Gold market analysis

2021-11-09

November 9th Today's volatility range: Last Thursday and Friday, the gold market opened two big sun candles. In the absence of important data, the gold price rose again yesterday. Although the price of gold was tested at $1,810, it could still be the highest in two months, but it seems to be. The crossbow is not strong. With tonight's US producer price index and tomorrow's US core consumer price index, it is doubtful whether the inflation data can break through the $1,830 mark again. Today's suggested volatility 1808 to 1830 dollars. Singles Day is just around the corner. Since Taobao, a subsidiary of Ma Yun, launched the "Double Eleven Online Shopping Carnival" in 2009, consumers can get discounts to shop on the e-commerce platform. Of course, they are happy, and the most important thing is the platform business volume. Every year, it has reached a new high. Just take the marketing volume of the two largest e-commerce platforms in the Mainland for the last four years, and the online sales on that day alone are all calculated in hundreds of billions, and the consumption in Hong Kong in July and August is 30%. Stimulated by this, the total retail sales are still less than HK$ 56 billion. Based on this calculation, excluding the exchange rate, the sales volume of a platform in double 11 is enough to offset the total sales of Hong Kong in one year, which is really awesome! The State Administration of Market Supervision once again ordered to regulate the online promotion activities of "double 11", including that during the promotion period, the platform should be properly closed and "the obligation of examination and verification should be implemented"; Strictly regulate the promotion behavior, and prohibit it. False original price, non-performance of price commitments and other illegal ways to promote "and other misconduct, for this year's online shopping activities sales prospects add haze. State control, e-commerce platform, Internet stocks, Hang Seng The index fell another 0.43% to close yesterday. The epidemic situation in Europe has rebounded, and Bank of England Governor Bailey has made remarks about raising interest rates again, saying that if there is evidence that the rising inflation expectation affects the salary level, the Bank of England will have to take interest rate hikes. Europe's Big Three Individual stock market development, in which the French stock market rose for 8 days in a row, and the CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.10%; Germany DAX index fell by 0.05%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.02%. After several months of negotiations, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party of the United States finally successfully passed the $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill proposed by President Biden in the House of Representatives last week, and it will be formal after President Biden signs the time agency later. Legislation. The news stimulated the Wall Street stock market to continue to break its peak, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.29%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose by 0.09%; The Nasdaq index rose 0.07%. America's economy is improving, but the dollar is falling instead of rising. The market bet that inflation growth was better than economic recovery, the US dollar index fell nearly 94 points, and the Fed wavered in its stance on raising interest rates, supporting the gold market to rise. Yesterday, the lowest price of gold was $1,812 and the highest price was $1,826. It closed at 1824 dollars, up 6 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the link below to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-08

On November 8th. Today's volatility range: The global epidemic has rebounded, and there have been cases in China one after another, or a narrower bottle in the supply chain continues to push up inflation. In addition, the central banks of developed countries around the world still have no confidence in the overall economic recovery and continue to maintain low interest rates. Environment, favorable for the gold market outlook. The economic data of the United States continues to improve, especially the labor data has made great progress, which is unfavorable to the more conservative asset of gold. Last Thursday, with five consecutive years, it broke 1800 dollars. And $1,810, the upward trend is more than enough. Today's suggested volatility is 1808 to 1825 dollars. The epidemic situation in the mainland has rebounded, and 32 countries no longer give preferential tariff treatment to China's GSP. The market lacks confidence in the mainland market. In addition, the domestic property stocks have exploded again, and the new list includes Zhaoye and Shimao Real Estate. Hong Kong stocks in November In the first week, it opened lower and went lower. Except for the rebound of 200 points on Thursday through the news of customs clearance between China and Hong Kong, the whole week suffered losses. To sum up the whole week, the Hang Seng Index fell by 506 points or 2%, falling for two consecutive weeks, with 25,000 points in jeopardy. The United States reached an agreement with the European Union to end the tariff trade war from 2018 to the present, the loosening of international trade tax is beneficial to the development of enterprises, and the UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index outperformed expectations. The three major European stock markets opened higher last Monday. Last Wednesday, the President of the European Central Bank Lagarde reiterated his interest policy stance yesterday, saying that it was impossible to raise interest rates before 2022. On Thursday, the Bank of England also surprised the market by announcing that it would maintain the current interest rate and stimulate the interest rate policy. European stocks rose, and German DAX index rose by 2.33%; Paris CAC index rose by 3.08%; Affected by the rebound of epidemic situation in Britain, the stock market rose slightly, with the FTSE 100 index rising by 0.92%. The economic data of the United States continued to improve. Last week, the number of first-time jobless claims in the United States fell for five consecutive weeks, hitting a new low since the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States. Last Thursday, the United States Federal Reserve announced that it would keep the interest rate meeting unchanged, and last Friday, it did not change. Last week's non-agricultural data and unemployment rate also exceeded expectations, reflecting the continuous improvement of the labor market and the improvement of the average hourly wage income in the United States. This is a better employment signal, and employers are willing to raise salaries to attract new employees. To sum up, week after week, the economy improved, which benefited the risky market. Dow Jones index, Standard & Poor's 500 index and Nasdaq index broke the peak continuously, and the income-generating market reached a new high, rising by 1.38% and 1.88% and 2.77% respectively. Last week, the gold market rose. Last week, the Federal Reserve announced that it would keep the interest rate unchanged. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that although the bureau initiated the action of reducing debt purchases, it did not mean that it would send a signal of interest rate policy, and stressed that it was not raising interest rates now. The right time. However, the Bank of England unexpectedly failed to raise the central bank's interest rate. The words and actions of the two central banks were favorable for the rebound of gold prices. The market bet on the deterioration of inflation. Coupled with the effect of the Fed's failure to raise interest rates, the yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds hit a record high. The lowest since October, supporting the upward trend of gold price. The lowest price of gold last week was $1,759, closing at a weekly high of $1,818. In a week, the price of gold rose by 35 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and inquire with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-05

On November 5th. Today's volatility range: Following the announcement of a reduction of 15 billion U.S. dollars in bond purchases on the US interest rate meeting day, the Bank of England unexpectedly failed to raise the interest rate of the central bank yesterday, and the interest rate policies of the two central banks boosted the gold market. The gold price tried to hit $1,800. Yesterday, the United States announced that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time last week had dropped for five consecutive weeks, indicating that the labor force was constantly improving. With non-agricultural employment data available tonight, the gold market may fluctuate and fall. Suggest today. Amplitude from 1763 to 1798 dollars. Due to the impact of the epidemic, Hong Kong people have been restricted from entering the Mainland for almost two years. Recently, experts and officials from the two places held a meeting to discuss progress in preventing the cross-border spread of the epidemic. Both sides reached a consensus that they could exchange customs and avoid quarantine. Isolation, the two places will carry out the work of restoring customs clearance in an orderly manner. Yesterday, a media quoted an official from the Ministry of Health of the Mainland as saying, "From next month, Hong Kong people can conditionally clear customs to Guangdong Province. At that time, Hong Kong people visiting the Mainland must use the. A health code system developed by the Mainland and holding a green code shows that there is no infection in Covid-19. If it goes well, the arrangement is expected to be launched in mid-December. Hong Kong and Guangdong are expected to resume normal customs clearance next month. The news boosted Hong Kong stocks. In the market, the retail and catering stocks that benefited most from customs clearance led the market. After falling for seven days in a row, Hong Kong stocks finally rebounded. The Hang Seng Index rose more than 200 points or 0.8% to close yesterday. Bank of England announced yesterday that it would keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.1%, which was beyond market expectations! Bank of England Governor Bailey said many times before that he hoped to raise interest rates. The market originally expected the Bank of England to announce a rate hike this month, but decided to raise interest rates. After the announcement, Bailey explained that in order to implement the central bank's policy objectives, interest rates will be raised in response to market needs in the coming months; But his statement was criticized by the market as the rhetoric of unreliable boyfriend. In any case, European stock markets are. Eliminating the pressure of raising interest rates, the German DAX index rose by 0.44%; France Paris CAC index rose 0.53%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.43%. The economic data of the United States continued to improve, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the United States last week continued. After five weeks of decline, it hit a new low since the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States. Last week, the Federal Reserve announced that the interest rate decision would remain unchanged, benefiting the risky market. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index and the Nasdaq Index continued to peak and hit a new high in the income market. Up by 0.42% and 0.81% respectively; The Dow Jones index ended its five-day uptrend and closed down 0.09%. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that although the Bureau started the action of debt reduction, it did not mean sending a signal of interest rate policy, and stressed that it was not the right time to raise interest rates. And the Bank of England was surprised. It is not expected to raise the interest rate of the central bank, and the verbal behavior of the two central banks is conducive to the rebound of gold prices; The gold market rose day by day yesterday and tried to rush to the $1,800 mark. The gold price peaked at $1,799, and finally closed at $1,792, rising by $22. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-04

On November 4th. Today's volatility range: Last night, the number of non-agricultural employment in the United States changed, and the figures beat expectations. The market worried that the Fed would raise interest rates early, which would affect the fall of gold prices. After that, as expected by the market, the Federal Reserve began to shrink by $15 billion this month. The scale of buying bonds, but did not mention anything about raising interest rates early, and the decline of gold price narrowed. The Fed's more dovish words are conducive to the rebound of the current price. Today, the proposed volatility is 1763-1782 US dollars. Although China Caixin.com's purchasing managers' index of China's service industry rose by 0.4% to 53.8 points in October yesterday, the People's Bank of China continued to increase the scale of one-day reverse repurchase, hoping to stimulate economic performance by increasing liquidity. However, under the national common prosperity policy, the mainland economy has undergone structural changes, and the relationship between assets and communism is complicated. In addition, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index fell by 0.39%. Hong Kong stocks fell for seven consecutive days, narrowly guarding the 25,000 mark. The housing debt crisis seems to be lifted, and the housing stocks and property management stocks generally rose, but Hong Kong stocks fell along with the mainland stock market. The Hang Seng Index fell more than 300 points yesterday and once fell below the 25,000-point mark. Before closing, the decline narrowed and fell. 74 points or 0.3%, 25,000 points can be dangerous. European Central Bank President Lagarde expressed his interest policy stance yesterday, saying that it is impossible to raise interest rates before 2022. Interest rate policy stimulated European stocks to rise, and German DAX index rose by 0.03%. The CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.34%; The epidemic situation in Britain continued to rise, breaking 40,000 new crown cases for two consecutive days. Investors worried that economic development would suffer. Oil stocks led the market down, and the FTSE 100 index in Britain fell by 0.36%. The U.S. Federal Reserve announced the interest rate decision this morning, Maintain the current interest rate policy unchanged, but announce to start to reduce the scale of debt purchase by 15 billion US dollars. After the result of the interest rate meeting, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that although the Bureau initiated the action of reducing the purchase of bonds, it did not mean issuing an interest rate policy. And stressed that now is not the right time to raise interest rates. New york stock market fell first, then rose, and then hit a new high. In the early stage, the market waited on the results of the Fed's interest rate decision. Investors reduced their holdings first, and US stocks fell in the early stage. After that, the Fed announced as expected that it would keep interest rates unchanged, but started the debt reduction policy. Powell even opened his mouth and said that the time for raising interest rates was not yet available. Dove said that it was good for the risky market, which stimulated the three major indexes of US stocks to hit a new record and close at a new high. Dow Jones index rose by 0.29%. Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.63%, Nasdaq. The index rose by 1.04%. Last night, the number of non-agricultural employment in the United States changed, and the figure beat expectations. After the figure was released, the price of gold dropped sharply to a daily low of $1,759. As expected by the market, the Fed began to shrink this month. 15 billion U.S. dollars, but did not say anything about raising interest rates early. After that, the price of gold rebounded, reaching a peak of 1,788 U.S. dollars, and finally closed at 1,770 U.S. dollars, down 18 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-03

On November 3rd. Today's volatility range: Yesterday, investors took a wait-and-see attitude, and the volatility of the gold market narrowed. This trading day is a super data day, and the small non-agricultural data of the United States will be released tonight. In addition, the Federal Reserve will announce the results of interest rate decision tomorrow morning. Although the market expects the Federal Reserve to announce a reduction in debt purchase, the data is still the focus of the market. Today's suggested volatility is $1770 to $1792. The General Administration of Customs of the Mainland announced at the end of last month that starting from December 1 this year, it will no longer issue GSP certificates of origin for shipment to 32 countries including the European Union, Britain, Canada, Turkey and Ukraine. The reason is that these countries no longer give preferential treatment to China's GSP tariff. Since President Xi Jinping said that Chinese people's income has entered the era of a well-off society in an all-round way, and that China's economy has been divorced from the situation of developing countries, Entering middle-income countries, it is normal for the countries concerned to revoke the non-reciprocal preferential tariffs, which will have an impact on China's economy and is also a painful phenomenon. Retail sales in Hong Kong rose by 7.3% in September, far below the market. Expected 11.9%. Some economists think that although retail sales are slowing down, the coupon scheme will also provide growth momentum for the next few years, but it may not be sustainable after next year, because it is expected that some citizens will make the future money first. 5,000 yuan of the plan has been used up. The performance of Hong Kong stock market is still weak. Yesterday, the Hang Seng Index fell 0.22% again, and the 25,000-point mark was crumbling. In Europe, temperatures in many countries have turned cold, causing the European epidemic to rebound, coupled with German manufacturing procurement. Managers' index performance was lower than expected, and the three major European stock markets developed individually. Germany's DAX index rose by 0.94%. The CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.49%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.19%. Strong corporate performance continues to benefit risks. The market stimulated the three major indexes of US stocks to hit a new record and close at a new high, and the Dow rose above the 36,000 mark for the first time to close. Dow Jones index rose 0.39%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose by 0.37%, while the Nasdaq Index rose by 0.34%. Small non-agricultural data will be released tonight, in addition, the Federal Reserve Board will publicly announce the results of interest rate discussion at 00 am tomorrow. Yesterday, investors took a wait-and-see attitude, with the fluctuation of gold price only 10 dollars, and the price of gold fell repeatedly, reaching a maximum of 1796 dollars yesterday. The lowest price was $1,786, and finally it closed at $1,788, down $5. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-02

November 2 nd. Today's volatility range: This week is Super Data Week, which includes non-agricultural data, interest rate decision results and post-meeting statements of the Federal Reserve of the United States, and several central banks will announce interest rate decision results this week. The market is betting on the Reserve Bank of Australia and. The Bank of England raised interest rates early, but the US dollar was under pressure and the gold market benefited yesterday. On the other hand, the U.S. economic data continues to improve, and the Federal Reserve announced this week that there is no suspense in reducing debt. The gold market will be under pressure in the short term. Today's suggested volatility is 1778 to 1798 dollars. In the third quarter, Hong Kong's economic growth slowed down to 5.4% year-on-year, and in the first three quarters, the economy expanded by 7% year-on-year. The Financial Secretary made a big effort to say that this year's economic growth would meet expectations. In addition, the mainland yesterday. According to the manufacturing purchasing managers' index released, the power cut order in the mainland and the shortage of raw materials in the market will hinder the production progress, but the released figures are better than expected, but the epidemic situation in the mainland is rebounding, the market confidence is insufficient, and Hong Kong stocks. On the first trading day in November, it opened lower and went lower, and fell 0.88% again yesterday, falling for five consecutive days, with a cumulative decline of nearly 1,000 points or 3.7%. The Hang Seng Index fell only to 25,000 points. The United States reached an agreement with the European Union to terminate the period from 2018 to the present. Trade war, the loosening of international trade tax, which is beneficial to the development of enterprises, and the performance of British manufacturing purchasing managers' index is better than expected, the three major European stock markets all rose, and Germany's DAX index rose by 0.75%; Paris, France CAC index rose by 0.92%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.71%. The oil price keeps rising, and the oil group countries refuse to increase the supply. Tesla rose 8.5% yesterday to see $1,208! Tesla's breaking of the top led to a positive atmosphere in the market, and the United States and the European Union reached an agreement to cancel retaliation. Tariffs, which are more favorable to the prospects of enterprises, and the further increase of purchasing managers' index in institute for supply management's manufacturing industry, have led to a new high in new york's stock market. Wall Street stock market closed high, and all three indexes reached new highs. Dow Jones The index rose by 0.26%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose by 0.18%, while the Nasdaq Index rose for 6 consecutive days, reaching a record and closing at a new high of 0.61%. Several central banks will announce the results of interest rate decision this week, and the market is betting on Australia. The Federal Reserve Bank and the Bank of England raised interest rates early, which changed, and the US dollar was under pressure. In addition, the US dollar rose too fast last Friday, and investors took profits. The US dollar index fell, and the price of gold rose repeatedly, which was the highest yesterday. 1895 US dollars, but the Wall Street stock market rose, and the performance of institute for supply management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index was better than expected, which limited the increase of gold price. The gold price was as low as 1779 US dollars yesterday, and finally closed at 1793 US dollars. Ten dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-11-01

On November 1st. Today's volatility range: Bottle neck in global supply chain, pushing up inflation. Inflation has already exceeded the 2% set by the Federal Reserve Board. In recent weeks, the number of new initial jobless claims has dropped again, breaking the post-epidemic record for three consecutive weeks. It shows that the labor force has steadily rebounded, and the two factors of the Fed's delisting have been gradually met. Coupled with the pressure from other central banks, the Fed will knock on its own board on the interest rate meeting next week. The Fed's contraction will depress the gold market. This week is Super Data Week. There are both non-agricultural data, the interest rate decision result of the Federal Reserve and the statement after the meeting. The market will be more turbulent. It is expected to break through this week and test the support of USD 1,766 and USD 1,754. Today, it is suggested that the volatility should remain at 1770-1788 US dollars. The turmoil of default by mainland real estate enterprises has been falling one after another. Evergrande unexpectedly paid another overdue interest last week, but one more real estate company in the market was involved in debt default. The Chinese government has made a series of moves to help the poor under the policy of common prosperity. Whether it can be lifted out of poverty is still unknown, but the assets of the rich have been lowered first. According to the Hurun Rich List in the Mainland, the online media tycoons in the Mainland, Shuangma: Ma Huateng and Ma Yun, have shrunk dramatically, falling by 20% and 35% respectively. Top three positions. The People's Bank of China continued to provide liquidity through one-day reverse repurchase operations, but it still failed to boost market confidence. Beishui kept flowing in Hong Kong stocks. In a week, the Hang Seng Index fell by 2.87%, and lost 26,000 points. And the cable is broken for 4 weeks. The European Central Bank announced last Thursday that it would keep the current interest rate unchanged. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the euro zone grew strongly in the third quarter, indicating that the threat of the epidemic to the economy is gradually decreasing, and it is expected that the economy will surpass the epidemic by the end of the year. The former level is slowing down the use of emergency epidemic funds, and the market estimates that the European Central Bank will end the emergency policy as soon as next March. The market also predicts that the central bank will raise interest rates next year, but the European Central Bank is early. The issue of raising interest rates has not been strongly refuted, saying that the conditions for raising interest rates are still not met. In terms of data, the GDP in the third quarter of the Eurozone increased by 2.2% quarter by quarter, slightly exceeding market expectations, while the regional consumer price index last month. Year-on-year growth of 4.1%, the strongest increase since July, 2008, the economic data is going forward, and the revenue performance of enterprises is going up. In summary, the three major European stock markets have gained a total increase in the past week, and the DAX index of Germany has risen by 0.94%. The CAC index in Paris, France rose by 1.44%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.46%. The U.S. stock market reported good news, and the three major indexes on Wall Street reached a record high together. Last week, a number of large enterprises in the United States announced their performance, which was satisfactory. In addition, the labor market continued to show its growth momentum, which strengthened investors. People's confidence, calculated in a week, Jones index rose by 0.4%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 1.33%, while the Nasdaq Index rose 2.7%. New york's three major stock indexes have risen for the fourth consecutive week. The gold market oscillated downward last week. At the beginning of last week, the gold market repeatedly failed to hit $1,810 by the decline in the yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds. Until Friday, the latest core personal consumption expenditure price index increased by 0.2% year-on-year, although the figures still met the market. Expected, but sustained inflation is enough to support the Fed's announcement of delisting on Thursday's interest rate meeting. In fact, investors also bet on the Fed's early interest rate hike. After the data was released, gold was sold by investors and declined. 22 The lowest price in the US was US$ 1,772, which was more than US$ 30 lower than the highest price of US$ 1,801 on that day, and finally closed at US$ 1,783, down US$ 15. In summary, the price of gold dropped by 9 dollars a week. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-29

October 29th. Today's volatility range: The third quarter GDP released by the United States yesterday was lower than expected, but the job market grew steadily, and the economic data of the United States were mixed, which reduced the gold price range. European Central Bank President Lagarde said after the interest rate meeting that the euro zone. The growth in the third quarter was strong, which didn't meet the market expectation at present, but it indicated that the debt redemption activities of the Emergency Epidemic Fund should be slowed down, which will serve as a reference for the Fed to discuss interest rates next week. In the absence of important economic data in the market, gold prices try. Breakthrough upward, but ultimately failed to stabilize $1,800. Upstairs closed, while the lower $1,780 remained solid. May have to wait for next week's Federal Reserve meeting on interest rates and non-agricultural data to have a new direction. Suggested volatility today. At 1782 to 1804 dollars. Ocean Park announced its results at an early date, with a net operating loss of 1.1 billion yuan. Ocean Park's revenue mainly comes from admission tickets. However, in order to comply with the government's epidemic prevention regulations during the financial year, Ocean Park had to suspend its business for 146 days. After the park was reopened, it was also restricted by social distance, and the number of visitors dropped to 1.4 million, which was 36% lower than the 2.2 million visitors in the previous year, which was a record low. The audit of the park was even more important to the financial statements of Ocean Park. "Can't express opinions", the situation is quite abnormal! On that day, on the grounds of the collective memories of Hong Kong people, the Government spent more than $12 billion before and after public funds to save Ocean Park, which was a huge loss of money! Will the Hong Kong Government? The money recovered is in doubt. Hang Seng Index closed yesterday, and then fell 0.28% to close, falling for three consecutive days. The European Central Bank announced yesterday that it would keep the current interest rate unchanged. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the euro zone grew strongly in the third quarter, indicating that the threat of the epidemic to the economy is gradually decreasing, and it is expected that the economy will surpass that before the epidemic by the end of the year. Level, is slowing down the use of emergency epidemic funds, the market estimates that as soon as next March, the European Central Bank will end the emergency policy. The market also predicts that the central bank will raise interest rates next year, but the European Central Bank will raise interest rates early. There is no strong rebuttal, saying that the conditions for raising interest rates are still not met. The three major European stock markets developed independently, and the German DAX index fell by 0.06%. The CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.75%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.05%. The U.S. Department of Commerce announced that it still maintained growth in the third quarter, but the growth rate was lower than expected due to the surge of infection cases in COVID-19, supply shortage and persistent inflation. On the other hand, the US Department of Labor announced last night that the United States. Last week, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time fell again, breaking the post-epidemic record for three consecutive weeks, showing that the labor force has steadily rebounded. The U.S. stock market reported good news, and the three major indexes on Wall Street reached a record high together. Yesterday, many large enterprises in the United States performed well, and the labor market continued to grow, which enhanced investors' confidence in the market. Up 0.68%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.98%, and the Nasdaq Index rose 1.39%, rising for four consecutive days. American economic data are mixed, and gold prices fluctuate and rise. Yesterday's third-quarter GDP fell short of expectations, but employment. The market grew steadily, and the two data were positive and negative, which reduced the price of gold. The market expected the European Central Bank to raise interest rates early. However, after discussing interest rates, European Central Bank President Lagarde said that it did not meet market expectations at this stage and supported the rise of gold prices. Yesterday, the price of gold was as low as $1,792 and as high as $1,810, and finally closed at $1,799, up $2. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-28

October 28th. Today's volatility range: In the absence of important economic data in the market, investors have turned their attention to several central bank meetings around the world. The Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank will hold policy meetings on Thursday, and the Federal Reserve and Bank of England policy meetings next week. The Bank of Canada announced the end of the quantitative easing policy, but kept the key interest rate unchanged. The news once lowered the price of gold by $14, but it finally closed higher. The gold price will test the rising mid-line of the return area at the end of September. At 1768 and 1808 dollars. Today, it is suggested that the volatility should remain at 1782-1804 US dollars. The media reported that the National Development and Reform Commission held a meeting with some mainland real estate enterprises and listened to the operation and foreign debts of the participating enterprises, mainly asking the developers to actively repay their debts and try their best to avoid default; It is said that Evergrande Group last week. Unexpectedly, having money to pay the overdue interest of the first installment was the credit of the mainland regulatory authorities, urging Xu Jiayin, founder of China Evergrande, to use his personal fortune to pay his debts, and he could not be excused as a different legal person. The Chinese government has made a series of moves, It is still unknown whether the poor can get rid of poverty under the common prosperity policy, but the assets of the rich have been lowered first. According to the Hurun Rich List in the Mainland, the online media tycoons in the Mainland, Shuangma: Ma Huateng and Ma Yun, have shrunk greatly and fell respectively. And 35%, Qiqi fell out of the top three position. The United States attacked mainland enterprises again, and China Telecom and Baifu Global became targets. Sino-US relations caused market panic. In addition, the mainland epidemic began to spread in the north, and Hong Kong stocks were under pressure yesterday. The Hang Seng Index fell by more than 400 points or 1.57%. Before the end of the period, it fell below the 26,000 mark, and Beishui invested 2.2 billion yuan. In Europe, one after another, some enterprises announced their performance, but yesterday's performance was mixed, the hot market sentiment cooled, the three major European stock markets fell across the board, and Germany's DAX index. 0.33%; France Paris CAC index fell 0.19%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.33%. The price of crude oil dropped significantly, which caused the market to worry about the economic prospects. In addition, the yield of US Treasury bonds dropped, and traditional cyclical shares. If the bank stocks fell, the three major indexes on Wall Street generally fell, Dow Jones index and Standard & Poor's 500 index broke the peak again, rising by 0.74% and 0.50% respectively, and Nasdaq index was supported by long-term interest decline. Fortunately, the market closed up by 1%, barely saying it rose for three consecutive days. The gold market fell repeatedly in the early part of yesterday, while the European market stabilized and the US market rebounded. In the absence of important economic data in the market, the price of gold fluctuated yesterday, reaching a minimum of $1,784. After that, the US dollar index fell, and the price of gold was supported and stabilized. In the United States, the central bank of Canada announced the end of the quantitative easing policy, but kept the key interest rate unchanged. When the news came out, it shocked the market, and the fluctuation reached US$ 14. After the news was digested, the gold price regained its upward trend, reaching a maximum of US$ 1,799. Finally, it closed at $1,797, up $4. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-27

October 27th. Today's volatility range: The U.S. economic data performed well, and the American Consultative Conference Consumer Confidence Index released yesterday reversed the contraction last month and regained growth. The sales volume of new homes in the United States is also better than market expectations, indicating that the economy is improving and consumers are regaining confidence. Be optimistic about income prospects and be willing to invest in longer-term real estate. The data stimulated the US dollar index to rise, and the price of gold retreated to rise at an early date, but the price of gold remained at the mid-line of the return area at the end of September, which is still the same sentence and should not be too weak. Today's suggested volatility is between $1782 and $1804. Investors have turned their attention to the results of interest rate discussions by several central banks around the world. The Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank will hold a policy meeting on Thursday, followed by the Bank of Canada, which is geographically close. And next week's policy meeting between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Exemption from quarantine personnel has become the biggest loophole in epidemic prevention in Hong Kong. Since the pandemic in Covid-19, people who are immunized have been diagnosed with rashes from time to time, causing panic in the community. Fortunately, Hong Kong people are well prepared for epidemic prevention so as not to be captured by the virus. And from the medical profession. Many voices have asked the government to tighten quarantine exemption conditions, but the Hong Kong government just turned a deaf ear! At the beginning, the Chief Executive explained it for different reasons, either because of humanitarian reasons, or because Hong Kong is a highly open commercial area. It could not affect businessmen's exchanges and other reasons, which eventually closed the open Hong Kong to the mainland. In hindsight, the Hong Kong Government strives to resume customs clearance with the Mainland. Yesterday, it announced that most groups exempted from quarantine entry would be abolished, and pilots and crew members would also. Tightening insurance, finance and top management of listed companies, etc. Hong Kong stocks failed to undertake the rising trend of US stocks to a new high every other night, and Hang Seng Index softened. The turmoil of default by mainland real estate enterprises has come and gone. Evergrande unexpectedly paid a overdue interest last week. Yesterday, it was reported that one more domestic real estate company was involved in debt default. The People's Bank of China continued to provide liquidity through one-day reverse repurchase, but it still failed to boost market confidence. The net outflow of Beishui was 2 billion yuan, and the Hang Seng Index fell 0.36% on Tuesday, narrowly keeping the 26,000 mark. In Europe, there are enterprises in business one after another. Period to hand over good results, market sentiment gradually optimistic, support the risk market. The three major European stock markets rose across the board, and the German DAX index rose by 1.01%. The CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.80%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.76%. With the satisfactory performance of many large enterprises and favorable investment climate, and the outstanding performance of US economic data, the three major indexes on Wall Street recorded an increase across the board, and the Dow Jones Index and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index broke the peak again, rising by 0.04% respectively. And the Nasdaq index also rose for two consecutive days, closing up 0.06%. The U.S. economic data performed well, and the American Consultative Conference Consumer Confidence Index released yesterday reversed the contraction last month and regained growth. The sales volume of new homes in the United States is also better than the market expectation, which shows that the economy is improving, consumers are regaining confidence, and they are worried about income. Keep an optimistic outlook and be willing to invest in longer-term real estate. The data stimulated the rise of the US dollar index, which broke through 94 points and hit the gold market. The highest price of gold yesterday was US$ 1,808, the lowest price was US$ 1,782, and finally it closed at US$ 1,793. 15 dollars down. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-26

October 26th. Today's volatility range: The global supply chain appeared a bottle neck, which further accelerated the possibility of the rise of the price. The anti-inflation function of the gold price was brought into full play again. In addition, the yield of the 10-year national debt was lowered, and the gold price stabilized obviously. At the end of September, it returned to the rising middle line of the region. Yesterday, it weighed $1810 again. Today's suggested volatility is between $1794 and $1818. Set the chairman said housing is not fried! In order to suppress rising property prices, the central government used three red lines to curb excessive borrowing by mainland real estate companies, which finally stirred up Evergrande Group and caused a storm of default, although Evergrande unexpectedly paid before the death line. One-time overdue interest, to avoid real default, has forced the enterprise to transform, saying that with the goal of 10 years, it will slowly shift from real estate development to research and development of new energy vehicles. Whether Evergrande can successfully transform is unknown, but the State Council. Aware that there can be no accident of the second interior housing enterprise, it has avoided shaking the whole financial system, implying that it will increase liquidity. At that time, I am afraid that once the market is loosened, the property price will rise again, and all previous efforts will be wasted. The policy of killing two birds with one stone will introduce property tax in specific cities, restrict real estate speculation, and then plan to subsidize the first-home buyers, and support these shellless snails to get on the bus, so that some risks will be transferred from the interior enterprises to the users. Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks were stable again and again, and the mainland will carry out real estate tax reform pilots in some areas. In addition, the market spread that Beijing summoned some high-level housing enterprises to hold meetings, and most of the domestic housing stocks fell except Evergrande Group. HSBC Holdings in the third quarter of this year. The profit before tax rose by 75.7%, far exceeding the expectation. Unfortunately, the announcement of no dividend made the minority shareholders disappointed. Hang Seng Index rose above 0.02 yesterday. In Europe, investors observe the UK budget and expenditure review, the European Central Bank's interest rate meeting, As well as the performance of the upcoming major enterprises, the market is cautiously optimistic, and the three major European stock markets are developing individually, with the DAX index of Germany rising by 0.36%; France Paris CAC index fell 0.31%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.25%. along with More blue chips and enterprises from other countries announced good news. Tesla posted an impressive performance last week, and announced yesterday that it would increase the price of its four cars. It was also awarded the monthly target of raising the stock price by the big bank. Tesla's share price has soared by more than 15%. It closed at $1,024.86, and its market value exceeded $1 trillion! Investors look forward to other companies' satisfactory quarterly results, and the market atmosphere is even hotter. All three Wall Street indexes have risen, and Dow Jones index has closed up 64 points or 0.18%. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index broke its peak again, rising 21 points or 0.47%; Nasdaq index closed up 136 points or 0.9%. It is worth noting that Facebook also announced its third-quarter results after the US stock market closed. Although the overall quarterly revenue was lower than the market forecast, the advertising revenue increased by 33% year-on-year to 28.28 billion. The net profit for the first three quarters was 9.194 billion dollars. The US dollar stopped its decline, coupled with continued inflation, which further pushed up the bond price. The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds dropped from 1.7% to 1.63%. Yesterday, the price of gold was anti-inflation. Once again, the price of gold hit another $1810 yesterday, and finally closed at $1808, rising by $15. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-25

October 25th. Today's volatility range: There is a bottle neck in the global supply chain, and crude oil has reached a new high in seven years, which further accelerates the possibility of rising and gold has anti-inflation function. However, the United States announced that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time fell last week, creating another epidemic. The new low since the epidemic reflects the continuous improvement of the labor market. Powell suggested that the Federal Reserve decided to shrink its table in November, which is more likely to speed up the Fed's rate hike. The current price of gold should also reflect the contraction of the Fed. In anticipation of premium news, the pace of interest rate increase has become a major variable in the gold market. Gold price stabilized obviously and returned to the rising center line of the district at the end of September, which should not be too weak. The key support is USD 1,780, and the next support is USD 1,766. $1806 and $1820 above are resistance. Today's suggested volatility is between $1787 and $1802. The National Bureau of Statistics announced that China's GDP in the third quarter increased by 4.9% year-on-year, which was lower than the market expectation. The employment data has also improved, and the newly announced newly-added urban employment population in China has exceeded 10.5 million, which has been achieved. 95% of the annual target; As for the national urban survey unemployment rate, it was 4.9%, down 0.2 percentage points from last month. The surveyed unemployment rate in 31 big cities and towns was 5%, down 0.3 percentage points from last month. Another ideal but. In September, the total retail sales of social consumer goods rose more than expected. On the other hand, Liu He, Vice Premier of the State Council, said that there were some problems in the real estate market, but the risks were generally controllable, and Evergrande, which was heavily in debt, paid unexpectedly. The market sentiment is more positive because of the overdue interest of the first installment. The Hang Seng Index has risen for four consecutive weeks, rising above the 26,000 mark and rising 3.14% a week. The performance of European enterprises is ideal, and the European stock market is generally rising. However, the World Bank published the report "Commodity Market Outlook", which predicted that energy prices will continue to rise next year after rising by more than 80% this year, but the increase. It will be narrowed, but it will bring great risks to many developing countries. Continued inflation limits the increase of risk market, with the three major European stock markets rising every week, and Germany's DAX index rising by 0.16%. CAC Index of Paris, France. 0.19%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.2%. The US stock market rose across the board last week, thanks to the satisfactory quarterly performance of enterprises, and US President Biden met with members of the Democratic Party of the United States and lobbied them to coordinate the budget bill. Support, lead the risk market optimism, the risk market is sought after, and push the Dow Jones index and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to a new high. After a week's summary, the Dow Jones index rose by 1.29%; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index closed up 1.82%, Nasdaq index also rose 1.69%. The long and short gold market is contending, and persistent inflation warms up the risk aversion. The anti-inflation function of gold price has been brought into full play, and it once rose above $1,800, reaching a maximum of $1,814. However, the United States announced that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time last week fell to a big epidemic. Since its popularity, it has reached a new low, reflecting the gradual improvement of the labor market. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a speech, saying that the Federal Reserve will complete its bond purchase reduction plan in mid-2022 as planned, and give an early warning to the market, saying that if the Federal Reserve sees inflation, It is expected that the serious risk of rising will raise interest rates. The market expects the Fed to raise interest rates faster and limit the increase of gold price, and finally closes at $1,793, up $10. In summary, the price of gold rose by $25 a week. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-22

October 22nd. Today's volatility range: The market had expected the Federal Reserve to start reducing its bond purchases in November, but the United States announced that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time fell again last week, hitting a new low since the epidemic, reflecting the continuous improvement of the labor market. The news will not only strengthen the implementation of the Fed's table reduction action, but also accelerate the Fed's rate hike. Gold price hit USD 1,790 for two consecutive days, but it was supported at USD 1,778. Yesterday, it rose slightly after long and short battles. Only the pace of the Fed's interest rate increase may affect the performance of the gold market. Today, it is suggested that the volatility should be between 1775 and 1790 US dollars. Following the speech made by Vice Premier Liu He of the State Council, saying that there are some problems in the real estate market, but the risks are generally controllable, China Banking Regulatory Commission also named Evergrande Real Estate as an individual phenomenon yesterday, which will not affect the reputation of Chinese-funded enterprises. It has too much influence, and thinks that the related risks of Evergrande are controllable. China Banking Regulatory Commission tried to strengthen market confidence. In addition, Liu He hinted earlier that three red lines might be relaxed, and the interior housing stocks were built because liquidity was expected to be loosened. Only China Evergrande's sale of Evergrande property to Hesheng Chuangzhan fell through, and its shares resumed trading yesterday. Evergrande and Evergrande's property declined sharply, ranging from 8% to 12%. Hong Kong stocks finally retreated after rising for 4 days, and they were listed in Kewang. And power stocks retreated as a whole, the Hang Seng Index fell 0.35% yesterday, sticking to the 26,000 mark. The World Bank published the report "Commodity Market Outlook", which predicted that energy prices will continue to rise next year after rising by more than 80% this year, but the increase will be narrowed, but it described the benefits that will be brought to many developing countries. Great risks. Sustained inflation has warmed up risk aversion, with three major European stock markets falling, and Germany's DAX index falling by 0.32%. France Paris CAC index fell 0.29%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.45%. Individual development of American stock market, Tesla's quarterly performance is ideal, leading a group of technology stocks, pushing the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to break the peak and generate a new high in the market. It rose for the seventh consecutive day yesterday, and then rose by 0.3% to close the market. It also rose by 0.62%. However, the international business machine announced that its performance was lower than expected, which made the whole family tired. The Dow Jones index closed down 0.02%. Yesterday, the gold market was contending for long and short positions. Continued inflation warmed up the risk aversion, and the anti-inflation ability of gold prices increased. However, the United States announced that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time last week fell to a new low since the epidemic, reflecting the labor force. In the gradual improvement of the market, Bostic, president of Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank, even said that the Fed may start to raise interest rates as soon as the third quarter of next year, and the yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds will rise first in response to the news, offsetting most of the gold price. Increase. Yesterday, the low price of gold was $1,777, and the highest price rose to $1,790, which benefited from the expectation of raising interest rates, and finally closed at $1,783, rising to $1. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-21

October 21st. Today's volatility range: Although the market expects that the Fed will start to reduce its bond purchases in November, it may still be some time before the interest rate hike, lagging behind other central banks. The British pound and the New Zealand dollar took the lead in rising against the US dollar on the premise of raising interest rates yesterday, plus. European stock markets rose, depressing the performance of the US dollar, and the US dollar index hovered around 94 points. The downturn of the US dollar benefited the gold price, which rose above the resistance of US$ 1,778 yesterday. If it can stabilize and consolidate on it, it will challenge US$ 1,795. Today, the suggested wave amplitude is between 1778 and 1792 US dollars, which falls below 1778 US dollars, stops corrosion at 1780 US dollars, and beats gold for 8 mosquitoes at 1770 US dollars, which is 4 times the value rate. Liu He, Vice Premier of the State Council, said that there are some problems in the real estate market at present, but the risks are generally controllable, the reasonable capital needs are being met, and the healthy development of the real estate market will not change. Liu He's speech is obviously The liquidity faced by domestic enterprises was relieved, and the news stimulated Hong Kong stocks to close higher. The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.35% again, which has risen for the fourth consecutive day. With the launch of the third quarter earnings season, supply chain problems are becoming increasingly tense, and the prices of various futures products. Both are on the rise, investors are worried about the rising costs of enterprises caused by persistent inflation, and inflationary pressure is also formed in the plans of central banks around the world to withdraw quantitative easing stimulus plans, which is unfavorable to risky markets. However, there are also enterprises due to commodity prices. Yesterday, because Nestle, the world's largest food manufacturer, announced its results, its coffee rose in the third quarter, but its sales still recorded strong growth, which pushed up the prices of other food stocks. The three major European stock markets all rose, and the German DAX index rose by 0.05%. The CAC index in Paris, France rose by 0.54%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.08%. Undertake the performance of European stock markets, although the market worries about supply chain problems and makes enterprises operate. Costs are rising, but the investment hopes that enterprises can pass on costs to consumers, thus maintaining profits. Investors bet that the third quarter results of American enterprises will be better than expected. The Dow Jones index reached a new high and closed up 0.43%. standard The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.37%, which is also approaching the historical record. On the contrary, Nasdaq index fell 0.05%. The first bitcoin exchange-traded fund in the United States was successfully listed on Tuesday, US time, which stimulated bitcoin to rise yesterday, rising above the historical high of US$ 64,870 in April, and once rose above US$ 67,000, closing at 3.02%. Although the market expects that the Federal Reserve will start to reduce its bond purchases in November, there may still be some time before the rate hike, and the rate hike schedule lags behind other central banks. On the premise of yesterday's rate hike, the British pound and New Zealand dollar took the lead in rising against the US dollar. Coupled with the rise of European stock markets, which suppressed the performance of the US dollar, the US dollar index hovered around 94 points. The downturn of the US dollar caused the gold price to gain. The gold price reached a low of US$ 1,767 yesterday, and rose to a maximum of US$ 1,789, which benefited from its interest rate hike expectations. It finally closed at $1782, up $12. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-20

October 20 th. Today's volatility range: The yield of U.S. Treasury bonds jumped higher and lower, which affected the trend of gold market yesterday. The yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds declined in Asian time, and the price of gold broke through the level of $1,780. After that, the market spread to US President Biden and the Democratic Party of the United States. A consensus was reached on the budget coordination bill this week. If the bill is passed, it will further support the Federal Reserve Bureau to speed up the rate hike, and the yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds will return to 1.6%, which will limit the increase of gold price. The price of gold has obviously consolidated between $1,760 and $1,780, and today's suggested volatility is between $1,762 and $1,776. The Exchange Fund of Hong Kong announced its financial report for the third quarter, and recorded an investment loss of 13.2 billion yuan, mainly from investing in the Hong Kong stock market, with a loss of 26.3 billion yuan! The internal decline in futures mainly started from the incessant recruitment of mainland enterprises to supervise Kewang. Coupled with the ideal idea of common prosperity advocated by the President of China, Hong Kong's stock market was shattered, and many foreign funds left the market to avoid risks. What is the concept of $26.3 billion? This year's Financial Secretary Chen Maobo's Budget. According to the announcement of spending $36 billion to distribute spending cards to permanent residents over the age of 18, if the above losses are increased on average to support the public, each citizen can get an extra share of about $4,000. Yesterday, the mainland stock market rebounded, and the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds danced high and low, which affected the performance of financial price, and fell back to below 1.6% during the Asian session. Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed higher yesterday, and then rose by 1.5%. The Hang Seng Index has risen for three consecutive days. With the demand for crude oil exceeding supply, the price of crude oil has been rising continuously, and the international oil price is approaching a 7-year high, while the oil group countries still refuse to increase production for the time being. The market expects inflation to bring pressure to enterprises, and the pressure of the global central bank to raise interest rates has also increased greatly, which is unfavorable to the stock market. The three major European stock markets developed individually under the pressure of raising interest rates, and the DAX index of Germany rose by 0.27%. France Paris CAC index fell 0.05%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.19%. Yesterday, many American large-scale enterprises announced their ideal performance, which stimulated the stock price to rise generally. In addition, U.S. President Biden met with his party friend, the Democratic Party members of the United States, and lobbied them to support the budget coordination bill this week, leading the optimism of the risk market. The three major indexes on Wall Street rose across the board, and the Dow Jones index rose by 0.56%. The S&P 500 index rose by 0.74%; Nasdaq index rose 0.71%. The gold market rose repeatedly yesterday. The low price of gold yesterday was $1,763, which was seen shortly after the market opened. After that, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds fell below 1.6% during the Asian session, supporting the rise of gold price, with the highest price rising to $1,785. But the market spread to America. President Biden and the Democratic Party of the United States reached a consensus on the budget coordination bill this week. If the bill is passed, it will further support the Federal Reserve Bureau to speed up the pace of raising interest rates. The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds will return to 1.6%, and the price of gold will soften. 1770 dollars closed, up 5 dollars. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-19

10月19日 今日波幅區間： 全球供應鏈出現頸瓶,加上原油價格不斷攀升,進一步加長通脤持續上升的可能,為防止流動性加劇通脹,美聯儲選擇退市是有其必要性,但是否可以扭轉現時 通脹率不斷上行,而又不傷及經濟復甦,收水力度及時間表是關鍵。但市場幾乎肯定美聯儲在11月開始減少買債。金市昨日承接周五表現繼續回調,但波幅收窄 至12美元,走勢仍然受控於本年3、4月蓄勢推升的供應及需求帶,現階段多空爭持於1760美元至1770美元之間,金日就以此段位為建議波幅,實行低買高沽。 國家統計局公布,中國第三季國內生產總值按年增長4.9%,遜於市場預期增長5%,與國務院總理李克強將今年經濟增長目標定於6%以上仍有一段距離。國家統計 局表示,當前國際環境不確定性因素增多,國內經濟恢復仍不穩固、不均衡,但總體保持恢復形態,穩步推進。而就業數據亦有所改善,新公布的全國城鎮新增 就業人口逾1.05千萬人,已達成全年目標的95%;至於全國城鎮調查失業率為4.9%,比上月下降0.2個百分點。31個大城市城鎮調查失業率為5%,比上月下降0.3個 百分點。另一較為理想的但9月份社會消費品零售總額比預期上升。 港股昨日反覆,早段高開見全日高位,國家統計局公布數據之後大市隨隨下跌,最後內地股市在回穩,加上金管局公布「跨境理財通」,市場對內地通關再作憧憬, 恆生指數倒升0.31%收市。原油價格不斷攀升,市場認為大宗商品上升,預期通脹將持續更長時間並對經濟有破壞力。而全球央行加息的壓力亦大增,英國央行行長貝 利亦不違言,說要遏制通脹,市場預期英國央行最快將於下個月加息。歐洲三大股市在加息壓力之下見損,德國指数指數跌0.72%;法國巴黎成都飞机公司（Chengdu Airplane Company的缩写）指數跌0.81%;英國 富時100指數跌0.42%。 市場對通脹加劇的憂慮加劇,加強聯儲局最快明年加息的預期,美國十年期國債孳息率先行上漲,昨日曾升穿1.6%,通脹及息魔聯手打壓傳統經濟股份,加上美國工業 生產數據出現倒退,華爾街三大指數個別發展,道瓊斯指數跌0.1%;標普500指數升0.34%;納斯達克指數升0.84%。市場預期聯儲加息步伐加快局,金市昨日承接周五表現 繼續回調,但昨日上下波幅收窄至12美元。金價早段最高曾見1772美元,輾轉回落至日低的1760美元,多頭欲藉美國工業生產數據出現倒退試作反擊,但顯注受壓於1772 高位的阻力而回軟,最終以1765美元收市,跌3美元。 如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議,歡迎点击以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-18

On October 18th. Today's volatility range: There is a bottleneck in the global supply chain, which further speeds up the possibility of inflation. In order to prevent liquidity from aggravating inflation, it is necessary for the Fed to choose to withdraw from the market, but whether it can reverse the rising inflation rate at present, Without hurting the economic recovery, the water harvesting degree and timetable are the key. However, the market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve began to reduce its bond buying in November. Although the gold market fluctuated greatly last week, its trend was still controlled by 3. In April, the supply and demand belt, which was expected to be pushed up, pulled back after failing to rise above $1,800, and fell close to the key support of $1,766. The gold price should also reflect the expectation of the Fed's contraction. Therefore, the gold market is still. Will continue to fluctuate between $1746 and $1780. Maintain yesterday's suggested volatility between $1760 and $1778. Last week, investors hoped that the mainland's crackdown on new economic stocks had come to an end. Technology stocks became the locomotive of yesterday's market rise, and the technology index closed up more than 3%. At the same time, the Hang Seng Index rose nearly 500 points on Monday. It reached the level of 25,000, but was beaten in the face on Tuesday. The market spread to the mainland to examine the relationship between the financial industry and regulatory authorities and private enterprises such as China Evergrande, in order to investigate whether there was any corruption. In addition, in addition to the above financial. In addition to the institutional and indoor enterprises, it also includes the giant companies of Kewang that have contact with the regulatory authorities. The Hang Seng Index was shaken off again, and the gains on Monday were reversed. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reopened after the typhoon holiday and the Double Ninth Festival, during which the Premier of the State Council of China. Li Keqiang said that he is optimistic about the resilience and vitality of China's economic performance, and that China's economy can maintain long-term growth. Hang Seng Index rebounded last Friday, regaining the level of 25,000 points. Hang Seng Index rose 493 points a week, Three weeks in a row. Rising energy prices and bottlenecks in supply have led to an intensification of the euro zone's transaction, and the market is worried that the transaction will increase the operating costs of enterprises. European stock markets fell last Monday, but as Europe entered the enterprise performance period, the results were well announced. In addition, it is said in the market that EU leaders may approve the energy crisis assistance plan, so as to prevent the efforts to gain momentum during the virus pandemic from burning. Thanks to the subsidy news and the optimistic performance of the market, the three major European stock markets. For two consecutive weeks, the German DAX index rose by 2.51%; The CAC index in Paris, France rose by 2.55%; The FTSE 100 Index rose 1.95%. US stocks opened higher last Monday, but new york oil futures soared to a nearly seven-year high, triggering market opposition. Fears that high inflation may continue, coupled with well-known investment banks downgrading the economic growth forecasts of the United States this year and next, US stocks fell on Monday and fell for five consecutive trading days. In the last two trading days, a number of American banks announced their results, and the results released were satisfactory. In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States fell below 300,000 for the first time. Under the favorable news, venture capital counterattacked, the three major indexes on Wall Street recovered lost ground, and US stocks rose for two weeks. In the summary week, the Dow Jones index rose by 1.64%. The S&P 500 index rose 1.96%; Nasdaq index, up 2.46%.   In the early period of the gold market, it was continuously adjusted back from the opening price. It was announced in the United States that the retail sales in September unexpectedly recorded a positive growth of 0.7%, exceeding the negative growth of 0.2% expected by the market, reflecting that the economy is on the road of improvement, and the US dollar index is above 94 points again. The U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds also rebounded from the low level, with the highest approaching 1.57%, which caused the gold price to decline further, falling to a daily low of $1,765, and closing at $1,766, down $29. In summary, the price of gold rose by $10 a week. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-15

On October 15th. Today's volatility range: Fed officials have indicated that inflation has already reached the target set by the Federal Reserve, but the only difference is employment data. Last night, the US Department of Labor announced the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time last week, and the number dropped below 300,000 for the first time. Since the outbreak of the new crown virus. The data further pushed up the possibility that Fed officials could start to reduce the possibility of buying bonds as early as mid-November. The monthly increase of producer price index in the United States was slightly lower than expected, but on a yearly basis. The record rose by 8.6%, and the price of gold continued to play an anti-inflation role yesterday. Gold price was consolidated at a high level yesterday, and resistance of $1,800 was tested again. Maintain yesterday's suggested volatility between $1778 and $1808. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said that China's economic recovery is bumpy and uneven in development, and the country will implement a number of policies to overcome the challenges it faces. However, he said that the current Chinese economy is still. Maintain a stable operation and keep the main macroeconomic indicators in a reasonable range. In conclusion, he is optimistic about the resilience and vitality of China's economic performance, and China's economy can maintain long-term growth. After Typhoon Compass hit Hong Kong, it was the Double Ninth Festival holiday. Hong Kong stocks have two consecutive days off. The global oil supply is in short supply. The International Energy Agency released a report, which estimated that under the shortage of natural gas in Europe and Asia, the oil demand increased by about 500,000 barrels per day due to the soaring gas price in the next six months, which made the oil supply short. Further expansion, rising crude oil prices have also brought pressure to European enterprises. Yesterday, it was reported that EU leaders might approve the energy crisis assistance plan, so as to avoid the efforts to gain momentum in the virus pandemic. Thanks to the subsidy news and the optimistic performance of the market, the three major European stock markets rose for two consecutive days, and the German index rose by 1.40%. The index of Chengdu Aircraft Company in Paris, France rose by 1.33%. The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.92%. US Department of Labor last night. Last week, it was announced that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time dropped to 293,000, which was better than the market expectation. This figure also dropped below 300,000 for the first time since the outbreak of the new coronavirus. Another data is the US producer price index, It grew by 8.6% year-on-year, which was 0.2% longer than that of last month, reflecting the problem that inflation continued to grow due to tight supply. Yesterday, a number of American banks announced their results, and the results were satisfactory. In addition, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the United States fell for the first time. Below 300,000 yuan, under the double positive news, investors sought after the risk market, the three major indexes on Wall Street surged, and the Dow Jones index rose 1.56%; The S&P 500 Index rose by 1.71%; Nasdaq index, up 1.73%. American producer price. The monthly increase of the index was slightly lower than expected, but it rose by 8.6% year-on-year, and the gold price continued to play its anti-inflation role yesterday. The gold price was consolidated at a high level yesterday, and the resistance of $1,800 was tested again. The lowest price of gold yesterday was $1,787. See $1801 at the highest, and close at $1796, up $3. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please click on the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-14

On October 14th. Today's volatility range: Although the voice of the Federal Reserve's delisting sings into the clouds, the employment data of the United States has repeatedly performed month after month, adding uncertainties. The Federal Reserve announced the minutes of the Open Market Committee in the morning of this morning, showing that Fed officials were the earliest. It may start to reduce debt purchase in mid-November. Fed officials all agree that the current economic situation is close to the target set by the Federal Reserve, and may soon reduce monthly debt purchase. But for the pace of raising interest rates, Members still have differences, some support raising interest rates by the end of next year, while others say that interest rates should remain stable until 2023. However, the market forecast that the Fed will start raising interest rates in November next year is nearly 94%! Yesterday, the price of gold reflected its anti-inflation function, and it reached a high level since September 16th. Yesterday, the highest price of gold was $1,796, which tested the resistance of $1,800. Or try the resistance position again, and suggest the volatility today. Between $1778 and $1802. Typhoon Compasses hit Hong Kong, and the Hong Kong Observatory began to hang Typhoon Signal No.8 at dusk in Zhou Erjin. It was not until 4: 40 pm yesterday that Typhoon Signal No.3 was hoisted, and all typhoon signals were removed until 6: 00 am. The storm signal lasted for 23 hours, The Hong Kong Stock Exchange announced its suspension yesterday morning. Under the influence of extreme weather, typhoon signal No.8 has been hoisted twice a week in Hong Kong. When people have more holidays, should we consider the impact of our lives on the climate? Thanks to the ideal performance of software companies and luxury goods manufacturers in the euro zone, the three major European stock markets fell first and then rose on Wednesday, closing at a high close to the whole day, and the German DAX index rose by 0.68%; CAC Index in Paris, France rose. 0.75%； The FTSE 100 Index rose 0.16%. Last night, the United States announced that the core consumer price index in September rose by 4% year on year and 0.2% month on month, both in line with expectations. However, the consumer price index unexpectedly accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, reflecting the supply chain shortage during the period. Has pushed up the price of food and energy. The inflation rate in the United States continues to rise, which brings pressure to enterprises. In addition, the yield of US Treasury bonds has dropped, which has affected the performance of banking stocks. Wall Street stock market went back and forth in the early part of yesterday, and finally developed independently. Dow Jones index closed flat; The S&P 500 index rose 0.3%; However, the yield of US Treasury bonds softened, and technology stocks benefited the most. The Nasdaq index ended its four-day continuous decline and rose by 0.73%. Yesterday, gold played an anti-inflation role. Gold hit a high since September 16th. The price of gold rose repeatedly in the early period, and almost all the increases were retreated before entering the United States. The lowest price of gold yesterday was $1,758, and the consumer price index was released in the United States later, and the data was unexpected. Accelerated rise, gold was sought after and exploded, reaching a peak of $1,796 and closing at $1,793, up $33. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat

2021-10-13

On October 13th. Today's volatility range: Although the voice of the Federal Reserve's delisting sang loudly, the employment data of the United States repeatedly showed month after month, adding uncertainties. In Bostic's speech last night, the Federal Reserve said that inflation was indeed higher than the Committee's target of 2%. However, the Fed is still satisfied with the volatility of inflation at present, and the market is running well and the liquidity is sufficient. He predicted that reducing the scale of bond purchase would not have a negative impact, and the current soaring inflation is not enough to change the prospect of the Fed's interest rate hike. It is expected that the rate hike will be more than one year later. It implies that the pace of water collection by the Federal Reserve will not change, and the current situation of gold price seems to have reflected the policy that the water collection by the Federal Reserve will be locked in November, but is this really the case? There will be an American federal open market at 2: 00 tomorrow morning. Minutes of the Committee, goodbye to the real chapter. New york oil futures stabilized at $80 per barrel, and the global energy shortage threatened the economic prospects. European and American stock markets fell, and funds turned to gold and dollar assets to avoid risks. The US dollar index rose to 94.56 points, climbing to. One-year high, but this does not hinder the rise of gold price. Yesterday, the gold price was as low as $1,751 and as high as $1,769, and closed at $1,760, up $6. The gold market will continue to fluctuate, and today's suggested volatility is between 1748 and 1768 dollars. Yesterday, it was said that mainland departments and media had not made any negative comments on related industries of Kewang in the near future, but yesterday, they were beaten in the face, and the market spread to the mainland to examine the relationship between the financial industry and regulators and private enterprises such as China Evergrande, so as to investigate whether there was any corruption. In addition, apart from the above-mentioned financial institutions and indoor enterprises, the respondents also include the giant companies in contact with the regulatory authorities, such as Ant Group and Didi, etc., and whether the key personnel in charge of supervision will have high-level relations with private enterprises. Too good, which affects the efficiency of supervision or whether there are any irregularities in the middle. The tangible hand of the mainland once again successfully intervened in the market, Hong Kong stocks ended three consecutive rises, and the science and technology index closed down more than 3%; The Hang Seng Index fell below the 25,000 mark, Closing down 1.43%. According to the International Monetary Fund, the global economic growth this year has been lowered due to the emergence of the COVID-19 strain in the world, and the longer-lasting inflationary pressure caused by the supply bottleneck, which increases the risk of economic recovery and growth. 0.1 to 5.9%. In addition, the economic prosperity index industry in the euro zone fell sharply, which affected the market investment climate. The three major European stock markets fell, and the DAX index in Germany and CAC index in Paris, France also fell by 0.34%. Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.23%. US stocks fell for three consecutive days. The International Monetary Fund lowered the gross national product (GNP) of the United States this year, from an earlier forecast growth of 7% to a forecast growth of 6%, which is in the same pace as the forecast made by well-known investment banks in the United States a few days ago. The forecast of economic slowdown makes the risk market more pessimistic, with the three Wall Street indexes falling, and the Dow Jones index falling by 0.34%. The S&P 500 index fell 0.25%; Nasdaq index fell 0.14%. In Bostic's speech last night, the Federal Reserve said that the inflation rate was indeed higher than the Committee's target of 2%, but the Fed was still satisfied with the current volatility of inflation, and the market was running well and the liquidity was sufficient, so he expected to reduce purchases. The scale of debt will not have a negative impact, and the current soaring inflation is not enough to change the prospect of the Fed's interest rate hike. He personally expects that the interest rate hike will be more than one year later. Implies that the Fed's water collection pace will not change. New york oil futures stabilized at $80 per barrel, The tight global energy supply threatens the economic prospects and aggravates inflation concerns. European and American stock markets have fallen, and funds have turned to gold and US dollar assets to avoid risks. The US dollar index rose to 94.56 points, reaching a one-year high, but this did not hinder the rise of gold prices. Yesterday, the gold price was as low as $1,751 and as high as $1,769, and closed at $1,760, up $6. For detailed analysis and operational suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and check with the administrator. https://t.me/mingtakchat