing 737Max passenger plane, it is expected that this aircraft will go around in China, which will stimulate the Boeing stock to soar and lead a group of old economic shares to rush up and rebound, but on Friday, Non-agricultural data was significantly worse than expected, which caused the US stock market to decline again. After a week's summary, the Dow Jones index fell by 0.91% to close at a high level. Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell by 1.95%; The Nasdaq index fell 2.61%. The gold market fell repeatedly last week. South African variant virus strains caused safe-haven demand, but it was obvious that the price of gold was subject to the level of $1,800, and the price of gold began to decline. The reason was that US Treasury Secretary Yellen echoed the earlier remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell on raising interest rates early. The price of gold is under pressure. Last week, it reached the lowest of $1,762. On Friday, the November non-agricultural data released by the United States was greatly disappointed by the market, with only 210,000 new jobs, far less than the expected increase of 550,000. After the data is released, the price of gold No, it closed at $1,784. In a week, the price of gold fell by $10. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-12-03

December 3rd Today's volatility range: U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen echoed earlier remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell about raising interest rates early. The early interest rate hike of the U.S. dollar is more firm, the interest rate of the U.S. debt rises first to reflect the market, and the U.S. dollar is also made due to the good labor data. Rebound, the price of gold is under pressure. As predicted yesterday, the price of gold can't stabilize at $1,780. Try $1,762 next time. Tonight's non-agricultural data, we can try the support of the gold price at $1,757. Today's suggested volatility 1757 dollars to 1780 dollars. The new variant of the new coronavirus Omicron is threatening, but it has not affected the Hong Kong government's intention of customs clearance in the Mainland. Yesterday, the Innovation and Technology Bureau announced that it would launch the "Hong Kong version of health code" next week to match the mainland. Requirements, it seems that everything is ready, only owe the east wind, but some people are worried that the Hong Kong government will focus on right and wrong, do not focus on prevention and control, only stir up gimmicks, eventually the number of infected people will rise, and will still be shut out by the mainland. Hong Kong stocks follow The next night, the US stock market opened lower by more than 100 points due to the discovery of the first case of Omicron in China. In the afternoon, the Hong Kong General Chamber of Commerce released a report on Hong Kong's economic outlook. It is estimated that the real growth of Hong Kong's economy will be 2.8% next year. It is estimated that this year Growth of 6.3%. It is estimated that the unemployment rate of the General Chamber of Commerce will be reduced from 4.2% this year to 3.7% by the end of next year. Before the Hong Kong stock market closed, some investors took advantage of the low market, and the Hang Seng Index rose over 100 points to close. Hang Seng Index closed up 130. Or 0.55%. European stock markets rebounded sharply after a day and then softened again. There is uncertainty about the infectivity of the new virus variant and the effectiveness of the vaccine. On Thursday, Germany announced that it would implement the community isolation policy again, and re-examine the new virus variant. Those who received the vaccine were restricted, and at the same time, fireworks were banned on New Year's Eve for the second year in a row to avoid large-scale crowd gathering. Investors fear that more European countries will copy before Christmas and New Year, It will be detrimental to the prospect of European consumer economy, and reduce the risk investment one after another. The three major European stock markets fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 1.36%. Paris CAC index fell by 1.25%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.55%. The third patient of Omicron has been detected in the United States, and the Biden administration is strengthening the travel regulations to and within the United States, requiring all international passengers entering the country to hold a 24-hour negative test for Covid-19 when they leave. Report, and extended the mask requirements to March 18th, but reiterated that the city will not be closed at this stage. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen said in the day that the strong U.S. economy may prompt interest rate hikes, and to give up temporary inflation. Echoing the remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. It seems that the United States will not be slowed down by the Omicron virus in raising interest rates early. In terms of economic data, the US Department of Labor announced yesterday that the number of initial jobless claims last week was 222,000, which was slightly better than expected, although it could not be kept below 200,000. Last week's figure was lowered to 194,000. The latest employment market data is slightly better than the market expectation, indicating that the labor market has continued to improve. Another good news is that CAAC canceled the airworthiness directive of Boeing 737Max passenger plane in unsafe state, which is in China. It is expected that the go-around will stimulate Boeing's stock to soar, leading a group of old economic shares to rush, and the Dow Jones index will soar by more than 600 points or 1.82% to close at a high level; Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose by 1.49%; Nasdaq index Up 0.83%. The opening of the gold market opened as high as $1,783, but the rebound was weak, and the price of gold began to decline. When U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen echoed the earlier remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell on raising interest rates early, the market immediately reflected it, and the ten-year period. The yield of treasury bonds has rebounded to 1.5%, and last week, the number of initial jobless claims remained at a low level since the outbreak, boosting the US dollar. The US dollar index regained the 96-point mark, and the price of gold was obviously under pressure, which once saw a daily low of 1,762 US dollars. The decline of the market closed down, and finally closed at $1,768, down $14. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-12-02

December 2nd Today's volatility range: Variant virus Omicron worries about global warming and increases market risk aversion. Small non-agricultural data may further support Powell's view and limit the increase of gold price. In the consolidation of gold price, it has repeatedly tested $1,770. Yes, if you can't stabilize $1,780, you will try $1,762 next time. There are non-agricultural data on Friday. It is expected that the wait-and-see attitude of investors will become stronger today, and the volatility of gold price may be narrowed. Today, it is suggested that the volatility be between 1776 USD and 1788 USD. The new variant virus Omicron wreaks havoc all over the world. One more patient in Hong Kong confirmed the virus, and the first cases appeared in several countries one after another. Some World Health Organization officials said that most patients with the new variant virus Omicron cases. There are no obvious symptoms of infection, and there is no evidence that this new variant will have any influence on the effectiveness of the vaccine. The virus is so changeable, if the patient is as healthy as the world indicates, it is hard for the patient to find it around. The power of communication will be greater, and it will also threaten human health! The European stock market rebounded sharply, and the three major European stock markets rose across the board, with the German DAX index rising by 2.47%. Paris CAC index rose by 2.39%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 1.55%. In the early stage, the U.S. stock market continued its upward trend in Asia and Europe, and the small non-agricultural data was better than expected, which stimulated all three major indexes on Wall Street to rise by more than 1%. However, the first patient with Omicron was found in the United States, and the news of the earthquake spread to the market, which reflected the VIX index of market panic. It rose sharply by nearly 15%. Before the market closed, the US stock market fell by more than 1%, and the Dow Jones index fell by 1.34%, with a high and low volatility of nearly 1,000 points. Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 1.18%, falling below the 50-day moving average; The Nasdaq index fell the most, with a loss of 1.83%. The gold price rebounded yesterday because of the demand for safe haven caused by Omicron virus. Shortly after the opening of the market in Asia, the price of gold reached a daily low of $1,772, and then rose to the highest of $1,795. However, after that, the labor data was made to support the Federal Reserve Chairman. Powell let the eagle fly, limited the rise of gold price, and finally closed at $1,782, up $7. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-12-01

December 1st Today's volatility range: Variant virus Omicron worried about global warming and increased risk aversion in the market. The price of gold hit nearly $1,810 yesterday, but Powell said he would consider stopping the market stimulus plan and threatened that it was appropriate to consider it. End the asset purchase reduction plan early, and the price of gold fell. The environment for raising interest rates is already brewing, and the gold price is weak in the market outlook. Tonight's small non-agricultural data may further support Powell's view and test the support of $1,770. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1,770 to $1,785, which is still desirable. Countries around the world are really hearing about the new variant virus. The reason is that the piercing protein of the South African variant virus Omicron has more than 30 mutations. Because the piercing protein is the mechanism and scientific principle of the combination of virus and human cells. It's actually more contagious. The World Health Organization also reported that some of these mutations were related to higher transmission rate and lower antibody protection. Even though Japan implemented the measures of locking the country for the first time, it still became the number one in Asia. Cases of Omicron infection have been found in two regions and more countries in Europe and America. What is even more frightening is that the vaccine may be ineffective against variant viruses; Yesterday, the chief executives of Pfizer and Mardner, two authoritative pharmaceutical companies Executives have expressed to the media one after another that the efficacy of the existing COVID-19 vaccine against the virus Omicron may be poor. One more patient in Hong Kong has been confirmed to be infected with Omicron virus. Among at least 18 cases in the world, Hong Kong accounts for one-sixth of them. In the face of the menacing virus, the Hong Kong government seems to be at a loss, and there is no more relevant action. The aircrew is still exempt from quarantine. Once these people are allowed to enter and leave freely, causing community infection, Hong Kong's economy will fall again. Concerns about the variant virus increased, and Hong Kong stocks fell again yesterday, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 377 points or 1.58%. Close the market. To sum up, throughout November, the Hang Seng Index plummeted by more than 1,900 points, which was the largest decline in the global stock market! The variant virus Omicron seems to be spreading in Europe, and there is a suspected community outbreak in Scotland due to the infection of soccer players. Worried about the virus hitting the economic prospects, investors retreated from the stock market, European stock markets fell across the board, and Germany's DAX index fell by 1.18%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.81%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.71%. Affected by the news of possible vaccine failure, US stocks continued the decline in Asia and Europe, but the situation was even worse. The reason is that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continued to give testimony in the Senate last night, changing his previous view on inflation, saying that it was time to give up on it. Inflation is only a "temporary" expression, and describes the economy as very strong and the inflationary pressure is high, saying that it is appropriate to consider ending the asset purchase reduction plan early. The three major indexes of Wall Street are falling more and more under the pressure of viruses and interest rate hikes, Dow Jones. The index fell by 1.85%; Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 1.82%; The Nasdaq index fell 1.55%. Yesterday, the gold market was on a roller coaster, and authoritative pharmaceutical companies Pfizer and Mardner pointed out that the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccine on Omicron might be possible. Will be poor; Comments triggered the demand for safe haven, and the price of gold once rose above the $1,800 mark, with the highest reaching $1,809. However, after Federal Reserve Chairman Powell released his eagle, the price of gold instantly dropped by nearly $40, with the lowest reaching $1,770 and finally closing at $1,775. The dollar closed down by 10 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-30

November 30th Today's volatility range: The emergence of mutant virus makes the world nervous; Some countries have implemented the policy of locking up the country to prohibit foreigners from entering the country, and some countries have announced that the entry of passengers and flights in areas with virus Omicorn is prohibited. Epidemic variables may make The Federal Reserve is slowing down the pace of raising interest rates, and Powell's speech at the congressional testimony this morning was conservative, and he did not mention that many officials were inclined to raise interest rates early. The prospect of the gold market is due to the interest rate hike and epidemic situation. The prospect is unknown, and the price of gold will fluctuate in the short term. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1,776 to $1,792, which is better to see high short. South African variant virus is threatening, causing global panic. Countries around the world have not followed the advice of WHO and tightened their immigration measures one after another. Israel was the first country to lock up when it heard of a new variant virus strain last Saturday. Yesterday, Japan announced that foreigners will be banned from entering the country from today, and it is believed that other countries will join the ranks of locking up countries one after another. Hong Kong has been banned from entering Hong Kong by Russia and Bakis because of Omicron cases. believe With the mainland's higher standard of "zero tolerance" in dealing with viruses, the early news that Hong Kong can pass customs clearance with the mainland was lost. Variant virus Omicorn appeared, Israel and Japan locked up the country in a hurry, and sealed off the news to make investment. The market atmosphere has turned weak, and the Macau office owner has been arrested by the mainland in a high-profile manner, and the gambling stocks of Hao have fallen by at least half; Hong Kong stocks fell on the settlement date of futures index, at most, they once fell by more than 300 points, while the Hang Seng Index fell for two consecutive days, and fell again yesterday. 28 points, or 0.95%, fell below the 24,000 mark, and at the same time, it also hit a new low this year. The transmission power of the South African variant virus Omicorn is amazing, and there are cases in many European countries including Britain, Germany, Italy and Czech Republic. However, South African scientists pointed out that although Omicron is highly contagious, the current confirmed cases all belong to It is still unknown whether there will be drug resistance to existing vaccines or not, and the public should not panic excessively. Mardner, an American biopharmaceutical factory, also said that the vaccine against Omicron could be launched as early as next year. After the panic of the European stock market group fell sharply last Friday, the vaccine news became the anchor of the European stock market. The three major European stock markets rebounded across the board yesterday, and the German DAX index rose by 0.76%. Paris CAC index rose by 1.19%; British FTSE 100 The index rose by 1.42%. The opening of the US stock market relayed the rebound of the European stock market, but after that, there was a phenomenon of closing down and inserting. U.S. President Biden said that the United States has the ability to cope with Omicorn virus. Seeing that the consumer market is recovering, there is no intention to close the city at this stage. Biden turned stone into gold, and after the three major Wall Street indexes stabilized, they climbed, and the Dow Jones index rose 0.68%; Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose by 1.65%; The Nasdaq index rose the most, closing up 2.23%. Chairman Powell of the Federal Reserve gave testimony this morning, except for the rise of American wages, and other comments on inflation are still cliches. But unexpectedly, in addition to saying that the Federal Reserve can use tools to control inflation, he today This time, it did not give any guidance to the direction or policy of the Fed in raising interest rates. It seems that the emergence of the new variant virus has made Fed officials conservative. The gold market was repeated yesterday, and the opening of Asia plunged, with the lowest price of $1,770. With the demand for safe haven caused by the virus strains living in South Africa, the price of gold rose to $1,800, but it was obviously restricted by this level, and the price of gold saw a high decline. Later, U.S. President Biden said that the city would not be closed due to the virus, the decline of the dollar weakened and the U.S. stock market rose. The price of gold turned under pressure, and finally fell by 8 dollars to close at 1,785 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-29

November 29th Today's volatility range: The global epidemic has rebounded, and there have been cases in China one after another, with the deterioration in Europe. In South Africa, a new variant of the virus Nu, which poses a greater threat to human beings, has been found. The virus is still a core problem, which will help to avoid risks. The functional gold market, originally thought that this advantage would gradually disappear with the targeted medical system, but the ever-changing virus became a hidden worry, which became the uncertainty of the economy returning to normal. The prospect of gold price is unknown, but it has been Like asthma, the price of gold will fluctuate in the short term. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1770 to $1798. This week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell gave testimony and released non-agricultural data, which needs special attention. The following supports are 1780 and respectively $1758; The upper resistance is 1798 and 1817 dollars. In addition to the uneasy atmosphere of the Fed raising interest rates in the market, the state constantly supervises the economic operation. Premier Li Keqiang holds a cautious view on the economic growth of the mainland next year, suggesting that the economy may slow down, and Hong Kong stocks. Originally, it was weak, and finally it was detonated when Hong Kong became the first case of South African variant virus in Asia, and it fell to the edge of 24,000 points again. The Hang Seng Index has been falling for six days in a row, although Li Keqiang appealed to all provinces and cities in the world. Accelerate the issuance and distribution of special bond funds. Although Hong Kong stocks rebounded slightly on Wednesday and Thursday, the variant virus threatened the global economy, and the global stock market plummeted, falling nearly 660 points or 2.67% last Friday, and Hong Kong stocks fell for two weeks in a row. Last week alone, the Hang Seng Index has dropped more than 1,000 points. The epidemic situation in COVID-19 continues to deteriorate in Europe, and the number of newly diagnosed cases in many countries has increased several times, reaching a record high. In Europe, vaccination users are reduced to children over 8 years old, so as to strengthen the protection of group immunity. epidemic Unbalance the supply and push up the inflation in Europe, the European Central Bank, worried that the epidemic would destroy the economic prospects, adopted a more conservative policy, declared that it would retain the flexibility of the emergency aid fund for the epidemic, and intended to continue to stimulate the economy with labor. Bank of England Governor Bailey is even more "slingshot", refusing to provide interest rate guidance, contrary to the previous tone of "raising interest rates"! However, the new variety of South Africa caused a global stock market crash, and the three major European stock markets fell across the board in a week. Germany DAX index fell by 5.59%; Paris CAC index fell by 5.24%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 2.49%. The stock market crash happened when the market resumed during Thanksgiving holiday in the United States. The new variant virus found in South Africa became the explosive to detonate the global stock market. After the Dow Jones index opened 450 points lower, it tried to drop more than 1,000 points at most. To sum up a week, Walter Due to Friday's virus stock market crash, the three major street indexes erased the accumulated increase at the beginning of the week, and turned into a full decline, with the Dow Jones index falling by 1.97%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 2.54%; The Nasdaq index also fell by 3.31%. On Friday, it was found in South Africa The new variant of the virus became an explosive to detonate the global stock market. After the Dow Jones index opened 450 points lower, it tried to fall by more than 1,000 points at most, and the US dollar also quickly fell below the 96-point level, leaving safe-haven funds in the gold market, which once pushed up the price of gold. Returning to the $1,800 building, the highest value is $1,816. However, the panic index rose to 28.6 points during the day, the second highest since this year. On the contrary, the United States announced that the GDP in the fourth quarter of last year contracted by 3.5% year-on-year. Caused by the worst record in 75 years; Short sellers also chose profit-taking and cash as the king. The price of gold was forced back to the vicinity of the opening price, and rebounded slightly before closing, eventually rising by 5 dollars to close at 1,794 dollars. To sum up a week, The price of gold fell by 52 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-26

November 26th Today's volatility range: During the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States, the market lacked direction, the trading volume was quiet, and the fluctuation range was less than 10 dollars. Driven by the threat of the new variant virus and inflation worries, the US dollar index dropped from a 16-month high of 96.93. The price of gold was high yesterday. However, the price of gold is already weak, and the price of gold will still be in a pattern of small increase and big return. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1,778 to $1,800. A new variant virus was discovered in South Africa, which was ranked as "B.1.1.529" by scientists, and there were only about 10 cases in the world. Unfortunately, this virus strain was introduced to Hong Kong for the first time from South Africa and became The first case in Asia infected another guest who stayed in the same isolated hotel, that is, Hong Kong accounted for 20% of the world infected with the South African variant virus. Scientists say that the virus strain has 32 mutant genes, which is the most evolved. One, in principle, is more threatening to human beings and more resistant to existing vaccines, which is worse than the Delta variant virus strain. Hong Kong people's long-awaited cross-border clearance between China and Hong Kong, because the South African variant virus has changed again, Whether it was written off by the motherland's feet before finishing the door. On the eve of Thanksgiving holiday every other night, the US stock market fell first and then stabilized, and the Hong Kong stock market opened higher. In addition, Chinese Premier Li Ke emphasized speeding up the issuance and distribution of special debt funds, and the market expected that liquidity would increase, which would benefit the risk market. On the other hand, the debt crisis of domestic housing temporarily eased, and some domestic housing enterprises got accommodation to delay paying their debts, sending positive messages to the market. Domestic housing stocks were supported, and the Hang Seng Index rose 0.21% to close the market yesterday. COVID-19 epidemic continues in Europe. Deterioration, the number of newly diagnosed cases in many countries has increased several times, reaching a record high. In Europe, vaccination use has been lowered to children over 8 years old. The epidemic has unbalanced supply and pushed up European inflation, and the European Central Bank Worried that the epidemic would destroy the economic prospects, we adopted a conservative policy and announced that we would retain the flexibility of emergency aid fund for epidemic situation. The three major European stock markets rose, and the DAX index of Germany rose by 0.25%. Paris CAC index rose. 0.48%； Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.33%. American Thanksgiving holiday, US stock market closed. The minutes of the November policy meeting of the Federal Reserve showed that more Fed officials turned around and said that if inflation remained high, they would tend to end the bond purchase plan ahead of schedule. And accelerate the pace of raising interest rates. However, the news has obviously been digested by the market, and the price of gold did not cause large fluctuations after the announcement of the minutes. During the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States, the market lacked direction, the trading was quiet and the fluctuation was insufficient. US$ 10. Driven by the threat of the new variant virus and inflation worries, the US dollar index dropped from a 16-month high of 96.93, and the decline of gold price slowed down, with the highest of US$ 1,795 yesterday and the lowest of US$ 1,786. 1779 dollars closed, flat for two consecutive days. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-25

11月25日 今日波幅區間： 金市昨日試圖從下跌近100美元後反彈,但勞工數據造好,加上聯儲局頗為重視的通脹指標的10月個人消費支出物價指數按年增長5%,顯示通脹並未有 再加據,金價最終打回完形。市場已消化美聯儲提前加息的消息,可能要到12月的議息會議才有進一步指示,金價才再較大反應。但金價已是弱勢, 金價仍將會是小漲大回的格局。今日建議波幅1773美元至1800美元。 中國總理李克強昨日主持國務院常務會議,要求加快專項債剩餘額度發行。李克強向地方政府發放指示,需要加快專項債務發行及分配,不能以「撒胡椒」 方式輕輕而過,但重申地方政府必須在依法依規按的程序下,盡早下達債務額度,同時繼續做好地方政府債務管理、防範風險的,以發揮專項債資金帶動 社會資金作用,擴大有效投資,以應對中國所面臨的經濟下行壓力。港股連跌五日後,終於迎來反彈。港股昨日開市先跟隨道瓊斯指數上升而高開,加上 李克強呼籲放水,恆生指數下午最多升逾200點,但午後有內地官媒報導工信部指騰訊旗下9款產品存在違規行為,涉及侵害用戶權益,按照工信部有關規格 要求,騰訊需接受該部門法規指導措施,將涉事的流動應用程式下架,以後無論是新上架的應用程式,或是既有產品更新版,在上架前都需經工信部組織 技術檢測,檢測合格後才能正常上架。市場亦見北水即時流出騰訊,壓縮昨日整體股市増長幅度,恆生指數最终升33點或0.14%。 歐洲新冠疫情繼續惡化,多個國家的新增確診人數以數倍速度增長,創紀錄新高。歐洲三大股市指數個別發展,德國identified flying object 已识别的飞行物商業景氣指數比預期差,德國指数指數 跌0.37%;法國巴黎成都飞机公司（Chengdu Airplane Company的缩写）指數平收；英國富時100指數升0.01%。美國經濟數據參差不齊,第三季國內生產總值增長2.1%比預期差,加上市場預期美聯儲提早加息, 十年期國債孳息率衝曾試擊1.7%水平,道瓊斯指數曾跌222點或0.58%,納斯達克指數更一度跌1.16%。最終十年期國債孳息率衝高至1.69%回落,造就水平納斯 數倒升0.44%;道瓊斯指數微跌及標準普爾500指數分別亦下跌0.02%及0.25%迎感恩節。 金市早段反彈,但美國勞工部公布上周首次申領失業金人數,數據錄得19.9萬人比預期好,並創自1969年以來最低記錄。勞工數據刺激美元上升的同時,亦偏向 聯儲局提早加息的方向,十年期國債孳息率衝高至1.69%,毀掉昨日金市升幅。今早零晨市場委員會會議紀要透露了許多委員承認通脹將更長期出現,並表示美聯儲 可能需要提前加息。但消息已被市場消化,並未再對金價造成衝擊；金價最高見1797美元,最低曾見1779美元,平收於1789美元。 如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議,歡迎点击以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-24

November 24th Today's volatility range: Powell was re-appointed, and the news that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates continued to heat up. The yield of 10-year US bonds rose to 1.65%, which suppressed the gold market. The price of gold fell for the fourth day, and fell below $1,800 yesterday. The psychological barrier. On the premise of rising interest rate, the price of gold will still be a pattern of small increase and big return. There will be the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States this week, which will show the position of the Federal Reserve. Jinrijian The fluctuation ranges from 1778 to 1800 dollars. It is said that the mainland will levy a "data tax" on large-scale Internet companies, which will not only increase the operating costs of leading Internet companies, but also put forward stricter management, saying that public figures have the responsibility to set a good example for young people. It will strengthen the regulation of online information of stars, prohibit sharing luxury life, and not violate social morality, or not make dishonest sales promotion activities as stars, etc. The hand of state management is getting longer and longer, As we get closer and closer, the so-called clear water will lead to no fish. Even if the national policy is well-intentioned, all-round suppression will probably cost a lot in the future. Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks fell, and large-scale Internet stocks fell due to national policy news. However, the sell-off and the news of federal reserve system's early interest rate hike made a lot of noise, and the trend of Hong Kong stocks continued to slump. The Hang Seng Index fell more than 300 points or 1.2% to close yesterday. It has been the fifth consecutive trading day of decline, A total of 1,000 points have been lost, and the market outlook will move towards 24,000 points. Bank of England Governor Bailey said that he could not provide interest rate guidance. Contrary to the previous tone that "the first thing to deal with is to raise interest rates", his remarks became the savior of the British stock market, and the FTSE 100 index rose. 0.5%。 The epidemic situation of COVID-19 has deteriorated in Europe. Some European Commission said that the vaccination rate of 90% is ideal, but the vaccination rate of 11 EU member countries is still lower than 60%, and they are worried about the epidemic situation. Affected by the epidemic, The German index index fell by 0.43%; The index of Chengdu Aircraft Company in Paris (abbreviation of Chengdu Aircraft Company) fell by 0.01%. Last month, the group of oil producing countries rejected the demand of the United States to increase production, which made the crude oil price keep rising, forming one of the main factors of inflation, in order to Suppress the uncontrolled rise of oil prices. It is reported that US President Biden will take joint actions with China, Britain, Japan, South Korea and India to release a total of 50 million barrels of crude oil from the national strategic oil reserves, so as to curb oil prices. And inflation. Powell's nomination for renewal by US President Biden will also benefit the continuation of the Federal Reserve's policy, and the market generally believes that the Federal Reserve will speed up the tightening of monetary policy and raise interest rates early to control inflation. Investors are pushing up ten years faster. The yield of treasury bonds reached 1.65%. Rising interest rates hit the prospects of growth stocks such as technology stocks. The Nasdaq index fell for the second consecutive day, and fell another 0.5% yesterday. Dow Jones index and standard & poor's 500 index benefit from bank stocks and Energy stocks rose and closed higher, rising 0.55% and 0.17% respectively. November 25th is Thanksgiving Day in the United States. In recent ten years, the Singles' Day stirred up by Aribaba on November 11th was like fire, and the United States also imitated it and launched a program called Online shopping discount of "Black Friday" will be promoted; The most unexpected thing is that the price of gold will also be added to the ranks of people, and a big flat sale will be held! Worried about the market, the Federal Reserve will increase and decrease the amount of debt purchases and raise interest rates early, and the price of gold fell for the fourth consecutive day. Yesterday, it fell below the psychological barrier of $1,800, a new low in the past three weeks. The highest price of gold was $1,812, the lowest price was $1,782, and finally it closed at $1,789, a sharp drop of $16. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please click the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-23

November 23rd Today's volatility range: Powell was re-appointed, and the market expected the Fed to complete the scale reduction ahead of schedule and raise interest rates ahead of schedule. The news immediately pushed up the yield of long-term and short-term US bonds, and the price of gold dropped sharply yesterday. However, on the premise of rising interest rate, The price of gold will still be a pattern of small increase and big return. There will be the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States this week, which will show the position of the Federal Reserve. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1802 to $1815. Premier Li Keqiang holds a cautious view on the economic growth of the mainland next year, suggesting that the economy may slow down. The real estate in the mainland was one of the main engines of the country's economy in the past, and the previous President Ji Jinping advocated the policy of no housing speculation. Under the leadership, the inner houses are bound by three red lines, and the immediate cash pressure has led to a debt default crisis in mainland real estate. Yesterday, the market reported that the Guangzhou property market was loosened, and the mortgage loan of second-hand houses did not need to refer to the guiding price. Although it's not a direct rescue for the enterprises in the housing market, without the guidance price limit, the property market will be active again, and people's net worth in the building will no longer continue to shrink, or new owners won't have to pay extra down payment, which can naturally be changed. Consumption mentality, promote economic activities. The mainland real estate industry financing policy has been relaxed, but international rating agencies have lowered the number of indoor enterprises on the grounds that the refinancing risk is higher than the onshore market and the financing channels are reduced. Credit rating. Mainland regulators keep making moves to crack down on Chinese-funded technology stocks. Yesterday, the Internet stocks still didn't get out of the shadows, which led to a weak market atmosphere. In addition, the credit rating of the inner houses was downgraded by international rating agencies, and the net sales of goods in Beishui was 2.4 billion, and Hong Kong stocks again After falling below the 25,000 mark, the Hang Seng Index fell again and again yesterday, falling 98 points or 0.39% to close the market. The epidemic situation of COVID-19 has worsened in Europe, Germany will implement unprecedented measures to limit the epidemic situation of COVID-19 this winter, and Austria will declare the country closed. Russia has introduced a national compulsory injection policy. European Central Bank President Lagarde once again stressed that it is not the right time to raise interest rates, while another member of the European Central Bank, and Dutch central bank president Nott, said that there is no reason to order The European Central Bank believes that high inflation in the region will continue for some time and needs to reassess its monetary policy. Nott said that if inflation is higher than originally expected for a long time, the European Central Bank will need to raise interest rates, but he doesn't think inflation is too long. It is believed that the upward trend will slow down before the end of next year. The three major European indexes developed individually, and the German DAX index fell by 0.27%; Paris CAC index fell 0.1%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.44%. US President Biden nominated Powell to serve for another four years after his term expires next year, which will be beneficial to the continuation of the Fed's policy; The market expects the Federal Reserve to speed up the tightening of monetary policy, and bet to resume raising interest rates in June next year. The market is expected to be six months ahead of schedule. The market's response to the interest rate hike pushed up the yield of US bonds, with the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds rising above 1.6% and the yield of short-term two-year Treasury bonds rapidly rising to 0.05%, a one-year high. Interest rate rise As a result of the pressure from the gap in technology stocks, the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Index dropped from high levels, falling by 0.32% and 1.26% respectively. On the contrary, the rise of interest rate supported the rise of bank stocks, and the Dow Jones index got rid of its three-day losing streak. Up 0.05% to close. Powell was re-appointed, and the market expected the Fed to complete the scale reduction ahead of schedule and raise interest rates ahead of schedule. The news immediately pushed up the yield of short-term and long-term US bonds, and the US dollar index rose above 96.5 points. The price of gold was deep yesterday. After the callback, the highest price of gold was $1,849, the lowest price was $1,802, and finally it closed at $1,805, a sharp drop of $41. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-22

November 22nd Today's volatility range: The global epidemic has rebounded, and there have been cases in China, and the situation in Europe has worsened. Virus is still a core problem, which will benefit the gold market with safe-haven function, but the advantages of virus to gold price will follow. The targeted medical system has gradually disappeared, and the price of gold has been bearish for a long time. The narrower neck bottle in the supply chain continues to push up inflation, so that the Fed has to speed up the pace of interest rate hike, and the rise in interest rate will suppress the price of gold. There will be minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States next week, and then we can see the positioning of the Federal Reserve. Last week, the gold market responded to the news of raising interest rates, and the price of gold dropped back to $1,845, which may be lowered again this week. Today's suggestion The volatility is between $1833 and $1852. Mainland real estate is one of the main engines of the country's economy in the past. Now, with the flameout, mainland economy is bound to slow down. Premier Li Keqiang has a cautious view on the mainland economy next year. Some experts say that China's economic growth is hard to guarantee 5% growth. The mainland regulators have been taking anti-monopoly as the reason to launch measures to suppress the leading enterprises in the Internet. Last week, Alibaba announced its quarterly results. Alibaba's growth was the worst since its listing, On Friday, the hit stock price plunged by more than 10% in a single day, which also became the main reason for the significant decline of Hong Kong stocks on Friday. To sum up, Hong Kong stocks fell by 1.1% in a week, and the Hang Seng Index faltered at the 25,000 mark. The COVID-19 epidemic has worsened in Europe. On Thursday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the fourth wave of COVID-19 epidemic has fallen into a dramatic situation, which is worrying. It is necessary to immediately curb the exponential growth of cases in COVID-19 to avoid medical institutions. Collapse; German Finance Minister Scholz added later, saying that this winter, the unprecedented COVID-19 epidemic restriction measures will be implemented. On Friday, Austria suddenly announced the closure of the country, and it will force citizens to be vaccinated! European Central Bank President Lagarde once again stressed that it is not the right time to raise interest rates. Last week, the three major European indexes developed individually, and the German DAX index rose by 0.31%. Paris CAC Index rose by 0.29%; British FTSE 100 The index fell by 1.69%. Last week, the market expected Biden to sign a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. In addition, Biden will hold a video conference with Chinese President Xi Jinping this morning, local time, to hold bilateral talks on US-China trade relations and the Taiwan Province issue. Investors responded positively to the opening of the market, pushing up the initial performance of the stock market, but the 30-year bond interest rate in the United States rose above 2%, which affected investors' choice. Traditional economic stocks fell, and the Dow Jones index fell by 1.38% a week. On the contrary, the new economic stocks are powered by electric. Car support, Tesla CEO Musk has been digested by the market after reducing his share by 10% at a high price, and the share price rebounded by 10% last week; Apple's research on its own brand trams has entered a critical moment, and it is expected that it will be as soon as possible. In 2025, the stock price of the products launched reached a new high, leading the S&P 500 index containing technology stocks to break the top again, rising by 0.32%; The Nasdaq index also rose by 2.31%, a record high. The gold market fell last week. The United States announced that the core retail sales price index increased by 1.7%, which beat expectations. Before the data was released, the bulls stole the gold price, which reached a weekly high of 1,877 US dollars, but the market worried that sustained inflation would be provoked. The Federal Reserve intervened, Federal Reserve Waller and Evans relaxed the eagle continuously, and the market longed for the United States to raise interest rates early. The US dollar index broke through 96 points on Friday, and the price of gold immediately fell, with the lowest seen at $1,843, and finally closed at $1,846. It fell by 13 dollars on Friday. In a week, the price of gold fell by $19. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-19

November 19th. Today's volatility range: The United States announced that the number of first-time jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week. Before and after the data was released, the price of gold fell sharply. Federal Reserve officials intervened in the gold market by re-exporting, and the market interest rate hike put pressure on the financial price. The price of gold was adjusted back yesterday, Today's volatility may be narrowed and consolidated. Today's suggested volatility is 1858 to 1865 dollars. Yesterday, some mainland media reported that Shanghai introduced a new policy to ensure fair charging of Internet platforms, instead of using algorithms to "kill", punishing loyal old customers, and charging more expensive than new customers. One more restriction, The advantages of Internet stocks will be weakened again, and the profits will not fall. Alibaba announced its adjusted profit for the second quarter after the market closed, which was 28.524 billion yuan, down 39.42% year on year! The haze of the Fed raising interest rates early Lingering, the Dow Jones index fell more than 200 points every other night, Hong Kong stocks fell with US stocks yesterday, and Hang Seng Index continued to fall by 1.29% yesterday. The COVID-19 epidemic has deteriorated, and German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the fourth wave of COVID-19 epidemic has plunged us into A dramatic situation. The current situation is very worrying, and we need to immediately curb the exponential growth of cases in COVID-19 to avoid the collapse of medical institutions; If the number of vaccinations can be greatly increased, we can announce the withdrawal of a lot. Epidemic prevention measures. German Finance Minister Scholz added later, saying that this winter, the unprecedented COVID-19 epidemic restriction measures will be implemented. The three major European indexes fell across the board, and the German DAX index fell by 0.18%. Paris CAC Index fell 0.21%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 0.48%. Electric vehicles have become the focus of the US stock market and continue to be the focus of the market. Tesla CEO Musk has been digested by the market after reducing 10% of the shares at a high price. Tesla shares rose yesterday, and Apple The trams of the company's own brand have entered a critical moment, and it is expected that the stock price of the products will reach a new high as soon as 2025, leading the S&P 500 index with technology stocks to break the top again, closing up by 0.34%; The Nasdaq index also rose. 0.45% also hit a record high. On the contrary, despite the satisfactory performance of department stores, it is still hard to beat the atmospheric pressure of worsening inflation. Traditional stocks fell, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.17%. In the early part of yesterday, the gold market took on an early upward trend, grabbing the high to a daily high of 1870.9 US dollars. The United States announced that the number of first-time jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week. Before the data was released, the data of short-selling bets on employment would continue to rise, and gold had plunged nearly 9 dollars. It fell to the lowest of $1,855.2 yesterday, but the data was not as good as expected, and the price of gold jumped by $8. However, another official of the Federal Reserve made remarks on raising interest rates; Federal Reserve Evans said that he still didn't expect to raise interest rates until 2023, but he "wore a helmet" He said that his prediction may be "a mistake", and that although the necessity of raising interest rates in 2022 is not obvious, it may be an appropriate situation. Under pressure, the price of gold closed at $1,858.8, down $9. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-18

November 18th Today's volatility range: Officials of the Federal Reserve intervened in export for only one day, but the deterioration of the economy became the focus of the market again. Investors bet that the Federal Reserve could not take action to suppress the "temporary inflation" caused by the shortage of supply, but only intervened with "mouth". Investors also regard the opening of crude oil storage in the United States as a signal of rising inflation, which has contributed to the rising trend of gold price. On the other hand, the unexpected drop in the number of new housing starts announced by the United States last night has affected the performance of the US stock market and the US dollar index. It has dropped from the high point since July 2020, causing more funds to flow into the gold market to avoid risks. After two days' adjustment, the price of gold will try again to reach this week's high. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1863 to $1877. China is speeding up the implementation of the plan to replace the technologies of the United States and other countries. Since 2016, a working committee called Information Technology Application Innovation has been set up in a low-key manner to provide advisory services to the government, and now it has been accepted by Beijing. And entrust to formulate industry standards, train employees, help review and approve local suppliers in sensitive technology fields from cloud storage to semiconductor chips, and also choose trusted suppliers. It seems that the state has upgraded its technology. At the same time, the de-aestheticization is also obvious, so that the development of high-end technology in the future will not be controlled by others. After the first video interview between China and the United States ended, Hong Kong ended its 6-day upward trend and fell downward. During the Asian session yesterday, the US dollar index At one point, it rose above 96 points, the highest since July last year, and investors became cautious when entering the market. The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.25% yesterday, and the daily turnover of the market was less than 109.8 billion yuan, the lowest turnover in more than a week. The European Central Bank issued a semi-annual financial stability report, saying that under the stimulus measures of ultra-low interest rate environment and huge liquidity increase, the euro zone economy continued to recover from the epidemic, but the central bank also warned of asset bubbles in the property market and financial markets. It means that the valuation of many assets is on the high side, or the risk of adjustment will increase greatly. The three major European indexes developed individually, and the German DAX index rose by 0.06%. Paris CAC index rose 0.02%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 0.49%. Last night, the number of new housing starts announced by the United States unexpectedly dropped, and the market worried about inflation. The haze of the Fed's early interest rate hike lingered. The US stock market was under pressure yesterday, and the Dow Jones index fell below 36,000 points. Overall, All three major Wall Street indexes suffered losses yesterday, with Dow Jones index falling 0.58%; Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.26%; The Nasdaq index also fell 0.33%. The soaring price of crude oil pushed other prices up, and the oil group countries refused to increase production. The United States had to open up strategic crude oil storage to suppress the unlimited rise of crude oil, but this policy of the United States could only be temporary and could not meet the real market. Need. Investors regard the opening of crude oil storage in the United States as a signal of rising inflation, which has contributed to the rebound of gold prices. In addition, the unexpected drop in new housing starts announced by the United States last night has affected the decline of the US stock market, and the US dollar index has changed from 2020 to 2020. The high point since July has dropped, causing more funds to flow into the gold market to avoid risks; Yesterday, the gold market showed a unilateral upward trend, and it rose at the opening of the market, reaching the highest of $1,868. The price of gold closed at $1,867, which was close to the all-day high, rising by $17. The daily chart shows a candle with no hands or feet. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-17

November 17th Today's volatility range: Yesterday, the US retail sales data outperformed expectations. Before the data was released, the bulls stole the gold price, and the highest price was $1,877. However, the data also stimulated the rise of the yield of US dollar and US 10-year Treasury bonds, which finally hit. The price of gold fell. At the same time, Federal Reserve official Brad called for increasing the debt reduction to more than double the monthly debt reduction to 30 billion US dollars, so as to end the scale reduction early to cope with high inflation. He even predicted that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates twice next year. Hawkish words shook the gold market, and the price of gold closed at $1,850, which was close to the lowest level of the day. Worried that the sustained inflation in the market will eventually lead to the intervention of the Federal Reserve, the price of gold has made a false breakthrough and will be consolidated at $1845 to $1865. Maintain today's suggested volatility at $1,848 to $1,862. The top leaders of China and the United States had an interview by video yesterday. Although the whole meeting did not talk about the actual details of cooperation, the atmosphere was harmonious. The Chinese side showed their bottom line and position, and stressed that China and the United States should get along in the new era. Adhere to the three principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation, and be willing to form a consensus with Biden and take active actions; Biden stressed that the United States would pursue the "one China" policy, but strongly opposed unilateral changes. The status quo of the Taiwan Strait or the practices that undermine peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, finally, said that I look forward to having more sincere communication with Xi Jinping next time and discussing areas of concern to the United States. President Ji Jinping held a video meeting with US President Biden, Among them, the atmosphere was harmonious, the stock market reflected positively, Hong Kong stocks opened higher, and then RMB strengthened, and the offshore RMB exchange rate once hit a high of more than five months, a high of nearly three weeks. RMB appreciation supports the upward trend of Hong Kong stocks, Hang Seng Index It rose by 1.27% yesterday, for the sixth consecutive day. The market still pays attention to the interest rate policy of the central banks in Europe, and it has become the key to the performance of the stock market. The market told the UK to raise interest rates early, and the UK FTSE 100 index fell by 0.34%. On the contrary, ECB President Lagarde reiterated that next year is unlikely. Meet the conditions of raising interest rates, and still think that inflation will slow down next year, the stock market in the euro zone will rise day by day, and the DAX index in Germany will rise by 0.61%; Paris CAC index rose 0.34%. Last night, the United States released last month's retail sales data, which reached this year's record. The strongest increase since March benefited from the better-than-expected performance of Wal-Mart, the largest retailer in the United States, and The Home Depot, the retailer of home decoration products, and the Dow Jones index rose. In addition, the first US dollar held video talks to look forward to the two countries. Relations improved, US-funded banks issued a report to increase the annual return rate of the US stock market, and all three major Wall Street indexes rebounded yesterday, with the Dow Jones index rising by 0.15%; Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.39%; The Nasdaq index also rose by 0.76%. Yesterday, the United States announced that the core retail sales price index increased by 1.7%, exceeding expectations. Before the data was released, the bulls stole the gold price, and the highest price was 1877 dollars. However, the data also stimulated the increase of the yield of US dollar and US 10-year Treasury bonds. Hit the price of gold. At the same time, Federal Reserve official Brad called for debt reduction to double to 30 billion US dollars per month, in order to end the debt reduction early to cope with high inflation, and he even predicted that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates twice next year. In Sanjin City, the price of gold closed at $1,850, the lowest in the whole day, and fell for the second consecutive day, down $12. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-16

November 16th Today's volatility range: The growth rate of the manufacturing index of the Federal Reserve Bank of new york was better than expected. The price of gold once rose above $1,870, breaking the high level in the past five months. However, the market worried that the persistent inflation would cause the Federal Reserve to intervene, and the gold market did not dare on both sides. Too much time, obviously saw at $1,860. Yesterday, the price of gold really opened the gap of 1870, but failed to stabilize. To break through again, we must first consolidate it at the current price, and it depends on the retail data tonight. Maintain today's suggested volatility, namely $1,858 to $1,875. The mainland property prices fell last month, and the myth that the mainland property prices did not fall has been broken by the chairman of the meeting! Under the guidance of the policy of no speculation in housing proposed by the President of the People's Republic of China, no matter the first or second-hand property price, even if it is located in "North to Guangzhou and Shenzhen" 4. Big first-tier cities were not spared, and all of them fell. However, in the traditional peak season of building sales, the mainland called "Golden September and Silver 10", the transaction volume also shrank in the last two months. I believe that when the mainland real estate tax is introduced, The decline will further expand. When the price of the building enters the frozen period, it is even harder for speculators to find someone to take over, so they pity those users who are bent on buying their own homes and living in peace, and become innocent funerary objects. Real estate is the main economic force of the country in the past. One of the engines, now that the engine is shut down, the mainland economy is bound to slow down, and it is also very difficult to guarantee the economy in the fourth quarter. Generally speaking, the city where the stock exchange is located has symbolic significance of prosperity and importance. Now, a new exchange has finally been set up under the emperor's feet, and the Beijing Stock Exchange officially opened yesterday. Trading, which lasted only 74 days, is also a leading myth in the financial sector! The turnover of Beijiao Exchange on the first trading day exceeded 9.5 billion yuan, and the share prices of many new shares listed on this exchange generally doubled. The establishment of the North Stock Exchange celebrates Hong Kong stocks, In addition, the leaders of China and the United States will break the deadlock and hold summit talks by telephone for the first time today. The market is relatively positive, and the Hang Seng Index rose 0.25% to close yesterday. Pay attention to the interest rate policy of central banks in Europe and become the performance of the stock market. Crucially, the market told the UK to raise interest rates early, and the UK FTSE 100 index fell by 0.24%. On the contrary, European Central Bank President Lagarde reiterated that it is unlikely to meet the conditions for raising interest rates next year, and still believes that inflation will slow down next year, the euro zone The stock market rose, and the CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.33%; Germany DAX index rose by 0.05%. New york stock market opened higher and closed lower. The market expects Biden to sign a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. In addition, Biden will hold a video conference with Chinese President Xi Jinping this morning, local time, to discuss US-China trade relations and Taiwan Province issues. When bilateral talks were held, investors responded positively to the opening of the market, pushing up the initial performance of the stock market. However, the 30-year interest rate of the United States rose above 2%, which affected the choice of investors. The three major Wall Street indexes fell within a narrow range, Dow Jones index and Standard & Poor's 500. The index fell by 0.04%; Nasdaq index also fell 0.04% to close. Yesterday, the price of gold once rose above $1,870. However, the market worried that sustained inflation would provoke the Federal Reserve to intervene, and the gold market did not dare to expect too much from both long and short positions. Obviously, it saw up and down at $1,860. The highest price of gold was $1,870, and the lowest price was $1,856, closing at $1,862, ending the seven-day rising trend in a row and falling by $2 under the pressure of the rising yield of long-term US Treasury bonds. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-15

November 15th Today's volatility range: The global epidemic has rebounded, and there have been cases in China one after another, or a narrower bottle in the supply chain continues to push up inflation. In addition, the central banks of developed countries around the world still have no confidence in the overall economic recovery and continue to maintain it. Low-interest environment is favorable for the gold price market outlook. However, inflation is a double-edged sword. Although the Fed can't raise interest rates immediately, it can at least mobilize the scale of debt reduction and accelerate the scale reduction to show the confidence of raising interest rates to influence the market. gold price Last week, it stabilized at $1,845 and tried $1,868 several times. The bulls in the market outlook have the ability to push again and open the gap of $1,870. Today's suggested volatility is 1858 to 1875 dollars. The "Double Eleven Singles Day" was held in a "low profile" last week, and the State Administration of Market Supervision made another move, ordering to regulate the online promotion activities of "double 11", which added gloom to the sales prospects of online shopping activities this year, but this year's business volume Still a record high, Tmall, a subsidiary of Alibaba, recorded a turnover of 540.3 billion yuan, and JD.COM, its main e-commerce platform rival, also indicated that the sales in double 11 this year was 311.1 billion yuan. Yesterday, a number of technology stocks "Singles Day" is fried. There is a liquidity problem in mainland real estate, and enterprise merger and acquisition is one of the feasible methods. However, if some debt-bearing acquisitions are to be made, the "three red lines" of the acquirers will be broken through, and there will be state-owned enterprises. It is suggested that the regulatory authorities should relax the relevant indicators of the "three red lines" in order to facilitate the acquisition of problematic indoor enterprises. On the other hand, according to the financial statistics released by the People's Bank of China yesterday, it was pointed out in a high-profile way that private medium-and long-term loans in October surpassed enterprise medium-and long-term loans for the first time since July 2020, indicating that banks' investment in mortgage loans is accelerating. The news stimulated the rebound of real estate stocks. In a week, the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.36% and regained the 25,000 mark. Last week, the UK announced its third-quarter GDP, and the quarterly growth was slightly lower than expected, but the market was confident enough to expect the UK. The pace of economic recovery remains unchanged and is reflected in the performance of British retail stocks. European stock markets also performed well. The market digested the expectation that the European Central Bank might raise interest rates early. In addition, a large American investment bank published a report, which was optimistic about European stocks. Market performance in the coming year, summing up one week, the three major European indexes rose across the board, and CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.71%; Germany DAX index rose by 0.33%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.6%. Inflation in the United States has deteriorated, and consumer confidence in the United States has fallen to a new low of nearly 10 years at high inflation, while Tesla CEO Musk reduced his holdings of Tesla shares by 10% after the share price reached a new high, and Tesla shares fell, plus some enterprises. The income forecast was lower than expected, which also affected the performance of the market. In a week, the three major Wall Street indexes softened after hitting a record high, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.87%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.4%; The Nasdaq index fell 0.84%. The market bet that inflation growth was better than economic recovery, and the gold market played an anti-inflation role, rising for two consecutive weeks. Last Wednesday, the United States released inflation data. In October, the annual and monthly growth rate of the consumer price index was higher than market expectations, and it rose year by year. 6.2%, the inflation rate broke through "6" for the first time, the highest level in 31 years; On a monthly basis, it increased by 0.9%, which is still larger than that in September. In addition, the core consumer price index of the United States increased by 0.6% month-on-month, which also greatly exceeded expectations, indicating inflation. Keep heating up. After the data was released, the US dollar continued to rise, the US dollar index rose above the level of 95.3, and the yield of 10-term US Treasury bonds was approaching 1.6%. The gold price was not afraid to suppress, and maintained the momentum of 7 consecutive rises. In a week, the price of gold rose by 46.5 dollars. It rose for the second consecutive week, and the total rose by more than $80 in two weeks. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-12

November 12th Today's volatility range: Yesterday, the United States lacked important economic data. The inflation data, which reached the highest level in 31 years earlier, continued to ferment, and gold continued to play its anti-inflation function, appreciating for 6 days. The market bet on inflation growth over economic recovery, Hedging inflation with gold, on the other hand, although sustained inflation supports the rise of gold price, it also causes market concerns, fearing that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates early; Influenced by the two-edged sword of inflation, the gold market was struggling yesterday. At $1860, whether it can stabilize this point is the key to a breakthrough. Today's suggested volatility is 1854 to 1868 dollars. The People's Bank of China posted a map on the official micro-letter, showing that the personal housing loan in the Mainland increased by 348.1 billion yuan last month. The intention of such a high-profile information release to the market is obvious, indicating that the bank's mortgage loan is accelerating. Earlier, the authorities even voiced that some financial institutions had some misunderstandings about the "three red lines" rule, which made the projects that should have been reasonably supported unable to get loans, hoping to stimulate market transactions through information and become mainland real estate enterprises. Increase income and reduce the risk of debt default. The "three red lines" set by the People's Bank of China are expected to be relaxed, and domestic stimulus housing stocks generally rebounded by 4-12% yesterday. Yesterday's "Double Eleven Singles Day" was held in a low-key manner. However, this year's business volume is still at a new high. Tmall, a subsidiary of Alibaba, recorded a turnover of 540.3 billion yuan. JD.COM, its main rival of e-commerce platform, also said that the sales in double 11 this year was 311.1 billion yuan. Yesterday, a number of technology stocks were fired by Singles Day. Hong Kong stocks first fell and then rose, and the Hang Seng Index finally rose 1.01% to close, regaining the 25,000 mark. Yesterday, Britain announced its third-quarter GDP, and the quarterly growth was slightly lower than expected. However, the market is full of confidence, and it is expected that the British economic recovery will keep pace, with the FTSE 100 index rising by 0.62%. European stock markets also rose, and the market digested the expectation that the European Central Bank might raise interest rates early, coupled with large-scale US investment. The bank issued a report, optimistic about the performance of European stock market in the coming year, and CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.21%; Germany DAX index rose by 0.11%. Disney's dream is no longer there, and the income of the people affected by the epidemic has been greatly reduced, and it relies on increasing income. Another engine, Disney Streaming Media, also turned off. Last quarter, both the number of paying users and the number of people on stage were less than market expectations, and the stock price dropped by 7%, the biggest drop in a single day in one and a half years. The Wall Street stock market developed individually, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.44%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose by 0.06%; The Nasdaq index rose 0.52%. Yesterday, the United States lacked important economic data, which earlier hit the highest level of inflation in 31 years. The data continues to ferment, the market bet that inflation growth is better than economic recovery, the US dollar continues to rise, the US dollar index rises above 95.3 level, and the yield of 10 US Treasury bonds is approaching 1.6%. The price of gold is not afraid to be suppressed, just as it is rising! The lowest price of gold was $1,843, and the highest price was $1,866. After that, the market took profits and finally closed at $1,862, up by $13. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-11

November 11th Today's volatility range: Last night, the US released inflation data. Last month, the consumer price index rose by 6.2% year on year, and the inflation rate broke through "6" for the first time, the highest level in 31 years. The market bet that inflation growth is better than economic recovery, and gold is used to hedge inflation. The gold market once exploded. On the other hand, although sustained inflation has caused the price of gold to rise, it has also caused market concerns, fearing that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates early, and then the price of gold will be under pressure. Today's suggested volatility is 1838 to 1856 dollars. Covid-19 is raging all over the world, and Hong Kong is an outward-oriented economy, especially influenced by the external economy. Last year, the economy experienced a severe recession, and the income of the grassroots declined, making people's lives miserable. The government announced yesterday According to the 2020 Hong Kong Poverty Report, there were 703,000 poor households, 1.653 million poor people in Hong Kong last year, and the poverty rate was 23.6%, that is, about one out of every four Hong Kong citizens lived below the poverty line. Last year, the government introduced a series of extraordinary measures totaling more than 300 billion yuan to stabilize the economy and relieve the pressure of life faced by the grassroots, and pointed out that if the government did not intervene in a timely manner, the poverty situation in Hong Kong might be even worse. There is a liquidity problem in mainland real estate. Merger and acquisition of enterprises is one of the feasible methods. However, if some debt-bearing acquisitions are to be made, the acquirer's "three red lines" will be broken, and some state-owned enterprises have suggested that the regulatory authorities should relax. "Three red lines" related indicators, in order to promote the acquisition of the problem of indoor enterprises. On the other hand, according to the financial statistics released by the People's Bank of China yesterday, it is pointed out in a high-profile way that private medium-and long-term loans in October surpassed enterprise medium-and long-term loans for the first time since July 2020, indicating that banks' investment in mortgage loans is accelerating. China property stocks rebounded yesterday. In addition, Tencent announced its results after the market closed, and investors stole the steps to buy, which stimulated the stock price to rise by more than 4% and led other technology stocks to rise. The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.2% to close the market yesterday. British retailer Martha's interim results Better than the market expectation, and it is expected that the annual performance will be better, with the share price rising by 16% and the FTSE 100 index rising by 0.91%, the biggest increase in a month. While European bond prices fell, and the market expected The European Central Bank raised interest rates ahead of schedule, and the bond yield increased to support the performance of banking stocks in the region, with CAC index in Paris, France rising by 0.03%; Germany DAX index rose by 0.17%. The United States announced last month that the consumer price index rose by 6.2% year-on-year, worried that the high inflation environment in the United States would continue to damage the economic recovery, and worried that inflation would cause the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates early. Wall Street stock market fell for two consecutive days, Dow Jones The index fell by 0.66%; Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.82%; The Nasdaq index fell 1.6%. Last night, the US released inflation data. In October, the annual and monthly growth rate of the consumer price index was higher than market expectations, with an annual increase of 6.2%. The inflation rate broke through "6" for the first time, the highest level in 31 years; On a monthly basis, it increased by 0.9%, which is still larger than that in September. In the core consumer price index of the United States, it increased by 0.6% month-on-month, which also greatly exceeded expectations, indicating that inflation continued. Warming up, the market bet that inflation growth is better than economic recovery. After the data was released, although the yield of US dollar and 10-issue US Treasury bonds rose, it still failed to suppress the rise of gold price, the highest of which was US$ 1,868. After that, the market took profits. It finally closed at $1,849, up $17. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-10

November 10th Today's volatility range: The producer price index released by the United States last night increased by 0.6% month-on-month. Although it is in line with the market forecast, it is still 10 points higher than last month's 0.5, indicating that inflation continues to heat up, and the market bet that inflation growth is better than economic recovery. Yesterday, the US dollar weakened again, the US dollar index fell below the 94-point level, and the yield of US 10-year Treasury bills dropped to 1.43%, which supported the rise of gold price, but the increase was limited, and the market turned to wait and see the core consumer price of the United States tonight. Index, but it is doubtful whether the inflation data can stabilize the $1,830 mark. Today's suggested volatility is 1816 to 1833 dollars. The international energy price is high, and the state has not approved the power plant price increase. Earlier, the mainland power companies adopted the peak reduction plan to avoid losses. The state proposed to strictly implement the power restriction policy, not only to limit the starting time of factories, but also to prohibit people. You can't turn on high-power consumption products such as water heaters and microwave ovens during the peak period of electricity consumption. It also instructs local shopping malls to use air-conditioning guidelines and requires shopping malls to close early to save electricity. Hong Kong does the opposite. As a high-quality international city, Providing a stable power supply is one of the important links, which depends on the operation of the two power companies in Hong Kong, but at the cost of high electricity charges. CLP and HEC announced yesterday the tariff adjustment rate, and HEC will increase it by 7% next year. The price increase will be 5.8%. Although we understand that wool is on sheep, the grass-roots people are still in the epidemic situation, and the people will definitely add to the burden. In the past, we have often heard people complain that the power company has earned the 8% rate of return allowed by the government. I believe it is even worse this time! The debt crisis of domestic property companies also hit the market. It is reported that many domestic property companies plan to issue debt financing instruments, and domestic property stocks fell under pressure. Yesterday, the rebound of technology stocks led Hong Kong stocks to rise, but the overall turnover fell and the turnover was insufficient. 100 billion, the worst trading day in half a year. The Hang Seng Index rose 0.2% to close yesterday. The three major European stock markets rose first and then fell, among which the French stock market ended its 8-day upward trend and the CAC index in Paris, France fell by 0.06%. Germany DAX index fell 0.04%； Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.36%. Tesla CEO Musk announced a high-profile reduction of 10% of Tesla's shares. Yesterday, Tesla's share price fell by more than 12%, and the company's revenue forecast was lower than expected. The rise of US stocks finally needs a rest. Yesterday, the three major stock indexes on Wall Street fell from historical highs, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.31%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 0.35%; The Nasdaq index fell 0.6%. The producer price index released by the United States last night increased by 0.6% month-on-month. Although it is in line with the market forecast, it is still 10 points higher than last month's 0.5, indicating that inflation continues to heat up, and the market bet that inflation growth is better than economic recovery. Dollar Yesterday, it was soft again. The US dollar index fell below the 94-point level, and the yield of 10-year US Treasury bills dropped to 1.43%, both of which were good for the gold price. The Fed wavered in its stance on raising interest rates and supported the rise of the gold market. Gold price yesterday The lowest price was $1819, the highest price was $1833, and it closed at $1832, up by $8. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat