Gold market analysis

2022-10-13

On October 13 Today's trading range Inflation DATA REMAINS THE FOCUS OF THE MARKET, WITH THE MARKET generally ACCEPTING THAT THE FED WILL RAISE INTEREST RATES by 75 points NEXT month AND THE GOLD market gradually pricing IN such a rate hike The late CPI reading could be a pleasant surprise for the market, with expectations for an annual rate cut to 8.1 percent. If the data is in line with market expectations, the gold market could rise. The reverse is still true, but the Fed's next 0.75% rate hike is also a definite decision, so it should not be too far down. Today's recommended range is $1662 to $1685 The dollar. Hong Kong stock trend repeated, opening to follow the periphery of the decline, opened 74 points lower, afternoon market news that the Bank of London will extend the rescue market, the Hang Seng index had a comeback, rose more than 200 The Hang Seng Index ended lower, down 131 points or 0.7, although the BOE's pre-market re-purchase programme was still due to end later this week 8% to 16,701, another 11-year closing low. The HKMA took on nearly HK $11.7 billion during the New York session, further strengthening the balance of the Hong Kong banking system It fell to HK $106.6 billion, indicating a serious capital outflow and a precarious situation. With the International Monetary Fund downgrading its forecast for global economic growth in 2023 and the intensification of fighting in Eastern Europe, it is clear that the war will continue, and Putin is expected to be looking forward to it Could drag on into the winter months of December, with the expectation that the energy crisis will force NATO to voluntarily reduce its aid to Ukraine. To the right, the shadow of the Fed's interest rate hike lingers All three major European stock markets fell, with Germany's DAX index down 0.37%; The CAC index in Paris fell 0.25%; Britain's FTSE 100 index Fell 0.9%. The United States yesterday released the latest production price index, data unexpectedly higher than the market expectations! The inflation data went up again, causing renewed investor jitters and jitters The Fed stuck to its hawkish stance. As expected, the minutes of the September rate-setting meeting, released early this morning, showed that Federal Reserve officials agreed that the central bank needed to A shift to tighter policy; Fed Governor Richard Bowman also issued forward guidance, saying a sharp increase in interest rates should remain appropriate if inflation does not show signs of falling ", stressing absolute support for a 75-point rate hike in November. Wall Street's three major indexes turned negative on the news, with the Dow down 0.1%, The S&P 500 fell 0.33 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite fell for a sixth straight day and another 0.09 percent. The dollar's strength was halted yesterday by separate market support from central banks in China and the UK, as well as the release in the early hours of the morning of the minutes of the September rate-setting meeting in the US, which showed Fed officials The consensus was to favor tighter policy and to maintain that stance for some time until annualized inflation fell to the Fed's desired target. However, The dollar index, on the other hand, fell close to the 113 mark after the minutes, which included warnings from some officials about the pace of further policy tightening In an effort to reduce the risk of a material adverse impact on the economic outlook, gold rose to a session high of $1,678.4 before closing at $1,673.2, its lowest level See $1,661.50, up $7. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following links to join the group and contact the administrator https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-12

October 12th Today's amplitude range The International Monetary Fund lowered its global economic growth forecast for next year, which once boosted the attractiveness of gold. However, US Federal Reserve official Meister said that it was impossible to say. The degree of table reduction is obvious, but it can be expected that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2023, and the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve has always suppressed the stock market. Today's suggested volatility is 1652 US dollars. To $1,670. The SEC pointed out that New Oriental could not provide the accounting working papers to the institutions for review, which may lead to the delisting crisis, causing the technology stocks to plummet. In addition, the price of the house debt The sharp drop in housing prices indicates that the market has insufficient confidence in the real estate enterprises, and the house leaks have been raining all night. Moody's, a rating agency, decided to cancel the evaluation of Kaisa and China Evergrande. Grade, the selling pressure of indoor stocks increased. Hong Kong stocks fell to an 11-year low, and the Hang Seng Index closed down 384 points or 2.2% to 16,832 points. According to the International Monetary Fund, Due to the tightening of monetary policy by the global central bank, the rising interest rate is leading to the economic slowdown in the United States, while Europe is also in an energy crisis due to the Russian-Ukrainian war, plus China. The positive policy of clearing the epidemic situation in COVID-19 has weakened the productivity, and the real estate credit crisis in China has not been lifted. It is expected that the global economic growth rate will further slow down in 2023, and the forecast of next year's global GDP will be lowered again, from the forecast of 2.9% growth in July to 2.7%. The three major European stock markets fell, and the German DAX index fell by 0.44%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.13%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.02%. Individual US stocks yesterday Development, the latest consumer inflation data released by the United States yesterday declined, and investors expected the Fed to raise interest rates to cool down, stimulating the Jones index to rise by 0.12%, but Xindong Fang Cheng was the first China Stock Exchange that failed to provide accounting papers to the SEC for auditing, which triggered the delisting crisis of China Stock Exchange again. The Nasdaq Composite Index was low for more than two years. , closing down 1.1%, and the S&P 500 Index was also dragged down, falling 0.63%. According to the Federal Reserve's report, the increase of house prices in the United States fell to the lowest level since June 2020 in September, and last month, household expenditure recorded the largest decline in history, and the latest decline. Consumer inflation is expected to drop to 5.4%, down 0.3% from last month, and the figure has dropped for four months in a row. In addition, the International Monetary Fund lowered the global economic growth next year. The forecast once boosted the attractiveness of gold, and the highest price of gold rose to $1,684. However, US Federal Reserve official Meister said that it was impossible to explain the degree of shrinking the watch. But it can be expected that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2023. The hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve led investors back to reality, and the price of gold fell "inverted V", with the lowest price. $161, and finally closed at $1666.2, down $2.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-11

October 11th Today's amplitude range US President Biden's government announced new sanctions against China, restricting US companies from selling semiconductors, chips and related manufacturing equipment to China, highlighting the US going to The price of China's determination is the rising factory cost, which is passed on to the consumer market, resulting in higher prices. In addition, the oil exporting countries announced a sharp reduction last week. Production, the international energy crisis is heating up again, further stimulating inflation; Finally, the U.S. labor market is still hot under the repeated interest rate hikes of the Federal Reserve, supporting the Federal Reserve. Hawkish view, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds once approached 4%, which was unfavorable to the bulls in the gold market. The suggested volatility today is $1,660 to $1,676. The non-agricultural data released by the United States last week showed a strong performance, indicating that the Federal Reserve has successively raised interest rates in the past few months in the hope of suppressing inflation by tightening the policy. One of the indicators is the failure to cool down the hot labor market. Investors are worried that the Fed's interest rate hike is expected to heat up, and U.S. stocks plunged last Friday. Hong Kong stocks follow outside Around the decline, the cumulative increase last week was 517 points. The Hang Seng Index opened nearly 300 points lower, and even though Beishui returned, it was still difficult to support the market, with Hong Kong stocks falling by 565 at most. The closing decline narrowed slightly, still falling by 523 points or 2.95%. After Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, the bridge connecting the Crimean Peninsula, which took four years to build, exploded last week, triggering Russia and Ukraine again. With the conflict between countries, Russian President Vladimir Putin changed hands, and the market expects that the war in Eastern Europe will escalate and last longer. War risk affects market sentiment, Europe Three major stock markets fell, and Germany's DAX index fell by 0.01%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.45%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.43%. US President Biden's administration The government announced new sanctions against China, restricting American companies from selling semiconductors, chips and related manufacturing equipment to China, representing Nasdaq Composite, a technology stock. The index has been at a low level for more than two years, closing down by 1.04%. However, due to the escalation of the war in Eastern Europe and the expected increase of interest rate by the Federal Reserve, the risk market has been put under pressure, with the Dow Jones index falling by 0.32% and the S&P 500 index falling. 0.75% down. Affected by the epidemic, the global supply chain began to break, while the Sino-US conflict broke out, and the market went to China, speeding up the price increase. The oil exporting countries were Last week, it announced a sharp cut in production, which further stimulated inflation. In addition, the latest non-agricultural data released by the United States last week showed a strong performance, which supported the hawkish view of the Federal Reserve. Ten years in the United States The yield of treasury bonds once approached 4%, and the price of gold fell under pressure. The highest price of gold yesterday was $1,699.9, and the lowest price was $1,665.8. The closing decline narrowed, and finally $668.3 closed, down $26.7. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-10

October 10th Today's amplitude range The virus pandemic caused the supply chain to break, but the conflict between China and the United States caused the market to go to China, and the relatively mature production and cheap products in China were forced to decrease. The price is the rising factory cost, pushing up prices! Finally, last week, the oil exporting countries announced a substantial reduction in production in order to maintain the international oil price. Heating up, further stimulating inflation. Finally, the US labor market is still hot under the repeated interest rate hikes of the Federal Reserve. The market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 75 points again in November. The probability of the sub-rose by nearly 70%, and the U.S. dollar index reappeared strongly, which was unfavorable to the bulls in the gold market. Suggested volatility today is $1,680 to $1,700. The interest rate hike in the United States is expected to heat up, and Hong Kong stocks continued to fall last Monday. Under the National Day holiday in the Mainland and the lack of support from Beishui, Hong Kong stocks fell below the 17,000 mark at most, hitting half. New low in 2008. The labor data released last Tuesday was also lower than the market forecast. In addition, the rate hike announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia was unexpectedly lower than the market expectation. The market I hope that the pace of interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve will slow down in the future. After the Double Ninth Festival holiday, Hong Kong stocks soared by more than 1,000 points, with a cumulative increase of 517 points or 3% a week. Unfortunately, 8,000 points still exist. It's a gain and a loss! However, in the last two trading days before last week, the total turnover in the two days was less than HK$ 120 billion, which was the lowest record of this year, showing It shows a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the market. The Reserve Bank of Australia announced a 2.5% interest rate increase, which was lower than the market expectation. It was the first time that the central bank's interest rate decision was satisfactory in this round of global monetary tightening. It is expected to be lower than market expectations. Looking forward to the early end of the global competition to raise interest rates, the news boosted European venture capital, and then the oil group supplier announced its Production cuts of 2 million barrels per day, coupled with the European embargo on Russian oil, are expected to continue to heat up, limiting the stock market's rise. In a week, Germany DAX index rose by 1.31%; The CAC index in Paris rose by 1.82%, while the FTSE 100 index in the UK also rose by 1.41%. Australia's central bank raised interest rates less than the market expected, stimulating U.S. stocks to rise for two consecutive days at the beginning of the week, with a rapid rebound of more than 5%. However, the non-agricultural data released last week showed strong and beautiful In the past few months, the Federal Reserve has successively raised interest rates in the hope of suppressing inflation by tightening the policy, one of which is to cool the hot labor market. It shows that the Federal Reserve has made many moves recently, but the labor market is still hot. There is still a strong demand for labor in the market, which means that more consumers will come out. Support prices; This strong employment figure supports the hawkish view of the Federal Reserve's sharp interest rate hike, which is expected to involve the upward trend of Wall Street; Take it as a week. Yes, the Dow Jones index rose 0.99%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.71% and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.53%. Affected by the epidemic, coupled with the political conflict between China and the United States, there is a gap in global integration, the activity of the American manufacturing index shrinks, and the market is worried. Considering the U.S. economic downturn, the downward adjustment of the U.S. dollar index has enhanced the attractiveness of gold, and the price of gold has gone from bottom to top, reaching a maximum of $1,729.6, although it is strong and non-agricultural. Limiting the appreciation of the gold price, the gold price reached a low of $1,659.7 last week, and finally closed at $1,695. In a week's summary, the gold price rose by $34, rising continuously. Two weeks. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-07

October 7th Today's amplitude range The data of semi-labor America shows mixed results. The number of floating job vacancies announced on Tuesday recorded the biggest drop in nearly two and a half years, while the number of non-farm payrolls announced on Wednesday was better than the market expectation. However, the number of new unemployed gold soldiers in the United States increased yesterday, and the price of gold dropped slightly. Investors are obviously waiting for the non-farm payrolls data tonight, while the latest figure in market survey in September was 250,000, down from 315,000 in August. However, no matter what the outcome, the gold market will be bumpy, so you must fasten your seat belts. The suggested volatility today is $1,689 to $1,735. After the Hong Kong stock market rose by nearly 6% on Wednesday, yesterday's performance was flat, with the fluctuation of less than 200 points. In addition, the mainland was still in the National Day holiday, and Beishui still couldn't go south. The turnover in the whole day was only HK$ 62.5 billion, the lowest turnover record of the year, which showed that investors had a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. The Hang Seng Index opened higher and closed lower, rising 12 points at the opening, dropping 129 points at the lowest, dropping 17,958 points at the lowest, and closing down 75 points or 0.42% at 18,012 points, finally holding the 18,000 mark. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) unanimously agreed to cut production sharply and tighten the global crude oil supply in order to maintain the international oil price. Moreover, the cut-off rate doubled from 1 million barrels per day as expected by the market to 2 million barrels per day. In addition, Europe will begin to embargo Russian oil. It is expected that the oil price will continue to heat up, and Europe will face a more severe test in this coming winter. European stocks fell for two days in a row, and the German DAX index fell by 0.40%; The CAC index in Paris and the FTSE 100 index in Britain also fell by 0.82%. On Wednesday, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States was higher than the market expectation, which caused investors to worry that the Federal Reserve's recent repeated interest rate hikes will raise interest rates sharply again, even though the expected results have not been achieved. In addition, the problem of oil group suppliers' production reduction will once again trigger the rise of oil prices and stimulate inflation. According to market research, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 75 basis points in November rose to 86%. Under the expectation of raising interest rates, the investors became frightened birds and retreated in the risk market first, and the three major Wall Street markets fell for two days in a row; The Dow Jones index fell 1.15%, the S&P 500 index fell 1.02%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.76%. The performance of labor data in the United States is uneven. The number of floating job vacancies announced on Tuesday recorded the biggest drop in nearly two and a half years, and then the non-farm payrolls report released on Wednesday was better than the market expectation, which led investors to believe that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 points for four consecutive times. The US dollar strengthened again, and the gold market was under pressure. However, the number of new job applications eased the decline of the gold market slightly last night, and the market was waiting to see the non-farm payrolls released tonight, and the gold price fell slightly. The highest price of gold reached $1,725.6, the lowest dropped to $1,707, and finally closed at $1,712.7, $3.7。 For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-06

October 6th Today's amplitude range The performance of labor data in the United States is uneven. The number of floating job vacancies announced on Tuesday recorded the biggest drop in nearly two and a half years. However, the number of non-agricultural jobs announced yesterday was 208,000, which was better than the market expectation. The effect of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike was not significant. Bostic, an official of the Federal Reserve, immediately warned that the tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve would not be reversed early, and he was in favor of raising interest rates by 0.75% to 1% before this year. According to market research, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rate by 75 points in November is 67%, and the rate increase is expected to control the gold market. It is expected that the price of gold will still be subject to the 50-day average, with a suggested volatility of $1,708 to $1,728 today. Following the deterioration of institute for supply management's manufacturing index released on Monday, the labor data released on Tuesday was also lower than the market forecast. In addition, the rate hike announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia was unexpectedly lower than the market expectation. The market expected that the Fed's rate hike would slow down in the future, and the European and American stock markets surged the next night. After the Double Ninth Festival holiday, Hong Kong stocks soared by more than 1,000 points! Hong Kong stocks opened 730 points higher, and then rose more and more. The increase had expanded to 1,084 points, and closed up 1,008 points or 5.9% at 18,087, regaining the 18,000 mark. European stocks rose for two days in a row, and rose again in the early part of yesterday. However, it was obvious that some investors took profits at high levels, and finally started counting and leaving the market with the excuse of data. After the manufacturing purchasing managers' index published by many countries in the euro zone was worse than expected, the European stock market turned from up to down. Germany's DAX index fell 1.21%; Paris CAC index fell 0.9%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.47%. Yesterday, the United States announced the change of the number of non-agricultural workers. The latest figure was 208,000, which was higher than the market expectation. It shows that the Federal Reserve has recently raised interest rates repeatedly, but the labor market is still hot, and there is still strong demand in the labor market, which means that more consumers come out to support prices. This caused the pressure of the Federal Reserve to insist on raising interest rates sharply. According to market research, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 75 points in November reached 67%. It is expected that the interest rate hike will eventually break the momentum of the three major Wall Street markets for two consecutive days, closing slightly lower; The Dow Jones index fell 0.2%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.14%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.08%. Labor data in the United States are mixed. The number of floating job vacancies announced on Tuesday recorded the biggest drop in nearly two and a half years, but the number of non-agricultural jobs announced yesterday was 208,000, which was better than market expectations. Bostic, an official of the Federal Reserve, immediately warned that the tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve would not be reversed early, and he was in favor of raising interest rates by 0.75% to 1% before this year. The Federal Reserve reappeared as an eagle, and the gold market was under pressure. The lowest price of gold dropped to $1,700.6, the highest price reached $1,727.8, and finally closed at $1,716.4, or $10.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-05

October 5th Today's amplitude range Following the deterioration of institute for supply management's manufacturing index released on Monday, the labor data released last night was also lower than the market forecast. In August, the number of floating job vacancies in the United States recorded the biggest drop in nearly two and a half years. In addition, the rate hike announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia in the morning was unexpectedly lower than the market expectation, all of which eased the expected warming of the Fed's rate hike in the future. Yesterday, the price of gold rose above the 50-day average line, and the trend remained unfinished. Today's suggested volatility is $1,718 to $1,734. Hong Kong stocks were closed for one day during the Double Ninth Festival holiday in Hong Kong yesterday. Yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia announced an interest rate hike of 2.5%, which was lower than the market expectation. It was the first time in this round of global monetary tightening that the central bank's interest rate hike was unexpectedly lower than the market expectation. The market expected that the global competition for interest rate hike would end early, which would be beneficial to venture capital. European stocks rose violently yesterday, and Germany's DAX index rose 3.76%; Paris CAC index rose by 4.24%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 2.57%. The goal of the United States Federal Reserve to tighten its policy by successively raising interest rates is to suppress inflation. One of the indicators is to cool down the hot labor market. The number of job vacancies in the United States in August, announced yesterday, was 10.05 million, which was lower than the market expectation. Moreover, the reduced number of vacancies was the largest in the past two and a half years. Investors expected that the chances of the Fed raising interest rates again would fall, and the three major Wall Street markets rose by more than 2% for two consecutive days to close. The Dow Jones index rose 2.8%, the S&P 500 index rose 3.06% and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 3.14%. Following the deterioration of institute for supply management's manufacturing index released on Monday, the labor data released last night was also lower than the market forecast. In August, the number of floating job vacancies in the United States recorded the biggest drop in nearly two and a half years. In addition, the rate hike announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia in the morning was unexpectedly lower than the market expectation, all of which eased the expected warming of the Fed's rate hike in the future. The gold market was slightly adjusted in the early part of the market opening, and the lowest price of gold dropped to $1,695.2, that is, it continued its early unilateral trip again, reaching the highest price of $1,729.6, and finally closed at $1,726.5, up by $27.7. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak ______ ____

2022-10-04

October 4th Today's amplitude range The activity of U.S. manufacturing index contracted, and the market worried about the economic downturn in the United States. The U.S. dollar index fell to 111.6. At the same time, the yield of 10-year treasury bonds also fell to 3.6%, which enhanced the attractiveness of gold. The price of gold appeared unilateral, and it was obvious that it would rush to the 1700 mark again in the near future and test the support of $1,678.8. There are non-agricultural data released this week, which will affect the attitude of the Federal Reserve. Today's suggested volatility ranges from $1,690 to $1,705. Dragged by the decline of European and American stock markets last week, Hong Kong stocks opened lower by 172 points yesterday. Coupled with the National Day holiday in the Mainland and the lack of support from Beishui, Hong Kong stocks fell by more than 300 points at most. At one time, they fell through the 17,000 mark, which was supported by the low level. The 17,000 mark was recovered and finally closed down by 143 points or 0.83% to 17,079 points. The whole-day turnover of the market was only 63.331 billion yuan, the lowest level this year. However, yesterday, the HKMA re-entered the market to take on about 2.355 billion Hong Kong dollars because the Hong Kong dollar fell to the weak convertibility guarantee level, in order to defend the linked exchange rate system of Hong Kong. This shows that capital withdrawal continues and the 17,000-point barrier is still in jeopardy. Britain's financial-related Haoting announced yesterday that it would eliminate the "tax for the rich" in its earlier tax reduction plan. Guan Haoting explained on social networking sites that the cancellation of the 45% personal income tax rate for high-income people had caused dissatisfaction among most citizens. After listening to public opinion, he decided not to continue to implement the plan, hoping to calm down the controversy and allow the government to concentrate on the current challenging work. After the announcement, the increase of the pound against the US dollar narrowed. The international oil price fell below 80 USD a barrel, and the supplier countries of the oil delivery group announced that they would consider reducing the daily output of 1 million barrels to support the oil price. The oil price rebounded by more than 4%, and European energy stocks led the market to rise, with the DAX index of Germany rising by 0.76%. Paris CAC index rose by 0.55%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.22%. In the first three quarters of this year, U.S. stocks fell by more than 25% on average, entering a bear market. The first trading day of the fourth quarter gave a good sign, with all three major Wall Street stock markets rising more than 2% to close. Although the latest manufacturing index of the Institute of Supply Management in the United States contracted yesterday, it did not hinder the rebound of the market. The Dow Jones index rose 2.66%, the S&P 500 index rose 2.59% and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.36%. Yesterday, the latest manufacturing index of the Institute of Supply Management was released in the United States. Last month, the figure was 50.9, which was lower than the market expectation of 52.2, and also lower than the 52.8 in August. Affected by the epidemic situation and the political conflict between China and the United States, there was a gap in global integration, the activity of the American manufacturing index contracted, the market worried about the economic downturn of the United States, and the US dollar index fell to 111.6, which enhanced the attractiveness of gold. There was a unilateral gold price market, which once broke through the $1,700 mark, and the growth rate was the lowest in the past two and a half years. The dollar index was sold off and closed down by 0.47% to 111.65. The lowest price of gold dropped to $1,659.7, the highest price reached $1,701.5, and finally closed at $1,699.8, up by $38.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-10-03

October 3rd Today's amplitude range It is expected that the US interest rate hike cycle in the market will only cut interest rates in 2024. Inflation can't be solved by the central bank's policies alone. The supply chain is the key, but it is difficult to solve in the short term. The U.S. Federal Reserve indicated that it paid attention to the intervention of central banks in foreign exchange, which caused some fluctuations in U.S. asset prices, indicating that the Federal Reserve is concerned about the global economy, but will still focus its policy on the United States. Suggest the extreme leader who will stay on the road of raising interest rates. The attitude of the Federal Reserve will still affect the yield of the US dollar and its national debt, which is unfavorable to the bulls in the gold market, but the intervention of non-US dollar countries will also make it difficult for the US dollar exchange rate to outshine others. It is expected that the price of gold will continue to fluctuate back and forth to get out of the new direction. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released this week, which will definitely bring greater volatility to the market. Use the 50-week and 100-week lines of the 4-hour chart today to suggest the upper and lower volatility, that is, $1653 to $1674. Influenced by the active interest rate increase policy of many central banks, the mood of venture investors has become negative. Although the State Council of China has successively introduced the policy of maintaining stability, it still can't stop the recent RMB capital withdrawal. The RMB fell below the 7.2 mark against the US dollar, and the FOB price of RMB, which reflects the situation of foreign capital in the Mainland, fell to a record low, which shows that the "Run" culture continues, and the implementation of a fast and good world. Last week, the Hang Seng Index hit an 11-year low for several consecutive days. Although the manufacturing index issued by the mainland authorities rebounded on Friday, the number crossed the 50 points of the dry and prosperous boundary, stimulating the Hang Seng Index to rise nearly 180 points. However, the same statistics published by the business community were still lower than 50 points. The market questioned the water content of the numbers. Hong Kong stocks once fell by 150 points, and closed slightly, at 17,222 points, and kept at 17,000. In a week's summary, it fell by 710 points or 3.96%. Dragged by the virus pandemic, coupled with the war situation in Eastern Europe distorting supply and demand, the UK's domestic production has experienced negative growth in the past two years. According to the gross domestic product (GDP) base, the core revenue and expenditure has dropped sharply from a slight surplus to a deficit of 8%. However, the new foreign minister introduced more tax concessions when he came on stage, and the treasury will take on more debts. Investors are pessimistic about the UK's economic prospects. On Monday, the pound fell to a record low against the US dollar. On the other hand, European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the continued deterioration of inflation will damage the European economy, so stabilizing prices is the central bank's top priority. The European Central Bank needs to send a strong signal that the inflation level is not allowed to differ from expectations. Lagarde reiterated that he would raise interest rates in the next few meetings. The interest rate hike in Europe is expected to suppress the risk market. In a week, the DAX index in Germany has dropped by 1.36%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.38%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.78%. Global inflation remains high, and central banks have to keep raising interest rates at the risk of economic recession. The interest rates of long-term and short-term bonds in the United States are upside down, reflecting the economic decline. Yesterday, the yield of two-year bonds rose to 4.35%, and the yield of ten-year bonds also rose to 3.9%. The rising interest rate directly affects investors. In the post-epidemic era, the worsening inflation distorted the perception of the investment market. The data that used to be good for the stock market was regarded as the reason to hit the market, that is, the fear that the Federal Reserve would continue to raise interest rates by a large margin. Otherwise, on Friday, brainerd, the vice chairman of the Federal Reserve, showed his support for further interest rate hikes. The three major stock markets on Wall Street fell by more than 3% in a week, the Dow Jones index fell by 2.92%, and the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell by 2.85%.the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 3.01%. On Monday, the pound fell to an all-time low against the US dollar. The Bank of England announced yesterday that it would stabilize the market and implement a temporary repurchase program for long-term bonds today. The Bank of England is the country following the Bank of Japan's stated intention to intervene in the exchange rate. With the global central banks scrambling to raise interest rates, it is understandable that the central banks of various countries set the exchange rate at a certain level to prevent the import of inflation, so as not to squander the efforts contributed by the interest rate hike, which may become the new normal. In addition, since this year, the RMB has fallen by more than 10%, and the People's Bank of China has to intervene in the exchange rate, asking many state-owned banks to be prepared to sell dollars and buy RMB in the offshore market to curb the recent decline of RMB. Many countries around the world either followed the United States to raise interest rates, or intervened in foreign exchange, and the strong rhythm of the US dollar was forced to be disrupted. Last week, the price of gold rose for four days in a row. Last week, the highest price of gold reached US$ 1,675.4, the lowest price dropped to US$ 1,659.7, and finally it closed at US$ 1,660.9. After a week, the price of gold rose by US$ 17. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-30

September 30th Today's amplitude range Yesterday, some media reported that the People's Bank of China asked a number of state-owned banks to prepare to sell dollars and buy RMB to defend foreign exchange rates. But the People's Bank of China is expected to export. Most of them are unavoidable, which is different from the fact that the Bank of England or the Bank of Japan really intervened in the market exchange rate. Countries intervene in the exchange rate into a new normal, The dollar fluctuates relatively, while the price of gold ripples in it, and finally it is almost flat. The gold market may have to oscillate back and forth to get out of the new direction. Today's suggested volatility is 1646 US dollars. To $1,668. According to media reports, the People's Bank of China has asked many state-owned banks to be prepared to sell dollars and buy RMB in the offshore market to curb the recent decline of RMB. So far this year, the RMB has fallen by more than 10%, and the People's Bank of China has to resort to exporting techniques to intervene in the exchange rate. However, how can the original source of reform avoid the outflow of foreign capital, but investors Or businessmen are obviously wary of the Chinese market in recent years. One of the evidences is that Hong Kong stocks still recorded a fall in the afternoon when the European and American stock markets did well the next day. Hong Kong stocks opened higher 39, but the market took advantage of the high selling price, and the Hang Seng Index once fell 204 points, reaching a low of 17,046, hitting another 11-year low. At last, the Hang Seng Index closed at 17,165, down 85 points or 0.5%. Test 17,000 psychological barriers. Central banks' intervention in the market will become the new normal. Pierre, chief economist of the Bank of England, said that seeing the major adjustment of the pricing of financial assets, the Bank of England absolutely He said that in the past week, the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee had reached a consensus that it was determined to achieve the inflation target, and it was placed in debt buying. Instead of trying to limit interest rates, the Bank of England has taken the responsibility of maintaining the orderly operation of the market seriously. Peel's supplement to the Bank of England will be completed in November The whole evaluation. The market believes that the Bank of England will increase interest rate. Since the Bank of England announced its intervention in the money supply, the pound has risen for three consecutive days and rebounded by more than 3%. On the other hand, European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the continued deterioration of inflation will damage the European economy, so stabilizing prices is the central bank's top priority, and the European Central Bank needs Send a strong signal that inflation will not be allowed to deviate from expectations. Lagarde reiterated that she will raise interest rates in the next few meetings. European interest rate hike is expected to suppress risk market Field, Germany's DAX index fell by 1.7%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.54%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.77%. In the post-epidemic era, worsening inflation distorts investment. Market cognition, the data that used to be good for the stock market is regarded as the reason to hit the market; Yesterday, the United States announced the number of initial jobless claims, which unexpectedly dropped to 200,000. Next, the number was reported at 193,000. Investors were worried that the US Federal Reserve would further tighten monetary policy. The three major stock markets on Wall Street fell more than 1% across the board. Dow Jones index Down 1.54%, the S&P 500 Index down 2.09%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index down 2.84%. While the People's Bank of China wants to maintain domestic economic stability, it has to deal with the situation of capital withdrawal. Yesterday, some media reported that the People's Bank of China asked a number of state-owned banks to prepare to sell. Selling dollars and buying RMB to defend foreign exchange rate; However, it is expected that the People's Bank of China will export more and more, which is an unavoidable situation. It is true with the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. The fact that the market intervention exchange rate is different. Countries intervened in the exchange rate into a new normal, the dollar fluctuated relatively, the gold market rippled among them, and the lowest price of gold fell to 164. US$ 1.6, with the highest value of US$ 1,664.9, and finally closed at US$ 1,660.9, with a slight increase of US$ 0.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-29

September 29th Today's amplitude range On Monday, the pound fell to an all-time low against the US dollar. The Bank of England announced yesterday that it would stabilize the market, buy back long-term bonds, shrink the supply of the pound, and immediately start lending. The exchange rate of the British pound and the US dollar index fell by 1.3%, and the air force of the Golden Market was immediately caught off guard! With global central banks scrambling to raise interest rates, central banks will Pricing the exchange rate at a certain level to prevent the import of inflation, so as not to waste the efforts contributed by strengthening interest rates, may become the new normal and the US dollar will stand out. It may be difficult to reproduce. The price of gold can't kill more than $1600, but the above 1660 is still under pressure. The gold market may have to fluctuate back and forth to get out of a new direction. Suggested volatility today $638 to $1,662. As the National Day approaches, China's State Council has successively introduced the policy of maintaining stability, but it still can't stop the recent capital withdrawal of RMB. RMB fell below the 7.2 mark against the US dollar The FOB price of RMB, which reflects the situation of foreign capital in the Mainland, has even dropped to a record low, which shows that the "rich" culture continues, and the world is going fast and well. Hong Kong stocks are naturally difficult. After escaping, the Hang Seng Index opened lower by 156 points, and then it fell deeper and deeper, with a maximum drop of 675 points, hitting an 11-year low. The closing decline narrowed slightly and it still fell. 09 or 3.4%, reported at 17250. Dragged by the virus pandemic, coupled with the war situation in Eastern Europe distorting supply and demand, British domestic production has experienced negative growth in the past two years, according to the gross domestic product. To calculate the core revenue and expenditure, it dropped from a slight surplus to a deficit of 8%, and when the new foreign minister came on stage, he introduced more tax concessions, and the state treasury would undertake more Many debts, investors are bearish on the UK economic outlook, and the pound fell to a record low against the US dollar on Monday; The Bank of England announced yesterday that it would stabilize the market and launch a A temporary plan to buy long-term bonds, and delayed the planned sale of British government bonds, led to a short-term surge of 1.4%. It is expected that the intervention of central banks in the market will Into the new normal! Affected by the news of the Bank of England's intervention in the foreign exchange market, investors speculated and covered short positions, forcing the pound to suddenly rise by more than 1.5%, while turning the British stock market around. In the atmosphere, the FTSE 100 index in the UK turned positive from a decline of nearly 2%, and closed up by 0.26%, which led the stock markets of Germany and France to rise, while the DAX index in Germany rose. 0.36%； Paris CAC index rose by 0.19%. The EU announced the eighth round of sanctions against Russia, which will completely ban the sale of Russian goods in the EU market. At that time, the legal framework for limiting Russian oil prices was announced. Russia, on the other hand, has reached an agreement with oil group suppliers to reduce production, and the international oil price has risen to 80 dollars. Barrels. Yesterday, U.S. crude oil inventories fell, indicating that demand is still high. Investors are looking forward to a soft landing of the U.S. economy, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit 4% and then quickly recovered. U.S. stocks rebounded more than 2%, the Dow Jones index rose 1.88%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.91%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.05% yesterday. pound On Monday, the U.S. dollar fell to a record low, and the Bank of England announced yesterday that it would stabilize the market and implement a temporary repurchase program for long-term bonds today. Bank of England After the Bank of Japan stated that it would intervene in the exchange rate, in the case of global central banks scrambling to raise interest rates, central banks of various countries set the exchange rate at a certain level to prevent input. Expansion, so as not to waste the efforts contributed by strengthening interest rates, which is understandable and may become the new normal. The lowest price of gold fell to $1,614.9, UK The central bank announced that the exchange rate was supported, and the US dollar depreciated relatively when the pound surged. The US dollar index fell below the 113 level to close, and the gold price took the opportunity to rebound by nearly 50 US dollars, with the gold price as high as 16. $45, closing at $1,660, up $30.5. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-28

September 28th Today's amplitude range Yesterday, the gold market rebounded after a false breakthrough, but the U.S. data was strong, and the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen in anticipation of interest rate hike. The gold price will repeatedly test the support of $1,624. Force, the price of gold has not changed, and it is heading for $1,600, falling below $1,624 and stopping at $1,630. Today's suggested volatility is $1612 to $1630. Dollars. Yesterday, Hong Kong stocks fell first and then rose, finally breaking the four-day losing streak. At present, on National Day, the State Council introduced more relief measures to enterprises yesterday, suspending the administration of all industrial and commercial organizations. Government administrative payment and security deposit, the amount of two holdovers is expected to reach 116 billion yuan. After the Hong Kong stock market opened lower by 16 points, it fell by more than 200 points in the morning. See the low of 17,648, hitting a new low of nearly 11 years. In the afternoon, news of maintaining stability appeared. In addition, the market expects that the "Eleventh" Golden Week will boost tourism and catering consumption and related stocks. Helping the market rebound, the Hang Seng Index rose 5 points or 0.03% to 17,860 points. After Russia invaded Ukraine, NATO alliance imposed sanctions on Russia, and Russia retaliated by cutting gas supply to Europe. Two Russian natural gases The pipeline exploded yesterday, and it remains to be investigated whether someone deliberately damaged it, but it is vowed that it will affect the price of natural gas and force inflation in Europe to rise. Europe three The big stock market fell across the board, with the German DAX index falling by 0.72%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.27%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.55%. Global inflation No, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that many people in the bureau expect to raise interest rates by another 100 ideas before the end of the year, while others expect to raise interest rates by a total of 125. Son, stimulate the interest rate of the bond market to keep rising. Yesterday, the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose to the highest of 3.972%. The rising expectation of bond returns directly affects investors, and U.S. stocks gradually fall into a bear market. The S&P 500 index fell nearly 25% this year. Yesterday, Another drop of 0.21%, the Dow Jones index fell by 0.43%, nearly 21% lower than this year's high; The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.16% yesterday, but it has fallen since 2022. Over 32%. US durable goods orders fell by 0.2% in August, while the consumer confidence index rose to a five-month high of 108 in September. Chicago Fed President Evans Yesterday, it said that the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates by at least one percentage point this year. The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen, with the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds approaching 4%. The gold market is subject to U.S. data. To limit the increase, the gold price rebounded after the false breakthrough, reaching a high of $1,642.5, and finally closing at $1,629.5, up by $6.6. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-27

September 27th Today's amplitude range The pound hit a record low, which contributed to the strength of the US dollar, and the yield of two-year government bonds rose to 4.35%, all of which were unfavorable to the gold market. The price of gold is still bottoming out, and it fell through yesterday. $625 closed, is it opening support to continue the downward trend, or is it a false breakthrough? Believe in the latter. Although the price of gold has not changed, it can still be below $1,625. Rebound. The suggested volatility today is $1,623 to $1,642. Affected by the active interest rate increase policy of many central banks, the sentiment of venture investors became negative, and Hong Kong stocks fell for four consecutive trading days. Although the Hong Kong Government announced the relaxation of entry last Friday Measures, but the news didn't help the market atmosphere. Hong Kong stocks opened lower by 151 points. Britain increased the government deficit due to the tax reduction scheme. The pound was looked down by the market, and plunged 5% yesterday. There are Financial stocks in the European background plunged, and the slimmed-down elephant also attracted ants. HSBC fell more than 7% and became the culprit. Yesterday's decline dragged down the market by 112 points. The Hang Seng Index also fell only 78 points or 0.4% yesterday to 17,855 points. After the Bank of England announced a 0.5% interest rate increase at its interest rate meeting last Thursday, it warned that Britain might be in recession. British Chancellor of the Exchequer Guan On the next day, Hao Ting proposed a series of tax reduction schemes to stimulate the economy, including lowering the basic tax rate of personal income tax, freezing corporate tax, and cutting property stamp duty. In addition to direct tax incentives, there are also subsidized energy bill plans, etc. However, this will also increase the deficit of the British government, and the target of issuing bonds will be increased by 45% to 2,500 this financial year. Billion dollars. The market is worried that Britain's stimulus plan will stimulate inflation again and further accelerate the economic recession. The pound fell below the converted price of 1.1 against the US dollar, hitting a record 1.03 yesterday. A record low. As inflation worsens, central banks all over the world are competing for the sharpest rate hike. Sweden, the first country in Europe to implement negative interest rates, raised interest rates by 100 points last week, exceeding The more 75 ideas of the Federal Reserve! And the European Central Bank schnabel said that although the euro zone is facing an economic downturn, the central bank has to mention it because inflation is still high. If interest rates rise, they need to continue to rise; The three major European stock markets developed separately, with the German DAX index falling by 0.44%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.24%; British FTSE 100 The index fell by 0.07%. Global inflation remains high, and central banks have to take the risk of economic recession and continue to raise interest rates. The interest rates of long-term and short-term debt in the United States are upside down, reflecting the phenomenon of economic decline. Yesterday, two-year treasury bonds The yield rose to 4.35%, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds also rose to 3.9%. The rising interest rate directly affects investment participants, and US stocks fell sharply yesterday, saying The Jones index fell by 1.11%, the S&P 500 index by 1.03% and the Nasdaq Composite Index by 0.6%. The dollar continued to strengthen, and the price of gold fell repeatedly. Britain last Friday Announced that the tax reduction plan will increase the government deficit, the pound was looked down on by the market, and plunged by more than 9% in two days, which contributed to the strength of the US dollar. In addition, the active interest rate increase policy of the global central bank is Pushing up the yield rate, the yield rate of two-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose to 4.35%. The appreciation of the U.S. dollar, coupled with the low risk and considerable yield rate of Treasury bonds, hit the gold market, and the price of gold continued. Fell, the gold price peaked at $1,649.8, dropped to $1,621.2 and closed at $1,622.8, down $21.1. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-26

September 26th Today's amplitude range It is expected that the US interest rate hike cycle in the market will only cut interest rates in 2024, and the trend of the US dollar will remain strong, although most central banks around the world have also embarked on the road of raising interest rates. Ok, it's bad for the price of gold. However, behind the interest rate hike, there is an increased opportunity for the global economy to land hard. Whether Russia uses nuclear weapons for real or just by intimidation, It remains to be seen, but this crisis atmosphere is enough to support the gold price. Although the price of gold has not changed, it is expected that the price of gold will fall again in a limited range this week, approaching 1825. The dollar bounced back. The suggested volatility today is $1,625 to $1,650. Last week, a number of negative news affected the trend of Hong Kong stocks. The European Chamber of Commerce in China said that due to the inflexibility of China's epidemic prevention policy, it was inconvenient for members of the Chamber of Commerce to do business. European enterprises The industry is gradually losing confidence and patience in China, warning that the attraction of investing in China is declining; The US dollar interest rate hike is expected to heat up, and the RMB falls below 7 against the US dollar; The war in Ukraine turned nasty, and the market was worried about the escalation of the war. The Hang Seng Index fell for four weeks in a row, and closed below 18,000 points, falling 828 points or 4.4% a week to close at 179. 3: 00, a record low of nearly 11 years. With the announcement of another 0.75% interest rate increase in the United States, its statement on interest rate also shows that the interest rate increase environment in the United States will not end until 2024! Under the premise of inflation, many The central bank responded by shrinking monetary policy; Schnabel, the European Central Bank, said that although the euro zone is facing an economic downturn, because inflation is still high, the central bank Have to raise interest rates to continue to rise; At the same time of schnabel's speech, the Swiss and British central banks also announced a 0.5% interest rate increase, so far, the whole of Europe is out of negative. Interest rate era. The voice of global interest rate hike is one after another, which aggravates the possibility of economic recession. Investors are afraid that they will further attack the risk market and leave the market first. The three major European stocks The market fell by more than 3% in a week, and the German DAX index fell by 3.59%; Paris CAC index fell 4.84%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 3.01%. Yesterday, after the Federal Reserve announced the third consecutive interest rate increase of 0.75%, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell even gave a warning, revealing that many people in the meeting expected to raise interest rates again before the end of the year. 100 ideas, and others expect to raise interest rates by 125 by the end of the year. Powell's remarks continued to ferment in the market, and the three major indexes of Wall Street fell for four days in a row to one Last week, the Dow Jones index fell 4%, the S&P 500 index fell 4.62% and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 4.88%. Several countries announced the latest interest rate settlement last week. As a result, except Japan and China recently, all central banks have announced to raise interest rates to fight inflation. As the first Sweden in Europe to implement negative interest rates, it even raised interest rates by 100 points, exceeding The more the Fed raises interest rates! After the meeting on interest rates, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell warned that after the end of the year, there was an opportunity to raise interest rates by 1% before the end of the year, the dollar continued to soar. Rose, the US dollar index broke through 113 points, and the price of gold fell under pressure. Last week, the highest price of gold reached US$ 1,688.1, and the lowest price fell to US$ 1,639.7, closing at US$ 1,643.9. Summary In a week, the price of gold fell by 31.6 dollars. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-23

9月23日 今日波幅區間 縱使多國宣布加息,美元依舊保持強勢,壓制金價向上的動能。日本央行打破損24年以來的沈默,終於出手干預日 元匯價,稍為迫退美元指數衝擊119關口的強勢；日本央行的行動,短期內有機會迫使銀行對借人日元的調期投資 者出現拆倉,但作為負利率的國家,相信日本政府都不能使日元始終保持強勢的。金價連續五日試圖衝擊1680美元 不果,逐漸鞏固該位置底頂倒置的強度；然而1658美元亦沒有跌穿,承托亦強,考慮美元仍處於強勢,仍是趁高空 金較好。今日建議波幅1658美元至1681美元。 如市場預期,美聯儲在9月22日凌晨二時公布上調聯邦基金利率75點子,連續三次加息0.75%,基金利率已升至3.25%。 而聯儲局主席鮑威爾發放鷹派言論,說會採取激進的行動,並保持下去；從點陣圖顯示,美聯儲官員預計在2022年至 少還會加息75個基點,而在2023、2024年底,聯邦基金利率預期中值分別為4.6%及3.9,即直到2024年才會降息。息 魔襲擊全球風險市場,港股一度跌穿18000點,收市略為回升,但仍以跌逾10年以來低位收市,報18147點,跌296點 或1.6%。 隨著美國宣布再次加息0.75%,在其議息聲明中亦顯示美國加息環境會直至2024才會結束！在通脹大前題之下,多間央 行皆以收縮貨幣政策應對；歐洲央行施納貝爾表示,雖然歐元區正面臨經濟下滑情況,但由於通脹依然高企,央行不得 不以提升利率去需要繼續上升；施納貝爾講話的同時,瑞士及英國央行亦宣布加息0.5%,至此,整個歐洲脫離負利率時 代。全球加息之聲此起彼落,打擊風險市場,歐洲三大股票市場全綫下挫超過1%,德國指数指數跌1.86%;法國巴黎加利福尼亚 C指數跌1.87%;英國富時100指數跌1.16%。 美聯儲昨日宣布連續第三次加息0.75%後,聯儲局主席鮑威爾更出言警告,揭示在會議中有很多人預計年底前將再加息100 個點子,還有人預計年底前將累計加息125個子。鮑威爾的言論繼續在市場發酵,華爾街三大指數連跌三天,道瓊斯指數跌 0.37%,標準普爾500指數跌0.89%,納斯達克綜合指數跌1.37%。日本亦在昨日宣布議息結果,央行委員們一致通過繼續維 持日本央行利率負0.1厘不變,在如此加息時代,日本仍維持如此超寬鬆利率政策,日元兌美元亞洲盤盤中一度貶值至145, 然而在日元創 1998 年以來新低之際,日本央行亦打破24年來不干預匯價之記錄,實行托市,日元反升1.1%;金市昨日開 市低走,最低跌至1655.7美元,但日本政府出手干預日元匯價,金市承勢反擊,金價最高反彈至1685美元,最終以1671.3 美元收市,跌2.6美元。 如欲了解詳細分析及操作建議,歡迎点击以下連結入群及向管理員查詢 https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-22

September 22nd Today's amplitude range The Federal Reserve unveiled this morning, announcing another 0.75% interest rate increase. From the bitmap, Fed officials expect to raise interest rates by at least 75 basis points in 2022, while At the end of 2023 and 2024, the expected median federal funds rate is 4.6% and 3.9% respectively, that is, the interest rate will not be cut until 2024. And Federal Reserve Chairman Powell issued Hawkish remarks, saying that they will take radical action and keep it up. It is not normal for the price of gold to rise instead of fall; Today's adjustment is expected. Today's suggested volatility is 1644 US dollars. To $1,674. A number of negative news have affected the trend of Hong Kong stocks. The European Chamber of Commerce in China said that due to the lack of flexibility of China's epidemic prevention policy, it is inconvenient for members of the Chamber of Commerce to do business, and European enterprises are interested in China. Gradually losing confidence and patience, warning that the attraction of investing in China is declining; The US dollar interest rate hike is expected to heat up, and the RMB falls below 7 against the US dollar; Russian-Ukrainian war turns Worried about the escalation of the war, the Hang Seng Index opened lower and closed lower. The Hang Seng Index finally fell 336 points or 1.8% to close at 18,444 points, further approaching the low of March 15th this year. Bit, that is, the level of 18235 points. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has been blocked, and it may be a dog jumping into a wall. Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered local military mobilization, recruited troops among the people, and hinted that nuclear use would not be ruled out. Wu. NATO Secretary General criticized Putin's remarks as "dangerous and reckless". And Putin's threat has also prompted other European countries to cooperate more, the EU said. EU members China has achieved a 15% reduction in natural gas consumption, and is working hard to reduce its dependence on Russia. In addition, British manufacturing data is better than market expectations, and Europe The three major stock markets rebounded, and the German DAX index rose by 0.74%; Paris CAC index rose by 0.63%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.87%. As expected by the market, the Federal Reserve announced a 75-point increase in the federal funds rate at 2 am this morning. After three consecutive interest rate increases of 0.75%, the fund rate has risen to 3.25. %。 From the bitmap, Fed officials expect to raise interest rates by at least 75 basis points in 2022, and at the end of 2023 and 2024, the federal funds rate is expected. Values of 4.6% and 3.9 respectively, that is, interest rate will not be cut until 2024. Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, held a press conference after the announcement of the interest rate decision, saying that the Federal Reserve will resolutely lower the interest rate. Inflation, at present, the personal consumption price is still high, the labor market is booming, and wages are accelerating. This is not what the bureau likes, and the central bank is adjusting its policy to a sufficient limit. The level of economic growth, but historical experience is that we can't cut interest rates too early, and the bureau will take radical action and keep it up, and he pointed out that many people in the Federal Reserve expect the next year. Another 100 ideas will be raised before the end of the year, and it is expected that a total of 125 interest rates will be raised before the end of the year. The Federal Reserve announced the results of interest rate discussion in the early morning of this morning. Members of the Board unanimously approved a rate increase of 0.75%, which was in line with market expectations. US stocks opened higher, but with the release of the Open Committee, And the hawkish remarks made by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, investors took profits, and the three major Wall Street indexes ended up falling, with the Dow Jones index falling by 1.7% and the S&P 500 index. The Nasdaq fell by 1.73%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.79%. The gold market rose repeatedly, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine failed, implying that the use of nuclear weapons was not ruled out, and the market was worried about war. Things will escalate, and safe-haven funds pushed up the price of gold early. The Federal Reserve announced the results of interest rate discussion in the early morning of this morning, raising interest rate by 75 points again, and the price of gold once plunged to $1,653.9. After that, there was a V-shaped rebound, with the highest price rising to $1,688.1, and finally closing at $1,673.9, up $9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-21

September 21st Today's amplitude range The gold market repeated Monday's volatility, indicating that investors are cautious in entering the market. Both long and short sides are waiting for the Fed to unveil the September interest rate in the early hours of Thursday before making any arrangement. root According to the market survey, it is a stated fact that the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 75 points. The market has focused its attention on the forecast of Federal Reserve officials on the economic prospects of the United States and Statement content. The popular speculation is that the central bank will add another 0.75% in the remaining two interest rate meetings this year. The repeated test of gold price has just formed a bottom-top reversal, and the new At the end of the $1658.4 have a chance to lose, that is, continue to $1625. The suggested volatility today is $1,644 to $1,672. Hong Kong stocks rebounded, ending two consecutive days of decline. Apart from the fact that the Hong Kong government is studying the relaxation of epidemic prevention measures, the Macao SAR government took the lead earlier and moved it outside Guangdong Province. The nucleic acid testing requirements made it easier for more domestic residents to spend their holidays in Macao, and the number of gambling stocks rose by 4% to 14%. The Hang Seng Index also successfully rebounded, closing at 215. Or 1.16%, at 18781. The turnover in the Shanghai Stock Exchange fell to HK$ 73 billion, the lowest since the third quarter of this year, indicating that investors are lagging behind. Be cautious and observe the results of the Fed's interest rate meeting in the early morning of the same Thursday. European Central Bank President Lagarde spoke, acknowledging that Europe is still in a high inflation environment, but the central bank will not tolerate a persistent inflation problem. She said that if there was an evidence sheet If the price continues to deviate from the central bank's expectation, the central bank will drive the price back to the restricted area with the matching policy interest rate. Lagarde said that the central bank is determined To combat the worsening inflation, we entered the interest rate hike cycle ahead of schedule last month, and it is expected that interest rates will be further raised at subsequent meetings. Investors expect Lagarde Eagle, the three major European stock markets fell first, reflecting the pressure of interest rate increase. The DAX index of Germany fell by 1.03%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.35%; British FTSE 100 The index fell by 0.64%. The Federal Reserve began a two-day meeting on interest rates on Tuesday, and will announce the results on Wednesday at 2 pm local time. The market has long expected that the Federal Reserve will at least increase Instead, we focused on the forecast and statement of the Federal Reserve officials on the economic prospects of the United States, and then inferred the central bank's arrangement in November. Raising interest rates Under the premise, U.S. stocks were under pressure. The three major Wall Street indexes fell by more than 1% respectively, the Dow Jones index fell by 1.01%, and the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell by 1.07%. Nasdaq Composite The index fell by 0.95%. The gold market repeated Monday's volatility, indicating that investors are cautious in entering the market. Both long and short sides are waiting for the Fed to reveal the interest rate in September in the early hours of Thursday, and then Line layout. The highest price of gold rose by $1,679.5, and the lowest price was $1,660, closing at $1,664.9, down by $10.9. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-20

September 20th Today's amplitude range Yesterday, the gold market was close to flat, with the fluctuation close to $20, indicating that investors were waiting to see the results of interest rate discussion announced by the Federal Reserve in the early hours of Wednesday morning. According to market research, the United States It is a clear fact that the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 75 points. On the contrary, the statement at the meeting on interest rates has attracted more attention. The price of gold is still being tested. The bottom and top just formed are reversed and reserved. The suggested volatility was $1,666 to $1,682 yesterday. It is reported in the market that the Hong Kong government has relaxed the epidemic prevention measures and relaxed the existing immigration quarantine policy from "3+4" to "0+7", so it is not necessary to ask immigrants to provide 24-hour information. Negative report. The media reported that this policy change was due to the government's awareness that Hong Kong's economy had been affected by the previous government's blind adherence to the domestic dynamic clearing measures. Economic stagnation, Financial Secretary Chen Maobo said that this year's budget is worse than expected, and it is expected that a deficit of more than 100 billion yuan will be recorded. By then, Hong Kong's reserves will be Down to 800 billion yuan. Although relaxing the policy of coming to Hong Kong will help to enhance the image of Hong Kong's economy, it is difficult for foreign-funded institutions that left earlier to return in a short time. The relaxation of the Hong Kong government's policy of coming to Hong Kong is good news, but the market is worried that the Federal Reserve will maintain a larger policy of raising interest rates at this week's meeting on interest rates, and the Hang Seng Index has fallen for two consecutive days. It opened 66 points lower in the morning and closed down 195 points or 1.04% to 18,565 points. According to the trend, the Hang Seng Index will fall below 18,400 points, reaching the low of 18,236 made on March 15th this year. Let's go at 8: 00. Affected by the Russian-Ukrainian war, energy prices soared, leading to a recession in Europe. German Deputy Chancellor Chabek said yesterday that he did not believe in Russia's North Xi No.2 natural gas pipeline will be a stable energy supply for Germany in the foreseeable future. Germany will import liquefied natural gas from four locations to solve the energy crisis by itself. A state funeral was held for the Queen of England, the British stock market was closed, the stock markets of Germany and France rose and fell, and the DAX index of Germany rose by 0.49%; Paris CAC index loss 0.26%。 U.S. stocks fell first and then rose. The Federal Reserve started a two-day meeting on interest rates today, and the market expects the Fed to raise interest rates by at least 75 points, compared with the ten-year country yesterday. The yield of bonds surged by 3.5%, and the risk market was under pressure for a time. However, the U.S. house price index released last night fell for two consecutive months, easing the pressure to raise interest rates even more, with U.S. stocks the most. The Dow Jones index rose 0.64%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.69%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.76%. The Federal Reserve started a series today. After the two-day interest rate meeting, under the expectation of interest rate hike, the gold market went up to $1,680 in the early session, and then began to continue the bottom-finding journey, with the lowest price of $1,659.8, but it reflected The U.S. housing price index in the U.S. housing market has fallen for two consecutive months, and is lower than market expectations. The data shows that the tight interest rate hike is expected to cool down, and the price of gold is finally close to flat, with The market closed at $675.7, up slightly by $0.2. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-19

September 19th Today's amplitude range The trend of the US dollar is still strong. If the RMB continues to lose capital and the global economy is in recession, the yield of 2-year government bonds will rise by nearly 3.9%, which will yield in the short and long term. If the interest rate is widened, the US dollar will become a financial refuge to some extent, supporting the US dollar to continue its strength. This week, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 75 points again. The stated facts are enough to support beauty hovering at a high level. The price of gold has fallen below $1,680, and it has just formed a bottom-top reversal. Maybe it will try to hit this position, but still look. Light prospect. The suggested volatility today is $1,666 to $1,682. The 300 billion yuan increase of the State Council's economic stabilization policy was introduced in September and September, in order to support the sluggish market of high-rise buildings in the Mainland. However, the FOB price of RMB is against the US dollar. A rise of 7% shows that the situation of capital withdrawal is still serious. In addition, Fitch, a credit rating agency, is pessimistic about the global economic outlook, and has drastically lowered its global GDP forecast. The health index fell for three weeks in a row, and this week it fell 600 points or 3.1% to close at 18,761, a record low for half a year. Fitch, a credit institution, looks down on the global economic outlook, The forecast of global GDP has been lowered sharply, and it is predicted that the euro zone and the UK will enter recession later this year, while the US will begin to appear in mid-2023. Mild recession. The World Bank also stepped on one more step, saying that with the central banks raising interest rates at the same time, the risk of global economic recession will increase in 2023, and central banks may have to raise interest rates by another 2% before To achieve the goal of anti-inflation, what is even more worrying is that the global economy is generally caught in "stagflation". The three major European stock markets fell across the board, with Germany's DAX index falling. 2.65%； Paris CAC index fell 2.17%; Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 1.56%. The consumption data released by the United States last Tuesday and the inflation data in August reflect inflation. Still high, investors are worried that the Fed's interest rate meeting in September will be even stronger. It is expected that the Fed will raise interest rates by 100 basis points in this week's interest rate meeting. The increase to 30% triggered a tense atmosphere in the market, with a small stock market crash. In a week, the Dow Jones index fell by 4.13% and the S&P 500 index by 4.77. %, the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 5.48%. The economic data of the United States is still on the strong side, with the latest number of jobless claims falling for six weeks in a row, and the data of the retail industry is also better than the market expectation. This hot economy The situation shows that the monetary policy recently tightened by the Federal Reserve has not yet achieved the effect of controlling inflation, and investors are worried that the Federal Reserve may adopt this week's interest rate meeting. More exciting means of raising interest rates, the market surveyed that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 100 points next time reached 30%, and the price of gold finally fell below the iron bottom in the past six and a half years, closing at 16 last week. The market closed at $75.50, and the price of gold fell by $41.70 in a week. The gold price reached a high of $1,735.2 last week and a low of $1,654.2, closing at $1,675.5. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak

2022-09-16

September 16th Today's amplitude range The economic data of the United States is still on the strong side, with the latest number of jobless claims falling for six weeks in a row, and the data of the retail industry is also better than the market expectation. The economic situation shows that the recently tightened monetary policy of the Federal Reserve has not yet achieved the effect of controlling inflation, and investors are still worried about the Fed's interest rate meeting next week. It is possible to take more exciting measures to raise interest rates. The market survey shows that the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 100 points next time reaches 30%, and the gold market finally falls below the iron bottom in the past year and a half. That is, with the support of about $1,680, the prospect of the gold market may be even worse. The suggested volatility today is $1,648 to $1,672. Apart from its functions, the building is also a long-term investment. In the early days, there were many real estate speculators in the Mainland, which made the property price deviate from the affordability of the public. The President of the State has paid close attention to it. Ordinary people, a policy of not speculating in housing leads to a drop in the property market; However, when property prices are falling, there are fewer transactions in the market, because people are worried that after entering the market Becoming a leek, the previous high-speed business model of interior enterprises is gone forever. The interior faucet with a market value of over 70 billion yuan is in debt and lacks funds. Under the circumstances, unfinished buildings have blossomed all over the country. The mainland is trying to dismantle the bomb in the tail building, except that the 300 billion yuan increased by the State Council's stable economic policy earlier began to be released tonight, with more than 24 A city introduced the housing policy of "one person buys a house for the whole family" by using the provident fund, expecting to stimulate people who just need it to get on the bus. Yesterday, more provinces and cities lifted the price limit and purchase restriction, stabbing Real estate stocks rose by 4% to 9%, but this helped Hong Kong stocks get rid of the morning decline. The Hang Seng Index closed up by 83 points or 0.44% to 18,930 points. 19000 points to get back. However, the FOB price of RMB fell below the level of 7 against the US dollar, indicating that the situation of capital withdrawal is still serious, and the trend of Hong Kong stocks is still easy to fall but difficult to rise. Fitch, a credit institution, looks down on the global economic outlook, sharply lowers its global GDP forecast, and expects that the euro zone and the UK will enter recession later this year, while The United States will begin to experience a mild recession in mid-2023. The World Bank stepped on one more step yesterday, saying that the global economy will decline in 2023 as central banks raise interest rates simultaneously. As the risk increases, central banks may have to raise interest rates by another 2% in order to achieve the goal of anti-inflation. What is even more worrying is that the global economy is generally caught in "stagflation". The three major European stock markets ended up mixed, with Germany's DAX index falling by 0.54%; Paris CAC index fell by 1.04%; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.05%. The consumption data released by the United States on Thursday performed better than expected, the labor data continued to do well, and the retail sales exceeded expectations, which increased the momentum of worsening inflation, and made the Midlands The interest rate meeting next week will increase the probability of raising interest rate by 100 points to 30%, which triggered a tense atmosphere in the market. U.S. stocks fluctuated and fell, and the three major indexes on Wall Street collectively See red; The Dow Jones index fell 0.56%, the S&P 500 index fell 1.14%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.43%. U.S. economic data is still strong, the latest application The number of people receiving unemployment benefits has been falling for six weeks in a row, and the retail data has also performed better than market expectations. This hot economic situation shows that the Federal Reserve has recently tightened its currency. The policy has not yet achieved the effect of controlling inflation. Investors are worried that the Federal Reserve may take more exciting measures to raise interest rates at next week's interest rate meeting. The market surveys the United States. The probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rate by 100 points next time is 30%. The gold market finally fell below the iron bottom in the past year and a half, that is, the support around $1,680. The highest gold price was 169 yesterday. $8.3, the lowest is $1,660.4, and it closed at $1,664.4, down $33. For detailed analysis and operation suggestions, please CLICK the following link to join the group and ask the administrator. https://t.me/mingtak